Podbrezová’s recent slump, highlighted by a 0-5 loss to Dunajská Streda, sets the tone for this clash, while FK Košice also returns from a defeat, having been beaten 1-2 by Slovan Bratislava. The model’s most striking edge lies in the high probability of an under-2.5-goals first half, with a 97.6 % chance, far above market expectations. Home win is the favoured outcome at 41 %, draw 24 %, away win 35 %. The average goal expectation is 3.5, with the most likely total of three goals at a 21 % probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10 % chance. Podbrezová averages 2.22 goals scored and 1.11 conceded at home against similar opposition; FK Košice averages 1.93 scored and 1.87 conceded on the road versus similar teams. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.6 %), Under 7.5 (97.2 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.6 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.4 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (93.7 %), Under 6.5 (93.2 %), Away under 3.5 goals (90.9 %), and Home under 3.5 goals (88.3 %).
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Podbrezová, failed to deliver, as the match finished 2-2, a draw that left the model’s pick wrong. The game came after both sides had drawn their previous fixtures, with Podbrezová’s recent run noted as “coming off a draw.” The model had given a 43% chance to a home win, yet the outcome was a stalemate. All of the model’s suggested picks were correct: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.5%, Under 7.5 at 97.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.9%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 95.5%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.9%, Under 6.5 at 93.1%, Away under 3.5 goals at 91.5%, and Over 1.5 at 87.8%. The total goal expectation of 3.5 was not met, with the actual tally of four goals exceeding the model’s most likely 3-goal scenario.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Podbrezová win✗ Miss
43.2%
Avg Implied 50.7% · @ 1.81
Edge
-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.88
Bet365
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Dafabet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
Draw✓ Hit
23.8%
Avg Implied 23.5% · @ 3.90
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.11
Betfair
4.00
Dafabet
4.00
Betano
3.95
Unibet
3.95
FK Košice win✗ Miss
33.0%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.56
Edge
+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.71
Bet365
3.70
Marathonbet
3.68
1xBet
3.68
10Bet
3.65
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Podbrezová
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.47
1.73
1.40
1.93
1.53
vs Stronger (13)
0.92
2.08
1.00
1.83
0.86
2.29
vs Similar (16)
2.50
1.06
2.22
1.11
2.86
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Košice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Košice
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.10
1.50
2.15
1.08
2.06
1.82
vs Stronger (4)
2.00
1.25
2.33
0.67
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
2.00
1.60
2.10
1.20
1.93
1.87
vs Weaker (1)
5.00
0.00
-
-
5.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Podbrezová) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.8%
@ 1.10+3.2%
Under 1.5
12.2%
@ 6.02-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Pinnacle
1.11
Under
Pinnacle
6.69
Betfair
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
68.7%
@ 1.38+1.9%
Under 2.5
31.3%
@ 2.78-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Superbet
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.94
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.80
BetVictor
2.80
Unibet
2.80
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.3%
@ 1.99+0.3%
Under 3.5
52.7%
@ 1.76-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.06
Betano
2.02
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
2.01
Superbet
2.00
Under
Betfair
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.76
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
69.5%
@ 1.39+3.2%
No
30.5%
@ 2.74-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.41
Betfair
1.40
Betano
1.40
William Hil
1.40
No
BetVictor
2.88
1xBet
2.81
Betfair
2.80
Marathonbet
2.76
Betano
2.72
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.9%@ 7.89+4.1%
2-1
8.6%@ 7.93+2.8%
1-2
7.4%@ 11.42+3.4%
2-2 ✓
7.1%@ 10.37+2.7%
3-1
5.4%@ 11.53+1.5%
2-0
5.2%@ 11.42+1.2%
1-0
4.6%@ 11.26+0.5%
3-2
4.5%@ 15.19+1.5%
Podbrezová goals ↓
FK Košice goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.8%
3.9%
3.9%
2.1%
0.9%
1
4.6%
9.9%
7.4%
4.1%
1.7%
2
5.2%
8.6%
7.1%
3.9%
1.6%
3
3.3%
5.4%
4.5%
2.4%
1.0%
4
1.6%
2.6%
2.1%
1.2%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Podbrezová goals (down), columns = FK Košice goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dunajska Streda
2.60
Slovan Bratislava
2.40
Žilina
2.17
Spartak Trnava
2.17
Podbrezová
1.67
FK Košice
1.20
Skalica
1.17
Zemplín Michalovce
1.17
AS Trencin
1.00
Dukla Banská Bystrica
0.67
Komárno
0.50
Ružomberok
0.17
Podbrezová is 0.47 points better than FK Košice in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dunajska Streda
3.40
Slovan Bratislava
3.00
FK Košice
2.80
Žilina
2.50
Spartak Trnava
2.17
Podbrezová
1.67
Skalica
1.50
AS Trencin
1.40
Komárno
1.00
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.00
Zemplín Michalovce
0.83
Ružomberok
0.67
Podbrezová is 1.13 goals worse than FK Košice in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 2.80).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Dunajska Streda
0.40
Slovan Bratislava
0.60
Spartak Trnava
0.83
Zemplín Michalovce
1.17
Komárno
1.83
Žilina
2.00
Podbrezová
2.00
AS Trencin
2.20
Ružomberok
2.50
Skalica
2.50
Dukla Banská Bystrica
2.50
FK Košice
2.60
Podbrezová is 0.60 goals better than FK Košice in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 2.60).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Podbrezová
For 4.4 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 12.2 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FK Košice
For 5.0 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 8.8 · Total 20.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Podbrezová
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
11.8
9.5
2.2
2.2
2.2
26.7
25.2
28.1
vs Stronger (20)
12.2
12.6
11.7
1.6
1.9
1.4
28.5
26.6
31.7
vs Similar (28)
9.7
11.2
8.8
2.8
2.4
3.1
25.7
24.0
26.9
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
57%
64%
50%
34%
32%
36%
78%
64%
92%
% under line
43%
36%
50%
66%
68%
64%
22%
36%
8%
This opponent (FK Košice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Košice
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
9.2
11.5
1.5
1.8
1.2
22.3
22.4
22.2
vs Stronger (8)
9.0
7.0
13.0
0.9
0.8
1.0
20.3
22.0
17.0
vs Similar (39)
10.5
9.7
11.3
1.7
2.1
1.4
22.6
22.4
22.7
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
64%
55%
73%
18%
26%
11%
45%
55%
36%
% under line
36%
45%
27%
82%
74%
89%
55%
45%
64%
This opponent (Podbrezová) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AS Trencin
11.2
Podbrezová
10.6
FK Košice
10.5
Ružomberok
10.2
Dukla Banská Bystrica
10.2
Zemplín Michalovce
10.0
Dunajska Streda
10.0
Slovan Bratislava
9.9
Komárno
9.8
Skalica
9.7
Žilina
9.6
Spartak Trnava
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Spartak Trnava
5.1
Slovan Bratislava
5.0
Dunajska Streda
4.9
Skalica
4.8
Podbrezová
4.7
AS Trencin
4.7
Komárno
4.5
Zemplín Michalovce
4.4
Ružomberok
4.4
FK Košice
4.2
Žilina
3.9
Dukla Banská Bystrica
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Spartak Trnava
28.1
Skalica
27.2
Komárno
27.0
Zemplín Michalovce
26.8
Podbrezová
26.5
Žilina
26.3
Dunajska Streda
26.3
Ružomberok
25.9
Slovan Bratislava
25.5
AS Trencin
25.5
FK Košice
24.0
Dukla Banská Bystrica
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
59.0%
@ 1.55-0.7%
Under 9.5
41.0%
@ 2.29+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.65
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.49
Under
Pinnacle
2.39
Marathonbet
2.34
Betano
2.32
1xBet
2.32
Superbet
2.10
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
63.7%
Under 3.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
76.6%
Under 21.5
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Podbrezová or Draw✓ Hit
67.0%
Avg Implied 74.2% · @ 1.25
Edge
-7.2%
43%
24%
33%
covers Podbrezová + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Podbrezová or FK Košice✗ Miss
76.2%
Avg Implied 76.7% · @ 1.21
Edge
-0.5%
43%
24%
33%
covers Podbrezová + FK Košice
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Draw or FK Košice✓ Hit
56.8%
Avg Implied 49.1% · @ 1.88
Edge
+7.7%
43%
24%
33%
covers Draw + FK Košice
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.95
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.91
William Hil
1.91
1xBet
1.91
