This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brescia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.07
1.67
0.67
1.13
1.47
vs Stronger (14)
1.50
1.14
1.88
0.75
1.00
1.67
vs Similar (15)
1.13
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.22
1.33
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
1.00
4.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Pisa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.8%
Under 1.5
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.1%
@ 2.17+13.8%
Under 2.5
42.9%
@ 1.66-13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.7%
Under 3.5
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.6%
No
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-1 ✓
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
0-0
6.2%
3-1
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
Pisa goals ↓
Brescia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.2%
4.9%
3.4%
1.3%
0.4%
1
8.2%
12%
6.2%
2.4%
0.7%
2
8.4%
9.8%
5.7%
2.2%
0.6%
3
5.1%
5.9%
3.4%
1.3%
0.4%
4
2.3%
2.7%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pisa goals (down), columns = Brescia goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sassuolo
2.16
Pisa
1.95
Spezia
1.74
Cremonese
1.62
Juve Stabia
1.49
Catanzaro
1.37
Cesena
1.36
Palermo
1.33
Bari
1.26
Sudtirol
1.21
Modena
1.18
Carrarese
1.18
Reggiana
1.16
Mantova
1.16
Brescia
1.13
Frosinone
1.13
Sampdoria
1.13
Salernitana
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Cosenza
0.89
Pisa is 0.82 points better than Brescia in terms of average points per game (1.95 vs 1.13).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sassuolo
2.05
Cremonese
1.64
Pisa
1.63
Spezia
1.55
Palermo
1.33
Sudtirol
1.32
Catanzaro
1.29
Modena
1.26
Mantova
1.24
Cesena
1.18
Brescia
1.11
Reggiana
1.11
Juve Stabia
1.10
Bari
1.08
Carrarese
1.03
Sampdoria
1.03
Frosinone
0.97
Salernitana
0.95
Cosenza
0.84
Cittadella
0.82
Pisa is 0.53 goals better than Brescia in terms of goals scored per game (1.63 vs 1.11).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spezia
0.88
Pisa
0.97
Sassuolo
1.00
Bari
1.05
Juve Stabia
1.10
Palermo
1.13
Cremonese
1.14
Catanzaro
1.20
Cesena
1.23
Salernitana
1.26
Sampdoria
1.26
Brescia
1.26
Carrarese
1.29
Frosinone
1.32
Modena
1.32
Reggiana
1.37
Cittadella
1.42
Cosenza
1.47
Mantova
1.47
Sudtirol
1.50
Pisa is 0.29 goals better than Brescia in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.26).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Mantova
62%
Cremonese
60%
Catanzaro
55%
Sassuolo
52%
Salernitana
52%
Juve Stabia
52%
Bari
51%
Spezia
50%
Palermo
49%
Carrarese
49%
Cosenza
49%
Cesena
49%
Modena
48%
Sampdoria
48%
Frosinone
47%
Brescia
46%
Pisa
46%
Cittadella
45%
Reggiana
44%
Sudtirol
44%
Pisa is 0.4 percentage points worse than Brescia in terms of average possession (46% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Pisa
For 4.2 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.4 · Against 15.1 · Total 30.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brescia
For 4.9 · Against 6.6 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 14.9 · Total 28.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pisa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
9.3
8.0
5.3
5.4
5.1
27.9
28.2
27.5
vs Stronger (2)
7.0
10.0
4.0
6.0
6.0
6.0
26.0
22.0
30.0
vs Similar (23)
9.6
9.8
9.2
5.2
5.3
5.1
26.9
28.6
24.9
vs Weaker (25)
8.0
8.7
7.3
5.2
5.5
5.1
29.0
28.4
29.5
% over line
35%
41%
29%
80%
81%
79%
93%
95%
90%
% under line
65%
59%
71%
20%
19%
21%
7%
5%
10%
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brescia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.5
9.9
4.5
4.6
4.5
29.2
28.8
29.6
vs Stronger (22)
9.6
10.0
9.1
4.1
4.5
3.6
27.8
26.7
