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Popești-Leordeni vs FC Bacau Result & Analysis

Date: 19/08/2026
Time: 14:30
Final 0-3
Popești-Leordeni
Popești-Leordeni
Vs
4%
6%
90%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Bacau
FC Bacau
Romania: Cupa României
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Popești-Leordeni enter the Cupa României clash on a positive streak, having won three of their last five matches and recently beating CSM Reșița 4-1, yet their home form against stronger opponents shows a 1.6 average of goals scored and conceded. FC Bacău, however, have been more comfortable on the road, averaging 1.0 goal scored and conceded against weaker sides, and after a draw they are poised to exploit Popești-Leordeni’s defensive frailty. The model therefore names an Away win as the clear favourite, assigning a 90 % probability to FC Bacău’s triumph. The expected total of 5.8 goals translates into a 50 % chance of six or more goals, with the most likely scoreline 1-4 for FC Bacău, a 7.1 % probability. Home win stands at 4 %, draw at 6 %, and away win at 90 %. Suggested picks include Away over 0.5 goals (99 %), Away +2 handicap (98.8 %), Over 1.5 (98.1 %), Home under 3.5 goals (97 %), Draw or Away (96.3 %), Away +1 handicap (96.3 %), Away over 1.5 goals (94.5 %), and Home or Away (93.7 %).

Results analysis

The Cupa României match saw Popești-Leordeni return from a win while FC Bacău came off a draw, yet the away side’s form proved decisive. The final score was 0-3, an away win that matched the model’s prediction. The model had chosen “Away win” with a 90 % probability, and its call was correct. Every suggested selection hit: “Away over 0.5 goals” at 99 %, “Away +2 handicap” at 98.8 %, “Over 1.5” at 98.1 %, “Home under 3.5 goals” at 97.0 %, “Draw or Away” at 96.3 %, “Away +1 handicap” at 96.3 %, “Away over 1.5 goals” at 94.5 %, and “Home or Away” at 93.7 %. The model’s confidence was fully justified by the result.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Popești-Leordeni win✗ Miss
3.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
6.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Bacau win✓ Hit
90.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Popești-LeordeniPopești-Leordeni

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W21W02L32W11D11D32W50W11DH·PRO07/08H·TUN14/08H·UNI28/08A·PRO06/08H·CS 13/08A·CSM01/08H·FC 08/08H·CS 12/08A·DUM15/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.222.171.171.671.33
vs Stronger (7)1.711.431.601.402.001.50
vs Similar (2)3.000.505.000.001.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %11% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Bacau) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC BacauFC Bacau

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L13L31W02L10W14L30W23L30W30WA·CSM04/04H·CSM10/04H·CS 18/04A·CON25/04H·DUM02/05A·VII09/05H·ŞTE01/08A·POP08/08A·VII12/08H·CSA16/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.171.670.871.201.47
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (24)1.461.081.620.771.271.45
vs Weaker (5)1.601.402.001.501.331.33
Clean sheet %37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Popești-Leordeni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

12%25%37%50%0%02%16%210%315%417%550%6+
The model estimates around 5.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (50%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
98.1%
Under 1.5
1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
92.8%
Under 2.5
7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
82.9%
Under 3.5
17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
67.9%
No
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-4
