Pohronie’s recent 2-game winning streak fuels optimism as they face Liptovský Mikuláš, who return after a defeat. The model favours a Pohronie victory, with a 54% chance of home win, a 24% draw probability and a 23% chance for the visitors. The expected total is 3.2 goals, centring on a 3-goal outcome that carries a 22% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with an 10.8% chance. Pohronie average 1.91 goals scored and 0.91 conceded at home against similar opposition, while Liptovský Mikuláš average 1.18 goals scored and 2.0 conceded away. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.3%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.3%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.0%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.6%), Under 6.5 (95.4%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.4%) and Home +2 handicap (90.5%).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Pohronie win
53.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
23.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš win
22.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Pohronie
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.27
2.08
0.92
1.24
1.53
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
1.40
3.00
1.00
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (24)
1.71
1.21
1.91
0.91
1.54
1.46
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Liptovský Mikuláš) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liptovský Mikuláš
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.40
2.08
0.92
1.44
1.72
vs Stronger (10)
2.10
0.80
2.00
0.00
2.17
1.33
vs Similar (19)
1.58
1.74
2.12
1.38
1.18
2.00
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Pohronie) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.1%
Under 1.5
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62.4%
Under 2.5
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
40.2%
Under 3.5
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
62.2%
No
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.8%
1-0
6.9%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
3-0
5.2%
Pohronie goals ↓
Liptovský Mikuláš goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.0%
4.0%
3.1%
1.3%
0.4%
1
6.9%
11%
6.1%
2.5%
0.8%
2
7.8%
9.7%
6.0%
2.5%
0.8%
3
5.2%
6.4%
4.0%
1.6%
0.5%
4
2.6%
3.2%
2.0%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pohronie goals (down), columns = Liptovský Mikuláš goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Petržalka
3.00
Šamorín
2.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Žilina II
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.33
Malženice
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Galanta
1.17
Humenné
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
Slovan Bratislava II
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.50
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.50
Pohronie is 0.33 points better than Liptovský Mikuláš in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Petržalka
2.67
Šamorín
2.17
Pohronie
2.00
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.83
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.67
Inter Bratislava
1.50
Tatran Prešov
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Žilina II
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.67
Humenné
0.67
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.67
Galanta
0.67
Pohronie is 0.33 goals better than Liptovský Mikuláš in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Petržalka
0.33
Šamorín
1.00
Žilina II
1.00
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
1.17
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.33
Humenné
1.50
Galanta
1.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Slovan Bratislava II
1.67
MFK Bytča
3.17
Pohronie is 0.67 goals worse than Liptovský Mikuláš in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Pohronie or Draw
77.4%
Avg Implied -
54%
24%
23%
covers Pohronie + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pohronie or Liptovský Mikuláš
76.3%
Avg Implied -
54%
24%
23%
covers Pohronie + Liptovský Mikuláš
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Liptovský Mikuláš
46.3%
Avg Implied -
54%
24%
23%
covers Draw + Liptovský Mikuláš
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Pohronie over/under 0.5
Over
86.2%
Under
13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 1.5
Over
58.9%
Under
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 2.5
Over
31.8%
Under
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 3.5
Over
14.0%
Under
86.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 0.5
Over
71.0%
Under
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 1.5
Over
35.1%
Under
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 2.5
Over
12.9%
Under
87.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 3.5
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Pohronie, so a minus line means Pohronie give that many goals of a start and Liptovský Mikuláš receive them. At -1, Pohronie must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Pohronie win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Pohronie)
Pohronie -2
15.5%
Draw -2
16.6%
Liptovský Mikuláš +2
67.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Pohronie)
Pohronie -1
32.1%
Draw -1
21.5%
Liptovský Mikuláš +1
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Pohronie)
Pohronie +1
77.4%
Draw +1
13.1%
Liptovský Mikuláš -1
9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Pohronie)
Pohronie +2
90.5%
Draw +2
6.5%
Liptovský Mikuláš -2
3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Pohronie
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.67
1.23
0.54
0.53
0.76
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.80
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (24)
0.88
0.62
1.09
0.45
0.69
0.77
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Liptovský Mikuláš) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liptovský Mikuláš
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.57
0.75
0.33
0.67
0.72
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
0.40
0.75
0.00
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.63
0.75
0.50
0.73
0.73
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Pohronie) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
73.9%
Under 0.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.1%
Under 1.5
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.9%
Under 2.5
84.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pohronie over/under 0.5 HT
Over
50.9%
Under
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 1.5 HT
Over
16.9%
Under
83.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 0.5 HT
Over
47.1%
Under
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.6%
Under
86.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.1%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Pohronie
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.60
0.85
0.38
0.71
0.76
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.60
1.00
0.00
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.58
0.82
0.45
0.85
0.69
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Liptovský Mikuláš) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liptovský Mikuláš
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.83
1.33
0.58
0.78
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
1.40
0.40
1.25
0.00
1.50
0.67
vs Similar (19)
0.84
1.11
1.38
0.88
0.45
1.27
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Pohronie) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
82.1%
Under 0.5
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
50.2%
Under 1.5
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
21.1%
Under 2.5
78.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pohronie over/under 0.5 2H
Over
57.7%
Under
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 1.5 2H
Over
22.1%
Under
77.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.6%
Under
94.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 0.5 2H
Over
54.8%
Under
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.0%
Under
84.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
BLP (20)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
IB (18)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Pohronie and Liptovský Mikuláš have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
BLP (6)
€0m
IB (5)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
Pohronie and Liptovský Mikuláš have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
BLP (3)
€0m
IB (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Pohronie and Liptovský Mikuláš have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
BLP (11)
€0m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
IB (9)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Pohronie and Liptovský Mikuláš have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Slovakia: 2. liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Petržalka
Šamorín
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Považská Bystrica
Žilina II
Tatran Prešov
Inter Bratislava
Malženice
Galanta
Humenné
Slovan Bratislava II
Zlaté Moravce
Lokomotíva Zvolen
MFK Bytča