This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.97
2.13
1.67
1.47
2.27
vs Stronger (5)
2.00
3.00
2.67
3.33
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (9)
1.22
1.89
1.00
1.20
1.50
2.75
vs Weaker (16)
2.06
1.69
2.71
1.29
1.56
2.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Podbrezová) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.8%
Under 1.5
16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
61.9%
Under 2.5
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.6%
Under 3.5
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.6%
No
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
6.7%
0-1
5.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-0
5.4%
0-0
5.2%
Podbrezová goals ↓
Žilina goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.2%
5.6%
5.4%
3.0%
1.2%
1
5.4%
12%
8.5%
4.6%
1.9%
2
5.0%
8.2%
6.7%
3.6%
1.5%
3
2.6%
4.3%
3.5%
1.9%
0.8%
4
1.0%
1.7%
1.4%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Podbrezová goals (down), columns = Žilina goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slovan Bratislava
2.28
Dunajska Streda
1.81
Spartak Trnava
1.78
Žilina
1.72
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.59
AS Trencin
1.53
Petržalka
1.50
Ružomberok
1.47
Skalica
1.25
Podbrezová
1.16
Zemplín Michalovce
0.88
FK Košice
0.84
Zlaté Moravce
0.38
Podbrezová is 0.56 points worse than Žilina in terms of average points per game (1.16 vs 1.72).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slovan Bratislava
2.38
Žilina
1.69
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.56
Podbrezová
1.53
Dunajska Streda
1.53
AS Trencin
1.50
Spartak Trnava
1.47
Ružomberok
1.19
Skalica
1.09
Petržalka
1.00
Zemplín Michalovce
0.94
FK Košice
0.84
Zlaté Moravce
0.66
Podbrezová is 0.16 goals worse than Žilina in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.69).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spartak Trnava
0.91
Slovan Bratislava
0.97
Dunajska Streda
1.00
AS Trencin
1.06
Skalica
1.19
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.28
Ružomberok
1.34
Žilina
1.41
Zemplín Michalovce
1.47
Petržalka
1.50
FK Košice
1.75
Podbrezová
1.88
Zlaté Moravce
2.06
Podbrezová is 0.47 goals worse than Žilina in terms of goals conceded per game (1.88 vs 1.41).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
AS Trencin
64%
Slovan Bratislava
57%
Žilina
56%
Podbrezová
55%
Dukla Banská Bystrica
49%
Dunajska Streda
48%
Zlaté Moravce
47%
Spartak Trnava
47%
Skalica
45%
Zemplín Michalovce
45%
Ružomberok
44%
FK Košice
42%
Podbrezová is 1.0 percentage points worse than Žilina in terms of average possession (55% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Podbrezová
For 6.5 · Against 6.0 · Total 12.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 11.4 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Žilina
For 5.5 · Against 5.6 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 10.9 · Total 20.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Podbrezová
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (34)
11.1
11.1
11.1
3.0
2.5
3.5
25.7
23.2
27.8
vs Stronger (12)
11.2
10.2
13.0
2.7
3.7
1.7
21.9
22.2
21.3
vs Similar (18)
10.8
12.5
9.9
3.2
1.3
5.1
27.2
23.5
29.1
vs Weaker (4)
12.5
10.0
15.0
3.2
4.5
2.0
31.5
27.0
36.0
% over line
68%
80%
58%
50%
41%
59%
82%
80%
83%
% under line
32%
20%
42%
50%
59%
41%
18%
20%
17%
This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (39)
10.7
10.1
11.4
2.5
3.1
1.8
24.1
24.6
23.5
vs Stronger (6)
9.0
9.0
9.0
1.2
2.0
0.3
20.8
19.3
25.0
vs Similar (12)
11.3
12.8
10.2
2.4
2.8
2.0
23.6
23.0
24.0
vs Weaker (21)
10.8
9.2
12.8
3.0
3.6
2.2
25.4
27.1
23.0
% over line
59%
53%
67%
38%
50%
26%
64%
57%
73%
% under line
41%
47%
33%
62%
50%
74%
36%
43%
27%
This opponent (Podbrezová) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Zemplín Michalovce
11.8
Podbrezová
11.1
AS Trencin
11.0
Zlaté Moravce
10.8
Žilina
10.7
