Petrolul Ploiesti enter the match after a 0-2 loss to Rapid, their recent form showing a win streak but a recent defeat that may dampen confidence. Corvinul Hunedoara, unbeaten in five games, finished 0-0 against Uta Arad, suggesting a cautious approach at home. The model’s most confident outcome is a draw, with a 38% chance, while home and away win probabilities both sit at 31%. The expected total is 1.6 goals, with the single most likely scoreline 0-0 at 21.3%. Petrolul’s home attack averages one goal per game and they concede one, matching the opponent’s strength tier, whereas Corvinul’s away scoring is lower at 0.57 and they concede 0.86. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (100%), Under 6.5 (99.9%), Under 5.5 (99.4% with a 6% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (99.1% with an 8% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.1% with a 7% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (98.0% with a 6% edge) and Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.9%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Petrolul Ploiesti win
30.9%
Avg Implied 34.8% · @ 2.64
Edge
-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.80
Pinnacle
2.71
Betano
2.70
Dafabet
2.70
1xBet
2.66
Draw
37.8%
Avg Implied 29.3% · @ 3.14
Edge
+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.30
Pinnacle
3.28
Marathonbet
3.22
1xBet
3.22
Superbet
3.20
Corvinul Hunedoara win
31.3%
Avg Implied 35.9% · @ 2.57
Edge
-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.67
Betfair
2.63
Dafabet
2.60
William Hil
2.60
10Bet
2.58
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Petrolul Ploiesti
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.40
0.85
1.31
1.12
1.47
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
2.67
0.00
3.00
0.75
2.50
vs Similar (24)
1.12
1.08
1.00
1.00
1.23
1.15
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Corvinul Hunedoara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Corvinul Hunedoara
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.67
1.73
0.60
1.20
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
1.12
0.59
1.38
0.38
0.89
0.78
vs Weaker (13)
1.92
0.77
2.14
0.86
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (30%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
49.1%
@ 1.35-20.0%
Under 1.5
50.9%
@ 3.02+20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.37
Pinnacle
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Unibet
1.34
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.10
Superbet
3.10
Pinnacle
3.03
BetVictor
3.00
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
21.9%
@ 2.10-22.7%
Under 2.5
78.1%
@ 1.70+22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.18
Superbet
2.17
Pinnacle
2.14
Bet365
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Under
SBO
1.77
Betfair
1.73
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
8.0%
@ 3.78-16.6%
Under 3.5
92.0%
@ 1.24+16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.90
Unibet
3.90
Superbet
3.90
Pinnacle
3.88
Betano
3.80
Under
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Both teams to score
Yes
31.9%
@ 1.82-19.0%
No
68.1%
@ 1.89+19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.88
Unibet
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Betano
1.82
No
William Hil
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Bet365
1.91
Betano
1.91
1xBet
1.88
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
21.3%@ 8.17+15.9%
0-1
14.9%@ 7.36+8.8%
1-0
14.7%@ 7.46+8.8%
1-1
14.2%@ 5.79+6.6%
0-2
6.5%@ 11.58+2.7%
2-0
6.4%@ 12.03+2.7%
1-2
5.2%@ 9.20+0.4%
2-1
5.2%@ 9.50+0.5%
Petrolul Ploiesti goals ↓
Corvinul Hunedoara goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
21%
15%
6.5%
1.8%
0.4%
1
15%
14%
5.2%
1.4%
0.3%
2
6.4%
5.2%
2.1%
0.6%
0.1%
3
1.7%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
4
0.3%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Petrolul Ploiesti goals (down), columns = Corvinul Hunedoara goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
Rapid
1.71
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.71
Universitatea Craiova
1.57
FCSB
1.57
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.43
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.43
Arges Pitesti
1.43
FC Botosani
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
FC Voluntari
0.71
Csikszereda
