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Petržalka vs Pohronie Result & Analysis

Date: 16/11/2024
Time: 12:00
Final 4-0
Petržalka
Petržalka
Vs
51%
26%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Pohronie
Pohronie
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Petržalka are tipped to lift the trophy at home, with the model favouring a home win at 51%. The expected total goals hover around 2.8, yet the single most probable scoreline is a 1-1 draw, carrying a 12.3% chance. Petržalka’s home form shows they average 1.62 goals scored and 1.00 conceded against similar opposition, while Pohronie, on the road, averages 2.45 scored and 1.73 conceded. The home side is riding a five-game winning streak, having beaten Liptovský Mikuláš 2-0, whereas Pohronie comes off a win over Tatran Prešov, 3-1. The model’s selection includes an Over 1.5 goal pick at 78.8%. The probabilities for the match outcomes are 51% for a home win, 26% for a draw, and 23% for an away win.

Results analysis

Petržalka’s 5-game winning streak continued as the model’s favourite, a home win, proved correct with a 4-0 triumph over Pohronie. The prediction that the home side would prevail was supported by a 51% probability, and the match finished as expected. The model’s single selection, Over 1.5 goals, hit its mark, with a 78.8% chance of success. The final score of 4-0 also confirmed the home side’s dominant form, extending their winning run. The predicted most likely total of 2 goals fell short, but the decisive victory underscored the strength of Petržalka’s recent performances.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petržalka win✓ Hit
51.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pohronie win✗ Miss
23.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PetržalkaPetržalka

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W10W60W21W01L03L12L01L12L20WH·HUM10/09A·ŽIL22/09A·TOM25/09A·ŠAM06/10H·LIP12/10H·FK 16/10H·SLO20/10A·MAL26/10H·PÚC02/11H·LOK09/11
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.031.641.001.941.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.851.081.621.002.081.15
vs Weaker (4)1.500.752.001.001.330.67
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Pohronie) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PohroniePohronie

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D00D33D20W35L02L01L12L20W03LA·MAL25/08H·PÚC30/08A·LOK14/09H·ZLA20/09H·TAT04/10A·BAN08/10A·HUM19/10H·POV25/10A·LIP02/11A·ŽIL10/11
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.701.541.541.761.82
vs Stronger (7)1.292.573.003.500.602.20
vs Similar (21)1.901.431.301.102.451.73
vs Weaker (2)0.501.501.002.000.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Petržalka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.8%
Under 1.5
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.2%
Under 2.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.9%
Under 3.5
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.3%
No
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
Petržalka goals ↓
Pohronie goals →
01234
06.9%5.3%3.5%1.3%0.4%
19.0%12%6.2%2.3%0.6%
28.8%9.7%5.4%2.0%0.5%
35.1%5.6%3.1%1.2%0.3%
42.2%2.5%1.4%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Petržalka goals (down), columns = Pohronie goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Tatran Prešov
2.42
Zlaté Moravce
2.00
Považská Bystrica
1.69
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.65
Púchov
1.50
Petržalka
1.42
Malženice
1.31
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.31
Žilina II
1.19
Šamorín
1.15
Pohronie
1.12
Slovan Bratislava II
1.08
Stará Ľubovňa
0.92
Humenné
0.88
Petržalka is 0.31 points better than Pohronie in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 1.12).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Tatran Prešov
1.96
Púchov
1.62
Považská Bystrica
1.62
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.62
Zlaté Moravce
1.58
Pohronie
1.42
Malženice
1.27
Slovan Bratislava II
1.27
Petržalka
1.23
Žilina II
1.23
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.15
Šamorín
1.12
Stará Ľubovňa
0.92
Humenné
0.77
Petržalka is 0.19 goals worse than Pohronie in terms of goals scored per game (1.23 vs 1.42).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zlaté Moravce
0.69
Tatran Prešov
0.73
Petržalka
1.00
Stará Ľubovňa
1.15
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.19
Považská Bystrica
1.35
Púchov
1.38
Humenné
1.50
Žilina II
1.50
Šamorín
1.54
Malženice
1.54
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.58
Slovan Bratislava II
1.65
Pohronie
1.96
Petržalka is 0.96 goals better than Pohronie in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.96).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PetržalkaPetržalka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W20W20W01L00D00D00D02L20WH·HUM10/09A·ŽIL22/09A·TOM25/09A·ŠAM06/10H·LIP12/10H·FK 16/10H·SLO20/10A·MAL26/10H·PÚC02/11H·LOK09/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.471.070.431.000.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.080.501.080.461.080.54
vs Weaker (4)0.750.251.000.000.670.33
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Pohronie) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PohroniePohronie

