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Politehnica UTM vs Dacia-Buiucani Result & Analysis

Date: 12/07/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 2-3
Politehnica UTM
Politehnica UTM
Vs
14%
19%
66%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dacia-Buiucani
Dacia-Buiucani
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Politehnica UTM face a clear outsider in Dacia-Buiucani, with the model rating the away side as the favourite for a 66% chance of victory. The prediction hinges on Dacia-Buiucani’s strong away form, scoring an average of 1.2 goals while conceding only 0.4 against opponents of similar strength, a contrast to Politehnica’s home record of 14% for a win. The expected total of 3.5 goals points to an open game, and the most likely scoreline is 1-2 for the visitors, a 9.6% probability. The model also suggests an 87.1% chance that the match will see over 1.5 goals, reflecting the high scoring expectation. Home win, draw and away win probabilities are 14%, 19% and 66% respectively. The single selection offered is Over 1.5, with an edge of 87.1%.

Results analysis

The match saw Dacia-Buiucani extend their recent run, coming off a draw to secure a 2-3 away win over Politehnica UTM. The model’s favourite, Away win, was correct, with a pre-match probability of 66%. The final score of 2-3 matched the actual result, confirming the model’s prediction. The suggested pick Over 1.5 goals, with an 87.1% probability, hit as the game produced five goals. The most likely scoreline of 1-2, with a 9.6% chance, was missed, but the overall outcome aligned with the model’s expectations. The model’s selections largely came through, delivering a reliable forecast.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Politehnica UTM win✗ Miss
14.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dacia-Buiucani win✓ Hit
66.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L03L12LH·SHE22/06H·MIL28/06A·PET05/07
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
3.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.333.000.003.501.002.00
vs Stronger (3)0.333.000.003.501.002.00
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-32pp vs league)
This opponent (Dacia-Buiucani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-622D40W40W30W60W30W51W51W00D03LA·SAX05/04H·VIC11/04A·FĂL19/04A·FLO25/04A·FC 03/05H·SAX06/05A·VIC10/05H·SPA21/06A·CSF28/06H·ZIM06/07
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
3.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.202.000.791.621.56
vs Stronger (17)1.411.821.251.001.562.56
vs Similar (9)2.000.563.000.751.200.40
vs Weaker (4)3.000.003.000.003.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Politehnica UTM) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%119%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.1%
Under 1.5
12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.7%
Under 2.5
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.1%
Under 3.5
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.5%
No
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.0%
1-1
8.7%
1-3
7.7%
0-3
7.2%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
5.1%
1-4
4.7%
Politehnica UTM goals ↓
Dacia-Buiucani goals →
01234
03.9%6.6%9.0%7.2%4.4%
12.5%8.7%9.6%7.7%4.7%
21.7%4.2%5.1%4.1%2.5%
30.6%1.5%1.8%1.5%0.9%
40.2%0.4%0.5%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Politehnica UTM goals (down), columns = Dacia-Buiucani goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Petrocub
2.35
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.06
Zimbru
2.00
Sireți
1.85
Oguzsport
1.50
Milsami Orhei
1.48
Floreşti
1.31
CSF Bălți
1.19
Politehnica UTM
1.13
Iskra
1.08
Victoria Bardar
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.88
Dacia-Buiucani
0.52
FCM Ungheni
0.50
FC Stăuceni
0.45
Făleşti
0.00
Univer Comrat
0.00
Politehnica UTM is 0.61 points better than Dacia-Buiucani in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 0.52).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FCM Ungheni
2.50
Oguzsport
2.50
Zimbru
2.26
Petrocub
2.06
Univer Comrat
2.00
Sheriff Tiraspol
1.84
Sireți
1.69
Milsami Orhei
1.52
Politehnica UTM
1.42
Floreşti
1.38
Iskra
1.00
Victoria Bardar
1.00
CSF Bălți
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.97
Dacia-Buiucani
0.97
FC Stăuceni
0.91
Făleşti
0.00
Politehnica UTM is 0.45 goals better than Dacia-Buiucani in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Petrocub
0.55
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.71
Victoria Bardar
1.00
Zimbru
1.03
Sireți
1.08
Milsami Orhei
1.23
Iskra
1.25
Floreşti
1.31
CSF Bălți
1.42
Dacia-Buiucani
1.90
FC Stăuceni
2.09
Politehnica UTM
2.19
Spartanii Selemet
2.45
FCM Ungheni
3.00
Făleşti
3.00
Univer Comrat
3.00
Oguzsport
3.50
Politehnica UTM is 0.29 goals worse than Dacia-Buiucani in terms of goals conceded per game (2.19 vs 1.90).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L02L01LH·SHE22/06H·MIL28/06A·PET05/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.001.670.002.000.001.00
vs Stronger (3)0.001.670.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-32pp vs league)
This opponent (Dacia-Buiucani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W10W30W10W30W00D00D01LA·SAX05/04H·VIC11/04A·FĂL19/04A·FLO25/04A·FC 03/05H·SAX06/05A·VIC10/05H·SPA21/06A·CSF28/06H·ZIM06/07
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.500.330.250.560.67
vs Stronger (19)0.420.680.250.380.550.91
vs Similar (8)0.250.250.330.000.200.40
vs Weaker (3)1.330.001.000.001.500.00
Clean sheet %73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Politehnica UTM) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Politehnica UTM over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Politehnica UTM over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Politehnica UTM over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dacia-Buiucani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dacia-Buiucani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dacia-Buiucani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L11DH·SHE22/06H·MIL28/06A·PET05/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.330.001.501.001.00
vs Stronger (3)0.331.330.001.501.001.00
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-32pp vs league)
This opponent (Dacia-Buiucani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D40W30W20W30W20W21W51W00D02LA·SAX05/04H·VIC11/04A·FĂL19/04A·FLO25/04A·FC 03/05H·SAX06/05A·VIC10/05H·SPA21/06A·CSF28/06H·ZIM06/07
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.871.170.670.891.00
vs Stronger (19)0.841.211.000.620.731.64
vs Similar (8)1.250.381.671.001.000.00
vs Weaker (3)1.330.001.000.001.500.00
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Politehnica UTM) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Politehnica UTM over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Politehnica UTM over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Politehnica UTM over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dacia-Buiucani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dacia-Buiucani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dacia-Buiucani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
PU (13)
€1m
SIR (7)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
Politehnica UTM and Dacia-Buiucani have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
PU (2)
€0m
SIR (2)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Politehnica UTM and Dacia-Buiucani have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SIR (5)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
DAC (6)
€0m
PU (4)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Politehnica UTM and Dacia-Buiucani have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
PU (7)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
SIR (0)
€0m
Politehnica UTM and Dacia-Buiucani have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
PU wins
0
Draws
0
DAC wins

Head-to-head

Politehnica UTM vs Dacia-Buiucani · H/A from PU
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/07/25APetrocub Vs PU2-1
28/06/25HPU Vs Milsami Orhei0-3
22/06/25HPU Vs Sheriff Tiraspol0-4

Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/07/25HDAC Vs Zimbru0-3
28/06/25ACSF Bălți Vs DAC0-0
21/06/25HDAC Vs Spartanii Selemet5-1
10/05/25AVictoria Bardar Vs DAC1-5
06/05/25HDAC Vs Saxan3-0
03/05/25AFC Stăuceni Vs DAC0-6
25/04/25AFloreşti Vs DAC0-3
19/04/25AFăleşti Vs DAC0-4
11/04/25HDAC Vs Victoria Bardar4-0
05/04/25ASaxan Vs DAC2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Politehnica UTM
Politehnica UTM
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 0 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLL0.00
HomeLL0.00
AwayL0.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %0%0%0%
AVG goals3.333.503.00
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %100%100%100%
Over 3.5 %33%50%0%
Scored0.330.001.00
Conceded3.003.502.00
BTTS33%0%100%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Dacia-Buiucani
Dacia-Buiucani
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDL1.18
HomeWWWWL1.21
AwayWWWWD1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%33%27%
AVG goals3.042.963.12
Over 1.5 %80%79%81%
Over 2.5 %58%54%62%
Over 3.5 %38%38%38%
Scored1.421.501.35
Conceded1.621.461.77
BTTS38%46%31%
Clean Sheet30%29%31%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PetrocubPetrocub3173
71%
2.4
6417+47
2.6
81%
48%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.10.5
-
2Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol3164
65%
2.1
5722+35
2.5
68%
48%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3131.80.7
-
3ZimbruZimbru3162
58%
2.0
7032+38
3.3
87%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2112.31.0
-
4Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei3146
42%
1.5
4738+9
2.7
77%
65%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.51.2
-
5CSF BălțiCSF Bălți3137
32%
1.2
3144-13
2.4
71%
42%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.4
-
6Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM3135
32%
1.1
4468-24
3.6
94%
71%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.2
-
7Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet3329
24%
0.9
3281-49
3.4
85%
58%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.5
-
8SirețiSireți1324
54%
1.8
2214+8
2.8
69%
38%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.71.1
-
9FloreştiFloreşti1317
31%
1.3
1817+1
2.7
69%
38%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
10Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani3116
13%
0.5
3059-29
2.9
81%
61%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.01.9
-
11IskraIskra1213
25%
1.1
1215-3
2.2
75%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
12FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni115
0%
0.5
1023-13
3.0
64%
45%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
13OguzsportOguzsport23
50%
1.5
57-2
6.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.53.5
-
14Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
15FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni21
0%
0.5
56-1
5.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.53.0
-
16Univer ComratUniver Comrat10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
-
17FăleştiFăleşti10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.03.0
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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