Portadown vs Dungannon Swifts Result & Analysis

Portadown is expected to emerge victorious against Dungannon Swifts, with a predicted scoreline of 1-1 being the most likely outcome, but only with a 12.8% probability. This match is likely to be a low-scoring affair, with an average of 2.7 goals expected. Portadown's home form has seen them score an average of 1 goal and concede 0.71 goals per match against similar opponents. Meanwhile, Dungannon Swifts have struggled away from home, scoring 1.17 goals and conceding 2 goals on average against similar opponents. The model's selection is the Home win, with a 50% probability of success. The draw is a 27% possibility, while Dungannon Swifts' away win is the least likely outcome at 23%. The model also suggests taking Over 1.5 goals, with a 76% probability, and Under 3.5 goals, with a 71.7% probability.

The underdog Dungannon Swifts pulled off a stunning upset, defeating Portadown 0-1, spoiling the home side's recent run of form. The win extends Portadown's streak of alternating wins and losses, but it's the Swifts who will be celebrating. The model's selection, a Home win, was incorrect, with a pre-match probability of 51%. The model's call was wrong, as the away side's recent form suggested they were coming off a win. Meanwhile, the model's suggested picks included Over 1.5, which missed with a probability of 76.1%, and Under 3.5, which hit with a probability of 71.7%.