7.1%
1-5
6.6%
0-4
6.2%
1-3
6.1%
0-5
5.7%
0-3 ✓
5.3%
1-6
5.1%
0-6
4.5%
Popești-Leordeni goals ↓
FC Bacau goals →
01234
00.5%1.3%3.4%5.3%6.2%
10.2%1.9%4.0%6.1%7.1%
20.2%1.0%2.3%3.5%4.1%
30.1%0.4%0.9%1.4%1.6%
40.0%0.1%0.3%0.4%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Popești-Leordeni goals (down), columns = FC Bacau goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arges Pitesti
2.33
Viitorul Arad
2.33
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.33
Gloria Bistriţa
2.29
Agricola Borcea
2.25
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
2.25
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.20
ACS Mediaş 2022
2.00
Unirea Alba Iulia
2.00
Plopeni
2.00
Oltul Curtişoara
2.00
Farul Constanta
2.00
Chindia Targoviste
2.00
Metalul Buzău
2.00
Jiul Petroşani
2.00
Săcele
2.00
LPS HD Clinceni
2.00
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
2.00
Cetatea
2.00
Păușești
2.00
Gheorgheni
2.00
Universitatea Cluj
2.00
Popești-Leordeni
2.00
Concordia
1.80
Csikszereda
1.75
FC Botosani
1.75
Uta Arad
1.75
Sporting Lieşti
1.67
Universitatea Craiova
1.67
Dumbrăviţa
1.67
Sighetu Marmaţiei
1.67
Timişul Şag
1.50
Pucioasa
1.50
Dunarea Calarasi
1.50
CSM FC Vaslui
1.50
Progresul Fundulea
1.50
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
1.50
AFC Hermannstadt
1.50
Tunari
1.50
FC Voluntari
1.50
Ştefăneşti
1.50
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.50
FC Bacau
1.50
Universitatea Alba Iulia
1.50
Sânmartin
1.50
Flacăra Moreni
1.50
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.50
Sănătatea Cluj
1.43
Slatina
1.40
Rapid
1.33
FCSB
1.33
Oţelul
1.33
CSM Satu Mare
1.33
Viitorul Onesti
1.33
Gloria Băneasa
1.33
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.25
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.25
Metaloglobus
1.25
CS Dinamo București
1.17
Unirea Tășnad
1.00
Minaur Baia Mare
1.00
Unirea Slobozia
1.00
Aerostar Bacau
1.00
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
1.00
SCM Zalău
1.00
Viitorul Cluj
1.00
Voința Crevedia
0.99
CSM Targu Jiu
0.99
Bradul Putna
0.99
Berca
0.99
Cetatea Suceava
0.99
Inter Sibiu
0.99
Progresul Mogosoaia
0.99
Corona Braşov
0.99
Chiesd
0.99
Unirea Sântana
0.99
Caransebes
0.99
Unirea DMO
0.99
Hidro Mecanica Sugag
0.99
Domnesti IF
0.99
Bihorul Beiuş
0.99
Bolintin Vale
0.99
Victoria Traian
0.99
Agigea
0.99
ASA Targu Mures
0.96
Baicoi
0.67
Râmnicu Sărat
0.50
Bihor Oradea
0.50
Progresul Pecica
0.50
CS Afumati
0.50
CSM Adjud
0.00
U Craiova 1948
0.00
Crişul Sântandrei
0.00
CSM Reşiţa
0.00
USV Iaşi
0.00
CIL Blaj
0.00
Progresul Spartac
0.00
Minerul Lupeni
0.00
Olimpic Zărneşti
0.00
Valenii de Munte
0.00
Unirea Dej
0.00
Alexandria
0.00
Bucovina Rădăuţi
0.00
Kids Tâmpa Braşov
0.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.00
Viitorul Şelimbăr
0.00
Unirea Bascov
0.00
Odorheiu Secuiesc
0.00
Academica Balș
0.00
Târgu Secuiesc
0.00
Axiopolis
0.00
Înainte Modelu
0.00
Blejoi
0.00
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
0.00
Metalurgistul Cugir
0.00
Gilortul
0.00
Tricolorul Breaza
0.00
Filiaşi
0.00
Unirea Braniştea
0.00
Stiinta Miroslava
0.00
Păuleşti
0.00
Urban Titu
0.00
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
0.00
Popești-Leordeni is 0.50 points better than FC Bacau in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
CSM FC Vaslui
8.00
Timişul Şag
5.00
CSM Satu Mare
4.00
Ştefăneşti
4.00
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
3.75
Râmnicu Sărat
3.50
Csikszereda
3.50
Metalul Buzău
2.83
Concordia
2.80
Gloria Bistriţa
2.57
Progresul Fundulea
2.50
Chindia Targoviste
2.50
ACS Mediaş 2022
2.33
Sporting Lieşti
2.33
Oltul Curtişoara
2.33
Săcele
2.33
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
2.33
Sănătatea Cluj
2.14
