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Pohronie vs Považská Bystrica Result & Analysis

Date: 31/07/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Pohronie
Pohronie
Vs
51%
25%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Považská Bystrica
Považská Bystrica
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pohronie hosts Považská Bystrica in the Slovakia 2. liga, with the home side coming off a defeat against Žilina II, having lost their last match 1-2. This loss follows a mixed run of results, with one win, two draws, and two defeats in their last five games. Považská Bystrica also suffered a defeat in their previous match against Pohronie, losing 1-2.

The model predicts a home win, with a 51% probability of Pohronie taking the three points. The draw is seen as a 25% possibility, while the away win has a 24% chance. The expected total number of goals is 3.1, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 11.3% probability.

Pohronie has a strong home record, averaging 2.33 goals scored and 1.08 conceded against similar opponents. Považská Bystrica, on the other hand, has struggled away from home, averaging 1.42 goals scored and 2.08 conceded against similar opponents.

The model's selections include Over 1.5, with a 83.1% probability and a 9% edge. This selection has been successful, with a hit result. The home win percentage is 51%, the draw percentage is 25%, and the away win percentage is 24%.

Results analysis

The win extends Pohronie's run, but it was their home form that ultimately told the story. The final score of 2-1 resulted in a home win, aligning with the model's selection, which was correct as it predicted a home win with a 51% probability. The model's selection of a home win proved accurate, as Pohronie's recent form, coming off a defeat, was a deciding factor in the match. The model's selection of over 1.5 goals hit, with a probability of 83.1%, and the most likely total goals was 2, with a probability of 22%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pohronie win✓ Hit
51.0%
Avg Implied 39.2% · @ 2.31
Edge
+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.38
10Bet
2.38
Dafabet
2.36
Betano
2.35
Pinnacle
2.30
Draw✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied 27.7% · @ 3.27
Edge
-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.50
Pinnacle
3.41
Dafabet
3.35
10Bet
3.35
Bet365
3.30
Považská Bystrica win✗ Miss
24.5%
Avg Implied 33.1% · @ 2.73
Edge
-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.90
Dafabet
2.85
1xBet
2.80
Betano
2.80
Superbet
2.77

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PohroniePohronie

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W03L12L12L00D10W22D11D21W33DH·PÚC27/03A·PET05/04H·BAN10/04A·INT18/04H·DUK22/04A·ZLA26/04H·LIP02/05A·POV08/05H·SLO15/05A·BAN25/07
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.272.211.001.191.50
vs Stronger (4)1.251.752.501.500.002.00
vs Similar (26)1.731.192.170.921.361.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Považská Bystrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W11D24L02L22D11D11D11D10W31WH·SLÁ28/03H·SLO04/04A·MAL12/04H·LOK18/04A·ŽIL22/04H·ŠAM25/04A·STA02/05H·POH08/05A·PÚC15/05H·INT25/07
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.631.271.271.332.00
vs Stronger (4)1.251.251.501.001.001.50
vs Similar (26)1.311.691.231.311.382.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Pohronie) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.1%
@ 1.23+8.8%
Under 1.5
16.9%
@ 3.54-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Under
Betfair
3.80
10Bet
3.65
Superbet
3.55
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.7%
@ 1.78+8.4%
Under 2.5
39.3%
@ 1.95-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.81
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.78
Under
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
2.00
10Bet
1.95
SBO
1.95
Betfair
1.95
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.4%
@ 2.83+6.2%
Under 3.5
61.6%
@ 1.34-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Marathonbet
2.78
1xBet
2.78
Superbet
2.77
Under
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.7%
@ 1.62+5.1%
No
38.3%
@ 2.11-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.65
Superbet
1.64
William Hil
1.62
10Bet
1.60
1xBet
1.60
No
1xBet
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.11
William Hil
2.10
10Bet
2.10