Dukla Banská Bystrica
10.5
Dunajska Streda
10.2
FK Košice
10.0
Ružomberok
9.8
Skalica
9.7
Spartak Trnava
9.5
Slovan Bratislava
9.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
AS Trencin
5.3
Zlaté Moravce
5.1
FK Košice
5.0
Podbrezová
4.7
Dunajska Streda
4.6
Spartak Trnava
4.6
Skalica
4.4
Slovan Bratislava
4.3
Dukla Banská Bystrica
4.2
Ružomberok
4.0
Žilina
3.9
Zemplín Michalovce
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ružomberok
28.6
Zlaté Moravce
27.5
FK Košice
27.0
Dunajska Streda
27.0
Slovan Bratislava
26.9
Skalica
26.1
Podbrezová
25.7
Žilina
24.1
Spartak Trnava
24.0
AS Trencin
24.0
Dukla Banská Bystrica
23.9
Zemplín Michalovce
23.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
65.0%
Under 9.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
49.0%
Under 3.5
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
63.9%
Under 21.5
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Podbrezová
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.63
0.87
0.73
0.67
0.53
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
0.30
1.00
0.75
0.33
0.00
vs Similar (16)
0.81
1.00
0.89
0.89
0.71
1.14
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.77
0.80
0.53
0.93
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
0.80
1.33
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (9)
0.56
0.78
0.20
0.20
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (16)
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.57
1.00
0.89
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Podbrezová) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Podbrezová over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Podbrezová over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Podbrezová over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Podbrezová
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.83
0.53
0.67
0.80
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.90
0.90
1.25
0.50
0.67
1.17
vs Similar (16)
0.50
0.81
0.33
0.89
0.71
0.71
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.75
0.00
0.00
1.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.20
1.33
1.13
0.53
1.27
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
2.20
1.33
2.33
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (9)
0.67
1.11
0.80
1.00
0.50
1.25
vs Weaker (16)
1.06
0.94
1.71
0.71
0.56
1.11
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Podbrezová) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Podbrezová over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Podbrezová over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Podbrezová over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Podbrezová
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marek Kuzma33%
Ridwan Sanusi31%
Patrik Blahut25%
Mário Mrva17%
Marek Kristián Bartoš13%
Christophe Kabongo8%
Roland Galčík7%
René Paraj7%
Mark Assinor6%
Peter Kováčik6%
Richard Ludha0%
Ivan Rehák0%
Matej Oravec0%
Mikuláš Bakaľa0%
Samuel Ďatko0%
Matej Grešák0%
Martin Talakov0%
Adam Danko0%
Aleksa Marković0%
Filip Mielke0%
Andy Masaryk0%
Vincent Chyla0%
Šimon Faško0%
Lekan Okunola0%
Bajo0%
Alasana Yirajang0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Patrik Blahut50%
René Paraj40%
Šimon Faško30%
Matej Grešák29%
Marek Kristián Bartoš27%
Ridwan Sanusi25%
Bajo19%
Martin Talakov18%
Alasana Yirajang17%
Matej Oravec14%
Mikuláš Bakaľa12%
Vincent Chyla9%
Roland Galčík7%
Mark Assinor6%
Mário Mrva0%
Marek Kuzma0%
Richard Ludha0%
Ivan Rehák0%
Samuel Ďatko0%
Peter Kováčik0%
Christophe Kabongo0%
Adam Danko0%
Aleksa Marković0%
Filip Mielke0%
Andy Masaryk0%
Lekan Okunola0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Peter Kováčik24%
René Paraj13%
Šimon Faško10%
Marek Kristián Bartoš7%
Mikuláš Bakaľa6%
Mário Mrva0%
Marek Kuzma0%
Richard Ludha0%
Ivan Rehák0%
Matej Oravec0%
Samuel Ďatko0%
Roland Galčík0%
Patrik Blahut0%
Matej Grešák0%
Martin Talakov0%