U Craiova 1948
2.00
Slatina
2.00
USV Iaşi
2.00
Unirea Alba Iulia
2.00
Olimpic Zărneşti
2.00
Tunari
2.00
Rapid
2.00
Metaloglobus
2.00
Târgu Secuiesc
2.00
Cetatea
2.00
Agricola Borcea
2.00
Tricolorul Breaza
2.00
Gheorgheni
2.00
Gloria Băneasa
2.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
2.00
Popești-Leordeni
2.00
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2.00
Arges Pitesti
1.83
Universitatea Craiova
1.83
FCSB
1.67
Oţelul
1.67
Viitorul Arad
1.67
Baicoi
1.67
Pucioasa
1.50
Dunarea Calarasi
1.50
Plopeni
1.50
Progresul Pecica
1.50
FC Voluntari
1.50
Farul Constanta
1.50
FC Botosani
1.50
Dumbrăviţa
1.50
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.50
FC Bacau
1.50
Universitatea Alba Iulia
1.50
Flacăra Moreni
1.50
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
Uta Arad
1.50
Voința Crevedia
1.41
CSM Targu Jiu
1.41
Bradul Putna
1.41
Berca
1.41
Cetatea Suceava
1.41
Inter Sibiu
1.41
Progresul Mogosoaia
1.41
Corona Braşov
1.41
Chiesd
1.41
Unirea Sântana
1.41
Caransebes
1.41
Unirea DMO
1.41
Hidro Mecanica Sugag
1.41
Domnesti IF
1.41
Bihorul Beiuş
1.41
Bolintin Vale
1.41
Victoria Traian
1.41
Agigea
1.41
ASA Targu Mures
1.37
Jiul Petroşani
1.33
Sighetu Marmaţiei
1.33
Păușești
1.33
FC Politehnica Timisoara
1.33
AFC Hermannstadt
1.25
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.25
Dinamo Bucuresti
1.20
Crişul Sântandrei
1.00
Unirea Tășnad
1.00
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
1.00
Unirea Dej
1.00
Bucovina Rădăuţi
1.00
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.00
CS Dinamo București
1.00
Unirea Slobozia
1.00
CS Afumati
1.00
Unirea Bascov
1.00
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
1.00
LPS HD Clinceni
1.00
Odorheiu Secuiesc
1.00
Academica Balș
1.00
Axiopolis
1.00
Sânmartin
1.00
SCM Zalău
1.00
Blejoi
1.00
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
1.00
Metalurgistul Cugir
1.00
Gilortul
1.00
Unirea Braniştea
1.00
Stiinta Miroslava
1.00
Păuleşti
1.00
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.00
Viitorul Onesti
0.67
Bihor Oradea
0.50
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
0.50
Viitorul Cluj
0.50
CSM Adjud
0.00
CSM Reşiţa
0.00
CIL Blaj
0.00
Progresul Spartac
0.00
Minerul Lupeni
0.00
Minaur Baia Mare
0.00
Valenii de Munte
0.00
Alexandria
0.00
Kids Tâmpa Braşov
0.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.00
Viitorul Şelimbăr
0.00
Aerostar Bacau
0.00
Înainte Modelu
0.00
Filiaşi
0.00
Urban Titu
0.00
Popești-Leordeni is 0.50 goals better than FC Bacau in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Minaur Baia Mare
0.00
Aerostar Bacau
0.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.20
Farul Constanta
0.25
LPS HD Clinceni
0.33
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0.33
Agricola Borcea
0.50
Viitorul Cluj
0.50
Uta Arad
0.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
0.50
ACS Mediaş 2022
0.67
Unirea Alba Iulia
0.67
Universitatea Craiova
0.67
Viitorul Onesti
0.67
Sighetu Marmaţiei
0.67
Păușești
0.67
Csikszereda
0.75
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.75
Universitatea Cluj
0.83
CSM Adjud
1.00
CSM Reşiţa
1.00
Minerul Lupeni
1.00
Plopeni
1.00
Unirea Tășnad
1.00
Bihor Oradea
1.00
Alexandria
1.00
Kids Tâmpa Braşov
1.00
Rapid
1.00
Unirea Slobozia
1.00
Viitorul Arad
1.00
Jiul Petroşani
1.00
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
1.00
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
1.00
SCM Zalău
1.00
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
1.00
Gloria Băneasa
1.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.00
Concordia
1.00
Arges Pitesti
1.17
AFC Hermannstadt
1.25
Gloria Bistriţa
1.29
Sănătatea Cluj
1.43
Timişul Şag
1.50
Dunarea Calarasi
1.50
CSM FC Vaslui
1.50
Tunari