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%@ 5.91+4.2%
2-1 ✓
9.6%@ 8.17+4.5%
2-0
7.7%@ 10.64+3.7%
1-0
7.1%@ 7.86+1.8%
1-2
6.4%@ 9.14+1.9%
2-2
6.1%@ 11.15+2.3%
3-1
6.0%@ 15.97+3.4%
0-0
5.4%@ 9.89+1.1%
Pohronie goals ↓
Považská Bystrica goals →
01234
05.4%4.4%3.4%1.4%0.5%
17.1%11%6.4%2.7%0.8%
27.7%9.6%6.1%2.5%0.8%
34.8%6.0%3.8%1.6%0.5%
42.3%2.8%1.8%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pohronie goals (down), columns = Považská Bystrica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Tatran Prešov
1.68
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.62
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.60
Petržalka
1.60
Malženice
1.57
Zlaté Moravce
1.47
Pohronie
1.47
Inter Bratislava
1.40
Galanta
1.37
MFK Bytča
1.37
Slovan Bratislava II
1.33
Šamorín
1.27
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.17
Žilina II
1.10
Považská Bystrica
1.10
Humenné
0.59
Pohronie is 0.37 points better than Považská Bystrica in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 1.10).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zlaté Moravce
1.90
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.83
Tatran Prešov
1.80
Pohronie
1.57
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Petržalka
1.50
Galanta
1.47
MFK Bytča
1.47
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.47
Malženice
1.47
Šamorín
1.47
Žilina II
1.43
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.37
Považská Bystrica
1.27
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Humenné
0.64
Pohronie is 0.30 goals better than Považská Bystrica in terms of goals scored per game (1.57 vs 1.27).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Petržalka
1.03
Tatran Prešov
1.16
Pohronie
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.20
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.22
Malženice
1.27
Galanta
1.42
MFK Bytča
1.42
Šamorín
1.53
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.57
Slovan Bratislava II
1.60
Zlaté Moravce
1.63
Považská Bystrica
1.63
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.73
Žilina II
1.97
Humenné
3.27
Pohronie is 0.47 goals better than Považská Bystrica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.63).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.1%1.23
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
+8.8%✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (33)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (13)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (13)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Pohronie vs Považská Bystrica · H/A from POH
DateH/AGameScore
08/05/26APovažská Bystrica Vs POH1-1
24/10/25HPOH Vs Považská Bystrica4-0
09/05/25APovažská Bystrica Vs POH3-1
25/10/24HPOH Vs Považská Bystrica1-2
04/05/24APovažská Bystrica Vs POH1-1
20/10/23HPOH Vs Považská Bystrica0-0
12/05/23HPOH Vs Považská Bystrica3-2
22/10/22APovažská Bystrica Vs POH2-2

PohroniePohronie

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/07/26ABaník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom Vs POH3-3
15/05/26HPOH Vs Slovan Bratislava II2-1
08/05/26APovažská Bystrica Vs POH1-1
02/05/26HPOH Vs Liptovský Mikuláš2-2
26/04/26AZlaté Moravce Vs POH0-1
22/04/26HPOH Vs Dukla Banská Bystrica0-0
18/04/26AInter Bratislava Vs POH2-1
10/04/26HPOH Vs Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom1-2
05/04/26APetržalka Vs POH3-0
27/03/26HPOH Vs Púchov3-1

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/07/26HPB Vs Inter Bratislava3-1
15/05/26APúchov Vs PB0-1
08/05/26HPB Vs Pohronie1-1
02/05/26AStará Ľubovňa Vs PB1-1
25/04/26HPB Vs Šamorín1-1
22/04/26AŽilina II Vs PB2-2
18/04/26HPB Vs Lokomotíva Zvolen0-2
12/04/26AMalženice Vs PB4-2
04/04/26HPB Vs Slovan Bratislava II1-1
28/03/26HPB Vs Slávia TU Košice4-0

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Pohronie
Pohronie
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWD1.24
HomeWLDDW1.75
AwayLLWDD0.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%50%15%
AVG goals3.023.332.73
Over 1.5 %80%83%77%
Over 2.5 %60%71%50%
Over 3.5 %38%50%27%
Scored1.481.961.04
Conceded1.541.381.69
BTTS60%67%54%
Clean Sheet22%29%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Považská Bystrica
Považská Bystrica
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDWW1.40
HomeDLDDW1.56
AwayLLDDW1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%44%32%
AVG goals2.842.922.76
Over 1.5 %80%88%72%
Over 2.5 %48%56%40%
Over 3.5 %34%36%32%
Scored1.401.601.20
Conceded1.441.321.56
BTTS60%64%56%
Clean Sheet18%12%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PetržalkaPetržalka412
100%
3.0
132+11
3.8
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.20.5
-
2Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica49
75%
2.2
85+3
3.2
100%
100%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.2
-
3ŠamorínŠamorín49
75%
2.2
74+3
2.8
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
4Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš48
50%
2.0
103+7
3.2
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.50.8
-
5PohroniePohronie47
50%
1.8
97+2
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.8
-
6Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov47
50%
1.8
66+0
3.0
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.51.5
-
7Žilina IIŽilina II47
50%
1.8
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.8
-
8Inter BratislavaInter Bratislava46
50%
1.5
74+3
2.8
75%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
9Baník Lehota p.VtáčnikomBaník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom46
25%
1.5
86+2
3.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.5
-
10Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
50%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
11MalženiceMalženice44
25%
1.0
67-1
3.2
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
12Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II43
25%
0.8
67-1
3.2
75%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
13HumennéHumenné43
25%
0.8
38-5
2.8
75%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.0
-
14Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen42
0%
0.5
35-2
2.0
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
15GalantaGalanta41
0%
0.2
19-8
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.22.2
-
16MFK BytčaMFK Bytča40
0%
0.0
115-14
4.0
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.23.8
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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