Christophe Kabongo0%
Adam Danko0%
Ridwan Sanusi0%
Aleksa Marković0%
Filip Mielke0%
Andy Masaryk0%
Vincent Chyla0%
Mark Assinor0%
Lekan Okunola0%
Bajo0%
Alasana Yirajang0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roland Galčík27%
Mark Assinor25%
Ridwan Sanusi19%
Marek Kristián Bartoš13%
Bajo12%
Peter Kováčik12%
René Paraj7%
Mário Mrva0%
Marek Kuzma0%
Richard Ludha0%
Ivan Rehák0%
Matej Oravec0%
Mikuláš Bakaľa0%
Samuel Ďatko0%
Patrik Blahut0%
Matej Grešák0%
Martin Talakov0%
Christophe Kabongo0%
Adam Danko0%
Aleksa Marković0%
Filip Mielke0%
Andy Masaryk0%
Vincent Chyla0%
Šimon Faško0%
Lekan Okunola0%
Alasana Yirajang0%
Žilina
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dávid Ďuriš50%
Matúš Rusnák25%
Timotej Jambor21%
Patrik Leitner17%
Patrik Iľko12%
Samuel Gidi12%
Yves Erick Bile12%
Mario Sauer11%
Samuel Ďatko8%
Ján Minárik7%
Antoin Loic Essomba Bikoula7%
Xavier Adang7%
Dominik Javorček6%
Tomáš Hubočan0%
Krisztián Bari0%
Kelian Nsona0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Tomáš Nemčík0%
Andrej Stojchevski0%
James Willy Ndjeungoue0%
Timotej Hranica0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ján Minárik27%
Tomáš Hubočan20%
Patrik Leitner17%
Antoin Loic Essomba Bikoula13%
Samuel Gidi12%
Yves Erick Bile12%
Krisztián Bari7%
Xavier Adang7%
Patrik Iľko6%
Dominik Javorček6%
Mario Sauer6%
Dávid Ďuriš0%
Samuel Ďatko0%
Kelian Nsona0%
Matúš Rusnák0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Tomáš Nemčík0%
Timotej Jambor0%
Andrej Stojchevski0%
James Willy Ndjeungoue0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Samuel Ďatko15%
Ján Minárik13%
Xavier Adang13%
Patrik Iľko12%
Timotej Jambor7%
Dominik Javorček6%
Samuel Gidi6%
Yves Erick Bile6%
Tomáš Hubočan0%
Dávid Ďuriš0%
Krisztián Bari0%
Kelian Nsona0%
Matúš Rusnák0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Tomáš Nemčík0%
Patrik Leitner0%
Andrej Stojchevski0%
Mario Sauer0%
Antoin Loic Essomba Bikoula0%
James Willy Ndjeungoue0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Timotej Jambor36%
Dávid Ďuriš25%
Matúš Rusnák25%
Patrik Iľko18%
Mario Sauer17%
Yves Erick Bile12%
Ján Minárik7%
Krisztián Bari7%
Dominik Javorček6%
Tomáš Hubočan0%
Samuel Ďatko0%
Kelian Nsona0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Tomáš Nemčík0%
Patrik Leitner0%
Andrej Stojchevski0%
Samuel Gidi0%
Antoin Loic Essomba Bikoula0%
James Willy Ndjeungoue0%
Xavier Adang0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (28)
€35m
DS (27)
€15m
ŽIL (25)
€12m
AT (27)
€7m
ST (27)
€7m
FK (25)
€6m
POD (22)
€5m
RUŽ (26)
€5m
ZM (22)
€4m
DBB (24)
€3m
SKA (22)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ZM (14)
€1m
Podbrezová's squad is €7m less valuable than Žilina's (€5m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (12)
€15m
DS (10)
€7m
ŽIL (10)
€4m
ST (9)
€2m
POD (8)
€2m
AT (9)
€2m
FK (5)
€1m
RUŽ (10)
€1m
ZM (8)
€1m
DBB (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
SKA (6)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
Podbrezová's attack is €2m less valuable than Žilina's (€2m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (6)
€7m
DS (6)
€4m
FK (9)
€2m
AT (6)
€2m
POD (5)
€1m
ŽIL (4)
€1m
ST (6)
€1m
RUŽ (5)
€1m
ZM (5)
€1m
DBB (6)
€1m
SKA (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
Podbrezová and Žilina have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (10)
€13m
ŽIL (11)
€6m
DS (11)
€5m
AT (12)
€4m
ST (12)
€3m
FK (11)
€2m
RUŽ (11)
€2m
POD (9)
€2m
ZM (9)
€2m
SKA (11)
€1m
DBB (11)
€1m
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
Podbrezová's defence is €5m less valuable than Žilina's (€2m vs €6m).
Slovakia: Super Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: Super Liga stats & trends →
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Slovan Bratislava
Dunajska Streda
Spartak Trnava
Dukla Banská Bystrica
AS Trencin
Ružomberok
Skalica
Zemplín Michalovce
FK Košice
Zlaté Moravce
Petržalka