0.14
Petrolul Ploiesti is 0.29 points better than Corvinul Hunedoara in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 1.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Universitatea Craiova
2.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.83
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
FCSB
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.29
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.14
Rapid
1.14
FC Voluntari
1.00
FC Botosani
1.00
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.57
Csikszereda
0.57
Arges Pitesti
0.57
Petrolul Ploiesti is 0.14 goals worse than Corvinul Hunedoara in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.43
Corvinul Hunedoara
0.57
Rapid
0.57
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.71
Arges Pitesti
0.71
FC Botosani
1.14
FCSB
1.14
Farul Constanta
1.14
Oţelul
1.14
Universitatea Craiova
1.29
Uta Arad
1.43
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.43
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.67
Csikszereda
1.86
FC Voluntari
2.57
Petrolul Ploiesti is 0.86 goals worse than Corvinul Hunedoara in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 0.57).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Universitatea Craiova
60%
FCSB
58%
Universitatea Cluj
57%
Dinamo Bucuresti
56%
Oţelul
55%
CFR 1907 Cluj
55%
FC Botosani
53%
Rapid
50%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
49%
Farul Constanta
48%
Uta Arad
46%
Corvinul Hunedoara
44%
Arges Pitesti
44%
Petrolul Ploiesti
42%
Csikszereda
42%
FC Voluntari
41%
Petrolul Ploiesti is 2.0 percentage points worse than Corvinul Hunedoara in terms of average possession (42% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Petrolul Ploiesti
For 4.5 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 13.2 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Corvinul Hunedoara
For 3.7 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 11.3 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Petrolul Ploiesti
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.5
9.6
4.0
4.1
3.9
25.4
26.0
25.0
vs Stronger (11)
8.0
5.0
10.0
3.3
2.6
3.8
25.4
27.0
24.3
vs Similar (39)
10.0
10.5
9.4
4.2
4.6
3.9
25.4
25.7
25.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
43%
57%
58%
68%
50%
75%
76%
74%
% under line
50%
57%
43%
42%
32%
50%
25%
24%
26%
This opponent (Corvinul Hunedoara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Corvinul Hunedoara
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
7.0
10.0
0.6
0.4
0.7
24.0
21.5
27.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
8.3
7.0
10.0
1.1
0.8
1.4
24.0
21.5
27.3
vs Weaker (25)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
29%
0%
67%
8%
4%
12%
57%
50%
67%
% under line
71%
100%
33%
92%
96%
88%
43%
50%
33%
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FCSB
10.2
Universitatea Cluj
10.0
Rapid
9.9
Farul Constanta
9.9
FC Botosani
9.8
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
9.7
Uta Arad
9.6
Petrolul Ploiesti
9.5
Oţelul
9.5
Dinamo Bucuresti
9.4
Arges Pitesti
9.4
FC Voluntari
8.8
Csikszereda
8.8
CFR 1907 Cluj
8.7
Universitatea Craiova
8.7
Corvinul Hunedoara
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Universitatea Craiova
5.1
FC Botosani
5.0
Arges Pitesti
5.0
FCSB
4.9
Corvinul Hunedoara
4.7
Petrolul Ploiesti
4.7
Dinamo Bucuresti
4.7
Uta Arad
4.7
Rapid
4.6
FC Voluntari
4.6
Csikszereda
4.5
Farul Constanta
4.4
Oţelul
4.3
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
4.2
Universitatea Cluj
4.1
CFR 1907 Cluj
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Botosani
26.6
Oţelul
26.6
Arges Pitesti
25.3
Petrolul Ploiesti
25.3
Csikszereda
25.0
FCSB
24.9
Uta Arad
24.3
Corvinul Hunedoara
24.0
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
23.9
FC Voluntari
23.8
Universitatea Craiova
23.8
Dinamo Bucuresti
23.6
Rapid
23.5
Farul Constanta
23.2
CFR 1907 Cluj
22.7
Universitatea Cluj
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.7%
@ 2.41+12.0%
Under 9.5
49.3%
@ 1.52-12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.70
Betano
2.67
Unibet
2.25
Superbet
2.02
Under
Superbet
1.71
Unibet
1.54
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.38
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
74.4%
Under 3.5
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
75.9%
Under 21.5
