PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Petrovac vs Mladost DG Prediction & Stats

Date: 28/10/2026
Time: 16:00
Petrovac
Petrovac
Vs
56%
26%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mladost DG
Mladost DG
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Petrovac are tipped to lift the trophy, with a 55% chance of victory, a 27% chance of a draw and only 18% for Mladost DG to win. The match is expected to see 2.5 goals on average, with the most likely total of 2 goals (27%). The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.7% probability. Petrovac, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 1.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded, while Mladost DG, on the road, average 1.08 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.8%), Under 6.5 (98.5%), Under 5.5 (95.7%), Away under 2.5 goals (94.3%), Home +2 handicap (93.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (91.4%) and Under 4.5 (89.0%). Petrovac’s recent draw against Mornar and Mladost DG’s heavy loss to Sutjeska set the tone for a tight contest.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrovac win
56.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG win
17.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PetrovacPetrovac

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L10W11D11D01L00D30W00D11DH·DEČ02/05A·MLA10/05H·JED16/05A·MOR20/05H·BUD24/05H·BOK01/08A·OTR09/08H·JEZ16/08A·MLA22/08H·MOR29/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.971.250.750.791.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.030.971.250.750.791.21
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost DG) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mladost DGMladost DG

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W10W22D01L41W21W01L23L00D15LA·BUD02/05H·PET10/05A·JEZ16/05H·SUT20/05A·ARS24/05H·OTR02/08A·JEZ09/08H·MOR16/08H·PET22/08A·SUT28/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.471.201.471.071.47
vs Stronger (3)1.001.331.004.001.000.00
vs Similar (27)1.151.481.211.291.081.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%222%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
73.1%
Under 1.5
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
46.6%
Under 2.5
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
25.0%
Under 3.5
75.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
47.8%
No
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
9.0%
3-0
6.3%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
Petrovac goals ↓
Mladost DG goals →
01234
09.0%5.6%2.9%0.8%0.2%
112%12%4.8%1.4%0.3%
211%9.6%4.1%1.1%0.2%
36.3%5.4%2.3%0.6%0.1%
42.7%2.3%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Petrovac goals (down), columns = Mladost DG goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dečić
2.60
Mornar
2.00
Otrant-Olympic
1.40
Bokelj
1.33
Petrovac
1.20
Buducnost Podgorica
1.00
Jezero
1.00
Sutjeska
0.80
Arsenal Tivat
0.80
Mladost DG
0.80
Petrovac is 0.40 points better than Mladost DG in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 0.80).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dečić
1.60
Otrant-Olympic
1.40
Mornar
1.33
Sutjeska
1.20
Mladost DG
1.00
Petrovac
0.80
Buducnost Podgorica
0.40
Jezero
0.40
Bokelj
0.33
Arsenal Tivat
0.20
Petrovac is 0.20 goals worse than Mladost DG in terms of goals scored per game (0.80 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dečić
0.20
Arsenal Tivat
0.40
Petrovac
0.40
Bokelj
0.50
Mornar
0.67
Buducnost Podgorica
0.80
Jezero
1.00
Sutjeska
1.40
Otrant-Olympic
1.40
Mladost DG
2.00
Petrovac is 1.60 goals better than Mladost DG in terms of goals conceded per game (0.40 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Petrovac or Draw
82.4%
Avg Implied -
56%
26%
18%
covers Petrovac + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Petrovac or Mladost DG
73.7%
Avg Implied -
56%
26%
18%
covers Petrovac + Mladost DG
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Mladost DG
43.9%
Avg Implied -
56%
26%
18%
covers Draw + Mladost DG
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Petrovac over/under 0.5
Over
81.5%
Under
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 1.5
Over
50.3%
Under
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 2.5
Over
24.0%
Under
76.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 3.5
Over
9.1%
Under
90.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 0.5
Over
57.2%
Under
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 1.5
Over
20.9%
Under
79.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 2.5
Over
5.5%
Under
94.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 3.5
Over
1.1%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Petrovac, so a minus line means Petrovac give that many goals of a start and Mladost DG receive them. At -1, Petrovac must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Petrovac win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Petrovac)
Petrovac -2
14.1%
Draw -2
17.7%
Mladost DG +2
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Petrovac)
Petrovac -1
31.8%
Draw -1
24.4%
Mladost DG +1
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Petrovac)
Petrovac +1
82.4%
Draw +1
11.7%
Mladost DG -1
5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Petrovac)
Petrovac +2
94.1%
Draw +2
4.5%
Mladost DG -2
1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PetrovacPetrovac

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D00D00D10W01L00D00D00D01LH·DEČ02/05A·MLA10/05H·JED16/05A·MOR20/05H·BUD24/05H·BOK01/08A·OTR09/08H·JEZ16/08A·MLA22/08H·MOR29/08
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.430.500.500.140.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.330.430.500.500.140.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost DG) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mladost DGMladost DG

