Petrocub vs Politehnica UTM Result & Analysis

Date: 02/08/2026

Time: 17:00

Final 3-1

Petrocub

62%

22%

17%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Politehnica UTM

Moldova: Super Liga

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Odd / Even 7 Home & Away Over/Under 8 Handicap 9 Top picks for this game 10 Squad value 11 Games History 12 Overall Statistics 13 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Petrocub is the clear favourite to win at home, with a 62% chance of success, according to the model. This is largely due to the home side's strong record against weaker opponents, having scored an average of 2.67 goals and conceded just 0.33 goals at home. In contrast, Politehnica UTM has struggled away from home, particularly against stronger opponents, scoring an average of just 1 goal and conceding 2.

The model predicts a 22% chance of 3 goals being scored, with the most likely score being 1-1, although this is only a 9.9% probability. The expected total number of goals is 3.3.

In terms of the match result, the model's selection is a home win, with a 62% chance of success. The draw is a 22% possibility, while the away win is a 17% chance. The home side's home win percentage is 62%, the draw percentage is 22%, and the away win percentage is 17%.

The model also suggests taking Over 1.5, which has an 84.6% probability of occurring, with a 3% edge.

Results analysis

Petrocub's win extends their 2-game winning run, with the latest victory coming at the expense of Politehnica UTM. The final score was 3-1, confirming the actual result of a home win. The model's selection, a home win, was correct, given its pre-match probability of 62%. The model's call was a resounding success, as the selections largely came in. The model's selection of a home win was correct. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals hit, with a probability of 84.6%, while the most likely total goals was 3, with a probability of 22%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrocub win✓ Hit

61.7%

Avg Implied 69.5% · @ 1.30

Edge

-7.8%

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.38

Dafabet

1.37

Superbet

1.35

William Hil

1.30

888Sport

1.30

Draw✗ Miss

21.6%

Avg Implied 18.4% · @ 4.89

Edge

+3.2%

Best 5 market prices

Bet365

5.50

1xBet

5.15

Marathonbet

5.15

Pinnacle

5.14

Betfair

5.00

Politehnica UTM win✗ Miss

16.8%

Avg Implied 12.1% · @ 7.44

Edge

+4.7%

Best 5 market prices

Betfair

9.00

10Bet

8.25

1xBet

7.90

Marathonbet

7.60

William Hil

7.50

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Petrocub

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.7

Avg scored

2.1

Avg conceded

0.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	2.17	0.57	2.62	0.62	1.82	0.53
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (9)	1.33	1.11	2.50	1.25	0.40	1.00
vs Weaker (21)	2.52	0.33	2.67	0.33	2.42	0.33
Clean sheet %	57% (+25pp vs league)

This opponent (Politehnica UTM) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Politehnica UTM

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.9

Avg scored

2.2

Avg conceded

0.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.60	2.00	1.73	1.60	1.47	2.40
vs Stronger (20)	1.30	2.30	1.50	2.00	1.10	2.60
vs Similar (10)	2.20	1.40	2.20	0.80	2.20	2.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	13% (-18pp vs league)

This opponent (Petrocub) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

84.6%

@ 1.13+3.1%

Under 1.5

15.4%

@ 4.97-3.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

888Sport

1.14

1xBet

1.14

Superbet

1.10

Under

888Sport

5.00

Superbet

5.00

1xBet

4.90

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

63.3%

@ 1.43-0.5%

Under 2.5

36.7%

@ 2.52+0.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.44

888Sport

1.44

Marathonbet

1.44

1xBet

1.44

Superbet

1.41

Under

Bet365

2.75

Superbet

2.55

Pinnacle

2.48

888Sport

2.45

1xBet

2.43

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over

Over 3.5

41.1%

@ 2.12-1.9%

Under 3.5

58.9%

@ 1.61+1.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

888Sport

2.20

Pinnacle

2.17

Marathonbet

2.15

1xBet

2.15

10Bet

2.10

Under

Superbet

1.66

Betano

1.62

Marathonbet

1.61

1xBet

1.61

Pinnacle

1.60

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

59.4%

@ 1.78+7.6%

40.6%

@ 1.91-7.6%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Marathonbet

1.84

1xBet

1.84

Superbet

1.65

Superbet

2.10

1xBet

1.83

Marathonbet

1.80

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

9.9%@ 9.75+5.7%

2-1

9.9%@ 8.00+4.7%

2-0

9.1%@ 6.94+3.2%

1-0

7.5%@ 8.00+2.3%

3-1 ✓

7.2%@ 9.62+2.9%

3-0

6.7%@ 7.88+1.4%

2-2

5.3%@ 16.50+2.8%

1-2

4.9%@ 21.50+2.9%

Petrocub goals ↓

	Politehnica UTM goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.7%	3.2%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%
1	7.5%	9.9%	4.9%	1.7%	0.5%
2	9.1%	9.9%	5.3%	1.9%	0.5%
3	6.7%	7.2%	3.9%	1.4%	0.4%
4	3.6%	3.9%	2.1%	0.8%	0.2%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Petrocub goals (down), columns = Politehnica UTM goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Sheriff Tiraspol

2.14

Zimbru

1.86

Dacia-Buiucani

1.71

Petrocub

1.57

Politehnica UTM

1.57

Milsami Orhei

0.86

Sireți

0.71

CSF Bălți

0.29

Petrocub and Politehnica UTM are level in average points per game (both 1.57).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Zimbru

