PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Petrocub vs Milsami Orhei Result & Analysis

Date: 04/07/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 5-0
Petrocub
Petrocub
Vs
59%
24%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Milsami Orhei
Milsami Orhei
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrocub win✓ Hit
59.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei win✗ Miss
16.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PetrocubPetrocub

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L20W20W30W21W10W30W30W11DH·DAC08/03A·SHE14/03H·MIL21/03A·CSF05/04H·ZIM11/04A·DAC18/04H·SHE26/04A·MIL02/05H·CSF10/05A·ZIM17/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.000.672.070.571.940.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.311.001.710.711.001.22
vs Weaker (14)2.790.292.430.433.140.14
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D02L10W13L13L01L03L21W00DH·ZIM07/03H·CSF15/03A·PET21/03H·DAC04/04A·SHE11/04A·ZIM18/04A·CSF26/04H·PET02/05A·DAC09/05H·SHE17/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.371.311.061.571.71
vs Stronger (4)0.751.000.500.001.002.00
vs Similar (12)0.832.001.001.710.602.40
vs Weaker (14)2.140.931.860.712.431.14
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrocub) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.6%
Under 1.5
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.5%
Under 2.5
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.3%
Under 3.5
69.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.4%
No
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
2-0
10.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
7.3%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
Petrocub goals ↓
Milsami Orhei goals →
01234
07.3%4.6%2.5%0.8%0.2%
111%12%4.8%1.4%0.3%
211%9.9%4.5%1.3%0.3%
36.8%6.2%2.8%0.8%0.2%
43.2%2.9%1.3%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Petrocub goals (down), columns = Milsami Orhei goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zimbru
2.11
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.00
Petrocub
1.56
Dacia-Buiucani
1.56
Politehnica UTM
1.33
Milsami Orhei
1.11
Sireți
0.78
CSF Bălți
0.22
Petrocub is 0.44 points better than Milsami Orhei in terms of average points per game (1.56 vs 1.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zimbru
2.56
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.11
Petrocub
1.89
Politehnica UTM
1.67
Dacia-Buiucani
1.22
Milsami Orhei
0.89
Sireți
0.67
CSF Bălți
0.56
Petrocub is 1.00 goals better than Milsami Orhei in terms of goals scored per game (1.89 vs 0.89).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.89
Petrocub
1.00
Zimbru
1.11
Sireți
1.11
Politehnica UTM
1.33
Dacia-Buiucani
1.33
Milsami Orhei
1.56
CSF Bălți
3.22
Petrocub is 0.56 goals better than Milsami Orhei in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.56).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PetrocubPetrocub

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L10W20W20W10W10W00D10W10WH·DAC08/03A·SHE14/03H·MIL21/03A·CSF05/04H·ZIM11/04A·DAC18/04H·SHE26/04A·MIL02/05H·CSF10/05A·ZIM17/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.371.070.211.190.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.620.620.860.290.440.89
vs Weaker (14)1.710.071.290.142.140.00
Clean sheet %80% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L00D11D01L00D00D21W00DH·ZIM07/03H·CSF15/03A·PET21/03H·DAC04/04A·SHE11/04A·ZIM18/04A·CSF26/04H·PET02/05A·DAC09/05H·SHE17/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.600.690.380.930.86
vs Stronger (4)0.750.500.500.001.001.00
vs Similar (12)0.250.670.290.570.200.80
vs Weaker (14)1.290.571.140.291.430.86
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrocub) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Petrocub over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PetrocubPetrocub

