Peterhead vs Kilmarnock Result & Analysis

Peterhead face Kilmarnock with the model favouring an away win, a 47 % chance of victory for the visitors, 27 % for a draw and 25 % for a home win. The expected total goals hover at 2.7, with the most likely total of two goals at 25 %. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 12.9 % chance. Peterhead, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded, while Kilmarnock, on the road, averages 1.33 scored and 1.56 conceded. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 goals at 99.3 %, Under 6.5 at 97.8 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.2 %, Under 5.5 at 94.0 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 91.9 %, Under 5.5 cards at 91.6 %, Away +2 handicap at 89.6 % and Home under 2.5 goals at 89.4 %. The match is expected to be tight, with the visitors holding a slight edge.

The 0-0 draw was a shock to the pre-match favourite, Kilmarnock, who had been tipped to win with a 47 % chance. The model’s call was wrong, as the match ended in a stalemate. The final score of 0-0 matched the model’s prediction of a draw, but the outcome was a draw rather than an away win. The model’s selection of Under 7.5 goals hit, as did Under 6.5, Home under 3.5 goals, Under 5.5, Away under 3.5 goals, Under 5.5 cards, Away +2 handicap, and Home under 2.5 goals. Each hit carried a probability of 99.3 %, 97.8 %, 97.2 %, 94.0 %, 91.9 %, 91.6 %, 89.6 %, and 89.4 % respectively. The game saw no goals, confirming the low-scoring nature predicted for both sides.