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Petrolul Ploiesti or Draw
68.7%
Avg Implied 64.2% · @ 1.45
Edge
+4.5%
31%
38%
31%
covers Petrolul Ploiesti + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.49
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Petrolul Ploiesti or Corvinul Hunedoara
62.2%
Avg Implied 70.7% · @ 1.32
Edge
-8.5%
31%
38%
31%
covers Petrolul Ploiesti + Corvinul Hunedoara
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Betano
1.33
Draw or Corvinul Hunedoara
69.1%
Avg Implied 65.1% · @ 1.43
Edge
+4.0%
31%
38%
31%
covers Draw + Corvinul Hunedoara
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
William Hil
1.44
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 0.5
Over
55.1%
@ 1.33-14.4%
Under
44.9%
@ 3.04+14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.37
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Superbet
3.10
Pinnacle
3.04
10Bet
3.00
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 1.5
Over
19.2%
@ 2.68-15.6%
Under
80.8%
@ 1.43+15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.82
BetVictor
2.75
Superbet
2.75
1xBet
2.66
Marathonbet
2.66
Under
Superbet
1.46
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.44
Betfair
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 2.5
Over
4.8%
@ 6.41-9.8%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.09+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.90
BetVictor
6.50
Marathonbet
6.30
1xBet
6.30
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 3.5
Over
0.9%
@ 16.33-5.0%
Under
99.1%
@ 1.02+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
19.00
Bet365
19.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Corvinul Hunedoara over/under 0.5
Over
55.5%
@ 1.32-14.7%
Under
44.5%
@ 3.11+14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.36
Betano
1.35
BetVictor
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.20
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.15
BetVictor
3.10
Corvinul Hunedoara over/under 1.5
Over
19.4%
@ 2.60-16.3%
Under
80.6%
@ 1.45+16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.71
Superbet
2.67
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.60
Under
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
Bet365
1.44
Corvinul Hunedoara over/under 2.5
Over
4.9%
@ 6.12-10.3%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.10+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
6.60
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Betfair
6.00
BetVictor
6.00
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Corvinul Hunedoara over/under 3.5
Over
0.9%
@ 15.83-5.1%
Under
99.1%
@ 1.02+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Petrolul Ploiesti, so a minus line means Petrolul Ploiesti give that many goals of a start and Corvinul Hunedoara receive them. At -1, Petrolul Ploiesti must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Petrolul Ploiesti win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Petrolul Ploiesti)
Petrolul Ploiesti -2
2.5%
@ 11.62-5.1%
Draw -2
7.9%
@ 7.05-4.6%
Corvinul Hunedoara +2
89.6%
@ 1.10+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
15.00
Bet365
13.00
Unibet
11.50
Marathonbet
7.00
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Unibet
7.50
Marathonbet
4.70
Away
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Unibet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Handicap -1 (Petrolul Ploiesti)
Petrolul Ploiesti -1
10.4%
@ 5.55-5.7%
Draw -1
20.5%
@ 4.18-0.9%
Corvinul Hunedoara +1
69.1%
@ 1.43+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Unibet
5.40
Marathonbet
5.35
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.95
Away
10Bet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Unibet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Handicap +1 (Petrolul Ploiesti)
Petrolul Ploiesti +1
68.7%
@ 1.46+7.2%
Draw +1
20.7%
@ 4.12-1.0%
Corvinul Hunedoara -1
10.6%
@ 5.34-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.46
Unibet
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.30
Betfair
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
Away
10Bet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
5.40
Unibet
5.10
Handicap +2 (Petrolul Ploiesti)
Petrolul Ploiesti +2
89.4%
@ 1.12+9.7%
Draw +2
8.1%
@ 7.05-4.6%
Corvinul Hunedoara -2
2.5%
@ 11.65-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.14
Unibet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.50