1.50
FC Botosani
1.50
Chindia Targoviste
1.50
Dumbrăviţa
1.50
CS Afumati
1.50
Ştefăneşti
1.50
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.50
FC Bacau
1.50
Flacăra Moreni
1.50
Popești-Leordeni
1.50
CSM Satu Mare
1.67
Metalul Buzău
1.67
Săcele
1.67
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.75
Metaloglobus
1.75
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
1.75
Slatina
1.80
Crişul Sântandrei
2.00
CIL Blaj
2.00
Progresul Spartac
2.00
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
2.00
Oltul Curtişoara
2.00
Progresul Pecica
2.00
FCSB
2.00
Oţelul
2.00
CS Dinamo București
2.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
2.00
Viitorul Şelimbăr
2.00
Unirea Bascov
2.00
Odorheiu Secuiesc
2.00
Academica Balș
2.00
Înainte Modelu
2.00
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
2.00
Metalurgistul Cugir
2.00
Baicoi
2.00
Păuleşti
2.00
Urban Titu
2.00
Voința Crevedia
2.14
CSM Targu Jiu
2.14
Bradul Putna
2.14
Berca
2.14
Cetatea Suceava
2.14
Inter Sibiu
2.14
Progresul Mogosoaia
2.14
Corona Braşov
2.14
Chiesd
2.14
Unirea Sântana
2.14
Caransebes
2.14
Unirea DMO
2.14
Hidro Mecanica Sugag
2.14
Domnesti IF
2.14
Bihorul Beiuş
2.14
Bolintin Vale
2.14
Victoria Traian
2.14
Agigea
2.14
ASA Targu Mures
2.20
Pucioasa
2.50
Progresul Fundulea
2.50
Universitatea Alba Iulia
2.50
Cetatea
2.67
Gheorgheni
2.67
U Craiova 1948
3.00
Sporting Lieşti
3.00
Bucovina Rădăuţi
3.00
Târgu Secuiesc
3.00
Blejoi
3.00
Gilortul
3.00
Tricolorul Breaza
3.00
Unirea Braniştea
3.00
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
3.00
Râmnicu Sărat
4.00
Olimpic Zărneşti
4.00
Valenii de Munte
4.00
Unirea Dej
4.00
Stiinta Miroslava
4.00
FC Voluntari
4.50
USV Iaşi
5.00
Axiopolis
5.00
Sânmartin
5.50
Filiaşi
9.00
Popești-Leordeni and FC Bacau are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Popești-Leordeni or Draw✗ Miss
10.0%
Avg Implied -
4%
6%
90%
covers Popești-Leordeni + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Popești-Leordeni or FC Bacau✓ Hit
93.7%
Avg Implied -
4%
6%
90%
covers Popești-Leordeni + FC Bacau
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FC Bacau✓ Hit
96.3%
Avg Implied -
4%
6%
90%
covers Draw + FC Bacau
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Popești-Leordeni over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
68.4%
Under
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Popești-Leordeni over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
32.0%
Under
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Popești-Leordeni over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.0%
Under
89.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Popești-Leordeni over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Bacau over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
99.0%
Under
1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Bacau over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
94.5%
Under
5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Bacau over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
84.1%
Under
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Bacau over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
67.9%
Under
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Popești-Leordeni, so a minus line means Popești-Leordeni give that many goals of a start and FC Bacau receive them. At -1, Popești-Leordeni must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Popești-Leordeni win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Popești-Leordeni)Actual: FC Bacau
Popești-Leordeni -2
0.3%
Draw -2
0.9%
FC Bacau +2
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Popești-Leordeni)Actual: FC Bacau
Popești-Leordeni -1
1.2%
Draw -1
2.5%
