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Peterhead vs Elgin Result & Analysis

Date: 24/02/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
Peterhead
Peterhead
Vs
70%
20%
10%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Peterhead win✗ Miss
70.2%
Avg Implied 56.8% · @ 1.61
Edge
+13.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
19.7%
Avg Implied 24.2% · @ 3.78
Edge
-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Elgin win✗ Miss
10.1%
Avg Implied 18.9% · @ 4.83
Edge
-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L12L01L31W02L22D21W11D33D00DH·FOR23/12A·ELG30/12H·SPA06/01H·DUM09/01A·STR13/01A·EAS20/01H·STE27/01A·CLY03/02A·FOR17/02H·BON20/02
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.271.531.071.471.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.471.201.381.001.571.43
vs Weaker (15)1.531.331.711.141.381.50
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L21W21W12L01L21W10W02L21W22DA·STE23/12H·PET30/12H·STR06/01A·FOR13/01H·DUM27/01H·CLY30/01H·EAS03/02A·BON06/02A·SPA10/02H·STE17/02
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.671.250.880.572.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.832.421.201.200.573.29
vs Weaker (18)1.001.171.270.730.571.86
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.0%
Under 1.5
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.3%
@ 1.79+4.3%
Under 2.5
43.7%
@ 1.94-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.9%
Under 3.5
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.0%
No
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.9%
1-0
10.8%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
1-1 ✓
9.4%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
6.2%
4-0
5.2%
Peterhead goals ↓
Elgin goals →
01234
06.2%3.0%1.4%0.3%0.1%
111%9.4%3.1%0.8%0.1%
213%9.4%3.5%0.8%0.2%
39.5%6.9%2.5%0.6%0.1%
45.2%3.8%1.4%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Peterhead goals (down), columns = Elgin goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stenhousemuir
1.89
Peterhead
1.67
Spartans
1.61
Dumbarton
1.58
East Fife
1.22
Forfar
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.08
Clyde
1.06
Stranraer
1.00
Peterhead is 0.56 points better than Elgin in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.11).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Peterhead
1.61
Dumbarton
1.56
Spartans
1.47
Stenhousemuir
1.39
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
East Fife
1.28
Clyde
1.28
Stranraer
1.06
Forfar
1.06
Elgin
0.97
Peterhead is 0.64 goals better than Elgin in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 0.97).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stenhousemuir
0.86
Peterhead
1.08
Spartans
1.19
Dumbarton
1.22
Forfar
1.25
East Fife
1.31
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.33
Stranraer
1.47
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.64
Peterhead is 0.56 goals better than Elgin in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.64).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

PeterheadPeterhead

For 4.9 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

15043874436674341526152715891375777H·BONA·FORA·CLYH·STEA·EASA·STRH·DUMH·SPAA·ELGH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

9021323134323233313643547556494H·BONA·FORA·CLYH·STEA·EASA·STRH·DUMH·SPAA·ELGH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 14.5 · Total 25.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

340910131312119171218101391211131618112019262326302321243431H·BONA·FORA·CLYH·STEA·EASA·STRH·DUMH·SPAA·ELGH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ElginElgin

For 4.6 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

1405455568684543632163691011141299579H·STEA·SPAA·BONH·EASH·CLYH·DUMA·FORH·STRH·PETA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

90121231112142126313342216391H·STEA·SPAA·BONH·EASH·CLYH·DUMA·FORH·STRH·PETA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 12.8 · Total 25.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

34081011111018121110131313201113121816161318222823232631253429H·STEA·SPAA·BONH·EASH·CLYH·DUMA·FORH·STRH·PETA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PeterheadPeterhead

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.18.59.84.74.84.523.923.524.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (33)8.88.39.44.54.64.423.722.924.5
vs Weaker (17)9.68.910.35.05.24.824.424.624.1
% over line44%40%48%76%72%80%74%68%80%
% under line56%60%52%24%28%20%26%32%20%
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.68.78.43.73.73.722.923.222.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (20)8.68.88.44.25.53.423.625.522.3
vs Weaker (30)8.68.78.53.32.83.922.522.122.9
% over line36%36%36%54%44%64%58%56%60%
% under line64%64%64%46%56%36%42%44%40%
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dumbarton
10.8
Stenhousemuir
10.4
Forfar
10.2
Stranraer
10.0
East Fife
9.7
Clyde
9.7
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.6
Peterhead
9.1
Spartans
9.0
Elgin
8.6

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.7
Dumbarton
4.4
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.4
Stenhousemuir
4.2
East Fife
4.2
Elgin
3.7
Stranraer
3.6
Clyde
3.6
Forfar
3.5
Spartans
3.3

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
23.9
Forfar
23.2
Bonnyrigg Rose
23.2
Elgin
22.9
East Fife
21.9
Stenhousemuir
21.3
Dumbarton
20.8
Stranraer
20.8
Clyde
20.4
Spartans
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
36.1%
Under 9.5
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
61.7%
Under 3.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
68.7%
Under 21.5
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PeterheadPeterhead