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D20W10W32W00D00D10W00D00DA·MAL25/08H·PÚC30/08A·LOK14/09H·ZLA20/09H·TAT04/10A·BAN08/10A·HUM19/10H·POV25/10A·LIP02/11A·ŽIL10/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.701.000.690.760.71
vs Stronger (7)0.860.862.501.500.200.60
vs Similar (21)0.900.670.700.501.090.82
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Petržalka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Petržalka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PetržalkaPetržalka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D40W01L00D03L12L01L10W00DH·HUM10/09A·ŽIL22/09A·TOM25/09A·ŠAM06/10H·LIP12/10H·FK 16/10H·SLO20/10A·MAL26/10H·PÚC02/11H·LOK09/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.570.570.570.940.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.770.580.540.541.000.62
vs Weaker (4)0.750.501.001.000.670.33
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Pohronie) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PohroniePohronie

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D00D13L10W03L02L01L02L20W03LA·MAL25/08H·PÚC30/08A·LOK14/09H·ZLA20/09H·TAT04/10A·BAN08/10A·HUM19/10H·POV25/10A·LIP02/11A·ŽIL10/11
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.000.540.851.001.12
vs Stronger (7)0.431.710.502.000.401.60
vs Similar (21)1.000.760.600.601.360.91
vs Weaker (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Petržalka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Petržalka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Petržalka and Pohronie have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
Petržalka and Pohronie have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Petržalka and Pohronie have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Petržalka and Pohronie have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
3
PET wins
0
Draws
1
POH wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Petržalka vs Pohronie · H/A from PET
DateH/AGameScore
10/11/23APohronie Vs PET2-4
29/07/23HPET Vs Pohronie2-0
17/03/23APohronie Vs PET4-0
21/08/22HPET Vs Pohronie3-2

PetržalkaPetržalka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/24HPET Vs Lokomotíva Zvolen2-0
02/11/24HPET Vs Púchov1-2
26/10/24AMalženice Vs PET1-0
20/10/24HPET Vs Slovan Bratislava II1-2
16/10/24HPET Vs FK Košice0-3
12/10/24HPET Vs Liptovský Mikuláš0-1
06/10/24AŠamorín Vs PET1-2
25/09/24ATomášov Vs PET0-6
22/09/24AŽilina II Vs PET0-1
10/09/24HPET Vs Humenné2-1

PohroniePohronie

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/11/24AŽilina II Vs POH3-0
02/11/24ALiptovský Mikuláš Vs POH0-2
25/10/24HPOH Vs Považská Bystrica1-2
19/10/24AHumenné Vs POH1-0
08/10/24ABaník Kalinovo Vs POH2-0
04/10/24HPOH Vs Tatran Prešov3-5
20/09/24HPOH Vs Zlaté Moravce2-0
14/09/24ALokomotíva Zvolen Vs POH3-3
30/08/24HPOH Vs Púchov0-0
25/08/24AMalženice Vs POH2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Petržalka
Petržalka
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW1.82
HomeLLLLW1.75
AwayLWWWL1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%54%54%
AVG goals2.942.753.12
Over 1.5 %78%75%81%
Over 2.5 %58%58%58%
Over 3.5 %30%25%35%
Scored1.861.751.96
Conceded1.081.001.15
BTTS52%50%54%
Clean Sheet32%29%35%
Corners---
Cards---
Pohronie
Pohronie
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL1.30
HomeWDWLL1.54
AwayDLLWL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%46%27%
AVG goals3.203.253.15
Over 1.5 %86%88%85%
Over 2.5 %56%58%54%
Over 3.5 %34%33%35%
Scored1.501.501.50
Conceded1.701.751.65
BTTS46%54%38%
Clean Sheet26%25%27%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov2663
77%
2.4
5119+32
2.7
69%
58%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.00.7
-
2Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce2652
62%
2.0
4118+23
2.3
62%
35%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.60.7
-
3Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica2644
50%
1.7
4235+7
3.0
81%
58%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.3
-
4Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš2643
46%
1.7
4231+11
2.8
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.61.2
-
5PúchovPúchov2639
42%
1.5
4236+6
3.0
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.4
-
6PetržalkaPetržalka2637
38%
1.4
3226+6
2.2
65%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.0
-
7MalženiceMalženice2634
38%
1.3
3340-7
2.8
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.5
-
8Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen2634
38%
1.3
3041-11
2.7
73%
62%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.6
-
9Žilina IIŽilina II2631
35%
1.2
3239-7
2.7
69%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.5
-
10ŠamorínŠamorín2630
35%
1.2
2940-11
2.7
81%
54%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.5
-
11PohroniePohronie2629
31%
1.1
3751-14
3.4
88%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.42.0
-
12Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II2628
31%
1.1
3343-10
2.9
85%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.7
-
13Stará ĽubovňaStará Ľubovňa2624
23%
0.9
2430-6
2.1
62%
42%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
14HumennéHumenné2623
19%
0.9
2039-19
2.3
73%
42%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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