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Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Głogów Result & Analysis

Date: 03/03/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
Polonia Warszawa
Polonia Warszawa
Vs
34%
28%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Chrobry Głogów
Chrobry Głogów
Poland: I Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Polonia Warszawa win✗ Miss
33.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Chrobry Głogów win✗ Miss
38.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L11D00D03L22D01L12L03L12LA·GKS27/10H·LEC31/10H·NIE04/11A·GÓR11/11A·ODR26/11H·STA01/12A·TYC08/12A·WIS17/12H·ARK17/02A·MIE23/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.191.571.201.901.181.27
vs Stronger (2)1.502.502.003.001.002.00
vs Similar (18)1.111.561.002.001.201.20
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %24% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Chrobry Głogów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L12L10W10W30W01L14L21W11D01LH·MOT20/10A·WIS27/10H·ZNI06/11A·RES12/11H·POD24/11A·LEC09/12H·GKS16/12A·ZAG19/12A·NIE18/02H·GÓR26/02
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.400.751.441.001.36
vs Stronger (10)0.701.900.672.000.751.75
vs Similar (19)0.841.210.561.221.101.20
vs Weaker (1)3.000.003.000.00--
Clean sheet %30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Polonia Warszawa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.1%
Under 1.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.0%
Under 2.5
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.8%
Under 3.5
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.9%
No
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
7.7%
0-0
7.3%
1-0
7.0%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
Polonia Warszawa goals ↓
Chrobry Głogów goals →
01234
07.3%7.7%6.4%3.1%1.1%
17.0%13%8.7%4.2%1.5%
25.5%8.0%5.8%2.8%1.0%
32.5%3.6%2.6%1.3%0.5%
40.8%1.2%0.9%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Polonia Warszawa goals (down), columns = Chrobry Głogów goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lechia Gdansk
2.00
GKS Katowice
1.82
Arka Gdynia
1.81
Motor Lublin
1.67
Górnik Łęczna
1.60
Odra Opole
1.51
Miedz Legnica
1.50
Tychy 71
1.50
Wisla Plock
1.50
Wisla Krakow
1.47
Stal Rzeszów
1.41
Chrobry Głogów
1.24
Znicz Pruszków
1.24
Nieciecza
1.21
Polonia Warszawa
1.03
Resovia Rzeszów
1.00
Podbeskidzie
0.68
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.47
Polonia Warszawa is 0.21 points worse than Chrobry Głogów in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
GKS Katowice
2.00
Wisla Krakow
1.82
Lechia Gdansk
1.76
Nieciecza
1.65
Arka Gdynia
1.58
Stal Rzeszów
1.56
Miedz Legnica
1.53
Motor Lublin
1.42
Wisla Plock
1.35
Tychy 71
1.26
Odra Opole
1.26
Polonia Warszawa
1.21
Resovia Rzeszów
1.15
Chrobry Głogów
1.03
Górnik Łęczna
1.00
Znicz Pruszków
1.00
Podbeskidzie
0.76
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.62
Polonia Warszawa is 0.18 goals better than Chrobry Głogów in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Górnik Łęczna
0.83
Lechia Gdansk
1.00
Odra Opole
1.03
GKS Katowice
1.03
Arka Gdynia
1.06
Miedz Legnica
1.06
Motor Lublin
1.19
Znicz Pruszków
1.29
Wisla Plock
1.35
Tychy 71
1.38
Chrobry Głogów
1.44
Polonia Warszawa
1.47
Wisla Krakow
1.47
Nieciecza
1.53
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1.62
Podbeskidzie
1.74
Stal Rzeszów
1.76
Resovia Rzeszów
1.76
Polonia Warszawa is 0.03 goals worse than Chrobry Głogów in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.44).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L00D00D00D21W01L01L03L10WA·GKS27/10H·LEC31/10H·NIE04/11A·GÓR11/11A·ODR26/11H·STA01/12A·TYC08/12A·WIS17/12H·ARK17/02A·MIE23/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.520.710.500.900.550.55
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (18)0.610.720.621.000.600.50
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Chrobry Głogów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D00D10W01L12L00D10W01LH·MOT20/10A·WIS27/10H·ZNI06/11A·RES12/11H·POD24/11A·LEC09/12H·GKS16/12A·ZAG19/12A·NIE18/02H·GÓR26/02
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.630.310.750.500.50
vs Stronger (10)0.501.100.501.330.500.75
vs Similar (19)0.320.420.110.440.500.40
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Polonia Warszawa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Polonia Warszawa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Warszawa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Warszawa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chrobry Głogów over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chrobry Głogów over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chrobry Głogów over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D11D00D03L01L00D11D00D02LA·GKS27/10H·LEC31/10H·NIE04/11A·GÓR11/11A·ODR26/11H·STA01/12A·TYC08/12A·WIS17/12H·ARK17/02A·MIE23/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.860.701.000.640.73
vs Stronger (2)1.501.502.002.001.001.00
vs Similar (18)0.500.830.381.000.600.70
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %48% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Chrobry Głogów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L10W10W20W00D02L21W01L00DH·MOT20/10A·WIS27/10H·ZNI06/11A·RES12/11H·POD24/11A·LEC09/12H·GKS16/12A·ZAG19/12A·NIE18/02H·GÓR26/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.770.440.690.500.86
vs Stronger (10)0.200.800.170.670.251.00
vs Similar (19)0.530.790.440.780.600.80
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Polonia Warszawa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Polonia Warszawa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Warszawa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Warszawa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chrobry Głogów over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chrobry Głogów over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chrobry Głogów over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (20)
€22m
ML (20)
€19m
WK (24)
€13m
GK (26)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
AG (23)
€5m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
NIE (16)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
POD (5)
€1m
Polonia Warszawa's squad is €2m more valuable than Chrobry Głogów's (€5m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (8)
€15m
ML (10)
€10m
WK (8)
€6m
WP (7)
€4m
GK (7)
€3m
PW (13)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
OO (8)
€2m
NIE (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
POD (1)
€0m
Polonia Warszawa's attack is €1m more valuable than Chrobry Głogów's (€3m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GK (10)
€6m
LG (3)
€5m
WP (9)
€3m
ML (2)
€2m
WK (4)
€2m
ML (10)
€2m
NIE (5)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
AG (5)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
Polonia Warszawa and Chrobry Głogów have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ML (8)
€6m
WP (9)
€6m
WK (12)
€5m
GK (9)
€4m
LG (9)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
NIE (4)
€1m
POD (2)
€0m
Polonia Warszawa and Chrobry Głogów have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
PW wins
0
Draws
0
CG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Głogów · H/A from PW
DateH/AGameScore
19/08/23AChrobry Głogów Vs PW0-3

Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/02/24AMiedz Legnica Vs PW2-1
17/02/24HPW Vs Arka Gdynia0-3
17/12/23AWisla Krakow Vs PW2-1
08/12/23ATychy 71 Vs PW1-0
01/12/23HPW Vs Stal Rzeszów2-2
26/11/23AOdra Opole Vs PW3-0
11/11/23AGórnik Łęczna Vs PW0-0
04/11/23HPW Vs Nieciecza1-1
31/10/23HPW Vs Lechia Gdansk0-1
27/10/23AGKS Katowice Vs PW0-2

Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/02/24HCG Vs Górnik Łęczna0-1
18/02/24ANieciecza Vs CG1-1
19/12/23AZaglebie Sosnowiec Vs CG1-2
16/12/23HCG Vs GKS Katowice1-4
09/12/23ALechia Gdansk Vs CG1-0
24/11/23HCG Vs Podbeskidzie3-0
12/11/23AResovia Rzeszów Vs CG0-1
06/11/23HCG Vs Znicz Pruszków1-0
27/10/23AWisla Plock Vs CG2-1
20/10/23HCG Vs Motor Lublin0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Polonia Warszawa
Polonia Warszawa
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLL0.90
HomeWLDDL0.50
AwayDLLLL1.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%10%36%
AVG goals2.763.102.45
Over 1.5 %76%70%82%
Over 2.5 %52%50%55%
Over 3.5 %24%40%9%
Scored1.191.201.18
Conceded1.571.901.27
BTTS43%50%36%
Clean Sheet24%10%36%
Corners---
Cards---
Chrobry Głogów
Chrobry Głogów
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDL1.28
HomeLWWLL1.35
AwayLWLWD1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%35%33%
AVG goals2.642.422.88
Over 1.5 %64%58%71%
Over 2.5 %48%46%50%
Over 3.5 %28%27%29%
Scored1.121.081.17
Conceded1.521.351.71
BTTS50%38%62%
Clean Sheet26%35%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk3468
62%
2.0
6034+26
2.8
65%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
22
15531.81.0
-
2Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia3665
53%
1.8
5738+19
2.6
69%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.1
-
3GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice3462
53%
1.8
6835+33
3.0
76%
50%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
3642.01.0
-
4Motor LublinMotor Lublin3660
47%
1.7
5143+8
2.6
75%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
19
10261.41.2
-
5Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna3556
40%
1.6
3529+6
1.8
54%
29%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.8
-
6Odra OpoleOdra Opole3553
43%
1.5
4436+8
2.3
69%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.31.0
-
7Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica3451
38%
1.5
5236+16
2.6
76%
50%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.51.1
-
8Wisla PlockWisla Plock3451
41%
1.5
4646+0
2.7
82%
59%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
4361.41.4
-
9Tychy 71Tychy 713451
47%
1.5
4347-4
2.6
74%
44%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
10Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow3450
38%
1.5
6250+12
3.3
82%
62%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
6251.81.5
-
11Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów3448
41%
1.4
5360-7
3.3
85%
74%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.61.8
-
12Znicz PruszkówZnicz Pruszków3442
35%
1.2
3444-10
2.3
65%
29%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
13Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów3442
32%
1.2
3549-14
2.5
74%
47%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.4
-
14NiecieczaNieciecza3441
29%
1.2
5652+4
3.2
82%
68%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2211.61.5
-
15Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa3435
24%
1.0
4150-9
2.7
76%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3021.21.5
-
16Resovia RzeszówResovia Rzeszów3434
26%
1.0
3960-21
2.9
85%
56%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
17PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie3423
12%
0.7
2659-33
2.5
76%
53%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.7
-
18Zaglebie SosnowiecZaglebie Sosnowiec3416
6%
0.5
2155-34
2.2
62%
32%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.6
-
Poland: I Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →

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