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
4.75
Away
Betfair
14.00
Superbet
13.00
Bet365
13.00
Unibet
11.50
Marathonbet
6.75
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Petrolul Ploiesti
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.57
0.38
0.62
0.41
0.53
vs Stronger (6)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.50
0.46
0.45
0.55
0.54
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Corvinul Hunedoara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Corvinul Hunedoara
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.27
0.93
0.27
0.67
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.18
0.75
0.12
0.44
0.22
vs Weaker (13)
1.08
0.38
1.14
0.43
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
77% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
67.2%
@ 1.43+2.3%
Under 0.5
32.8%
@ 2.65-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.46
BetVictor
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Under
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.71
William Hil
2.70
Superbet
2.65
10Bet
2.65
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
28.7%
@ 3.02-2.0%
Under 1.5
71.3%
@ 1.34+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.20
Pinnacle
3.18
Superbet
3.10
Unibet
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Under
Superbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.36
William Hil
1.35
BetVictor
1.35
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.2%
@ 7.81-1.7%
Under 2.5
89.8%
@ 1.05+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
William Hil
8.50
Superbet
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 0.5 HT
Over
43.6%
@ 2.21+1.6%
Under
56.4%
@ 1.60-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.28
Betano
2.27
Superbet
2.22
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.18
Under
1xBet
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.5%
@ 7.24-6.3%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.06+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.60
1xBet
7.50
Superbet
7.20
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.8%
@ 21.50-3.7%
Under
99.2%
@ 1.01+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
26.00
10Bet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
Corvinul Hunedoara over/under 0.5 HT
Over
44.7%
@ 2.18+2.1%
Under
55.3%
@ 1.61-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.23
1xBet
2.20
Betano
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Unibet
2.15
Under
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Superbet
1.61
Corvinul Hunedoara over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.4%
@ 6.98-2.9%
Under
89.6%
@ 1.07+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.30
1xBet
7.00
Superbet
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
Corvinul Hunedoara over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.2%
@ 21.17-2.3%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.01+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
25.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Petrolul Ploiesti
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.83
0.46
0.69
0.71
0.94
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.67
0.00
2.00
0.75
1.50
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.62
0.55
0.45
0.69
0.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Corvinul Hunedoara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Corvinul Hunedoara
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.40
0.80
0.33
0.53
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.53
0.41
0.62
0.25
0.44
0.56
vs Weaker (13)
0.85
0.38
1.00
0.43
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
74.3%
@ 1.27+1.0%
Under 0.5
25.7%
@ 3.48-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Under
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.55
Superbet
3.55
10Bet
3.50
1xBet
3.36
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.8%
@ 2.28-4.1%
Under 1.5
63.2%
@ 1.58+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.37
William Hil
2.30
Marathonbet
2.29
1xBet
2.29
Unibet
2.28
Under
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.59
10Bet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.0%
@ 5.02-4.6%
Under 2.5
86.0%
@ 1.15+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.45
Bet365
5.00
William Hil
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
1xBet
4.95
Under
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
William Hil
1.14
1xBet
1.12
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 0.5 2H
Over
45.2%
@ 1.86-4.6%
Under
54.8%
@ 1.84+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.88
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.85
Under
Betano
1.90
10Bet
1.85
Superbet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.9%
@ 5.32-5.5%
Under
88.1%
@ 1.12+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.50
1xBet
5.50
Superbet
5.35
10Bet
5.25
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.2%
@ 14.92-4.2%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.01+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Superbet
17.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Corvinul Hunedoara over/under 0.5 2H
Over
46.0%
@ 1.84-4.3%
Under
54.0%
@ 1.86+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Under
Betano
1.91
10Bet
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Corvinul Hunedoara over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.7%
@ 5.17-2.2%
Under
84.3%
@ 1.13+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.30
1xBet
5.30
10Bet
5.25
Superbet
5.20
Betano
4.80
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Corvinul Hunedoara over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.7%
@ 14.83-2.7%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.02+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
17.00
10Bet
17.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
100.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.7%
Under 5.5
99.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
+5.6%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.7%
Home under 3.5 goals
99.1%
1.02
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+5.0%
Away under 3.5 goals
99.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+5.1%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+4.2%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.3%
Under 4.5
97.6%
1.06
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
+10.0%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+2.7%
Home under 2.5 goals
95.2%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.09
+9.8%
Away under 2.5 goals
95.1%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
10Bet
1.09
+10.3%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
93.5%
1.06
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
+6.3%
Under 3.5
92.0%
1.24
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
+16.6%
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.8%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.05
+1.7%
Away +2 handicap
89.6%
1.10
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Unibet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
-
+9.7%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.6%
1.07
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
+2.9%
Home +2 handicap
89.4%
1.12
Superbet
1.14
Unibet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
+9.7%
Over 2.5 cards
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
88.1%
1.12
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
+5.5%
Over 19.5 fouls
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
86.0%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
William Hil
1.14
1xBet
1.12
+4.6%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.3%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
+2.2%
Home under 1.5 goals
80.8%
1.43
Superbet
1.46
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.44
Betfair
1.44
10Bet
1.44
+15.6%
Away under 1.5 goals
80.6%
1.45
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
Bet365
1.44
+16.3%
Over 21.5 fouls
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.3%
1.27
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+1.0%
Under 11.5 corners
72.8%
1.17
Superbet
1.29
Unibet
1.18
1xBet
1.05
-
-
-6.1%
Under 1.5 HT goals
71.3%
1.34
Superbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.36
William Hil
1.35
BetVictor
1.35
+2.0%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Petrolul Ploiesti
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alejandro Bran40%
Dan N'Lundulu33%
Breston Malula25%
Robert Jerdea20%
Rodrigo Martins17%
Lukáš Zima0%
Sergiu Hanca0%
Tiberiu Căpuşă0%
Paul Papp0%
