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Petržalka vs Pohronie Result & Analysis

Date: 05/04/2026
Time: 08:30
Final 3-0
Petržalka
Petržalka
Vs
53%
28%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Pohronie
Pohronie
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Petržalka, riding a five-game winning streak, is the clear favourite to take the match at home against Pohronie, who are coming off a win in their last outing. The model predicts a 53% chance of a home victory, 28% for a draw and 20% for an away win, with the most likely outcome being a Petržalka win. The expected total goals is 2.5, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 13.1% probability. In terms of attacking and defensive strength, Petržalka averages 1.58 goals scored and 0.83 conceded at home against teams of similar strength, while Pohronie averages 1.17 scored and 1.50 conceded on the road against comparable opponents. The model’s selections include Under 3.5 goals at 76.6% and Over 1.5 goals at 71.6%. The home win probability is 53%, the draw probability 28%, and the away win probability 20%. These figures together paint a picture of a tightly contested match that is likely to finish in a 1-1 draw.

Results analysis

Petržalka extended a five-game winning run with a 3-0 triumph over Pohronie, confirming the model’s home-win call and the predicted 2-0 most likely scoreline. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was correct, backed by a 53% probability. The model’s selections also hit: Under 3.5 goals fell in at 76.6% and Over 1.5 at 71.6%. The final score of 3-0 matched the actual result of a home victory, and the model’s predictions on total goals and outcomes were largely accurate. Petržalka’s strong recent form, with five consecutive wins, and Pohronie’s mixed away record contributed to the decisive result.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petržalka win✓ Hit
52.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pohronie win✗ Miss
19.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PetržalkaPetržalka

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W24L02L12L10W00D11D11D30W40WH·ZLA26/10A·LIP01/11H·DUN05/11A·POV08/11H·SLO16/11A·MAL01/03H·LOK08/03A·ŽIL15/03H·ŠAM22/03A·STA28/03
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.101.470.871.471.33
vs Stronger (2)1.501.500.002.003.001.00
vs Similar (24)1.581.171.580.831.581.50
vs Weaker (4)0.750.501.500.500.000.50
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Pohronie) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PohroniePohronie

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W40W22D00D22D01L10W11D11D31WA·LIP18/10H·POV24/10A·SLO02/11A·MAL07/11H·LOK14/11A·ŽIL01/03H·ŠAM06/03A·STA14/03A·SLÁ22/03H·PÚC27/03
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.372.211.211.191.50
vs Stronger (4)2.251.254.001.001.671.33
vs Similar (24)1.671.382.171.251.171.50
vs Weaker (2)0.501.501.001.000.002.00
Clean sheet %20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Petržalka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.6%
Under 1.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.5%
Under 2.5
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.4%
Under 3.5
76.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.6%
No
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-0
10.7%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
6.3%
3-0 ✓
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
Petržalka goals ↓
Pohronie goals →
01234
09.7%6.3%3.3%1.0%0.2%
112%13%5.2%1.5%0.3%
211%9.4%4.1%1.2%0.3%
35.6%4.9%2.2%0.6%0.1%
42.2%1.9%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Petržalka goals (down), columns = Pohronie goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dukla Banská Bystrica
2.20
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.62
Petržalka
1.60
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.60
Malženice
1.57
Komárno
1.50
Zlaté Moravce
1.47
Pohronie
1.47
Inter Bratislava
1.40
Slovan Bratislava II
1.33
Šamorín
1.27
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.17
Považská Bystrica
1.10
Žilina II
1.10
Slávia TU Košice
1.07
Púchov
0.97
Stará Ľubovňa
0.87
Petržalka is 0.13 points better than Pohronie in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 1.47).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dukla Banská Bystrica
2.03
Zlaté Moravce
1.90
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.83
Pohronie
1.57
Komárno
1.50
Petržalka
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.47
Šamorín
1.47
Malženice
1.47
Žilina II
1.43
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.37
Považská Bystrica
1.27
Slávia TU Košice
1.27
Stará Ľubovňa
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Púchov
1.10
Petržalka is 0.07 goals worse than Pohronie in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.57).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Komárno
0.50
Dukla Banská Bystrica
0.83
Petržalka
1.03
Pohronie
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.20
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.22
Malženice
1.27
Šamorín
1.53
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.57
Slovan Bratislava II
1.60
Považská Bystrica
1.63
Zlaté Moravce
1.63
Púchov
1.67
Stará Ľubovňa
1.73
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.73
Slávia TU Košice
1.80
Žilina II
1.97
Petržalka is 0.13 goals better than Pohronie in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PetržalkaPetržalka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W11D01L00D10W00D01L11D20W00DH·ZLA26/10A·LIP01/11H·DUN05/11A·POV08/11H·SLO16/11A·MAL01/03H·LOK08/03A·ŽIL15/03H·ŠAM22/03A·STA28/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.370.930.270.600.47
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.920.381.170.250.670.50
vs Weaker (4)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Pohronie) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PohroniePohronie

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W30W02L00D21W01L10W11D00D20WA·LIP18/10H·POV24/10A·SLO02/11A·MAL07/11H·LOK14/11A·ŽIL01/03H·ŠAM06/03A·STA14/03A·SLÁ22/03H·PÚC27/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.671.290.640.690.69
vs Stronger (4)1.250.752.001.001.000.67
vs Similar (24)1.000.671.330.670.670.67
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Petržalka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Petržalka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PetržalkaPetržalka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L13L01L12L00D00D10W00D10W40WH·ZLA26/10A·LIP01/11H·DUN05/11A·POV08/11H·SLO16/11A·MAL01/03H·LOK08/03A·ŽIL15/03H·ŠAM22/03A·STA28/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.730.530.600.870.87
vs Stronger (2)1.000.500.001.002.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.670.790.420.580.921.00
vs Weaker (4)0.750.501.500.500.000.50
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Pohronie) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PohroniePohronie

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W20W00D01L00D00D00D11D11DA·LIP18/10H·POV24/10A·SLO02/11A·MAL07/11H·LOK14/11A·ŽIL01/03H·ŠAM06/03A·STA14/03A·SLÁ22/03H·PÚC27/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.700.930.570.500.81
vs Stronger (4)1.000.502.000.000.670.67
vs Similar (24)0.670.710.830.580.500.83
vs Weaker (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Petržalka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Petržalka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.576.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (24)
€3m
DBB (24)
€3m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
BLP (20)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
IB (18)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
Petržalka and Pohronie have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (10)
€1m
DBB (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
BLP (6)
€0m
IB (5)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
Petržalka and Pohronie have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DBB (6)
€1m
KOM (5)
€1m
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
BLP (3)
€0m
IB (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
Petržalka and Pohronie have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (9)
€1m
DBB (11)
€1m
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
BLP (11)
€0m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
IB (9)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
Petržalka and Pohronie have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
6
PET wins
0
Draws
1
POH wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Petržalka vs Pohronie · H/A from PET
DateH/AGameScore
12/09/25APohronie Vs PET1-2
18/04/25APohronie Vs PET2-5
16/11/24HPET Vs Pohronie4-0
10/11/23APohronie Vs PET2-4
29/07/23HPET Vs Pohronie2-0
17/03/23APohronie Vs PET4-0
21/08/22HPET Vs Pohronie3-2

PetržalkaPetržalka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/03/26AStará Ľubovňa Vs PET0-4
22/03/26HPET Vs Šamorín3-0
15/03/26AŽilina II Vs PET1-1
08/03/26HPET Vs Lokomotíva Zvolen1-1
01/03/26AMalženice Vs PET0-0
16/11/25HPET Vs Slovan Bratislava II1-0
08/11/25APovažská Bystrica Vs PET2-1
05/11/25HPET Vs Dunajska Streda0-2
01/11/25ALiptovský Mikuláš Vs PET4-2
26/10/25HPET Vs Zlaté Moravce3-2

PohroniePohronie

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/03/26HPOH Vs Púchov3-1
22/03/26ASlávia TU Košice Vs POH1-1
14/03/26AStará Ľubovňa Vs POH1-1
06/03/26HPOH Vs Šamorín1-0
01/03/26AŽilina II Vs POH1-0
14/11/25HPOH Vs Lokomotíva Zvolen2-2
07/11/25AMalženice Vs POH0-0
02/11/25ASlovan Bratislava II Vs POH2-2
24/10/25HPOH Vs Považská Bystrica4-0
18/10/25ALiptovský Mikuláš Vs POH0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Petržalka
Petržalka
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDWW1.54
HomeWLWDW1.72
AwayLLDDW1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%52%36%
AVG goals2.682.323.04
Over 1.5 %70%64%76%
Over 2.5 %48%44%52%
Over 3.5 %30%20%40%
Scored1.561.401.72
Conceded1.120.921.32
BTTS52%40%64%
Clean Sheet32%44%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Pohronie
Pohronie
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDW1.28
HomeWWDWW1.86
AwayDDLDD0.82
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%55%18%
AVG goals3.163.412.96
Over 1.5 %82%82%82%
Over 2.5 %58%68%50%
Over 3.5 %44%55%36%
Scored1.622.051.29
Conceded1.541.361.68
BTTS56%64%50%
Clean Sheet22%32%14%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dukla Banská BystricaDukla Banská Bystrica3066
67%
2.2
6125+36
2.9
77%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.00.8
-
2Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen3252
44%
1.6
4739+8
2.7
72%
50%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.2
-
3PetržalkaPetržalka3048
47%
1.6
4531+14
2.5
67%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.0
-
4Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš3048
43%
1.6
5547+8
3.4
90%
70%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.81.6
-
5MalženiceMalženice3047
43%
1.6
4438+6
2.7
70%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.3
-
6PohroniePohronie3044
37%
1.5
4735+12
2.7
73%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.61.2
-
7Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce3044
40%
1.5
5749+8
3.5
83%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.91.6
-
8Inter BratislavaInter Bratislava3042
40%
1.4
3536-1
2.4
70%
47%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.2
-
9Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II3040
33%
1.3
4548-3
3.1
83%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.6
-
10ŠamorínŠamorín3038
33%
1.3
4446-2
3.0
87%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.51.5
-
11Baník Lehota p.VtáčnikomBaník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom3035
30%
1.2
4152-11
3.1
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.7
-
12Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica3033
27%
1.1
3849-11
2.9
83%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.6
-
13Žilina IIŽilina II3033
30%
1.1
4359-16
3.4
77%
57%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.0
-
14Slávia TU KošiceSlávia TU Košice3032
27%
1.1
3854-16
3.1
83%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
15PúchovPúchov3029
20%
1.0
3350-17
2.8
67%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
16Stará ĽubovňaStará Ľubovňa3026
20%
0.9
3552-17
2.9
83%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
17KomárnoKomárno23
50%
1.5
31+2
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.50.5
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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