Popeștii-Leordeni enter the match on a positive streak, having won their last game 4-1 against CSM Reșița, but the model still rates Bihor Oradea as the clear favourite, giving them a 65 % chance of victory versus Popeștii-Leordeni’s 16 % and a 19 % chance of a draw. The model’s pick is an away win, driven by the home side’s tendency to struggle against stronger opponents - scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.71 goals at home - while Bihor, playing away against a weaker opponent, has a clean-sheet record of 0.0 goals scored and conceded. The expected total goals for the game is 3.8, with the most likely total being three goals at a 20 % probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-2, with Popeștii-Leordeni losing 1-2 at a 9.1 % probability. The model’s suggested picks include Home under 3.5 goals (96.3 %), Under 7.5 (96.0 %), Away +2 handicap (93.6 %), Away over 0.5 goals (92.3 %), Under 6.5 (90.9 %), Over 1.5 (90.0 %), Home under 2.5 goals (87.1 %) and Draw or Away (84.1 %).
Popești-Leordeni| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.92 | 1.33 | 2.12 | 1.38 | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| vs Stronger (10) | 1.70 | 1.50 | 1.71 | 1.57 | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| vs Similar (2) | 3.00 | 0.50 | 5.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 8% (-23pp vs league) | |||||
Bihor Oradea| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.53 | 1.40 | 2.00 | 1.20 | 1.07 | 1.60 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 1.20 | 1.60 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| vs Similar (22) | 1.41 | 1.55 | 1.73 | 1.36 | 1.09 | 1.73 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 3.00 | 0.00 | 4.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 20% (-12pp vs league) | |||||
| Bihor Oradea goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% |
| 2 | 1.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
Popești-Leordeni| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.83 | 0.50 | 0.75 | 0.62 | 1.00 | 0.25 |
| vs Stronger (10) | 0.70 | 0.50 | 0.43 | 0.71 | 1.33 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (2) | 1.50 | 0.50 | 3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+18pp vs league) | |||||
Bihor Oradea| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.83 | 0.50 | 1.13 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.47 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 0.80 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| vs Similar (22) | 0.77 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.55 | 0.55 | 0.45 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 1.33 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+32pp vs league) | |||||
Popești-Leordeni| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.08 | 0.83 | 1.38 | 0.75 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| vs Stronger (10) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.29 | 0.86 | 0.33 | 1.33 |
| vs Similar (2) | 1.50 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+2pp vs league) | |||||
Bihor Oradea| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.70 | 0.90 | 0.87 | 0.67 | 0.53 | 1.13 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 0.40 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (22) | 0.64 | 1.05 | 0.73 | 0.82 | 0.55 | 1.27 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 1.67 | 0.00 | 2.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+2pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away under 2.5 HT goals | 98.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 2.5 2H goals | 97.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 3.5 goals | 96.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 7.5 | 96.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away +2 handicap | 93.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 2.5 HT goals | 92.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away over 0.5 goals | 92.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 1.5 HT goals | 91.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 6.5 | 90.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 2.5 2H goals | 90.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 1.5 | 90.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 1.5 2H goals | 87.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 2.5 goals | 87.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 0.5 2H goals | 84.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Draw or Away | 84.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away +1 handicap | 84.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 2.5 HT goals | 81.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 5.5 | 81.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home or Away | 81.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 0.5 HT goals | 78.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 1.5 HT goals | 77.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 2.5 2H goals | 74.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 3.5 goals | 74.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 2.5 | 73.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away over 1.5 goals | 72.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home over 0.5 goals | 71.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 1.5 2H goals | 71.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| No games. | |||
Popești-Leordeni| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 22/08/26 | H | 4-1 | |
| 19/08/26 | H | 0-3 | |
| 15/08/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 12/08/26 | H | 5-0 | |
| 08/08/26 | H | 3-2 | |
| 01/08/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 13/08/25 | H | 1-1 | |
| 06/08/25 | A | 2-3 | |
| 28/08/24 | H | 0-2 |
Bihor Oradea| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 29/08/26 | H | 4-0 | |
| 22/08/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 19/08/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 15/08/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 12/08/26 | A | 0-3 | |
| 08/08/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 01/08/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 16/05/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 10/05/26 | H | 3-3 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 2.6 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 0.4 | - |
| 2 | Slatina | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 2.4 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 0.4 | - |
| 3 | Concordia | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 3.8 | 100% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.2 | 1.6 | - |
| 4 | CSM Reşiţa | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 3.0 | 100% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 5 | Chindia Targoviste | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 6 | Popești-Leordeni | 5 | 9 | 40% | 1.8 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 3.2 | 100% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.2 | - |
| 7 | Gloria Bistriţa | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 2.2 | 60% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | - |
| 8 | FC Bacau | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 9 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 10 | Cetatea Suceava | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 2.8 | 100% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | - |
| 11 | Metaloglobus | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | - |
| 12 | Metalul Buzău | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | - |
| 13 | CS Afumati | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3.0 | 100% | 80% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | - |
| 14 | Bihor Oradea | 5 | 6 | 20% | 1.2 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 2.0 | 80% | 20% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | - |
| 15 | Ştefăneşti | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2.8 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | - |
| 16 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 5 | 5 | 20% | 1.0 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2.4 | 80% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.4 | - |
| 17 | ASA Targu Mures | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 2.2 | 80% | 40% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.6 | - |
| 18 | Dumbrăviţa | 5 | 3 | 0% | 0.6 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2.0 | 60% | 20% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 19 | CS Dinamo București | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2.8 | 60% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | - |
| 20 | CSM Satu Mare | 5 | 2 | 0% | 0.4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1.4 | 60% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 21 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3.2 | 100% | 100% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 2.2 | - |
| 22 | Unirea Slobozia | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2.4 | 80% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.8 | - |
| 23 | AFC Hermannstadt | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 11 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - |