This opponent (Rapid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.25
0.50
2.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.25
0.50
2.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
57.3%
Under 1.5
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
29.0%
Under 2.5
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.1%
Under 3.5
87.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.1%
No
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.7%
1-1
14.7%
0-1
14.2%
1-0 ✓
11.9%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
Petrolul Ploiesti goals ↓
Rapid goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
17%
14%
7.8%
2.6%
0.7%
1
12%
15%
6.8%
2.3%
0.6%
2
5.7%
5.8%
2.9%
1.0%
0.2%
3
1.6%
1.7%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Petrolul Ploiesti goals (down), columns = Rapid goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Farul Constanta
2.12
FCSB
1.85
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.80
Universitatea Craiova
1.68
Rapid
1.60
Dinamo Bucuresti
1.50
AFC Hermannstadt
1.44
U Craiova 1948
1.41
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.33
FC Voluntari
1.30
Universitatea Cluj
1.28
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.25
FC Botosani
1.21
Uta Arad
1.05
Chindia Targoviste
1.00
Arges Pitesti
0.98
CS Mioveni
0.56
SCM Gloria Buzău
0.50
Petrolul Ploiesti is 0.27 points worse than Rapid in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Bucuresti
4.00
Farul Constanta
1.90
FCSB
1.65
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.59
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.43
Rapid
1.43
Universitatea Craiova
1.30
U Craiova 1948
1.22
FC Voluntari
1.20
Uta Arad
1.07
AFC Hermannstadt
1.03
FC Botosani
1.00
Chindia Targoviste
1.00
Universitatea Cluj
0.95
Petrolul Ploiesti
0.95
Arges Pitesti
0.88
CS Mioveni
0.62
SCM Gloria Buzău
0.50
Petrolul Ploiesti is 0.48 goals worse than Rapid in terms of goals scored per game (0.95 vs 1.43).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
AFC Hermannstadt
0.92
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.02
Universitatea Craiova
1.02
Farul Constanta
1.02
U Craiova 1948
1.05
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.10
FC Voluntari
1.15
Rapid
1.15
Universitatea Cluj
1.18
Uta Arad
1.24
FCSB
1.25
FC Botosani
1.26
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.36
Chindia Targoviste
1.38
Arges Pitesti
1.46
CS Mioveni
1.64
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.50
SCM Gloria Buzău
2.50
Petrolul Ploiesti is 0.21 goals worse than Rapid in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 1.15).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Universitatea Craiova
55%
U Craiova 1948
54%
Farul Constanta
53%
FCSB
52%
Uta Arad
52%
Petrolul Ploiesti
51%
Universitatea Cluj
51%
Rapid
50%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
50%
FC Voluntari
49%
AFC Hermannstadt
49%
FC Botosani
49%
Dinamo Bucuresti
48%
Arges Pitesti
48%
CFR 1907 Cluj
47%
Chindia Targoviste
45%
SCM Gloria Buzău
45%
CS Mioveni
45%
Petrolul Ploiesti is 1.0 percentage points better than Rapid in terms of average possession (51% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Petrolul Ploiesti
For 2.0 · Against 7.5 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.5 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 14.0 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rapid
For 3.0 · Against 5.8 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 12.0 · Total 22.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Petrolul Ploiesti
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (4)
9.5
12.0
7.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
27.0
27.0
27.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
9.5
12.0
7.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
27.0
27.0
27.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
100%
0%
50%
50%
50%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
50%
0%
100%
50%
50%
50%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Rapid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (4)
8.8
8.0
9.5
5.5
5.0
6.0
22.8
21.5
24.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
8.8
8.0
9.5
5.5
5.0
6.0
22.8
21.5
24.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
25%
0%
50%
75%
50%
100%
50%
50%
50%
% under line
75%
100%
50%
25%
50%
0%
50%
50%
50%
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
10.5
FC Botosani
10.5
Farul Constanta
10.2
Petrolul Ploiesti
9.5
Universitatea Craiova
9.1
Rapid
8.8
FCSB
8.6
Chindia Targoviste
8.5
Uta Arad
8.3
CS Mioveni
8.2
U Craiova 1948
8.2
Arges Pitesti
7.6
CFR 1907 Cluj
7.4
FC Voluntari
7.0
AFC Hermannstadt
6.8
Universitatea Cluj
5.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Universitatea Craiova
6.3
U Craiova 1948
6.2
Petrolul Ploiesti
6.0
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
5.6
FC Botosani
5.5
Rapid
5.5
FCSB
5.1
Uta Arad
5.0
Farul Constanta
5.0
Universitatea Cluj
5.0
CFR 1907 Cluj
4.4
FC Voluntari
4.3
Chindia Targoviste
4.0
Arges Pitesti
3.8
AFC Hermannstadt
3.5
CS Mioveni
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Petrolul Ploiesti
27.0
U Craiova 1948
26.6
Universitatea Craiova
26.3
FC Botosani
25.2
Farul Constanta
25.2
FCSB
25.0
Chindia Targoviste
24.5
CFR 1907 Cluj
23.8
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
23.5
Rapid
22.8
Universitatea Cluj
22.5
AFC Hermannstadt
21.2
Arges Pitesti
21.0
Uta Arad
20.7
CS Mioveni
20.5
FC Voluntari
16.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.8%
Under 9.5
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
82.9%
Under 3.5
17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
69.0%
Under 21.5
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Petrolul Ploiesti
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
75% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.75
0.25
1.50
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.75
0.25
1.50
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
75% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Petrolul Ploiesti
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.25
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
25% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
75% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 2.5
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Petrolul Ploiesti · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alejandro Bran40%
Dan N'Lundulu33%
Breston Malula25%
Robert Jerdea20%
Rodrigo Martins17%
Lukáš Zima0%
Sergiu Hanca0%
Tiberiu Căpuşă0%
Paul Papp0%
Calal Huseinov0%
Léo Teixeira0%
Andres Dumitrescu0%
Lucho Vega0%
Mario Ioniță0%
Mark Țuțu0%
Adam Zaian0%
Rareș Leescu0%
Liviu Argeșanu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Paul Papp50%
Adam Zaian40%
Rodrigo Martins33%
Dan N'Lundulu33%
Mario Ioniță33%
Mark Țuțu33%
Breston Malula25%
Alejandro Bran20%
Robert Jerdea20%
Lukáš Zima17%
Andres Dumitrescu17%
Sergiu Hanca0%
Tiberiu Căpuşă0%
Calal Huseinov0%
Léo Teixeira0%
Lucho Vega0%
Rareș Leescu0%
Liviu Argeșanu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rodrigo Martins17%
Léo Teixeira17%
Lukáš Zima0%
Sergiu Hanca0%
Tiberiu Căpuşă0%
Paul Papp0%
Dan N'Lundulu0%
Calal Huseinov0%
Breston Malula0%
Andres Dumitrescu0%
Lucho Vega0%
Alejandro Bran0%
Robert Jerdea0%
Mario Ioniță0%
Mark Țuțu0%
Adam Zaian0%
Rareș Leescu0%
Liviu Argeșanu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Paul Papp33%
Alejandro Bran20%
Rodrigo Martins17%
Dan N'Lundulu17%
Léo Teixeira17%
Lukáš Zima0%
Sergiu Hanca0%
Tiberiu Căpuşă0%
Calal Huseinov0%
Breston Malula0%
Andres Dumitrescu0%
Lucho Vega0%
Robert Jerdea0%
Mario Ioniță0%
Mark Țuțu0%
Adam Zaian0%
Rareș Leescu0%
Liviu Argeșanu0%
Rapid · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alex Dobre33%
Claudiu Petrila33%
Olimpiu Moruțan33%
Filip Stojilković33%
Alexandru Paşcanu25%
Daniel Graovac0%
Mohammed Kamara0%
Lars Kramer0%
Marian Aioani0%
Cătălin Vulturar0%
Denis Ciobotariu0%
Vladan Bubanja0%
Răzvan Onea0%
Constantin Grameni0%
Timotej Jambor0%
Robert Sălceanu0%
Omar El Sawy0%
Rareș Pop0%
Jason Kodor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cătălin Vulturar50%
Alexandru Paşcanu50%
Robert Sălceanu40%
Alex Dobre33%
Lars Kramer33%
Vladan Bubanja33%
Filip Stojilković33%
Mohammed Kamara25%
Denis Ciobotariu25%
Marian Aioani17%
Constantin Grameni17%
Daniel Graovac0%
Claudiu Petrila0%
Olimpiu Moruțan0%
Răzvan Onea0%
Timotej Jambor0%
Omar El Sawy0%
Rareș Pop0%
Jason Kodor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Olimpiu Moruțan33%
Timotej Jambor33%
Omar El Sawy25%
Vladan Bubanja17%
Constantin Grameni17%
Daniel Graovac0%
Alex Dobre0%
Mohammed Kamara0%
Lars Kramer0%
Marian Aioani0%
Cătălin Vulturar0%
Claudiu Petrila0%
Denis Ciobotariu0%
Răzvan Onea0%
Filip Stojilković0%
Alexandru Paşcanu0%
Robert Sălceanu0%
Rareș Pop0%
Jason Kodor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Claudiu Petrila33%
Filip Stojilković33%
Rareș Pop33%
Alexandru Paşcanu25%
Alex Dobre17%
Olimpiu Moruțan17%
Vladan Bubanja17%
Daniel Graovac0%
Mohammed Kamara0%
Lars Kramer0%
Marian Aioani0%
Cătălin Vulturar0%
Denis Ciobotariu0%
Răzvan Onea0%
Constantin Grameni0%
Timotej Jambor0%
Robert Sălceanu0%
Omar El Sawy0%
Jason Kodor0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (25)
€37m
RAP (31)
€30m
FCS (27)
€26m
DB (26)
€20m
UC (26)
€17m
C1C (22)
€14m
AP (26)
€13m
AH (37)
€11m
FC (32)
€11m
FB (25)
€9m
UA (21)
€8m
SOS (31)
€6m
PP (20)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
CT (21)
€3m
Petrolul Ploiesti's squad is €23m less valuable than Rapid's (€6m vs €30m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (10)
€14m
RAP (13)
€14m
FCS (9)
€12m
C1C (6)
€8m
DB (10)
€8m
UC (8)
€7m
AH (13)
€5m
FC (10)
€4m
FB (8)
€4m
AP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€4m
SOS (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
CT (8)
€2m
PP (5)
€1m
Petrolul Ploiesti's attack is €13m less valuable than Rapid's (€1m vs €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€10m
DB (4)
€5m
UC (6)
€4m
FCS (5)
€4m
RAP (4)
€3m
AP (6)
€3m
AH (9)
€2m
FC (7)
€2m
C1C (5)
€2m
PP (7)
€2m
FB (5)
€2m
SOS (7)
€1m
UA (3)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
CT (2)
€0m
Petrolul Ploiesti's midfield is €1m less valuable than Rapid's (€2m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (9)
€13m
RAP (14)
€12m
FCS (13)
€11m
DB (12)
€7m
AP (9)
€6m
UC (12)
€5m
AH (15)
€5m
FC (15)
€4m
C1C (11)
€4m
UA (10)
€4m
FB (12)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
PP (8)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
CT (11)
€1m
Petrolul Ploiesti's defence is €10m less valuable than Rapid's (€3m vs €12m).
Romania: Liga I 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga I stats & trends →