FC Bacau +1
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Popești-Leordeni)Actual: FC Bacau
Popești-Leordeni +1
10.0%
Draw +1
10.4%
FC Bacau -1
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Popești-Leordeni)Actual: FC Bacau
Popești-Leordeni +2
20.4%
Draw +2
14.9%
FC Bacau -2
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Popești-LeordeniPopești-Leordeni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D01L20W11D01L11D30W10WH·PRO07/08H·TUN14/08H·UNI28/08A·PRO06/08H·CS 13/08A·CSM01/08H·FC 08/08H·CS 12/08A·DUM15/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.890.440.830.501.000.33
vs Stronger (7)0.710.430.400.601.500.00
vs Similar (2)1.500.503.000.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %56% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Bacau) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC BacauFC Bacau

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D20W01L00D12L10W11D10W20WA·CSM04/04H·CSM10/04H·CS 18/04A·CON25/04H·DUM02/05A·VII09/05H·ŞTE01/08A·POP08/08A·VII12/08H·CSA16/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.571.000.270.600.87
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.830.541.000.230.640.91
vs Weaker (5)0.800.601.000.500.670.67
Clean sheet %57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Popești-Leordeni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Popești-Leordeni over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Popești-Leordeni over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Popești-Leordeni over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Bacau over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Bacau over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Bacau over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Popești-LeordeniPopești-Leordeni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W21W01L12L00D10W21W20W01LH·PRO07/08H·TUN14/08H·UNI28/08A·PRO06/08H·CS 13/08A·CSM01/08H·FC 08/08H·CS 12/08A·DUM15/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.110.781.330.670.671.00
vs Stronger (7)1.001.001.200.800.501.50
vs Similar (2)1.500.002.000.001.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Bacau) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC BacauFC Bacau

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L11D01L10W02L20W12L20W10WA·CSM04/04H·CSM10/04H·CS 18/04A·CON25/04H·DUM02/05A·VII09/05H·ŞTE01/08A·POP08/08A·VII12/08H·CSA16/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.600.670.600.600.60
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.620.540.620.540.640.55
vs Weaker (5)0.800.801.001.000.670.67
Clean sheet %57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Popești-Leordeni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Popești-Leordeni over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Popești-Leordeni over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Popești-Leordeni over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Bacau over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Bacau over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Bacau over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away over 0.5 goals99.0%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap98.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.598.1%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals97.0%-------✓ Hit
Draw or Away96.3%-------✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap96.3%-------✓ Hit
Away over 1.5 goals94.5%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away93.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.592.8%-------✓ Hit
Away win90.0%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals89.0%-------✓ Hit
