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Politehnica UTM vs FC Stăuceni Result & Analysis

Date: 17/04/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 5-1
Politehnica UTM
Politehnica UTM
Vs
33%
28%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Stăuceni
FC Stăuceni
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Politehnica UTM win✓ Hit
33.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni win✗ Miss
38.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L21W21W31W24L11D11D21W11D20WA·PET26/10H·DAC01/11A·SPA09/11H·CSF22/11A·ZIM30/11A·FC 07/03A·SIR14/03H·ISK20/03A·SPA04/04H·FLO11/04
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.192.501.382.311.002.69
vs Stronger (14)0.793.430.713.290.863.57
vs Similar (11)1.641.552.201.401.171.67
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %8% (-24pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Stăuceni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-721W14L60W73W41W11D00D13L01L11DA·SHE17/10A·SIR25/10H·OLI01/11A·FĂL08/11H·UNI22/11H·POL07/03A·ISK13/03H·SPA20/03A·FLO03/04H·SIR10/04← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.131.102.561.191.641.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.820.912.330.831.201.00
vs Weaker (19)2.321.212.701.401.891.00
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Politehnica UTM) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.6%
Under 1.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.6%
Under 2.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.7%
Under 3.5
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.2%
No
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-2
8.5%
0-1
8.4%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
5.7%
Politehnica UTM goals ↓
FC Stăuceni goals →
01234
08.2%8.4%6.7%3.1%1.1%
17.7%14%8.5%3.9%1.4%
25.7%7.9%5.5%2.5%0.9%
32.4%3.4%2.3%1.1%0.4%
40.8%1.1%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Politehnica UTM goals (down), columns = FC Stăuceni goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Petrocub
2.35
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.06
Zimbru
2.00
Sireți
1.85
Oguzsport
1.50
Milsami Orhei
1.48
Floreşti
1.31
CSF Bălți
1.19
Politehnica UTM
1.13
Iskra
1.08
Victoria Bardar
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.88
Dacia-Buiucani
0.52
FCM Ungheni
0.50
FC Stăuceni
0.45
Făleşti
0.00
Univer Comrat
0.00
Politehnica UTM is 0.67 points better than FC Stăuceni in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 0.45).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FCM Ungheni
2.50
Oguzsport
2.50
Zimbru
2.26
Petrocub
2.06
Univer Comrat
2.00
Sheriff Tiraspol
1.84
Sireți
1.69
Milsami Orhei
1.52
Politehnica UTM
1.42
Floreşti
1.38
Iskra
1.00
Victoria Bardar
1.00
CSF Bălți
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.97
Dacia-Buiucani
0.97
FC Stăuceni
0.91
Făleşti
0.00
Politehnica UTM is 0.51 goals better than FC Stăuceni in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 0.91).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Petrocub
0.55
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.71
Victoria Bardar
1.00
Zimbru
1.03
Sireți
1.08
Milsami Orhei
1.23
Iskra
1.25
Floreşti
1.31
CSF Bălți
1.42
Dacia-Buiucani
1.90
FC Stăuceni
2.09
Politehnica UTM
2.19
Spartanii Selemet
2.45
FCM Ungheni
3.00
Făleşti
3.00
Univer Comrat
3.00
Oguzsport
3.50
Politehnica UTM is 0.10 goals worse than FC Stăuceni in terms of goals conceded per game (2.19 vs 2.09).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L10W00D10W10W00D00D21W10W10WA·PET26/10H·DAC01/11A·SPA09/11H·CSF22/11A·ZIM30/11A·FC 07/03A·SIR14/03H·ISK20/03A·SPA04/04H·FLO11/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.621.080.851.080.381.08
vs Stronger (14)0.361.710.431.710.291.71
vs Similar (11)0.910.361.400.400.500.33
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %46% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Stăuceni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L20W22D30W00D00D10W00D11DA·SHE17/10A·SIR25/10H·OLI01/11A·FĂL08/11H·UNI22/11H·POL07/03A·ISK13/03H·SPA20/03A·FLO03/04H·SIR10/04← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.371.190.440.430.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.000.271.430.290.250.25
vs Weaker (19)0.740.421.000.560.500.30
Clean sheet %73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Politehnica UTM) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Politehnica UTM over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Politehnica UTM over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Politehnica UTM over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D21W21W14L11D11D00D01L10WA·PET26/10H·DAC01/11A·SPA09/11H·CSF22/11A·ZIM30/11A·FC 07/03A·SIR14/03H·ISK20/03A·SPA04/04H·FLO11/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.581.420.541.230.621.62
vs Stronger (14)0.431.710.291.570.571.86
vs Similar (11)0.731.180.801.000.671.33
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Stăuceni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W13L40W51W11D11D00D03L01L00DA·SHE17/10A·SIR25/10H·OLI01/11A·FĂL08/11H·UNI22/11H·POL07/03A·ISK13/03H·SPA20/03A·FLO03/04H·SIR10/04← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.631.310.751.430.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.820.450.710.571.000.25
vs Weaker (19)1.680.741.780.891.600.60
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Politehnica UTM) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Politehnica UTM over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Politehnica UTM over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Politehnica UTM over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
PU (13)
€1m
SIR (7)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
PU (2)
€0m
SIR (2)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SIR (5)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
DAC (6)
€0m
PU (4)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
PU (7)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
SIR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
PU wins
1
Draws
0
FS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Politehnica UTM vs FC Stăuceni · H/A from PU
DateH/AGameScore
07/03/26AFC Stăuceni Vs PU1-1

Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/26HPU Vs Floreşti2-0
04/04/26ASpartanii Selemet Vs PU1-1
20/03/26HPU Vs Iskra2-1
14/03/26ASireți Vs PU1-1
07/03/26AFC Stăuceni Vs PU1-1
30/11/25AZimbru Vs PU4-2
22/11/25HPU Vs CSF Bălți3-1
09/11/25ASpartanii Selemet Vs PU1-2
01/11/25HPU Vs Dacia-Buiucani2-1
26/10/25APetrocub Vs PU4-1

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/04/26HFS Vs Sireți1-1
03/04/26AFloreşti Vs FS1-0
20/03/26HFS Vs Spartanii Selemet1-3
13/03/26AIskra Vs FS0-0
07/03/26HFS Vs Politehnica UTM1-1
22/11/25HFS Vs Univer Comrat4-1
08/11/25AFăleşti Vs FS3-7
01/11/25HFS Vs Olimp Comrat6-0
25/10/25ASireți Vs FS4-1
17/10/25ASheriff II Vs FS1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Politehnica UTM
Politehnica UTM
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWDW0.85
HomeLWWWW1.15
AwayWLDDD0.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %23%38%8%
AVG goals3.693.693.69
Over 1.5 %92%92%92%
Over 2.5 %77%85%69%
Over 3.5 %50%54%46%
Scored1.191.381.00
Conceded2.502.312.69
BTTS65%54%77%
Clean Sheet8%8%8%
Corners---
Cards---
FC Stăuceni
FC Stăuceni
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLD1.87
HomeWWDLD2.00
AwayWLWDL1.74
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %57%61%52%
AVG goals3.434.002.87
Over 1.5 %80%96%65%
Over 2.5 %61%70%52%
Over 3.5 %48%61%35%
Scored2.172.651.70
Conceded1.261.351.17
BTTS52%65%39%
Clean Sheet35%22%48%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PetrocubPetrocub3173
71%
2.4
6417+47
2.6
81%
48%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.10.5
-
2Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol3164
65%
2.1
5722+35
2.5
68%
48%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3131.80.7
-
3ZimbruZimbru3162
58%
2.0
7032+38
3.3
87%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2112.31.0
-
4Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei3146
42%
1.5
4738+9
2.7
77%
65%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.51.2
-
5CSF BălțiCSF Bălți3137
32%
1.2
3144-13
2.4
71%
42%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.4
-
6Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM3135
32%
1.1
4468-24
3.6
94%
71%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.2
-
7Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet3329
24%
0.9
3281-49
3.4
85%
58%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.5
-
8SirețiSireți1324
54%
1.8
2214+8
2.8
69%
38%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.71.1
-
9FloreştiFloreşti1317
31%
1.3
1817+1
2.7
69%
38%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
10Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani3116
13%
0.5
3059-29
2.9
81%
61%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.01.9
-
11IskraIskra1213
25%
1.1
1215-3
2.2
75%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
12FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni115
0%
0.5
1023-13
3.0
64%
45%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
13OguzsportOguzsport23
50%
1.5
57-2
6.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.53.5
-
14Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
15FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni21
0%
0.5
56-1
5.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.53.0
-
16Univer ComratUniver Comrat10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
-
17FăleştiFăleşti10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.03.0
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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