29.1
vs Similar (26)
9.6
9.2
10.0
4.8
4.5
5.2
30.2
31.0
29.4
vs Weaker (2)
12.5
9.0
16.0
5.5
6.0
5.0
31.5
26.0
37.0
% over line
50%
50%
50%
68%
72%
64%
91%
95%
86%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
32%
28%
36%
9%
5%
14%
This opponent (Pisa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Juve Stabia
10.8
Salernitana
10.7
Sassuolo
10.7
Palermo
10.6
Cosenza
10.2
Frosinone
10.1
Cremonese
10.0
Brescia
10.0
Spezia
9.8
Bari
9.7
Cesena
9.6
Modena
9.3
Catanzaro
9.2
Reggiana
9.0
Pisa
9.0
Cittadella
9.0
Sudtirol
8.9
Sampdoria
8.7
Mantova
7.8
Carrarese
7.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Juve Stabia
6.6
Cosenza
6.2
Pisa
6.0
Bari
5.9
Spezia
5.9
Sampdoria
5.8
Modena
5.7
Reggiana
5.5
Mantova
5.4
Sudtirol
5.3
Cittadella
5.2
Catanzaro
5.1
Cremonese
5.1
Brescia
5.0
Palermo
4.9
Salernitana
4.8
Frosinone
4.7
Cesena
4.1
Carrarese
4.0
Sassuolo
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Mantova
35.2
Juve Stabia
33.0
Spezia
31.0
Cittadella
30.6
Sampdoria
30.1
Reggiana
29.8
Sudtirol
29.7
Bari
29.3
Cesena
29.0
Modena
28.7
Brescia
28.6
Catanzaro
28.4
Pisa
28.1
Palermo
27.4
Cosenza
27.3
Cremonese
26.8
Carrarese
26.2
Salernitana
25.7
Frosinone
24.9
Sassuolo
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
50.5%
Under 9.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
78.3%
Under 3.5
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
92.9%
Under 21.5
7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Pisa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.70
0.69
0.69
0.50
0.71
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (14)
0.43
0.86
0.44
0.89
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (15)
0.80
0.47
1.00
0.43
0.62
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brescia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.57
0.87
0.33
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (14)
0.71
0.79
1.00
0.62
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.67
0.40
0.50
0.00
0.78
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Pisa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pisa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Pisa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.83
1.12
0.62
0.86
1.07
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (14)
1.21
0.93
1.44
0.67
0.80
1.40
vs Weaker (15)
0.80
0.73
0.71
0.57
0.88
0.88
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brescia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.50
0.80
0.33
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (14)
0.79
0.36
0.88
0.12
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (15)
0.47
0.60
0.50
0.50
0.44
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Pisa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pisa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Pisa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Matteo Tramoni44%
Nicholas Bonfanti25%
Alexander Lind24%
Stefano Moreo19%
Idrissa Touré17%
Henrik Wendel Meister13%
Alessandro Arena13%
Gabriele Piccinini10%
Olimpiu Moruțan10%
Simone Canestrelli8%
Leonardo Sernicola8%
Adrian Rus8%
Antonio Caracciolo6%
Samuele Angori5%
Marius Marin3%
Oliver Abildgaard0%
Malthe Højholt0%
Arturo Calabresi0%
Adrian Šemper0%
Mehdi Léris0%
Emanuel Vignato0%
Pietro Beruatto0%
Markus Solbakken0%
Jan Mlakar0%
Žan Jevšenak0%
Giovanni Bonfanti0%
Alessio Castellini0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Henrik Wendel Meister33%
Adrian Rus31%
Marius Marin29%
Markus Solbakken29%
Žan Jevšenak25%
Giovanni Bonfanti22%
Idrissa Touré20%
Antonio Caracciolo19%
Arturo Calabresi17%
Simone Canestrelli16%
Oliver Abildgaard16%
Nicholas Bonfanti12%
Alexander Lind12%
Samuele Angori10%
Olimpiu Moruțan10%
Leonardo Sernicola8%
Emanuel Vignato8%
Pietro Beruatto6%
Stefano Moreo5%
Gabriele Piccinini5%
Malthe Højholt3%
Adrian Šemper3%
Matteo Tramoni0%
Mehdi Léris0%
Jan Mlakar0%
Alessandro Arena0%
Alessio Castellini0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Stefano Moreo16%
Idrissa Touré11%
Matteo Tramoni11%
Samuele Angori10%
Gabriele Piccinini10%
Olimpiu Moruțan10%
Alexander Lind9%
Emanuel Vignato8%
Marius Marin6%
Pietro Beruatto6%
Alessandro Arena4%
Giovanni Bonfanti4%
Oliver Abildgaard4%
Arturo Calabresi3%
Malthe Højholt3%
Simone Canestrelli3%
Leonardo Sernicola0%
Adrian Šemper0%
Mehdi Léris0%
Antonio Caracciolo0%
Adrian Rus0%
Markus Solbakken0%
Jan Mlakar0%
Nicholas Bonfanti0%
Henrik Wendel Meister0%
Žan Jevšenak0%
Alessio Castellini0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matteo Tramoni22%
Nicholas Bonfanti19%
Alexander Lind15%
Stefano Moreo11%
Alessandro Arena9%
Gabriele Piccinini8%
Simone Canestrelli5%
Giovanni Bonfanti4%
Idrissa Touré3%
Oliver Abildgaard0%
Malthe Højholt0%
Arturo Calabresi0%
Leonardo Sernicola0%
Marius Marin0%
Adrian Šemper0%
Mehdi Léris0%
Emanuel Vignato0%
Antonio Caracciolo0%
Olimpiu Moruțan0%
Adrian Rus0%
Pietro Beruatto0%
Markus Solbakken0%
Jan Mlakar0%
Samuele Angori0%
Henrik Wendel Meister0%
Žan Jevšenak0%
Alessio Castellini0%
Brescia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gabriele Moncini20%
Gennaro Borrelli19%
Flavio Bianchi17%
Birkir Bjarnason15%
Riccardo Fogliata14%
Matthias Verreth12%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah8%
Davide Adorni8%
Giacomo Olzer7%
Ante Matej Jurić6%
Gabriele Calvani5%
Andrea Cistana4%
Nicolas Galazzi4%
Massimo Bertagnoli3%
Dimitri Bisoli3%
Michele Besaggio3%
Niccolò Corrado3%
Lorenzo Dickmann0%
Fabrizio Paghera0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Alexander Jallow0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Luca D'Andrea0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fabrizio Paghera38%
Davide Adorni30%
Lorenzo Dickmann26%
Dimitri Bisoli26%
Matthias Verreth24%
Gennaro Borrelli22%
Ante Matej Jurić19%
Andrea Papetti16%
Birkir Bjarnason15%
Giacomo Olzer15%
Michele Besaggio14%
Gabriele Calvani14%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah12%
Luca D'Andrea11%
Andrea Cistana9%
Flavio Bianchi8%
Nicolas Galazzi8%
Gabriele Moncini8%
Luca Lezzerini8%
Alexander Jallow6%
Massimo Bertagnoli3%
Niccolò Corrado3%
Riccardo Fogliata0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nicolas Galazzi21%
Dimitri Bisoli19%
Ante Matej Jurić9%
Andrea Cistana9%
Lorenzo Dickmann5%
Niccolò Corrado5%
Andrea Papetti5%
Gabriele Moncini4%
Birkir Bjarnason4%
Giacomo Olzer4%
Massimo Bertagnoli3%
Matthias Verreth3%
Gennaro Borrelli3%
Davide Adorni0%
Fabrizio Paghera0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Alexander Jallow0%
Flavio Bianchi0%
Luca D'Andrea0%
Michele Besaggio0%
Gabriele Calvani0%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah0%
Riccardo Fogliata0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gennaro Borrelli33%
Gabriele Moncini24%
Luca D'Andrea11%
Matthias Verreth9%
Davide Adorni8%
Lorenzo Dickmann8%
Giacomo Olzer7%
Massimo Bertagnoli7%
Dimitri Bisoli6%
Flavio Bianchi4%
Birkir Bjarnason4%
Ante Matej Jurić3%
Andrea Cistana0%
Fabrizio Paghera0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Alexander Jallow0%
Niccolò Corrado0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Nicolas Galazzi0%
Michele Besaggio0%
Gabriele Calvani0%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah0%
Riccardo Fogliata0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Sassuolo
Spezia
Cremonese
Juve Stabia
Catanzaro
Cesena
Palermo
Bari
Sudtirol
Modena
Carrarese
Mantova
Sampdoria
Reggiana
Frosinone
Salernitana
Cittadella
Cosenza