Calal Huseinov0%
Léo Teixeira0%
Andres Dumitrescu0%
Lucho Vega0%
Mario Ioniță0%
Mark Țuțu0%
Adam Zaian0%
Rareș Leescu0%
Liviu Argeșanu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Paul Papp50%
Adam Zaian40%
Rodrigo Martins33%
Dan N'Lundulu33%
Mario Ioniță33%
Mark Țuțu33%
Breston Malula25%
Alejandro Bran20%
Robert Jerdea20%
Lukáš Zima17%
Andres Dumitrescu17%
Sergiu Hanca0%
Tiberiu Căpuşă0%
Calal Huseinov0%
Léo Teixeira0%
Lucho Vega0%
Rareș Leescu0%
Liviu Argeșanu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rodrigo Martins17%
Léo Teixeira17%
Lukáš Zima0%
Sergiu Hanca0%
Tiberiu Căpuşă0%
Paul Papp0%
Dan N'Lundulu0%
Calal Huseinov0%
Breston Malula0%
Andres Dumitrescu0%
Lucho Vega0%
Alejandro Bran0%
Robert Jerdea0%
Mario Ioniță0%
Mark Țuțu0%
Adam Zaian0%
Rareș Leescu0%
Liviu Argeșanu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Paul Papp33%
Alejandro Bran20%
Rodrigo Martins17%
Dan N'Lundulu17%
Léo Teixeira17%
Lukáš Zima0%
Sergiu Hanca0%
Tiberiu Căpuşă0%
Calal Huseinov0%
Breston Malula0%
Andres Dumitrescu0%
Lucho Vega0%
Robert Jerdea0%
Mario Ioniță0%
Mark Țuțu0%
Adam Zaian0%
Rareș Leescu0%
Liviu Argeșanu0%
Corvinul Hunedoara
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mihajlo Ivančević25%
Mario Bratu20%
Antoniu Manolache17%
Gideon Goodlad17%
Andrej Fábry14%
Renato Espinosa14%
Nicolae Pîrvulescu14%
Sérgio Ribeiro14%
Florin Ilie0%
Denis Hrezdac0%
Alexandru Neacșa0%
Ion Cărăruș0%
Mo Abualnadi0%
Codruț Sandu0%
Emmanuel Yeboah0%
Flavius Iacob0%
Muhammed Hayatu0%
Ángel Gillard0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alexandru Neacșa43%
Mo Abualnadi25%
Florin Ilie17%
Denis Hrezdac17%
Nicolae Pîrvulescu14%
Sérgio Ribeiro14%
Emmanuel Yeboah14%
Ángel Gillard14%
Andrej Fábry0%
Renato Espinosa0%
Mario Bratu0%
Antoniu Manolache0%
Ion Cărăruș0%
Mihajlo Ivančević0%
Codruț Sandu0%
Flavius Iacob0%
Gideon Goodlad0%
Muhammed Hayatu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrej Fábry14%
Nicolae Pîrvulescu14%
Ángel Gillard14%
Renato Espinosa0%
Mario Bratu0%
Florin Ilie0%
Denis Hrezdac0%
Alexandru Neacșa0%
Antoniu Manolache0%
Sérgio Ribeiro0%
Ion Cărăruș0%
Mo Abualnadi0%
Mihajlo Ivančević0%
Codruț Sandu0%
Emmanuel Yeboah0%
Flavius Iacob0%
Gideon Goodlad0%
Muhammed Hayatu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andrej Fábry29%
Nicolae Pîrvulescu14%
Renato Espinosa0%
Mario Bratu0%
Florin Ilie0%
Denis Hrezdac0%
Alexandru Neacșa0%
Antoniu Manolache0%
Sérgio Ribeiro0%
Ion Cărăruș0%
Mo Abualnadi0%
Mihajlo Ivančević0%
Codruț Sandu0%
Emmanuel Yeboah0%
Flavius Iacob0%
Gideon Goodlad0%
Muhammed Hayatu0%
Ángel Gillard0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (25)
€37m
RAP (31)
€30m
FCS (27)
€26m
DB (26)
€20m
UC (26)
€17m
C1C (22)
€14m
AP (26)
€13m
FC (32)
€11m
FB (25)
€9m
UA (21)
€8m
OŢE (20)
€7m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
SOS (31)
€6m
PP (20)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
Petrolul Ploiesti and Corvinul Hunedoara have a similar squad value (both €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (10)
€14m
RAP (13)
€14m
FCS (9)
€12m
C1C (6)
€8m
DB (10)
€8m
UC (8)
€7m
FC (10)
€4m
FB (8)
€4m
AP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
OŢE (8)
€2m
SOS (12)
€2m
CSI (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
PP (5)
€1m
Petrolul Ploiesti's attack is €2m less valuable than Corvinul Hunedoara's (€1m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€10m
DB (4)
€5m
UC (6)
€4m
FCS (5)
€4m
RAP (4)
€3m
AP (6)
€3m
FC (7)
€2m
C1C (5)
€2m
PP (7)
€2m
FB (5)
€2m
CSI (4)
€1m
SOS (7)
€1m
OŢE (2)
€1m
UA (3)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
Petrolul Ploiesti's midfield is €1m more valuable than Corvinul Hunedoara's (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (9)
€13m
RAP (14)
€12m
FCS (13)
€11m
DB (12)
€7m
AP (9)
€6m
UC (12)
€5m
FC (15)
€4m
OŢE (10)
€4m
C1C (11)
€4m
UA (10)
€4m
FB (12)
€3m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
PP (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
Petrolul Ploiesti and Corvinul Hunedoara have a similar defence value (both €3m).
🤝 15. Games History
H2H record
No previous meetings
0
PP wins
0
Draws
0
CH wins
Head-to-head
Petrolul Ploiesti vs Corvinul Hunedoara · H/A from PP
Romania: Liga I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga I stats & trends →
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