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Peterhead vs Elgin Result & Analysis

Date: 30/09/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 6-0
Peterhead
Peterhead
Vs
53%
27%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Peterhead win✓ Hit
52.8%
Avg Implied 55.1% · @ 1.67
Edge
-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied 24.6% · @ 3.74
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Elgin win✗ Miss
19.8%
Avg Implied 20.3% · @ 4.53
Edge
-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D12L13L30W00D21W01L12L21W10WH·CLY22/04A·KEL29/04H·FAL06/05A·EAS05/08H·STE12/08A·CLY19/08H·SPA26/08A·STR02/09H·BON16/09A·DUM23/09← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.900.571.360.692.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.572.260.551.640.582.83
vs Weaker (7)0.860.710.670.331.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L10W03L01L00D12L11D15L20W12LA·STR22/04H·DUM29/04A·BON06/05H·STR05/08A·FOR12/08A·SPA19/08H·EAS26/08A·BON02/09H·DUM16/09A·CLY23/09
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.700.871.270.732.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.502.300.751.250.333.00
vs Weaker (20)0.951.400.911.271.001.56
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.3%
Under 1.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.4%
@ 1.76-7.4%
Under 2.5
54.6%
@ 1.97+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.1%
Under 3.5
75.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.3%
No
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
1-0
12.1%
2-0
10.6%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
6.2%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
Peterhead goals ↓
Elgin goals →
01234
09.5%6.2%3.3%1.0%0.2%
112%13%5.3%1.6%0.4%
211%9.4%4.2%1.3%0.3%
35.6%5.0%2.2%0.7%0.1%
42.3%2.0%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Peterhead goals (down), columns = Elgin goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stenhousemuir
1.89
Peterhead
1.67
Spartans
1.61
Dumbarton
1.58
East Fife
1.22
Forfar
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.08
Clyde
1.06
Stranraer
1.00
Peterhead is 0.56 points better than Elgin in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.11).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Peterhead
1.61
Dumbarton
1.56
Spartans
1.47
Stenhousemuir
1.39
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
East Fife
1.28
Clyde
1.28
Stranraer
1.06
Forfar
1.06
Elgin
0.97
Peterhead is 0.64 goals better than Elgin in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 0.97).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stenhousemuir
0.86
Peterhead
1.08
Spartans
1.19
Dumbarton
1.22
Forfar
1.25
East Fife
1.31
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.33
Stranraer
1.47
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.64
Peterhead is 0.56 goals better than Elgin in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.64).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

PeterheadPeterhead

For 3.8 · Against 5.7 · Total 9.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

1807112356351246442466410185118310861214A·DUMH·BONA·STRH·SPAA·CLYH·STEA·EASH·FALA·KELH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

802352334123223232445765545508A·DUMH·BONA·STRH·SPAA·CLYH·STEA·EASH·FALA·KELH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 11.8 · Total 23.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

33091421121811108413101412101591117111023332918172422242821A·DUMH·BONA·STRH·SPAA·CLYH·STEA·EASH·FALA·KELH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ElginElgin

For 3.6 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

1402777362535645657132491497810111246A·CLYH·DUMA·BONH·EASA·SPAA·FORH·STRA·BONH·DUMA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6022111423111124126041220A·CLYH·DUMA·BONH·EASA·SPAA·FORH·STRA·BONH·DUMA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 12.8 · Total 22.3

⚠ïļ Fouls

33087911112212781114151218210111381415203319192930122422A·CLYH·DUMA·BONH·EASA·SPAA·FORH·STRA·BONH·DUMA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PeterheadPeterhead

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.28.99.64.34.73.922.523.022.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (40)8.98.59.44.24.83.522.523.121.8
vs Weaker (10)10.511.710.04.94.35.122.721.723.1
% over line48%46%50%64%62%65%64%71%58%
% under line52%54%50%36%38%35%36%29%42%
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.89.28.53.93.64.222.121.822.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (18)8.49.27.73.43.43.422.222.821.7
vs Weaker (32)9.19.19.04.13.64.622.021.322.8
% over line40%44%36%58%52%64%50%44%56%
% under line60%56%64%42%48%36%50%56%44%
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
10.9
Forfar
10.6
Dumbarton
10.3
Stranraer
9.8
Clyde
9.6
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.3
Peterhead
9.2
Spartans
9.1
East Fife
9.1
Elgin
8.8

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Dumbarton
4.6
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.3
Stenhousemuir
4.3
Peterhead
4.3
East Fife
4.1
Stranraer
3.9
Elgin
3.9
Clyde
3.7
Forfar
3.5
Spartans
3.1

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bonnyrigg Rose
23.0
Peterhead
22.5
Forfar
22.4
Elgin
22.1
Clyde
21.4
Stranraer
21.3
East Fife
21.3
Stenhousemuir
21.0
Dumbarton
20.5
Spartans
15.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
39.0%
Under 9.5
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.0%
Under 3.5
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
60.1%
Under 21.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PeterheadPeterhead