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D10W00D10W11D00D30W20W01LH·DAC08/03A·SHE14/03H·MIL21/03A·CSF05/04H·ZIM11/04A·DAC18/04H·SHE26/04A·MIL02/05H·CSF10/05A·ZIM17/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.301.000.360.750.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.690.380.860.430.560.33
vs Weaker (14)1.070.211.140.291.000.14
Clean sheet %73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D01L10W02L12L01L03L00D00DH·ZIM07/03H·CSF15/03A·PET21/03H·DAC04/04A·SHE11/04A·ZIM18/04A·CSF26/04H·PET02/05A·DAC09/05H·SHE17/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.770.620.690.640.86
vs Stronger (4)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (12)0.581.330.711.140.401.60
vs Weaker (14)0.860.360.710.431.000.29
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrocub) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Petrocub over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.6%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Petrocub · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Victor Mudrac20%
Teodor Lungu20%
Ion Borș20%
Sergiu Plătică17%
Ion Jardan0%
Vladimir Ambros0%
Maxim Potirniche0%
Vasile Jardan0%
Vsevolod Nihaev0%
Marin Caruntu0%
Donalio Melachio Douanla0%
Silviu Șmalenea0%
Dan Pușcaș0%
Dumitru Demian0%
Boubacar Diallo0%
Mihai Lupan0%
Manuel Nana Agyemang0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Teodor Lungu60%
Ion Jardan50%
Dumitru Demian33%
Dan Pușcaș20%
Ion Borș20%
Vladimir Ambros17%
Sergiu Plătică0%
Maxim Potirniche0%
Vasile Jardan0%
Vsevolod Nihaev0%
Marin Caruntu0%
Victor Mudrac0%
Donalio Melachio Douanla0%
Silviu Șmalenea0%
Boubacar Diallo0%
Mihai Lupan0%
Manuel Nana Agyemang0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dan Pușcaș20%
Vladimir Ambros17%
Ion Jardan0%
Sergiu Plătică0%
Maxim Potirniche0%
Vasile Jardan0%
Vsevolod Nihaev0%
Marin Caruntu0%
Victor Mudrac0%
Donalio Melachio Douanla0%
Teodor Lungu0%
Silviu Șmalenea0%
Dumitru Demian0%
Ion Borș0%
Boubacar Diallo0%
Mihai Lupan0%
Manuel Nana Agyemang0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sergiu Plătică17%
Ion Jardan0%
Vladimir Ambros0%
Maxim Potirniche0%
Vasile Jardan0%
Vsevolod Nihaev0%
Marin Caruntu0%
Victor Mudrac0%
Donalio Melachio Douanla0%
Teodor Lungu0%
Silviu Șmalenea0%
Dan Pușcaș0%
Dumitru Demian0%
Ion Borș0%
Boubacar Diallo0%
Mihai Lupan0%
Manuel Nana Agyemang0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
PU (13)
€1m
SIR (7)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
Petrocub's squad is €2m more valuable than Milsami Orhei's (€5m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
PU (2)
€0m
SIR (2)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
Petrocub's attack is €1m more valuable than Milsami Orhei's (€2m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SIR (5)
€1m
DAC (6)
€0m
PU (4)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
Petrocub and Milsami Orhei have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
PU (7)
€0m
SIR (0)
€0m
Petrocub and Milsami Orhei have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
PET wins
1
Draws
1
MO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Petrocub vs Milsami Orhei · H/A from PET
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/26AMilsami Orhei Vs PET0-3
21/03/26HPET Vs Milsami Orhei2-0
02/11/25AMilsami Orhei Vs PET1-2
24/09/25AMilsami Orhei Vs PET1-1
31/08/25HPET Vs Milsami Orhei2-1
26/04/25HPET Vs Milsami Orhei2-0
16/03/25AMilsami Orhei Vs PET5-1
30/10/24AMilsami Orhei Vs PET0-2

PetrocubPetrocub

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26AZimbru Vs PET1-1
10/05/26HPET Vs CSF Bălți3-0
02/05/26AMilsami Orhei Vs PET0-3
26/04/26HPET Vs Sheriff Tiraspol1-0
18/04/26ADacia-Buiucani Vs PET1-2
11/04/26HPET Vs Zimbru3-0
05/04/26ACSF Bălți Vs PET0-2
21/03/26HPET Vs Milsami Orhei2-0
14/03/26ASheriff Tiraspol Vs PET1-0
08/03/26HPET Vs Dacia-Buiucani3-0

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26HMO Vs Sheriff Tiraspol0-0
09/05/26ADacia-Buiucani Vs MO1-2
02/05/26HMO Vs Petrocub0-3
26/04/26ACSF Bălți Vs MO1-0
18/04/26AZimbru Vs MO3-1
11/04/26ASheriff Tiraspol Vs MO3-1
04/04/26HMO Vs Dacia-Buiucani1-0
21/03/26APetrocub Vs MO2-0
15/03/26HMO Vs CSF Bălți0-0
07/03/26HMO Vs Zimbru0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Petrocub
Petrocub
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD1.90
HomeWWWWW2.32
AwayLWWWD1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%72%40%
AVG goals2.762.562.96
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %50%56%44%
Over 3.5 %24%16%32%
Scored1.841.881.80
Conceded0.920.681.16
BTTS44%40%48%
Clean Sheet42%48%36%
Corners9.678.0010.50
Cards4.333.005.00
Milsami Orhei
Milsami Orhei
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWD1.58
HomeDDWLD1.84
AwayLLLLW1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%52%36%
AVG goals2.782.642.92
Over 1.5 %78%72%84%
Over 2.5 %60%60%60%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.621.641.60
Conceded1.161.001.32
BTTS50%44%56%
Clean Sheet34%44%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZimbruZimbru919
67%
2.1
2310+13
3.7
100%
78%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2112.61.1
-
2Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol918
56%
2.0
198+11
3.0
67%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3132.10.9
-
3PetrocubPetrocub914
44%
1.6
179+8
2.9
78%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.91.0
-
4Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani914
44%
1.6
1112-1
2.6
56%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.3
-
5Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM912
33%
1.3
1512+3
3.0
78%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.3
-
6Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei910
22%
1.1
814-6
2.4
56%
44%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.91.6
-
7SirețiSireți97
0%
0.8
610-4
1.8
67%
33%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0100.71.1
-
8CSF BălțiCSF Bălți92
0%
0.2
529-24
3.8
100%
78%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.63.2
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

← all matches