Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Pontevedra or Drawâ Miss
51.1%
Avg Implied -
22%
29%
49%
covers Pontevedra + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pontevedra or Getafeâ Hit
71.2%
Avg Implied -
22%
29%
49%
covers Pontevedra + Getafe
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Getafeâ Hit
77.7%
Avg Implied -
22%
29%
49%
covers Draw + Getafe
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
đ„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Pontevedra over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
60.2%
Under
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pontevedra over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
23.6%
Under
76.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pontevedra over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.7%
Under
93.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pontevedra over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Getafe over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.2%
Under
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Getafe over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
43.5%
Under
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Getafe over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.6%
Under
81.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Getafe over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.3%
Under
93.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âïž 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Pontevedra, so a minus line means Pontevedra give that many goals of a start and Getafe receive them. At -1, Pontevedra must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Pontevedra win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Pontevedra)Actual: Getafe
Pontevedra -2
2.1%
Draw -2
5.9%
Getafe +2
92.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Pontevedra)Actual: Getafe
Pontevedra -1
8.0%
Draw -1
14.3%
Getafe +1
77.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Pontevedra)Actual: Draw
Pontevedra +1
51.1%
Draw +1
23.6%
Getafe -1
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Pontevedra)Actual: Pontevedra
Pontevedra +2
74.7%
Draw +2
15.3%
Getafe -2
10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
â±ïž 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Pontevedra
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.00
0.67
0.00
-
-
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
100% (+71pp vs league)
This opponent (Getafe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Getafe
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.53
0.29
0.43
0.25
0.62
vs Stronger (10)
0.10
0.90
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.83
vs Similar (18)
0.22
0.39
0.30
0.20
0.12
0.62
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
-
-
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Pontevedra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
đ„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pontevedra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pontevedra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pontevedra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Getafe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Getafe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Getafe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
â±ïž 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Pontevedra
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
0.33
2.00
0.33
-
-
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
0.50
2.00
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Getafe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Getafe
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.37
0.43
0.50
0.50
0.25
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.33
0.60
0.50
0.62
0.12
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Pontevedra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
đ„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pontevedra over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pontevedra over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pontevedra over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Getafe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Getafe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Getafe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
đ„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 6.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 5.5
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away +2 handicap
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 4.5
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Draw or Away
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away +1 handicap
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home +2 handicap
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home or Away
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 1.5
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: La Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →