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Petrovac vs Mornar Result & Analysis

Date: 09/12/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 0-0
Petrovac
Petrovac
Vs
39%
30%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mornar
Mornar
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -

šŸŽÆ 1. Model Analysis

Petrovac wināœ— Miss
38.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawāœ“ Hit
30.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mornar wināœ— Miss
31.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PetrovacPetrovac

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L00D20W23L01L00D23L11D11D22DA·BUD23/09A·MOR27/09A·MLA01/10H·DEČ07/10A·RUD21/10H·JEZ28/10A·SUT05/11H·ARS11/11A·JED28/11H·BUD02/12
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.471.201.131.331.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.261.441.141.211.381.69
vs Weaker (3)1.331.672.000.001.002.50
Clean sheet %27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Mornar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MornarMornar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D10W21W22D01L11D21W34L21WA·JEZ23/09H·PET27/09A·SUT01/10H·MLA07/10A·ARS21/10H·DEČ28/10A·JED05/11H·RUD13/11A·BUD26/11H·JEZ04/12
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.101.140.791.061.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.861.140.600.701.081.50
vs Weaker (8)1.751.002.501.001.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
70.4%
Under 1.5
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.0%
Under 2.5
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.1%
Under 3.5
77.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.9%
No
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-0 āœ“
10.4%
1-0
10.3%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.7%
Petrovac goals ↓
Mornar goals →
01234
010%8.9%5.7%2.1%0.6%
110%14%7.3%2.7%0.8%
27.4%8.3%4.7%1.7%0.5%
33.1%3.5%2.0%0.7%0.2%
41.0%1.1%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Petrovac goals (down), columns = Mornar goals (across).

šŸ’Ŗ 3. Team Strengths Analysis

šŸ† Total PPG

Points / game
Otrant-Olympic
2.00
Dečić
1.94
Mornar
1.78
Buducnost Podgorica
1.69
Sutjeska
1.47
Jezero
1.42
Petrovac
1.33
Arsenal Tivat
1.17
Jedinstvo
1.03
Mladost DG
0.92
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.75
Mladost LjeŔkopolje
0.50
Petrovac is 0.44 points worse than Mornar in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.78).

āš”ļø Attack

Goals scored / game
Buducnost Podgorica
1.83
Dečić
1.53
Otrant-Olympic
1.50
Sutjeska
1.28
Mornar
1.25
Jedinstvo
1.21
Arsenal Tivat
1.19
Petrovac
1.17
Jezero
1.14
Mladost DG
1.03
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.69
Mladost LjeŔkopolje
0.50
Petrovac is 0.08 goals worse than Mornar in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.25).

šŸ›”ļø Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dečić
0.75
Mornar
0.89
Otrant-Olympic
1.00
Sutjeska
1.00
Jezero
1.06
Petrovac
1.11
Buducnost Podgorica
1.19
Jedinstvo
1.50
Mladost LjeŔkopolje
1.50
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.50
Arsenal Tivat
1.61
Mladost DG
1.63
Petrovac is 0.22 goals worse than Mornar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 0.89).

ā±ļø Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

šŸŽ² 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

šŸ”€ 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

šŸ„… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

āš–ļø 7. Handicap

ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PetrovacPetrovac

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D20W12L00D00D03L11D11D11DA·BUD23/09A·MOR27/09A·MLA01/10H·DEČ07/10A·RUD21/10H·JEZ28/10A·SUT05/11H·ARS11/11A·JED28/11H·BUD02/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.670.530.530.530.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.560.670.570.570.540.77
vs Weaker (3)0.330.670.000.000.501.00
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Mornar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MornarMornar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D11D22D00D10W10W22D11DA·JEZ23/09H·PET27/09A·SUT01/10H·MLA07/10A·ARS21/10H·DEČ28/10A·JED05/11H·RUD13/11A·BUD26/11H·JEZ04/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.400.570.360.690.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.500.450.300.300.670.58
vs Weaker (8)1.000.251.250.500.750.00
Clean sheet %70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ„… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Petrovac over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mornar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mornar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mornar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PetrovacPetrovac