Away over 2.5 goals84.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.582.9%-------✗ Miss
Away -1 handicap79.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 7.577.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (25)
€37m
RAP (31)
€30m
FCS (27)
€26m
DB (26)
€20m
UC (26)
€17m
C1C (22)
€14m
AP (26)
€13m
AH (37)
€11m
FC (32)
€11m
FB (25)
€9m
UA (21)
€8m
OŢE (20)
€7m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
SOS (31)
€6m
PP (20)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
CON (26)
€5m
BO (23)
€4m
CT (21)
€3m
CSB (24)
€3m
SLA (23)
€3m
ATM (22)
€3m
CR (20)
€3m
MB (19)
€3m
FB (23)
€2m
VŞ (19)
€2m
GB (20)
€2m
CSM (19)
€2m
MET (15)
€1m
US (13)
€1m
DUM (15)
€1m
CA (14)
€1m
CDB (14)
€1m
ŞTE (8)
€1m
CRV (10)
€1m
POP (9)
€1m
Popești-Leordeni's squad is €2m less valuable than FC Bacau's (€1m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (10)
€14m
RAP (13)
€14m
FCS (9)
€12m
C1C (6)
€8m
DB (10)
€8m
UC (8)
€7m
AH (13)
€5m
FC (10)
€4m
FB (8)
€4m
AP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
OŢE (8)
€2m
SOS (12)
€2m
CSI (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
CON (11)
€2m
CT (8)
€2m
SLA (10)
€1m
PP (5)
€1m
ATM (7)
€1m
MB (6)
€1m
CSB (8)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
CR (9)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
GB (8)
€1m
FB (8)
€1m
MET (5)
€1m
CRV (5)
€1m
CA (6)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
CSM (7)
€0m
CDB (3)
€0m
POP (3)
€0m
DUM (3)
€0m
ŞTE (2)
€0m
Popești-Leordeni and FC Bacau have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€10m
DB (4)
€5m
UC (6)
€4m
FCS (5)
€4m
RAP (4)
€3m
AP (6)
€3m
AH (9)
€2m
FC (7)
€2m
C1C (5)
€2m
PP (7)
€2m
FB (5)
€2m
CON (6)
€1m
CSI (4)
€1m
SOS (7)
€1m
OŢE (2)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
CSB (6)
€1m
FB (6)
€1m
UA (3)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
ATM (4)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
GB (5)
€0m
DUM (4)
€0m
CR (4)
€0m
MB (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (4)
€0m
CT (2)
€0m
MET (3)
€0m
VŞ (3)
€0m
ŞTE (3)
€0m
CSM (4)
€0m
SLA (4)
€0m
CDB (4)
€0m
CRV (1)
€0m
Popești-Leordeni and FC Bacau have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (9)
€13m
RAP (14)
€12m
FCS (13)
€11m
DB (12)
€7m
AP (9)
€6m
UC (12)
€5m
AH (15)
€5m
FC (15)
€4m
OŢE (10)
€4m
C1C (11)
€4m
UA (10)
€4m
FB (12)
€3m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
PP (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
BO (11)
€2m
SLA (9)
€1m
CR (7)
€1m
CSB (10)
€1m
CT (11)
€1m
ATM (11)
€1m
MB (9)
€1m
CON (9)
€1m
CSM (8)
€1m
FB (9)
€1m
CDB (7)
€1m
ŞTE (3)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
DUM (8)
€1m
GB (7)
€1m
MET (7)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
CRV (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (2)
€0m
Popești-Leordeni and FC Bacau have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
POP wins
0
Draws
0
FB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Popești-Leordeni vs FC Bacau · H/A from POP
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/26HPOP Vs FC Bacau3-2

Popești-LeordeniPopești-Leordeni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26ADumbrăviţa Vs POP1-1
12/08/26HPOP Vs CS Dinamo București5-0
08/08/26HPOP Vs FC Bacau3-2
01/08/26ACSM Ramnicu Valcea Vs POP1-1
13/08/25HPOP Vs CS Afumati1-1
06/08/25AProgresul Fundulea Vs POP2-3
28/08/24HPOP Vs Unirea Ungheni0-2
14/08/24HPOP Vs Tunari2-1
07/08/24HPOP Vs Progresul Spartac2-1

FC BacauFC Bacau

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/26HFB Vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti3-0
12/08/26AViitorul Onesti Vs FB0-3
08/08/26APopești-Leordeni Vs FB3-2
01/08/26HFB Vs Ştefăneşti3-0
09/05/26AViitorul Şelimbăr Vs FB4-1
