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Petrocub vs Zimbru Result & Analysis

Date: 10/05/2025
Time: 17:00
Final 0-3
Petrocub
Petrocub
Vs
56%
26%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Zimbru
Zimbru
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrocub win✗ Miss
56.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zimbru win✓ Hit
17.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PetrocubPetrocub

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L22D30W15L11D23L31W11D20W13LH·REA12/12A·HEA19/12H·CSF09/03A·MIL16/03H·SHE29/03A·ZIM06/04H·SPA12/04A·CSF19/04H·MIL26/04A·SHE04/05
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.401.361.141.061.62
vs Stronger (6)0.332.170.332.000.332.33
vs Similar (14)1.071.571.171.171.001.88
vs Weaker (10)1.900.702.200.601.600.80
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZimbruZimbru

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-631W10W12L00D31W32W20W02L11D60WA·SPA10/11H·PET23/11H·MIL08/03A·SHE15/03H·SPA30/03H·PET06/04A·CSF12/04A·MIL19/04H·SHE26/04H·SPA04/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.272.291.001.541.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.291.711.701.300.712.29
vs Weaker (13)2.850.693.140.572.500.83
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrocub) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.9%
Under 1.5
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.3%
Under 2.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.8%
Under 3.5
75.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.5%
No
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.1%
3-0
6.4%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
Petrocub goals ↓
Zimbru goals →
01234
09.1%5.6%2.8%0.8%0.2%
112%12%4.8%1.3%0.3%
211%9.5%4.0%1.1%0.2%
36.4%5.4%2.3%0.6%0.1%
42.7%2.3%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Petrocub goals (down), columns = Zimbru goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Saxan
2.46
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.33
Speranis Nisporeni
2.25
Zimbru
1.88
Milsami Orhei
1.75
FC Stăuceni
1.73
Dacia-Buiucani
1.62
Petrocub
1.54
Iskra
1.50
Victoria Bardar
1.25
CSF Bălți
1.17
Făleşti
0.75
Spartanii Selemet
0.67
Floreşti
0.04
Olimp Comrat
0.00
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
0.00
FCM Ungheni
0.00
Petrocub is 0.33 points worse than Zimbru in terms of average points per game (1.54 vs 1.88).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Saxan
3.69
Milsami Orhei
2.29
Zimbru
2.25
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.08
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
2.00
Victoria Bardar
2.00
Dacia-Buiucani
1.92
Petrocub
1.67
FC Stăuceni
1.55
Iskra
1.50
Speranis Nisporeni
1.50
Făleşti
1.17
CSF Bălți
1.12
Olimp Comrat
1.00
FCM Ungheni
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.88
Floreşti
0.12
Petrocub is 0.58 goals worse than Zimbru in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 2.25).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.50
Saxan
0.62
Dacia-Buiucani
0.92
Zimbru
1.04
Petrocub
1.08
Milsami Orhei
1.08
Speranis Nisporeni
1.25
FC Stăuceni
1.36
CSF Bălți
1.38
Victoria Bardar
1.92
Spartanii Selemet
2.29
Făleşti
2.67
Olimp Comrat
3.00
Iskra
3.00
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
3.00
FCM Ungheni
3.00
Floreşti
4.60
Petrocub is 0.04 goals worse than Zimbru in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.04).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PetrocubPetrocub

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W10W02L00D02L11D00D20W12LH·REA12/12A·HEA19/12H·CSF09/03A·MIL16/03H·SHE29/03A·ZIM06/04H·SPA12/04A·CSF19/04H·MIL26/04A·SHE04/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.470.500.430.380.50
vs Stronger (6)0.170.500.330.330.000.67
vs Similar (14)0.430.710.500.670.380.75
vs Weaker (10)0.600.100.600.200.600.00
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZimbruZimbru

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D00D00D10W20W10W01L11D10WA·SPA10/11H·PET23/11H·MIL08/03A·SHE15/03H·SPA30/03H·PET06/04A·CSF12/04A·MIL19/04H·SHE26/04H·SPA04/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.600.880.410.850.85
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.530.760.800.600.141.00
vs Weaker (13)1.310.381.000.141.670.67
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrocub) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Petrocub over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PetrocubPetrocub

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L12L20W13L11D21W20W11D00D01LH·REA12/12A·HEA19/12H·CSF09/03A·MIL16/03H·SHE29/03A·ZIM06/04H·SPA12/04A·CSF19/04H·MIL26/04A·SHE04/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.930.860.710.691.12
vs Stronger (6)0.171.670.001.670.331.67
vs Similar (14)0.640.860.670.500.621.12
vs Weaker (10)1.300.601.600.401.000.80
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZimbruZimbru

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W10W12L00D21W12L10W01L00D50WA·SPA10/11H·PET23/11H·MIL08/03A·SHE15/03H·SPA30/03H·PET06/04A·CSF12/04A·MIL19/04H·SHE26/04H·SPA04/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.671.410.590.690.77
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.760.940.900.700.571.29
vs Weaker (13)1.540.312.140.430.830.17
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrocub) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Petrocub over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Petrocub
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Victor Mudrac20%
Teodor Lungu20%
Ion Borș20%
Sergiu Plătică17%
Ion Jardan0%
Vladimir Ambros0%
Maxim Potirniche0%
Vasile Jardan0%
Vsevolod Nihaev0%
Marin Caruntu0%
Donalio Melachio Douanla0%
Silviu Șmalenea0%
Dan Pușcaș0%
Dumitru Demian0%
Boubacar Diallo0%
Mihai Lupan0%
Manuel Nana Agyemang0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Teodor Lungu60%
Ion Jardan50%
Dumitru Demian33%
Dan Pușcaș20%
Ion Borș20%
Vladimir Ambros17%
Sergiu Plătică0%
Maxim Potirniche0%
Vasile Jardan0%
Vsevolod Nihaev0%
Marin Caruntu0%
Victor Mudrac0%
Donalio Melachio Douanla0%
Silviu Șmalenea0%
Boubacar Diallo0%
Mihai Lupan0%
Manuel Nana Agyemang0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dan Pușcaș20%
Vladimir Ambros17%
Ion Jardan0%
Sergiu Plătică0%
Maxim Potirniche0%
Vasile Jardan0%
Vsevolod Nihaev0%
Marin Caruntu0%
Victor Mudrac0%
Donalio Melachio Douanla0%
Teodor Lungu0%
Silviu Șmalenea0%
Dumitru Demian0%
Ion Borș0%
Boubacar Diallo0%
Mihai Lupan0%
Manuel Nana Agyemang0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sergiu Plătică17%
Ion Jardan0%
Vladimir Ambros0%
Maxim Potirniche0%
Vasile Jardan0%
Vsevolod Nihaev0%
Marin Caruntu0%
Victor Mudrac0%
Donalio Melachio Douanla0%
Teodor Lungu0%
Silviu Șmalenea0%
Dan Pușcaș0%
Dumitru Demian0%
Ion Borș0%
Boubacar Diallo0%
Mihai Lupan0%
Manuel Nana Agyemang0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
Petrocub's squad is €1m more valuable than Zimbru's (€5m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Petrocub and Zimbru have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
DAC (6)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Petrocub and Zimbru have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
Petrocub's defence is €1m more valuable than Zimbru's (€2m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
PET wins
3
Draws
3
ZIM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Petrocub vs Zimbru · H/A from PET
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/25AZimbru Vs PET3-2
23/11/24AZimbru Vs PET1-0
22/09/24HPET Vs Zimbru0-0
18/05/24HPET Vs Zimbru4-1
14/04/24AZimbru Vs PET1-1
10/11/23AZimbru Vs PET1-1
16/09/23HPET Vs Zimbru0-2
14/05/23AZimbru Vs PET1-2

PetrocubPetrocub

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/25ASheriff Tiraspol Vs PET3-1
26/04/25HPET Vs Milsami Orhei2-0
19/04/25ACSF Bălți Vs PET1-1
12/04/25HPET Vs Spartanii Selemet3-1
06/04/25AZimbru Vs PET3-2
29/03/25HPET Vs Sheriff Tiraspol1-1
16/03/25AMilsami Orhei Vs PET5-1
09/03/25HPET Vs CSF Bălți3-0
19/12/24AHeart Of Midlothian Vs PET2-2
12/12/24HPET Vs Real Betis0-1

ZimbruZimbru

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/25HZIM Vs Spartanii Selemet6-0
26/04/25HZIM Vs Sheriff Tiraspol1-1
19/04/25AMilsami Orhei Vs ZIM2-0
12/04/25ACSF Bălți Vs ZIM0-2
06/04/25HZIM Vs Petrocub3-2
30/03/25HZIM Vs Spartanii Selemet3-1
15/03/25ASheriff Tiraspol Vs ZIM0-0
08/03/25HZIM Vs Milsami Orhei1-2
23/11/24HZIM Vs Petrocub1-0
10/11/24ASpartanii Selemet Vs ZIM1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Petrocub
Petrocub
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWL1.58
HomeLWDWW2.15
AwayDLLDL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%65%17%
AVG goals2.782.962.58
Over 1.5 %78%81%75%
Over 2.5 %50%62%38%
Over 3.5 %28%27%29%
Scored1.782.231.29
Conceded1.000.731.29
BTTS44%38%50%
Clean Sheet42%54%29%
Corners7.576.509.00
Cards4.273.834.80
Zimbru
Zimbru
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDW1.62
HomeLWWDW1.85
AwayLWDWL1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%58%42%
AVG goals2.882.962.79
Over 1.5 %76%81%71%
Over 2.5 %52%58%46%
Over 3.5 %38%38%38%
Scored1.641.921.33
Conceded1.241.041.46
BTTS42%46%38%
Clean Sheet40%38%42%
Corners15.0015.0015.00
Cards3.503.004.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol2456
67%
2.3
5012+38
2.6
67%
46%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3132.10.5
-
2ZimbruZimbru2445
58%
1.9
5425+29
3.3
79%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2112.21.0
-
3Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei2442
50%
1.8
5526+29
3.4
92%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1122.31.1
-
4Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani2439
46%
1.6
4622+24
2.8
71%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.90.9
-
5PetrocubPetrocub2437
42%
1.5
4026+14
2.8
79%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.71.1
-
6SaxanSaxan1332
77%
2.5
488+40
4.3
100%
69%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.70.6
-
7CSF BălțiCSF Bălți2428
29%
1.2
2733-6
2.5
71%
42%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.4
-
8FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni1119
55%
1.7
1715+2
2.9
73%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
9Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet2416
12%
0.7
2155-34
3.2
75%
58%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.3
-
10Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar1215
42%
1.2
2423+1
3.9
92%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.9
-
11Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni49
75%
2.2
65+1
2.8
75%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
12FăleştiFăleşti129
25%
0.8
1432-18
3.8
92%
67%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.7
-
13IskraIskra23
50%
1.5
36-3
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.53.0
-
14FloreştiFloreşti251
0%
0.0
3115-112
4.7
92%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.14.6
-
15Gagauziya-OguzsportGagauziya-Oguzsport10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
-
16FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni10
0%
0.0
13-2
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
17Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat10
0%
0.0
13-2
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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