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L00D01L01L02L11D01L03L00DH·FOR23/12A·ELG30/12H·SPA06/01H·DUM09/01A·STR13/01A·EAS20/01H·STE27/01A·CLY03/02A·FOR17/02H·BON20/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.700.730.400.401.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.400.400.500.120.290.71
vs Weaker (15)0.731.001.000.710.501.25
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W01L10W01L11D10W01L00D21WA·STE23/12H·PET30/12H·STR06/01A·FOR13/01H·DUM27/01H·CLY30/01H·EAS03/02A·BON06/02A·SPA10/02H·STE17/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.730.620.560.070.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.250.830.600.600.001.00
vs Weaker (18)0.440.670.640.550.140.86
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PeterheadPeterhead

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D01L30W01L20W10W10W30W00DH·FOR23/12A·ELG30/12H·SPA06/01H·DUM09/01A·STR13/01A·EAS20/01H·STE27/01A·CLY03/02A·FOR17/02H·BON20/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.570.800.671.070.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.070.800.880.881.290.71
vs Weaker (15)0.800.330.710.430.880.25
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D20W02L00D10W00D01L21W01LA·STE23/12H·PET30/12H·STR06/01A·FOR13/01H·DUM27/01H·CLY30/01H·EAS03/02A·BON06/02A·SPA10/02H·STE17/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.930.620.310.501.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.581.580.600.600.572.29
vs Weaker (18)0.560.500.640.180.431.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 11.5 corners84.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls82.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.580.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards79.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners75.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards74.2%-------✗ Miss
Home win70.2%1.61-----+13.4%✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
7
PET wins
0
Draws
1
ELG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Peterhead vs Elgin · H/A from PET
DateH/AGameScore
30/12/23AElgin Vs PET2-1
30/09/23HPET Vs Elgin6-0
20/04/19AElgin Vs PET1-2
02/03/19HPET Vs Elgin1-0
29/12/18AElgin Vs PET0-3
06/10/18HPET Vs Elgin3-0
21/04/18AElgin Vs PET0-1
02/01/18HPET Vs Elgin7-0

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/02/24HPET Vs Bonnyrigg Rose0-0
17/02/24AForfar Vs PET3-3
03/02/24AClyde Vs PET1-1
27/01/24HPET Vs Stenhousemuir2-1
20/01/24AEast Fife Vs PET2-2
13/01/24AStranraer Vs PET2-0
09/01/24HPET Vs Dumbarton3-1
06/01/24HPET Vs Spartans0-1
30/12/23AElgin Vs PET2-1
23/12/23HPET Vs Forfar1-2

ElginElgin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/02/24HELG Vs Stenhousemuir2-2
10/02/24ASpartans Vs ELG1-2
06/02/24ABonnyrigg Rose Vs ELG2-0
03/02/24HELG Vs East Fife1-0
30/01/24HELG Vs Clyde2-1
27/01/24HELG Vs Dumbarton0-1
13/01/24AForfar Vs ELG2-1
06/01/24HELG Vs Stranraer2-1
30/12/23HELG Vs Peterhead2-1
23/12/23AStenhousemuir Vs ELG2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Peterhead
Peterhead
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDDD1.06
HomeLLWWD1.32
AwayLLDDD0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%36%20%
AVG goals2.702.323.08
Over 1.5 %80%72%88%
Over 2.5 %54%40%68%
Over 3.5 %24%20%28%
Scored1.041.120.96
Conceded1.661.202.12
BTTS48%44%52%
Clean Sheet18%28%8%
Corners9.128.489.76
Cards4.684.844.52
Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWD1.04
HomeWLWWD1.44
AwayLLLLW0.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%40%20%
AVG goals2.642.243.04
Over 1.5 %78%72%84%
Over 2.5 %54%40%68%
Over 3.5 %22%12%32%
Scored0.901.040.76
Conceded1.741.202.28
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet16%24%8%
Corners8.588.728.44
Cards3.683.683.68

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3668
50%
1.9
5031+19
2.2
64%
36%
22%
9.8
50%
4.2
61%
23.0
56%
0
0001.40.9
-
2PeterheadPeterhead3660
44%
1.7
5839+19
2.7
81%
56%
25%
8.7
39%
5.1
89%
25.0
78%
0
0001.61.1
-
3SpartansSpartans3658
42%
1.6
5343+10
2.7
69%
56%
31%
9.4
47%
3.2
42%
20.9
44%
0
0001.51.2
-
4DumbartonDumbarton3657
44%
1.6
5644+12
2.8
67%
44%
36%
11.1
61%
3.9
61%
19.8
33%
0
0001.61.2
-
5East FifeEast Fife3644
31%
1.2
4647-1
2.6
81%
47%
25%
9.1
44%
3.5
56%
21.9
50%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ForfarForfar3642
25%
1.2
3845-7
2.3
72%
42%
22%
9.7
50%
3.5
50%
24.8
75%
0
0001.11.2
-
7ElginElgin3640
28%
1.1
3559-24
2.6
81%
50%
22%
8.8
39%
3.7
47%
25.0
69%
0
0001.01.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose		3639
25%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
78%
44%
31%
9.6
44%
4.0
50%
24.2
58%
0
0001.31.3
-
9ClydeClyde3638
25%
1.1
4658-12
2.9
83%
56%
28%
9.0
42%
3.4
50%
20.8
50%
0
0001.31.6
-
10StranraerStranraer3636
25%
1.0
3853-15
2.5
75%
47%
25%
10.3
67%
3.6
44%
20.0
36%
0
0001.11.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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