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D20W00D30W01L01L22D00D02LA·BUD02/05H·PET10/05A·JEZ16/05H·SUT20/05A·ARS24/05H·OTR02/08A·JEZ09/08H·MOR16/08H·PET22/08A·SUT28/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.530.400.730.530.33
vs Stronger (3)0.330.331.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.480.560.360.710.620.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Petrovac over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PetrovacPetrovac

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L10W11D01L00D00D30W00D10WH·DEČ02/05A·MLA10/05H·JED16/05A·MOR20/05H·BUD24/05H·BOK01/08A·OTR09/08H·JEZ16/08A·MLA22/08H·MOR29/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.530.750.250.640.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.700.530.750.250.640.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost DG) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mladost DGMladost DG

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W02L01L11D20W00D01L00D13LA·BUD02/05H·PET10/05A·JEZ16/05H·SUT20/05A·ARS24/05H·OTR02/08A·JEZ09/08H·MOR16/08H·PET22/08A·SUT28/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.930.800.730.531.13
vs Stronger (3)0.671.000.003.001.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.670.930.860.570.461.31
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Petrovac over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.5%-------
Away under 3.5 goals98.9%-------
Under 6.598.5%-------
Under 5.595.5%-------
Away under 2.5 goals94.5%-------
Home +2 handicap94.1%-------
Home under 3.5 goals90.9%-------
Under 4.588.6%-------
Home or Draw82.4%-------
Home +1 handicap82.4%-------
Home over 0.5 goals81.5%-------
Away under 1.5 goals79.1%-------
Home under 2.5 goals76.0%-------
Under 3.575.0%-------
Home or Away73.7%-------
Over 1.573.1%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
MD (23)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
Petrovac's squad is €1m more valuable than Mladost DG's (€4m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
MD (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
Petrovac and Mladost DG have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
MD (5)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
AT (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
Petrovac and Mladost DG have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
MD (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
Petrovac and Mladost DG have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
PET wins
2
Draws
2
MD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Petrovac vs Mladost DG · H/A from PET
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/26AMladost DG Vs PET0-0
10/05/26AMladost DG Vs PET1-0
11/03/26HPET Vs Mladost DG3-1
09/11/25AMladost DG Vs PET1-0
13/09/25HPET Vs Mladost DG4-0
08/04/24AMladost DG Vs PET0-0
17/02/24HPET Vs Mladost DG3-2
01/10/23AMladost DG Vs PET0-2

PetrovacPetrovac

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HPET Vs Mornar1-1
22/08/26AMladost DG Vs PET0-0
16/08/26HPET Vs Jezero3-0
09/08/26AOtrant-Olympic Vs PET0-0
01/08/26HPET Vs Bokelj0-1
24/05/26HPET Vs Buducnost Podgorica1-1
20/05/26AMornar Vs PET1-1
16/05/26HPET Vs Jedinstvo1-0
10/05/26AMladost DG Vs PET1-0
02/05/26HPET Vs Dečić1-1

Mladost DGMladost DG

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26ASutjeska Vs MD5-1
22/08/26HMD Vs Petrovac0-0
16/08/26HMD Vs Mornar2-3
09/08/26AJezero Vs MD1-0
02/08/26HMD Vs Otrant-Olympic2-1
24/05/26AArsenal Tivat Vs MD1-4
20/05/26HMD Vs Sutjeska0-1
16/05/26AJezero Vs MD2-2
10/05/26HMD Vs Petrovac1-0
02/05/26ABuducnost Podgorica Vs MD0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Petrovac
Petrovac
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWDD1.32
HomeWDLWD1.62
AwayLLDDD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%42%21%
AVG goals2.162.082.25
Over 1.5 %66%65%67%
Over 2.5 %34%27%42%
Over 3.5 %18%15%21%
Scored1.161.311.00
Conceded1.000.771.25
BTTS52%38%67%
Clean Sheet28%38%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Mladost DG
Mladost DG
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDL1.32
HomeWLWLD1.58
AwayWDWLL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%50%29%
AVG goals2.842.882.79
Over 1.5 %68%73%62%
Over 2.5 %60%62%58%
Over 3.5 %36%35%38%
Scored1.381.621.12
Conceded1.461.271.67
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet32%35%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DečićDečić513
80%
2.6
81+7
1.8
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.60.2
-
2MornarMornar612
50%
2.0
84+4
2.0
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.30.7
-
3BokeljBokelj68
33%
1.3
23-1
0.8
17%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.30.5
-
4Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic57
40%
1.4
77+0
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.4
-
5PetrovacPetrovac56
20%
1.2
42+2
1.2
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.80.4
-
6Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica55
20%
1.0
24-2
1.2
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.40.8
-
7JezeroJezero55
20%
1.0
25-3
1.4
40%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.41.0
-
8SutjeskaSutjeska54
20%
0.8
67-1
2.6
40%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.4
-
9Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat54
0%
0.8
12-1
0.6
20%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.20.4
-
10Mladost DGMladost DG54
20%
0.8
510-5
3.0
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.02.0
-
Montenegro: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

← all matches