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Petržalka vs Pohronie Result & Analysis

Date: 29/07/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Petržalka
Petržalka
Vs
58%
25%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Pohronie
Pohronie
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Petržalka’s five-game winning streak and a recent 2-0 triumph over Liptovský Mikuláš set the tone for a favoured home win, the model’s pick. The expected total of 2.8 goals suggests a moderately high-scoring affair, with the most likely total being two goals. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 11.7% chance. Petržalka’s home form shows an average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.29 conceded against similar opposition, while Pohronie’s away record averages 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. The model offers a 58% chance of a home win, 25% for a draw and 17% for an away win. Suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals at 77.3% and Under 3.5 goals at 70.0%. Each selection is presented with its probability, and no other outcomes are assigned win chances.

Results analysis

Petržalka’s five-game winning streak continued as they secured a 2-0 victory over Pohronie, extending their run at home. The model had picked a home win with a 58% probability, and the forecast proved correct. The most likely scoreline was 2-0, a 25% chance, and the match finished exactly as predicted. The model’s selections also hit: Over 1.5 goals, with a 77.3% probability, and Under 3.5 goals, with a 70.0% probability, both achieved. The final result matched the pre-match favourite and the suggested outcomes, confirming the model’s accuracy for this fixture.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petržalka win✓ Hit
58.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pohronie win✗ Miss
17.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PetržalkaPetržalka

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-704L05L11D00D20W71W23L00D12L22DA·POH17/03A·FK 01/04H·KOM05/04H·HUM09/04A·ŠAM16/04H·DOL23/04H·ŽIL30/04A·SLA06/05H·DUB12/05A·PÚC19/05
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.431.871.200.801.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.391.502.001.290.791.71
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Pohronie) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PohroniePohronie

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W04L30W00D21W11D04L00D32W03LH·PET17/03A·ŽIL24/03H·SLA31/03A·DUB08/04H·PÚC14/04A·SLO23/04H·SPA28/04A·RAČ07/05H·POV12/05A·TAT19/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.501.931.330.871.67
vs Stronger (8)0.502.250.502.000.502.50
vs Similar (20)1.801.202.601.101.001.30
vs Weaker (2)1.001.501.001.001.002.00
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Petržalka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.3%
Under 1.5
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.2%
Under 2.5
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.0%
Under 3.5
70.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.5%
No
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
2-0 ✓
10.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
7.4%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
Petržalka goals ↓
Pohronie goals →
01234
07.4%4.7%2.6%0.8%0.2%
111%12%4.9%1.5%0.3%
211%9.9%4.5%1.4%0.3%
36.7%6.1%2.8%0.8%0.2%
43.1%2.8%1.3%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Petržalka goals (down), columns = Pohronie goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Komárno
2.23
Petržalka
2.13
Tatran Prešov
2.00
Humenné
1.67
Púchov
1.57
Považská Bystrica
1.57
Spartak Myjava
1.47
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.40
Žilina II
1.33
Pohronie
1.30
Šamorín
1.27
Slovan Bratislava II
1.20
Slavoj Trebišov
1.17
Malženice
0.93
Dolný Kubín
0.67
Spišská Nová Ves
0.43
Petržalka is 0.83 points better than Pohronie in terms of average points per game (2.13 vs 1.30).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Komárno
2.13
Petržalka
2.13
Žilina II
1.90
Púchov
1.80
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.77
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Šamorín
1.63
Považská Bystrica
1.60
Slovan Bratislava II
1.53
Pohronie
1.47
Humenné
1.43
Spartak Myjava
1.40
Malženice
1.20
Slavoj Trebišov
1.13
Dolný Kubín
0.90
Spišská Nová Ves
0.73
Petržalka is 0.67 goals better than Pohronie in terms of goals scored per game (2.13 vs 1.47).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tatran Prešov
0.77
Komárno
0.93
Petržalka
0.97
Humenné
1.07
Považská Bystrica
1.27
Spartak Myjava
1.40
Malženice
1.60
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.60
Púchov
1.63
Pohronie
1.67
Slavoj Trebišov
1.67
Slovan Bratislava II
1.83
Spišská Nová Ves
1.83
Šamorín
1.87
Žilina II
2.07
Dolný Kubín
2.27
Petržalka is 0.70 goals better than Pohronie in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PetržalkaPetržalka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L00D00D10W31W22D00D10W10WA·POH17/03A·FK 01/04H·KOM05/04H·HUM09/04A·ŠAM16/04H·DOL23/04H·ŽIL30/04A·SLA06/05H·DUB12/05A·PÚC19/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.670.870.470.400.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.640.680.930.500.360.86
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Pohronie) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PohroniePohronie

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L00D00D01L01L03L00D10W02LH·PET17/03A·ŽIL24/03H·SLA31/03A·DUB08/04H·PÚC14/04A·SLO23/04H·SPA28/04A·RAČ07/05H·POV12/05A·TAT19/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.770.800.730.270.80
vs Stronger (8)0.121.500.001.750.251.25
vs Similar (20)0.750.501.200.400.300.60
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Petržalka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Petržalka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PetržalkaPetržalka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L03L11D00D10W40W01L00D02L12LA·POH17/03A·FK 01/04H·KOM05/04H·HUM09/04A·ŠAM16/04H·DOL23/04H·ŽIL30/04A·SLA06/05H·DUB12/05A·PÚC19/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.771.000.730.400.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.750.821.070.790.430.86
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Pohronie) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PohroniePohronie

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W02L30W00D20W10W01L00D22D01LH·PET17/03A·ŽIL24/03H·SLA31/03A·DUB08/04H·PÚC14/04A·SLO23/04H·SPA28/04A·RAČ07/05H·POV12/05A·TAT19/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.731.130.600.600.87
vs Stronger (8)0.380.750.500.250.251.25
vs Similar (20)1.050.701.400.700.700.70
vs Weaker (2)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Petržalka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Petržalka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.570.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (24)
€3m
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Petržalka and Pohronie have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (10)
€1m
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
Petržalka and Pohronie have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (5)
€1m
ŠAM (6)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Petržalka and Pohronie have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (9)
€1m
PET (8)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Petržalka and Pohronie have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
PET wins
0
Draws
1
POH wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Petržalka vs Pohronie · H/A from PET
DateH/AGameScore
17/03/23APohronie Vs PET4-0
21/08/22HPET Vs Pohronie3-2

PetržalkaPetržalka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/05/23APúchov Vs PET2-2
12/05/23HPET Vs Dubnica1-2
06/05/23ASlavoj Trebišov Vs PET0-0
30/04/23HPET Vs Žilina II2-3
23/04/23HPET Vs Dolný Kubín7-1
16/04/23AŠamorín Vs PET0-2
09/04/23HPET Vs Humenné0-0
05/04/23HPET Vs Komárno1-1
01/04/23AFK Košice Vs PET5-0
17/03/23APohronie Vs PET4-0

PohroniePohronie

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/05/23ATatran Prešov Vs POH3-0
12/05/23HPOH Vs Považská Bystrica3-2
07/05/23ARača Vs POH0-0
28/04/23HPOH Vs Spartak Myjava0-4
23/04/23ASlovan Bratislava II Vs POH1-1
14/04/23HPOH Vs Púchov2-1
08/04/23ADubnica Vs POH0-0
31/03/23HPOH Vs Slavoj Trebišov3-0
24/03/23AŽilina II Vs POH4-0
17/03/23HPOH Vs Petržalka4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Petržalka
Petržalka
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLD1.13
HomeDDWLL1.53
AwayLLWDD0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%40%13%
AVG goals2.773.072.47
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %53%60%47%
Over 3.5 %27%33%20%
Scored1.331.870.80
Conceded1.431.201.67
BTTS57%67%47%
Clean Sheet23%27%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Pohronie
Pohronie
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWL1.37
HomeWWWLW1.73
AwayLDDDL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%47%20%
AVG goals2.903.272.53
Over 1.5 %83%87%80%
Over 2.5 %63%73%53%
Over 3.5 %37%47%27%
Scored1.401.930.87
Conceded1.501.331.67
BTTS60%67%53%
Clean Sheet17%13%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KomárnoKomárno3067
70%
2.2
6428+36
3.1
80%
43%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.10.9
-
2PetržalkaPetržalka3064
63%
2.1
6429+35
3.1
80%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.11.0
-
3Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov3060
60%
2.0
5023+27
2.4
73%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.8
-
4HumennéHumenné3050
47%
1.7
4332+11
2.5
63%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
5Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica3047
40%
1.6
4838+10
2.9
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.3
-
6PúchovPúchov3047
47%
1.6
5449+5
3.4
77%
60%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
7Spartak MyjavaSpartak Myjava3044
40%
1.5
4242+0
2.8
87%
67%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
8Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš3042
43%
1.4
5348+5
3.4
87%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.81.6
-
9Žilina IIŽilina II3040
40%
1.3
5762-5
4.0
83%
73%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.92.1
-
10PohroniePohronie3039
37%
1.3
4450-6
3.1
87%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.7
-
11ŠamorínŠamorín3038
33%
1.3
4956-7
3.5
87%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.61.9
-
12Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II3036
33%
1.2
4655-9
3.4
77%
67%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.8
-
13Slavoj TrebišovSlavoj Trebišov3035
33%
1.2
3450-16
2.8
80%
60%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
14MalženiceMalženice3028
23%
0.9
3648-12
2.8
80%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.6
-
15Dolný KubínDolný Kubín3020
13%
0.7
2768-41
3.2
87%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.3
-
16Spišská Nová VesSpišská Nová Ves3013
10%
0.4
2255-33
2.6
77%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.8
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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