PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol Result & Analysis

Date: 04/07/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 0-0
Politehnica UTM
Politehnica UTM
Vs
31%
27%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sheriff Tiraspol
Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Politehnica UTM win✗ Miss
31.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sheriff Tiraspol win✗ Miss
41.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D11D21W11D20W51W31W20W20W11DA·FC 07/03A·SIR14/03H·ISK20/03A·SPA04/04H·FLO11/04H·FC 17/04H·SIR24/04A·ISK01/05H·SPA04/05A·FLO09/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.472.131.871.871.072.40
vs Stronger (15)1.203.001.432.861.003.12
vs Similar (13)1.771.382.291.141.171.67
vs Weaker (2)1.500.502.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheriff Tiraspol) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W20W22D31W20W01L21W10W00DA·CSF08/03H·PET14/03H·DAC20/03A·ZIM05/04H·MIL11/04H·CSF18/04A·PET26/04A·DAC03/05H·ZIM10/05A·MIL17/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.031.730.801.471.27
vs Stronger (2)0.502.001.001.000.003.00
vs Similar (11)1.091.821.171.171.002.60
vs Weaker (17)2.060.412.250.501.890.33
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Politehnica UTM) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.4%
Under 1.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.0%
Under 2.5
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.6%
Under 3.5
67.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.1%
No
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.7%
0-1
7.6%
0-2
6.8%
0-0 ✓
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
6.0%
Politehnica UTM goals ↓
Sheriff Tiraspol goals →
01234
06.8%7.6%6.8%3.5%1.4%
16.3%13%9.0%4.7%1.8%
24.9%7.7%6.0%3.1%1.2%
32.2%3.4%2.6%1.4%0.5%
40.7%1.1%0.9%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Politehnica UTM goals (down), columns = Sheriff Tiraspol goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zimbru
2.11
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.00
Petrocub
1.56
Dacia-Buiucani
1.56
Politehnica UTM
1.33
Milsami Orhei
1.11
Sireți
0.78
CSF Bălți
0.22
Politehnica UTM is 0.67 points worse than Sheriff Tiraspol in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zimbru
2.56
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.11
Petrocub
1.89
Politehnica UTM
1.67
Dacia-Buiucani
1.22
Milsami Orhei
0.89
Sireți
0.67
CSF Bălți
0.56
Politehnica UTM is 0.44 goals worse than Sheriff Tiraspol in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 2.11).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.89
Petrocub
1.00
Zimbru
1.11
Sireți
1.11
Politehnica UTM
1.33
Dacia-Buiucani
1.33
Milsami Orhei
1.56
CSF Bălți
3.22
Politehnica UTM is 0.44 goals worse than Sheriff Tiraspol in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 0.89).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D21W10W10W21W21W20W00D01LA·FC 07/03A·SIR14/03H·ISK20/03A·SPA04/04H·FLO11/04H·FC 17/04H·SIR24/04A·ISK01/05H·SPA04/05A·FLO09/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.971.000.930.471.00
vs Stronger (15)0.601.530.711.570.501.50
vs Similar (13)0.920.381.290.430.500.33
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheriff Tiraspol) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W10W11D11D20W01L11D00D00DA·CSF08/03H·PET14/03H·DAC20/03A·ZIM05/04H·MIL11/04H·CSF18/04A·PET26/04A·DAC03/05H·ZIM10/05A·MIL17/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.531.130.470.470.60
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (11)0.730.730.830.500.601.00
vs Weaker (17)0.940.411.500.500.440.33
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Politehnica UTM) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Politehnica UTM over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Politehnica UTM over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Politehnica UTM over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D00D01L10W30W10W00D20W10WA·FC 07/03A·SIR14/03H·ISK20/03A·SPA04/04H·FLO11/04H·FC 17/04H·SIR24/04A·ISK01/05H·SPA04/05A·FLO09/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.170.870.930.601.40
vs Stronger (15)0.601.470.711.290.501.62
vs Similar (13)0.851.001.000.710.671.33
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheriff Tiraspol) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W11D20W00D00D10W10W00DA·CSF08/03H·PET14/03H·DAC20/03A·ZIM05/04H·MIL11/04H·CSF18/04A·PET26/04A·DAC03/05H·ZIM10/05A·MIL17/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.500.600.331.000.67
vs Stronger (2)0.501.501.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (11)0.361.090.330.670.401.60
vs Weaker (17)1.120.000.750.001.440.00
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Politehnica UTM) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Politehnica UTM over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Politehnica UTM over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Politehnica UTM over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.4%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Sheriff Tiraspol · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cristian Tovar29%
Amine Talal14%
Jerome Mbekeli14%
David Ankeye14%
Gabi Kiki0%
Konstantinos Apostolakis0%
Ricardinho0%
Maksym Koval0%
Luvannor Henrique0%
Alejandro Artunduaga0%
Cedric Badolo0%
João Paulo0%
Armel Zohouri0%
Berkay Vardar0%
Peter Oluwaseun Ademo0%
Munashe Garananga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gabi Kiki75%
Amine Talal57%
Armel Zohouri50%
Cedric Badolo33%
Konstantinos Apostolakis29%
Maksym Koval29%
Cristian Tovar29%
Jerome Mbekeli29%
Luvannor Henrique17%
Alejandro Artunduaga17%
João Paulo17%
Ricardinho14%
David Ankeye0%
Berkay Vardar0%
Peter Oluwaseun Ademo0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ricardinho29%
David Ankeye14%
Gabi Kiki0%
Amine Talal0%
Konstantinos Apostolakis0%
Maksym Koval0%
Luvannor Henrique0%
Alejandro Artunduaga0%
Cristian Tovar0%
Jerome Mbekeli0%
Cedric Badolo0%
João Paulo0%
Armel Zohouri0%
Berkay Vardar0%
Peter Oluwaseun Ademo0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Amine Talal29%
David Ankeye29%
Luvannor Henrique17%
Jerome Mbekeli14%
Gabi Kiki0%
Konstantinos Apostolakis0%
Ricardinho0%
Maksym Koval0%
Alejandro Artunduaga0%
Cristian Tovar0%
Cedric Badolo0%
João Paulo0%
Armel Zohouri0%
Berkay Vardar0%
Peter Oluwaseun Ademo0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
PU (13)
€1m
SIR (7)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
Politehnica UTM's squad is €5m less valuable than Sheriff Tiraspol's (€1m vs €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
PU (2)
€0m
SIR (2)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
Politehnica UTM's attack is €2m less valuable than Sheriff Tiraspol's (€0m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SIR (5)
€1m
DAC (6)
€0m
PU (4)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
Politehnica UTM and Sheriff Tiraspol have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
PU (7)
€0m
SIR (0)
€0m
Politehnica UTM's defence is €2m less valuable than Sheriff Tiraspol's (€0m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
PU wins
0
Draws
3
ST wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol · H/A from PU
DateH/AGameScore
04/10/25HPU Vs Sheriff Tiraspol1-2
10/08/25ASheriff Tiraspol Vs PU3-0
22/06/25HPU Vs Sheriff Tiraspol0-4

Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26AFloreşti Vs PU1-1
04/05/26HPU Vs Spartanii Selemet2-0
01/05/26AIskra Vs PU0-2
24/04/26HPU Vs Sireți3-1
17/04/26HPU Vs FC Stăuceni5-1
11/04/26HPU Vs Floreşti2-0
04/04/26ASpartanii Selemet Vs PU1-1
20/03/26HPU Vs Iskra2-1
14/03/26ASireți Vs PU1-1
07/03/26AFC Stăuceni Vs PU1-1

Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26AMilsami Orhei Vs ST0-0
10/05/26HST Vs Zimbru1-0
03/05/26ADacia-Buiucani Vs ST1-2
26/04/26APetrocub Vs ST1-0
18/04/26HST Vs CSF Bălți2-0
11/04/26HST Vs Milsami Orhei3-1
05/04/26AZimbru Vs ST2-2
20/03/26HST Vs Dacia-Buiucani2-0
14/03/26HST Vs Petrocub1-0
08/03/26ACSF Bălți Vs ST0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Politehnica UTM
Politehnica UTM
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD1.13
HomeWWWWW1.50
AwayDDDWD0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%50%13%
AVG goals3.613.753.47
Over 1.5 %94%94%93%
Over 2.5 %71%81%60%
Over 3.5 %48%56%40%
Scored1.421.751.07
Conceded2.192.002.40
BTTS65%56%73%
Clean Sheet13%12%13%
Corners---
Cards---
Sheriff Tiraspol
Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWD1.90
HomeWWWWW2.15
AwayWDLWD1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%65%46%
AVG goals2.702.882.50
Over 1.5 %72%73%71%
Over 2.5 %54%54%54%
Over 3.5 %32%38%25%
Scored1.882.231.50
Conceded0.820.651.00
BTTS38%38%38%
Clean Sheet52%58%46%
Corners11.00-11.00
Cards2.403.002.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZimbruZimbru919
67%
2.1
2310+13
3.7
100%
78%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2112.61.1
-
2Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol918
56%
2.0
198+11
3.0
67%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3132.10.9
-
3PetrocubPetrocub914
44%
1.6
179+8
2.9
78%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.91.0
-
4Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani914
44%
1.6
1112-1
2.6
56%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.3
-
5Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM912
33%
1.3
1512+3
3.0
78%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.3
-
6Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei910
22%
1.1
814-6
2.4
56%
44%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.91.6
-
7SirețiSireți97
0%
0.8
610-4
1.8
67%
33%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0100.71.1
-
8CSF BălțiCSF Bălți92
0%
0.2
529-24
3.8
100%
78%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.63.2
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

← all matches