2.43

Politehnica UTM

2.14

Petrocub

2.00

Sheriff Tiraspol

2.00

Dacia-Buiucani

1.57

Milsami Orhei

1.00

Sireți

0.86

CSF Bălți

0.71

Petrocub is 0.14 goals worse than Politehnica UTM in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 2.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Sheriff Tiraspol

0.86

Petrocub

1.14

Politehnica UTM

1.14

Zimbru

1.29

Sireți

1.43

Dacia-Buiucani

1.71

Milsami Orhei

2.00

CSF Bălți

3.14

Petrocub and Politehnica UTM are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.14).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Over 1.5	84.6%	1.13	888Sport 1.14	1xBet 1.14	Superbet 1.10	-	-	+3.1%	✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

ST (24)

€6m

PET (22)

€5m

ZIM (24)

€4m

MO (22)

€3m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

ST (8)

€3m

PET (9)

€2m

ZIM (9)

€2m

MO (6)

€1m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

ST (6)

€1m

ZIM (7)

€1m

MO (5)

€1m

PET (5)

€1m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

ST (10)

€3m

PET (8)

€2m

MO (11)

€2m

ZIM (8)

€1m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Petrocub vs Politehnica UTM · H/A from PET

Date	H/A	Game	Score
26/10/25	H	PET Vs Politehnica UTM	4-1
23/08/25	A	Politehnica UTM Vs PET	0-5
05/07/25	H	PET Vs Politehnica UTM	2-1

Petrocub

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
26/07/26	A	Sireți Vs PET	0-0
19/07/26	H	PET Vs Sheriff Tiraspol	2-3
11/07/26	A	CSF Bălți Vs PET	1-1
04/07/26	H	PET Vs Milsami Orhei	5-0
17/05/26	A	Zimbru Vs PET	1-1
10/05/26	H	PET Vs CSF Bălți	3-0
02/05/26	A	Milsami Orhei Vs PET	0-3
26/04/26	H	PET Vs Sheriff Tiraspol	1-0
18/04/26	A	Dacia-Buiucani Vs PET	1-2
11/04/26	H	PET Vs Zimbru	3-0

Politehnica UTM

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
26/07/26	H	PU Vs Zimbru	0-2
18/07/26	A	Dacia-Buiucani Vs PU	1-5
11/07/26	A	Sireți Vs PU	1-2
04/07/26	H	PU Vs Sheriff Tiraspol	0-0
09/05/26	A	Floreşti Vs PU	1-1
04/05/26	H	PU Vs Spartanii Selemet	2-0
01/05/26	A	Iskra Vs PU	0-2
24/04/26	H	PU Vs Sireți	3-1
17/04/26	H	PU Vs FC Stăuceni	5-1
11/04/26	H	PU Vs Floreşti	2-0

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Petrocub

Moldova: Super Liga

Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DWDLD	1.92
Home	WWWWL	2.32
Away	WWDDD	1.52

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	56%	72%	40%
AVG goals	2.90	2.88	2.92
Over 1.5 %	84%	88%	80%
Over 2.5 %	54%	64%	44%
Over 3.5 %	28%	24%	32%
Scored	1.96	2.12	1.80
Conceded	0.94	0.76	1.12
BTTS	46%	44%	48%
Clean Sheet	44%	48%	40%
Corners	15.00	-	15.00
Cards	5.00	-	5.00

Politehnica UTM

Moldova: Super Liga

Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DDWWL	1.20
Home	WWWDL	1.39
Away	DWDWW	1.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	34%	44%	24%
AVG goals	3.51	3.44	3.59
Over 1.5 %	91%	89%	94%
Over 2.5 %	69%	72%	65%
Over 3.5 %	46%	50%	41%
Scored	1.46	1.56	1.35
Conceded	2.06	1.89	2.24
BTTS	63%	50%	76%
Clean Sheet	14%	17%	12%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 13. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Sheriff Tiraspol	7	15	57%	2.1	14	6	+8	2.9	57%	43%	43%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	3	1	3	2.0	0.9	-
2	Zimbru	7	13	57%	1.9	17	9	+8	3.7	100%	71%	43%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	2	1	1	2.4	1.3	-
3	Dacia-Buiucani	7	12	57%	1.7	11	12	-1	3.3	71%	71%	43%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.6	1.7	-
4	Politehnica UTM	7	11	43%	1.6	15	8	+7	3.3	86%	57%	43%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.1	1.1	-
5	Petrocub	7	11	43%	1.6	14	8	+6	3.1	86%	71%	43%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	2	1	2	2.0	1.1	-
6	Milsami Orhei	7	6	14%	0.9	7	14	-7	3.0	71%	57%	43%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	2	1.0	2.0	-
7	Sireți	7	5	0%	0.7	6	10	-4	2.3	86%	43%	14%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.9	1.4	-
8	CSF Bălți	7	2	0%	0.3	5	22	-17	3.9	100%	71%	43%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.7	3.1	-

Moldova: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

← all matches

Petrocub vs Politehnica UTM Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Petrocub

Politehnica UTM

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Petrocub

Politehnica UTM

📊 12. Overall Statistics

🏆 13. League Table

A Pro feature