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D11D01L00D20W00D00D11DA·BUD23/09A·MOR27/09A·MLA01/10H·DEČ07/10A·RUD21/10H·JEZ28/10A·SUT05/11H·ARS11/11A·JED28/11H·BUD02/12
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.800.670.600.801.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.700.780.570.640.850.92
vs Weaker (3)1.001.002.000.000.501.50
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Mornar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MornarMornar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W10W00D01L01L11D12L10WA·JEZ23/09H·PET27/09A·SUT01/10H·MLA07/10A·ARS21/10H·DEČ28/10A·JED05/11H·RUD13/11A·BUD26/11H·JEZ04/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.700.570.430.380.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.360.680.300.400.420.92
vs Weaker (8)0.750.751.250.500.251.00
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ„… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Petrovac over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mornar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mornar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mornar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ”„ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.9%-------āœ“ Hit
Over 1.570.4%-------āœ— Miss

šŸ’° 14. Squad value

šŸ’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
MD (23)
€3m
OTR (10)
€2m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
JED (17)
€1m
R( (3)
€0m
Petrovac and Mornar have a similar squad value (both €4m).

āš”ļø Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
MD (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
JED (5)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
Petrovac and Mornar have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
MD (5)
€1m
AT (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
JED (2)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
Petrovac and Mornar have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

šŸ›”ļø Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
MD (10)
€1m
JED (10)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
R( (2)
€0m
Petrovac and Mornar have a similar defence value (both €2m).

šŸ¤ 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
PET wins
2
Draws
3
MOR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Petrovac vs Mornar · H/A from PET
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/23AMornar Vs PET0-0
22/07/23HPET Vs Mornar0-0
14/05/23HPET Vs Mornar0-1
12/03/23AMornar Vs PET0-1
12/11/22HPET Vs Mornar1-2
04/09/22AMornar Vs PET1-0

PetrovacPetrovac

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/12/23HPET Vs Buducnost Podgorica2-2
28/11/23AJedinstvo Vs PET1-1
11/11/23HPET Vs Arsenal Tivat1-1
05/11/23ASutjeska Vs PET3-2
28/10/23HPET Vs Jezero0-0
21/10/23ARudar (Montenegro) Vs PET1-0
07/10/23HPET Vs Dečić2-3
01/10/23AMladost DG Vs PET0-2
27/09/23AMornar Vs PET0-0
23/09/23ABuducnost Podgorica Vs PET2-1

MornarMornar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/12/23HMOR Vs Jezero2-1
26/11/23ABuducnost Podgorica Vs MOR4-3
13/11/23HMOR Vs Rudar (Montenegro)2-1
05/11/23AJedinstvo Vs MOR1-1
28/10/23HMOR Vs Dečić0-1
21/10/23AArsenal Tivat Vs MOR2-2
07/10/23HMOR Vs Mladost DG2-1
01/10/23ASutjeska Vs MOR0-1
27/09/23HMOR Vs Petrovac0-0
23/09/23AJezero Vs MOR0-1

šŸ“Š 16. Overall Statistics

Petrovac
Petrovac
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDDD1.12
HomeDLDDD1.24
AwayDWLLD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%28%20%
AVG goals2.682.442.92
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %48%44%52%
Over 3.5 %26%24%28%
Scored1.221.161.28
Conceded1.461.281.64
BTTS62%60%64%
Clean Sheet22%28%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Mornar
Mornar
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLW1.40
HomeDWLWW1.68
AwayWWDDL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%48%24%
AVG goals2.001.802.20
Over 1.5 %52%40%64%
Over 2.5 %30%28%32%
Over 3.5 %18%12%24%
Scored0.981.040.92
Conceded1.020.761.28
BTTS42%32%52%
Clean Sheet40%44%36%
Corners---
Cards---

šŸ† 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DečićDečić3670
56%
1.9
5527+28
2.3
69%
36%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.50.8
-
2MornarMornar3664
47%
1.8
4532+13
2.1
50%
36%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.20.9
-
3Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica3661
47%
1.7
6643+23
3.0
86%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.81.2
-
4SutjeskaSutjeska3653
36%
1.5
4636+10
2.3
67%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.0
-
5JezeroJezero3651
39%
1.4
4138+3
2.2
64%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.1
-
6PetrovacPetrovac3648
31%
1.3
4240+2
2.3
69%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.1
-
7Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat3642
25%
1.2
4358-15
2.8
83%
47%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.6
-
8JedinstvoJedinstvo3839
24%
1.0
4657-11
2.7
74%
45%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.5
-
9Mladost DGMladost DG3835
24%
0.9
3962-23
2.7
76%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.6
-
10Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)3627
19%
0.8
2554-29
2.2
58%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.5
-
11Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.0
-
12Mladost LjeŔkopoljeMladost LjeŔkopolje21
0%
0.5
13-2
2.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
Montenegro: First League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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