02/05/26HFB Vs Dumbrăviţa1-0
25/04/26AConcordia Vs FB2-0
18/04/26HFB Vs CS Afumati3-1
10/04/26HFB Vs CSM Satu Mare1-3
04/04/26ACSM Reşiţa Vs FB1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Popești-Leordeni
Popești-Leordeni
Romania: Cupa României
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWD2.00
HomeWLDWW2.17
AwayWDD1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%67%33%
AVG goals3.223.333.00
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %56%67%33%
Over 3.5 %33%33%33%
Scored2.002.171.67
Conceded1.221.171.33
BTTS78%67%100%
Clean Sheet11%17%0%
Corners---
Cards---
FC Bacau
FC Bacau
Romania: Cupa României
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWW1.58
HomeLWWWW1.72
AwayLLLLW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %47%50%44%
AVG goals2.692.442.94
Over 1.5 %75%72%78%
Over 2.5 %50%44%56%
Over 3.5 %31%22%39%
Scored1.441.441.44
Conceded1.251.001.50
BTTS47%44%50%
Clean Sheet31%39%22%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC Politehnica TimisoaraFC Politehnica Timisoara513
80%
2.6
112+9
2.6
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.20.4
-
2SlatinaSlatina513
80%
2.6
102+8
2.4
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1012.00.4
-
3ConcordiaConcordia512
80%
2.4
118+3
3.8
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2112.21.6
-
4CSM ReşiţaCSM Reşiţa512
80%
2.4
96+3
3.0
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.81.2
-
5Chindia TargovisteChindia Targoviste59
60%
1.8
105+5
3.0
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2012.01.0
-
6Popești-LeordeniPopești-Leordeni59
40%
1.8
106+4
3.2
100%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.2
-
7Gloria BistriţaGloria Bistriţa59
60%
1.8
74+3
2.2
60%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.40.8
-
8FC BacauFC Bacau58
40%
1.6
105+5
3.0
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.01.0
-
9CSM Ramnicu ValceaCSM Ramnicu Valcea58
40%
1.6
65+1
2.2
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.0
-
10Cetatea SuceavaCetatea Suceava57
40%
1.4
77+0
2.8
100%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
11MetaloglobusMetaloglobus57
40%
1.4
78-1
3.0
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.41.6
-
12Metalul BuzăuMetalul Buzău57
40%
1.4
56-1
2.2
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.01.2
-
13CS AfumatiCS Afumati57
40%
1.4
69-3
3.0
100%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.8
-
14Bihor OradeaBihor Oradea56
20%
1.2
64+2
2.0
80%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.20.8
-
15ŞtefăneştiŞtefăneşti56
40%
1.2
410-6
2.8
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.82.0
-
16Viitorul ŞelimbărViitorul Şelimbăr55
20%
1.0
57-2
2.4
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.4
-
17ASA Targu MuresASA Targu Mures54
20%
0.8
38-5
2.2
80%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.61.6
-
18DumbrăviţaDumbrăviţa53
0%
0.6
46-2
2.0
60%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.81.2
-
19CS Dinamo BucureștiCS Dinamo București53
20%
0.6
410-6
2.8
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.82.0
-
20CSM Satu MareCSM Satu Mare52
0%
0.4
16-5
1.4
60%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0010.21.2
-
21CSA Steaua BucureştiCSA Steaua Bucureşti51
0%
0.2
511-6
3.2
100%
100%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.02.2
-
22Unirea SloboziaUnirea Slobozia51
0%
0.2
39-6
2.4
80%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.61.8
-
23AFC HermannstadtAFC Hermannstadt00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
5250.00.0
-
Romania: Liga II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga II stats & trends →

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