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Pogradeci vs Besa Kavajë Result & Analysis

Date: 11/05/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Pogradeci
Pogradeci
vs
Besa Kavajë
Besa Kavajë
Albania: Superliga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pogradeci win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Besa Kavajë win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PogradeciPogradeci

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-541W32W30W30W51W51W02L11D03L30WH·KOR07/03A·BES14/03H·ILI18/03A·BUR22/03H·KAS04/04H·FK 11/04A·LAC19/04H·SKE25/04A·LUF03/05H·KAS07/05
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.171.002.530.601.801.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.001.000.500.501.201.20
vs Weaker (23)2.521.002.850.622.101.50
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Besa Kavajë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-532W23L35L01L32W00D21W11D12L20WA·KAS07/03H·POG14/03A·LAC18/03H·SKE22/03A·LUF05/04H·LUS11/04A·APO19/04H·KOR25/04A·FK 03/05A·ILI07/05
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.271.431.001.251.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.331.381.501.101.181.64
vs Weaker (9)1.331.001.250.751.401.20
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogradeci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Pogradeci
2.00
AF Elbasani
1.74
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.69
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.62
Besa Kavajë
1.50
Dinamo Tirana
1.33
Partizani
1.33
Tirana
1.22
Teuta Durrës
1.22
Vora
1.17
Bylis
1.14
Flamurtari
1.00
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.00
Kastrioti Krujë
0.00
Pogradeci is 0.50 points better than Besa Kavajë in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
AF Elbasani
1.36
Pogradeci
1.33
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.28
Dinamo Tirana
1.15
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.13
Vora
1.08
Flamurtari
1.08
Bylis
1.06
Partizani
1.06
Besa Kavajë
1.00
Tirana
1.00
Teuta Durrës
0.89
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.00
Kastrioti Krujë
0.00
Pogradeci is 0.33 goals better than Besa Kavajë in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Pogradeci
0.33
Besa Kavajë
0.50
Vllaznia Shkodër
0.85
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0.90
Dinamo Tirana
0.97
Teuta Durrës
1.00
AF Elbasani
1.08
Vora
1.11
Flamurtari
1.25
Tirana
1.28
Partizani
1.33
Bylis
1.39
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
2.00
Kastrioti Krujë
3.00
Pogradeci is 0.17 goals better than Besa Kavajë in terms of goals conceded per game (0.33 vs 0.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PogradeciPogradeci

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W00D20W20W21W41W01L01L02L10WH·KOR07/03A·BES14/03H·ILI18/03A·BUR22/03H·KAS04/04H·FK 11/04A·LAC19/04H·SKE25/04A·LUF03/05H·KAS07/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.501.270.400.870.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.140.430.000.500.200.40
vs Weaker (23)1.350.521.460.381.200.70
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Besa Kavajë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D03L00D20W00D10W10W12L20WA·KAS07/03H·POG14/03A·LAC18/03H·SKE22/03A·LUF05/04H·LUS11/04A·APO19/04H·KOR25/04A·FK 03/05A·ILI07/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.400.790.290.690.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.570.330.700.200.450.45
vs Weaker (9)1.110.561.000.501.200.60
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogradeci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pogradeci over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogradeci over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogradeci over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Besa Kavajë over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Besa Kavajë over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Besa Kavajë over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PogradeciPogradeci

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W32W10W10W30W10W01L10W01L20WH·KOR07/03A·BES14/03H·ILI18/03A·BUR22/03H·KAS04/04H·FK 11/04A·LAC19/04H·SKE25/04A·LUF03/05H·KAS07/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.501.270.200.930.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.860.570.500.001.000.80
vs Weaker (23)1.170.481.380.230.900.80
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Besa Kavajë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L23L32W01L12L00D11D01L00D00DA·KAS07/03H·POG14/03A·LAC18/03H·SKE22/03A·LUF05/04H·LUS11/04A·APO19/04H·KOR25/04A·FK 03/05A·ILI07/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.870.640.710.561.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.761.050.800.900.731.18
vs Weaker (9)0.220.440.250.250.200.60
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogradeci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pogradeci over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogradeci over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogradeci over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Besa Kavajë over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Besa Kavajë over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Besa Kavajë over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

No selections above 70% probability for this match.

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAR (29)
€5m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAR (13)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAR (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAR (11)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
2
POG wins
3
Draws
2
BK wins

Head-to-head

Pogradeci vs Besa Kavajë · H/A from POG
DateH/AGameScore
14/03/26ABesa Kavajë Vs POG2-3
17/01/26HPOG Vs Besa Kavajë0-0
19/10/25ABesa Kavajë Vs POG1-1
28/04/25ABesa Kavajë Vs POG0-1
15/03/25HPOG Vs Besa Kavajë0-1
02/12/24ABesa Kavajë Vs POG0-0
11/09/24HPOG Vs Besa Kavajë0-2

PogradeciPogradeci

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/05/26HPOG Vs Kastrioti Krujë3-0
03/05/26ALuftëtari Vs POG3-0
25/04/26HPOG Vs Skenderbeu Korce1-1
19/04/26ALaci Vs POG2-0
11/04/26HPOG Vs FK Kukesi5-1
04/04/26HPOG Vs Kastrioti Krujë5-1
22/03/26ABurreli Vs POG0-3
18/03/26HPOG Vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë3-0
14/03/26ABesa Kavajë Vs POG2-3
07/03/26HPOG Vs Korabi Peshkopi4-1

Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/05/26AIliria Fushë-Krujë Vs BK0-2
03/05/26AFK Kukesi Vs BK2-1
25/04/26HBK Vs Korabi Peshkopi1-1
19/04/26AApolonia Fier Vs BK1-2
11/04/26HBK Vs Lushnja0-0
05/04/26ALuftëtari Vs BK2-3
22/03/26HBK Vs Skenderbeu Korce0-1
18/03/26ALaci Vs BK5-3
14/03/26HBK Vs Pogradeci2-3
07/03/26AKastrioti Krujë Vs BK2-3

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Pogradeci
Pogradeci
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLW2.04
HomeWWWDW2.16
AwayWWWLL1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%64%56%
AVG goals2.582.562.60
Over 1.5 %68%64%72%
Over 2.5 %54%48%60%
Over 3.5 %28%32%24%
Scored1.722.001.44
Conceded0.860.561.16
BTTS44%36%52%
Clean Sheet42%56%28%
Corners---
Cards---
Besa Kavajë
Besa Kavajë
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLW1.56
HomeWLLDD1.68
AwayLWWLW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%44%44%
AVG goals2.462.242.68
Over 1.5 %72%72%72%
Over 2.5 %44%36%52%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored1.381.401.36
Conceded1.080.841.32
BTTS56%56%56%
Clean Sheet32%36%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AF ElbasaniAF Elbasani3968
49%
1.7
5342+11
2.4
67%
51%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
2Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë3966
49%
1.7
5035+15
2.2
62%
33%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.9
-
3Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër3963
46%
1.6
4433+11
2.0
56%
28%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.8
-
4Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana3952
33%
1.3
4538+7
2.1
69%
33%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
5PartizaniPartizani3648
36%
1.3
3848-10
2.4
72%
47%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.3
-
6Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës3745
27%
1.2
3337-4
1.9
49%
27%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
7TiranaTirana3644
31%
1.2
3646-10
2.3
69%
31%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
8VoraVora3642
28%
1.2
3940-1
2.2
64%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
9BylisBylis3641
28%
1.1
3850-12
2.4
67%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
10FlamurtariFlamurtari3636
22%
1.0
3945-6
2.3
69%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
11PogradeciPogradeci36
67%
2.0
41+3
1.7
33%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.3
-
12Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë23
50%
1.5
21+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.5
-
13Iliria Fushë-KrujëIliria Fushë-Krujë10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
14Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.03.0
-
Albania: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: Superliga stats & trends →

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