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D11D10W00D21W00D02L00D00DH·CLY22/04A·KEL29/04H·FAL06/05A·EAS05/08H·STE12/08A·CLY19/08H·SPA26/08A·STR02/09H·BON16/09A·DUM23/09← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.530.360.290.250.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.260.570.360.360.170.75
vs Weaker (7)0.430.430.330.000.500.75
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D01L00D00D10W02L10W02LA·STR22/04H·DUM29/04A·BON06/05H·STR05/08A·FOR12/08A·SPA19/08H·EAS26/08A·BON02/09H·DUM16/09A·CLY23/09
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.700.470.670.270.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.100.600.250.750.000.50
vs Weaker (20)0.500.750.550.640.440.89
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PeterheadPeterhead

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L02L20W00D00D01L10W21W10WH·CLY22/04A·KEL29/04H·FAL06/05A·EAS05/08H·STE12/08A·CLY19/08H·SPA26/08A·STR02/09H·BON16/09A·DUM23/09← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.370.211.070.441.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.301.700.181.270.422.08
vs Weaker (7)0.430.290.330.330.500.25
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L10W03L00D00D12L01L13L10W10WA·STR22/04H·DUM29/04A·BON06/05H·STR05/08A·FOR12/08A·SPA19/08H·EAS26/08A·BON02/09H·DUM16/09A·CLY23/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.000.400.600.471.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.401.700.500.500.332.50
vs Weaker (20)0.450.650.360.640.560.67
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 11.5 corners81.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards80.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.575.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls75.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards73.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners72.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls71.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
8
PET wins
0
Draws
0
ELG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Peterhead vs Elgin · H/A from PET
DateH/AGameScore
20/04/19AElgin Vs PET1-2
02/03/19HPET Vs Elgin1-0
29/12/18AElgin Vs PET0-3
06/10/18HPET Vs Elgin3-0
21/04/18AElgin Vs PET0-1
02/01/18HPET Vs Elgin7-0
04/11/17AElgin Vs PET0-2
12/08/17HPET Vs Elgin3-0

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/09/23ADumbarton Vs PET0-1
16/09/23HPET Vs Bonnyrigg Rose2-1
02/09/23AStranraer Vs PET2-1
26/08/23HPET Vs Spartans0-1
19/08/23AClyde Vs PET1-2
12/08/23HPET Vs Stenhousemuir0-0
05/08/23AEast Fife Vs PET0-3
06/05/23HPET Vs Falkirk1-3
29/04/23AKelty Hearts Vs PET2-1
22/04/23HPET Vs Clyde1-1

ElginElgin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/09/23AClyde Vs ELG2-1
16/09/23HELG Vs Dumbarton2-0
02/09/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs ELG5-1
26/08/23HELG Vs East Fife1-1
19/08/23ASpartans Vs ELG2-1
12/08/23AForfar Vs ELG0-0
05/08/23HELG Vs Stranraer0-1
06/05/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs ELG3-0
29/04/23HELG Vs Dumbarton1-0
22/04/23AStranraer Vs ELG3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Peterhead
Peterhead
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWW0.86
HomeDLDLW1.08
AwayLWWLW0.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%29%15%
AVG goals2.602.173.00
Over 1.5 %78%71%85%
Over 2.5 %50%33%65%
Over 3.5 %24%17%31%
Scored0.740.670.81
Conceded1.861.502.19
BTTS40%38%42%
Clean Sheet18%25%12%
Corners9.248.889.58
Cards4.304.713.92
Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWL1.06
HomeWWLDW1.20
AwayLDLLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%32%24%
AVG goals2.722.363.08
Over 1.5 %78%72%84%
Over 2.5 %52%36%68%
Over 3.5 %28%20%36%
Scored1.101.081.12
Conceded1.621.281.96
BTTS50%44%56%
Clean Sheet22%28%16%
Corners8.849.168.52
Cards3.863.564.16

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3668
50%
1.9
5031+19
2.2
64%
36%
22%
9.8
50%
4.2
61%
23.0
56%
0
0001.40.9
-
2PeterheadPeterhead3660
44%
1.7
5839+19
2.7
81%
56%
25%
8.7
39%
5.1
89%
25.0
78%
0
0001.61.1
-
3SpartansSpartans3658
42%
1.6
5343+10
2.7
69%
56%
31%
9.4
47%
3.2
42%
20.9
44%
0
0001.51.2
-
4DumbartonDumbarton3657
44%
1.6
5644+12
2.8
67%
44%
36%
11.1
61%
3.9
61%
19.8
33%
0
0001.61.2
-
5East FifeEast Fife3644
31%
1.2
4647-1
2.6
81%
47%
25%
9.1
44%
3.5
56%
21.9
50%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ForfarForfar3642
25%
1.2
3845-7
2.3
72%
42%
22%
9.7
50%
3.5
50%
24.8
75%
0
0001.11.2
-
7ElginElgin3640
28%
1.1
3559-24
2.6
81%
50%
22%
8.8
39%
3.7
47%
25.0
69%
0
0001.01.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3639
25%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
78%
44%
31%
9.6
44%
4.0
50%
24.2
58%
0
0001.31.3
-
9ClydeClyde3638
25%
1.1
4658-12
2.9
83%
56%
28%
9.0
42%
3.4
50%
20.8
50%
0
0001.31.6
-
10StranraerStranraer3636
25%
1.0
3853-15
2.5
75%
47%
25%
10.3
67%
3.6
44%
20.0
36%
0
0001.11.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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