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Podbrezová over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
85.0%
@ 1.10+0.3%
Under
15.0%
@ 6.06-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
Under
BetVictor
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Superbet
6.10
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Podbrezová over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
56.6%
@ 1.54-3.8%
Under
43.4%
@ 2.35+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
Superbet
1.54
Under
Pinnacle
2.47
Marathonbet
2.38
BetVictor
2.38
Betfair
2.38
10Bet
2.38
Podbrezová over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
29.6%
@ 2.65-5.2%
Under
70.4%
@ 1.42+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.72
BetVictor
2.70
Marathonbet
2.66
Under
Betano
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.43
Unibet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Podbrezová over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.5%
@ 5.16-5.5%
Under
87.5%
@ 1.13+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.00
Betano
5.00
1xBet
4.80
Under
Betano
1.15
BetVictor
1.13
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
FK Košice over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.7%
@ 1.25+6.2%
Under
19.3%
@ 3.64-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Under
Pinnacle
3.97
Betfair
3.75
BetVictor
3.75
Betano
3.65
Superbet
3.60
FK Košice over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
49.0%
@ 2.20+6.9%
Under
51.0%
@ 1.60-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.28
Bet365
2.25
Marathonbet
2.23
1xBet
2.23
BetVictor
2.20
Under
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.63
Betfair
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
Superbet
1.61
FK Košice over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
22.9%
@ 4.90+4.0%
Under
77.1%
@ 1.14-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.10
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
FK Košice over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.5%
@ 9.75-1.1%
Under
91.5%
@ 1.03+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Podbrezová, so a minus line means Podbrezová give that many goals of a start and FK Košice receive them. At -1, Podbrezová must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Podbrezová win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Podbrezová)Actual: FK Košice
Podbrezová -2
11.0%
@ 5.34-5.5%
Draw -2
13.2%
@ 5.15-3.9%
FK Košice +2
75.7%
@ 1.33+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Unibet
4.20
Draw
Marathonbet
5.65
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
4.10
Away
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.32
Betfair
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Handicap -1 (Podbrezová)Actual: FK Košice
Podbrezová -1
24.3%
@ 2.83-6.6%
Draw -1
19.0%
@ 3.90-3.5%
FK Košice +1
56.8%
@ 1.87+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.89
Bet365
2.88
Unibet
2.48
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.80
Unibet
3.25
Away
10Bet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.91
Unibet
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Handicap +1 (Podbrezová)Actual: Podbrezová
Podbrezová +1
67.0%
@ 1.27-4.0%
Draw +1
16.3%
@ 5.61+0.3%
FK Košice -1
16.7%
@ 6.97+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.00
Away
Marathonbet
7.40
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
10Bet
6.50
Handicap +2 (Podbrezová)Actual: Podbrezová
Podbrezová +2
83.3%
@ 1.07-2.5%
Draw +2
10.0%
@ 10.50+1.2%
FK Košice -2
6.7%
@ 17.00+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Away
Bet365
17.00
Betfair
17.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Podbrezová
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.50
0.73
0.47
1.13
0.53
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
0.77
0.33
0.67
0.57
0.86
vs Similar (16)
1.25
0.31
1.00
0.33
1.57
0.29
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Košice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Košice
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.67
1.31
0.38
1.24
0.88
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.67
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
1.24
0.68
1.40
0.30
1.13
0.93
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Podbrezová) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.2%
@ 1.21-3.4%
Under 0.5
26.8%
@ 3.98+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Under
1xBet
4.20
BetVictor
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
40.7%
@ 2.02-5.4%
Under 1.5
59.3%
@ 1.72+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.12
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.09
William Hil
2.05
1xBet
2.03
Under
10Bet
1.77
SBO
1.75
Pinnacle
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.4%
@ 4.24-7.5%
Under 2.5
85.6%
@ 1.19+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
William Hil
4.20
Betano
4.20
Under
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.20
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Podbrezová over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
52.3%
@ 1.56-7.4%
Under
47.7%
@ 2.32+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.62
Pinnacle
1.56
Superbet
1.55
1xBet
1.55
10Bet
1.53
Under
Pinnacle
2.41
10Bet
2.35
1xBet
2.30
Superbet
2.30
Betano
2.22
Podbrezová over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.1%
@ 3.69-10.0%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.24+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.82
Betano
3.80
1xBet
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Under
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
Podbrezová over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 9.42-6.9%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.04+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
10Bet
9.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
FK Košice over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
48.8%
@ 1.99+2.0%
Under
51.2%
@ 1.75-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.06
Betano
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.97
Superbet
1.97
Under
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.75
1xBet
1.74
FK Košice over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
13.1%
@ 6.03-2.3%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.10+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.55
1xBet
6.10
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
FK Košice over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 15.38-3.7%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Podbrezová
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.97
1.00
0.93
0.80
1.00
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
1.31
0.67
1.17
0.29
1.43
vs Similar (16)
1.25
0.75
1.22
0.78
1.29
0.71
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Košice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Košice
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.83
0.85
0.69
0.82
0.94
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
0.50
1.33
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.92
0.70
0.90
0.80
0.93
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Podbrezová) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.7%
@ 1.12-2.5%
Under 0.5
19.3%
@ 5.53+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Under
Bet365
6.00
Betano
5.70
10Bet
5.50
1xBet
5.50
Superbet
5.45
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
52.6%
@ 1.61-5.1%
Under 1.5
47.4%
@ 2.19+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Superbet
1.61
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
Under
Betano
2.30
Bet365
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.17
1xBet
2.17
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
24.3%
@ 2.89-7.9%
Under 2.5
75.7%
@ 1.37+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
William Hil
3.00
Superbet
2.87
1xBet
2.85
Marathonbet
2.85
Under
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.36
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Podbrezová over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
56.4%
@ 1.38-11.0%
Under
43.6%
@ 2.85+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.39
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Under
Betano
2.90
10Bet
2.90
Superbet
2.80
1xBet
2.80
Podbrezová over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
22.8%
@ 2.74-11.0%
Under
77.2%
@ 1.40+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.80
10Bet
2.75
1xBet
2.75
Superbet
2.75
Betano
2.67
Under
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.40
10Bet
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.38
Podbrezová over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.1%
@ 6.50-9.2%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.09+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
10Bet
6.50
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
FK Košice over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
52.6%
@ 1.68-2.6%
Under
47.4%
@ 2.07+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.68
Superbet
1.68
10Bet
1.67
Betano
1.65
Under
Betano
2.15
10Bet
2.10
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.03
1xBet
2.02
FK Košice over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
21.2%
@ 4.37-0.1%
Under
78.8%
@ 1.18+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Betano
4.00
Under
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
FK Košice over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.5%
@ 10.75-4.2%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.02+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
12.00
1xBet
11.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.9%
1.04
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.5%
1.02
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.9%
1.09
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
-
-
+9.2%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
93.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
91.5%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
87.8%
1.10
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Pinnacle
1.11
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
87.5%
1.13
Betano
1.15
BetVictor
1.13
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.9%
1.10
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
-
+2.3%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.6%
1.19
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.20
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
85.2%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Pinnacle
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
85.0%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
84.9%
1.24
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
-
+10.0%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
83.3%
1.07
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
-
-
-
-2.5%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
80.7%
1.25
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.7%
1.12
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
-2.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
78.8%
1.18
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
-
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
77.2%
1.40
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.40
10Bet
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.38
+11.0%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
77.1%
1.14
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-4.0%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
76.2%
1.21
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
-0.5%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
75.7%
1.33
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.32
Betfair
1.30
Unibet
1.30
+9.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
75.7%
1.37
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.36
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.2%
1.21
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
-3.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
71.7%
1.30
Betfair
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
10Bet
1.30
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.9%
1.32
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
-
+1.1%
-
Home under 2.5 goals
70.4%
1.42
Betano
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.43
Unibet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
+5.2%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Podbrezová · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Radek Siler35%
Roland Galčík33%
Matúš Marcin33%
Daniel Smékal33%
Peter Kováčik27%
Rene Rantuša Lampreht25%
Ousman Kujabi20%
Kevor Palumets18%
Luka Silagadze11%
Aleksa Marković11%
Vincent Chyla11%
Andrii Havrylenko9%
Ondrej Deml9%
Jakub Luka7%
René Paraj6%
Samuel Štefánik6%
Branislav Niňaj0%
Ivan Rehák0%
Ridwan Sanusi0%
Davit Hakobyan0%
Filip Mielke0%
Severin Tatolna0%
Matej Juricka0%
Maksym Khiminets0%
Mohamed Sallah0%
Muhammed Dumbuya0%
Balša Mrvaljević0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jakub Luka43%
Andrii Havrylenko36%
René Paraj31%
Radek Siler29%
Branislav Niňaj25%
Rene Rantuša Lampreht25%
Mohamed Sallah25%
Kevor Palumets24%
Luka Silagadze22%
Balša Mrvaljević14%
Peter Kováčik13%
Filip Mielke12%
Aleksa Marković11%
Vincent Chyla11%
Ousman Kujabi10%
Ridwan Sanusi8%
Matej Juricka8%
Roland Galčík7%
Ivan Rehák0%
Samuel Štefánik0%
Matúš Marcin0%
Daniel Smékal0%
Davit Hakobyan0%
Severin Tatolna0%
Ondrej Deml0%
Maksym Khiminets0%
Muhammed Dumbuya0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Smékal33%
Severin Tatolna33%
Luka Silagadze22%
Roland Galčík20%
Ondrej Deml18%
Samuel Štefánik17%
Kevor Palumets12%
Filip Mielke12%
Radek Siler12%
Ridwan Sanusi8%
Peter Kováčik7%
René Paraj6%
Branislav Niňaj0%
Ivan Rehák0%
Andrii Havrylenko0%
Matúš Marcin0%
Jakub Luka0%
Rene Rantuša Lampreht0%
Aleksa Marković0%
Davit Hakobyan0%
Vincent Chyla0%
Matej Juricka0%
Ousman Kujabi0%
Maksym Khiminets0%
Mohamed Sallah0%
Muhammed Dumbuya0%
Balša Mrvaljević0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Radek Siler41%
Daniel Smékal33%
Roland Galčík27%
Maksym Khiminets17%
Peter Kováčik13%
Rene Rantuša Lampreht12%
Aleksa Marković11%
Ousman Kujabi10%
Andrii Havrylenko9%
Ridwan Sanusi8%
Samuel Štefánik6%
Luka Silagadze0%
Branislav Niňaj0%
Ivan Rehák0%
René Paraj0%
Matúš Marcin0%
Kevor Palumets0%
Jakub Luka0%
Davit Hakobyan0%
Filip Mielke0%
Severin Tatolna0%
Vincent Chyla0%
Ondrej Deml0%
Matej Juricka0%
Mohamed Sallah0%
Muhammed Dumbuya0%
Balša Mrvaljević0%
FK Košice · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vladimir Perišić29%
Roman Čerepkai28%
Milan Rehuš27%
Mátyás Kovács21%
Filip Lichý20%
Matej Jakúbek18%
Ján Krivák17%
Miroslav Sovič13%
David Gallovic11%
Karlo Miljanić8%
Matej Madleňák6%
Edin Julardžija0%
Osman Kakay0%
Milan Dimun0%
Kevin Dąbrowski0%
Dominik Kružliak0%
Marek Zsigmund0%
Matúš Kira0%
Daniel Magda0%
Zyen Jones0%
Leonardo Lukačević0%
Adam Goljan0%
Sebastian Kóša0%
Emilian Metu0%
Juraj Teplan0%
Tomas Durko0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daniel Magda30%
Filip Lichý30%
Dominik Kružliak22%
Sebastian Kóša22%
Vladimir Perišić21%
Juraj Teplan20%
Ján Krivák17%
Emilian Metu14%
Edin Julardžija12%
Milan Dimun11%
Tomas Durko11%
Mátyás Kovács11%
Kevin Dąbrowski9%
Karlo Miljanić8%
Marek Zsigmund7%
Miroslav Sovič7%
Osman Kakay6%
Matej Madleňák6%
Roman Čerepkai6%
David Gallovic6%
Matúš Kira0%
Zyen Jones0%
Matej Jakúbek0%
Leonardo Lukačević0%
Adam Goljan0%
Milan Rehuš0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mátyás Kovács21%
Milan Rehuš20%
Roman Čerepkai17%
Karlo Miljanić15%
Miroslav Sovič13%
Milan Dimun11%
Leonardo Lukačević11%
David Gallovic11%
Daniel Magda10%
Filip Lichý10%
Osman Kakay6%
Matej Madleňák6%
Edin Julardžija0%
Kevin Dąbrowski0%
Dominik Kružliak0%
Marek Zsigmund0%
Matúš Kira0%
Ján Krivák0%
Zyen Jones0%
Matej Jakúbek0%
Adam Goljan0%
Sebastian Kóša0%
Emilian Metu0%
Vladimir Perišić0%
Juraj Teplan0%
Tomas Durko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roman Čerepkai33%
Karlo Miljanić31%
Vladimir Perišić29%
Matej Jakúbek27%
Adam Goljan25%
Edin Julardžija12%
Milan Dimun11%
Milan Rehuš7%
Osman Kakay6%
Dominik Kružliak6%
Matej Madleňák6%
Kevin Dąbrowski0%
Marek Zsigmund0%
Matúš Kira0%
Ján Krivák0%
Daniel Magda0%
Zyen Jones0%
Leonardo Lukačević0%
Filip Lichý0%
David Gallovic0%
Sebastian Kóša0%
Emilian Metu0%
Mátyás Kovács0%
Miroslav Sovič0%
Juraj Teplan0%
Tomas Durko0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (28)
€35m
DS (27)
€15m
ŽIL (25)
€12m
AT (27)
€7m
ST (27)
€7m
FK (25)
€6m
POD (22)
€5m
RUŽ (26)
€5m
ZM (22)
€4m
KOM (24)
€3m
DBB (24)
€3m
SKA (22)
€2m
Podbrezová and FK Košice have a similar squad value (both €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (12)
€15m
DS (10)
€7m
ŽIL (10)
€4m
ST (9)
€2m
POD (8)
€2m
AT (9)
€2m
FK (5)
€1m
RUŽ (10)
€1m
KOM (10)
€1m
ZM (8)
€1m
DBB (7)
€1m
SKA (6)
€0m
Podbrezová and FK Košice have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (6)
€7m
DS (6)
€4m
FK (9)
€2m
AT (6)
€2m
POD (5)
€1m
ŽIL (4)
€1m
ST (6)
€1m
RUŽ (5)
€1m
ZM (5)
€1m
DBB (6)
€1m
KOM (5)
€1m
SKA (5)
€1m
Podbrezová and FK Košice have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (10)
€13m
ŽIL (11)
€6m
DS (11)
€5m
AT (12)
€4m
ST (12)
€3m
FK (11)
€2m
RUŽ (11)
€2m
POD (9)
€2m
ZM (9)
€2m
SKA (11)
€1m
KOM (9)
€1m
DBB (11)
€1m
Podbrezová and FK Košice have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Slovakia: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: Super Liga stats & trends →
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Dunajska Streda
Spartak Trnava
Žilina
Slovan Bratislava
Zemplín Michalovce
Skalica
AS Trencin
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Komárno
Ružomberok