PythiaFootballBETA
In a finely balanced encounter, Podbrezová host Zemplín Michalovce in the Slovakia: Super Liga, with recent form pointing towards a high-scoring match. Podbrezová, coming off a 4-1 win over Ružomberok, have been impressive at home, scoring 2.17 goals on average while conceding just 0.67. Zemplín Michalovce, however, have struggled away from home, scoring 1.2 goals on average while conceding 1.0.
The model predicts a home win (41%) over a draw (26%) and an away win (32%), with the most likely match result being a home win. An expected total of 3.0 goals is anticipated, with the most likely score being a 1-1 draw (12.3%).
The model's selection is the home win, with the away side's away scoring and conceding statistics versus similar opponents suggesting a competitive match. The model also selects Over 1.5 goals (81.1%) and Over 21.5 fouls (80.4%). The home win percentage is 41%, the draw percentage is 26%, and the away win percentage is 32%.
The win extends Podbrezová's run, as they secured a 2-0 victory over Zemplín Michalovce. The result was in line with the final score, confirming the actual outcome. The model's call was correct, as Podbrezová were the pre-match favourite, with a 41% chance of winning. The selection was a home win, and it landed as expected. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals proved accurate, with 81.1% probability, as the game saw a total of 2 goals. The suggested pick of Over 2.5 goals, with a 81.1% probability, missed, as the most likely scores were 1-1, 2-1, and 1-2.
Podbrezová| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.70 | 1.53 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.80 | 1.47 |
| vs Stronger (17) | 1.29 | 2.06 | 1.22 | 2.22 | 1.38 | 1.88 |
| vs Similar (13) | 2.23 | 0.85 | 2.17 | 0.67 | 2.29 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (-1pp vs league) | |||||
Zemplín Michalovce| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.47 | 1.80 | 1.20 | 1.53 |
| vs Stronger (22) | 1.27 | 1.73 | 1.36 | 1.73 | 1.18 | 1.73 |
| vs Similar (8) | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (-1pp vs league) | |||||
| Zemplín Michalovce goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 12% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
PodbrezováZemplín MichalovcePodbrezová| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.5 | 10.4 | 10.6 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 26.6 | 26.0 | 27.1 |
| vs Stronger (28) | 10.9 | 10.9 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 26.3 | 27.2 | 25.4 |
| vs Similar (22) | 10.0 | 9.8 | 10.2 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 4.3 | 26.9 | 24.6 | 28.9 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 58% | 47% | 68% | 48% | 46% | 50% | 75% | 76% | 74% |
| % under line | 42% | 53% | 32% | 52% | 54% | 50% | 25% | 24% | 26% |
Zemplín Michalovce| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.3 | 10.3 | 10.2 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 26.7 | 28.1 | 25.2 |
| vs Stronger (33) | 10.3 | 10.3 | 10.3 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 26.4 | 27.8 | 25.2 |
| vs Similar (17) | 10.2 | 10.3 | 10.0 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 27.2 | 28.3 | 25.2 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 56% | 60% | 53% | 48% | 52% | 44% | 87% | 85% | 89% |
| % under line | 44% | 40% | 47% | 52% | 48% | 56% | 13% | 15% | 11% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 21.5 fouls | 81.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 1.5 | 81.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 14/03/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 06/12/25 | A | 0-4 | |
| 30/08/25 | H | 2-2 | |
| 08/02/25 | A | 2-2 | |
| 22/09/24 | H | 4-1 | |
| 10/02/24 | H | 2-1 | |
| 23/09/23 | A | 1-5 |
Podbrezová| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 09/05/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 03/05/26 | H | 0-3 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 11/04/26 | H | 1-5 | |
| 05/04/26 | A | 4-1 | |
| 22/03/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 14/03/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 08/03/26 | A | 2-1 |
Zemplín Michalovce| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 09/05/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 05/05/26 | A | 3-2 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 18/04/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 12/04/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 04/04/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 21/03/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 14/03/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 07/03/26 | H | 1-3 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 |  Spartak Trnava | 4 | 10 | 75% | 2.5 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 2.5 | 100% | 50% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 56% |
| 2 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 9 | 100% | 3.0 | 12 | 0 | +12 | 4.0 | 100% | 100% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 44 | 26 | 6 | 12 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 59% |
| 3 | Podbrezová | 4 | 9 | 75% | 2.2 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 3.2 | 100% | 75% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 51% |
| 4 |  Dunajska Streda | 3 | 7 | 67% | 2.3 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 2.3 | 100% | 33% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 53% |
| 5 |  Skalica | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 3.8 | 100% | 75% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 42% |
| 6 |  Žilina | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 10 | 10 | +0 | 5.0 | 75% | 75% | 75% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 50% |
| 7 |  FK Košice | 3 | 5 | 33% | 1.7 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 6.7 | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 49% |
| 8 |  AS Trencin | 3 | 2 | 0% | 0.7 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3.7 | 100% | 67% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 51% |
| 9 |  Komárno | 4 | 2 | 0% | 0.5 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2.5 | 100% | 50% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 48% |
| 10 | Zemplín Michalovce | 4 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1.8 | 75% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 52% |
| 11 |  Ružomberok | 4 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3.8 | 100% | 75% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 43% |
| 12 |  Dukla Banská Bystrica | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 4.0 | 100% | 75% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | 3.2 | - |