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Portadown vs Linfield Prediction & Stats

Date: 15/09/2026
Time: 18:45
Portadown
Portadown
Vs
18%
29%
54%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Linfield
Linfield
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Portadown’s recent home form has been bleak, losing four straight matches and conceding three goals in a 0-3 loss to Coleraine FC, while Linfield, on a three-game winning streak, has been solid on the road, scoring two and conceding only one in a 2-0 win over Limavady United. The defensive picture suggests a tight, low-scoring affair. The model favours an away win, with a 53% chance of Linfield triumphing, 29% for a draw and 19% for a Portadown win. The expected total goals sit at 2.2, with the most likely total being two goals, a 28% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 0-1 for Linfield, with a 14.4% chance. Portadown’s home form shows an average of two goals scored and one conceded against stronger opponents, whereas Linfield’s away form averages 1.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded against weaker sides. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (99.2%), Under 6.5 (99.2%), Under 5.5 (97.3%), Home under 2.5 goals (95.6%), Away +2 handicap (94.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (93.8%) and Under 4.5 (92.3%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Portadown win
17.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Linfield win
53.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PortadownPortadown

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D11D04L21W42W01L01L23L03LH·CRU21/03A·GLE04/04H·CAR07/04A·CRU11/04A·BAL18/04A·BAN25/04A·CAR08/08H·DUN15/08A·CRU22/08H·COL28/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.700.691.311.292.00
vs Stronger (5)1.002.202.001.000.752.50
vs Similar (25)1.041.600.581.331.461.85
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Linfield) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LinfieldLinfield

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D31W02L03L12L31W03L21W10W20WA·GLE28/03A·DUN07/04H·LAR11/04H·COL18/04H·CLI25/04H·DUN12/05H·BAL08/08H·GLE15/08H·CLI21/08A·LIM29/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.001.941.001.311.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.621.230.621.120.601.40
vs Weaker (17)2.470.823.110.891.750.75
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Portadown) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
67.0%
Under 1.5
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
39.1%
Under 2.5
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
19.1%
Under 3.5
80.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
42.4%
No
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
14.5%
1-1
13.1%
0-2
11.7%
0-0
11.7%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
6.8%
0-3
5.9%
2-1
4.5%
Portadown goals ↓
Linfield goals →
01234
012%15%12%5.9%2.2%
16.8%13%8.9%4.4%1.7%
23.0%4.5%3.4%1.7%0.6%
30.8%1.1%0.9%0.4%0.2%
40.1%0.2%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Portadown goals (down), columns = Linfield goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Larne
2.18
Coleraine FC
2.11
Glentoran
2.03
Linfield
1.77
Cliftonville FC
1.36
Carrick Rangers
1.36
Dungannon Swifts
1.27
Portadown
1.16
Bangor
1.03
Ballymena United
1.03
Crusaders FC
0.97
Limavady United
0.96
Portadown is 0.61 points worse than Linfield in terms of average points per game (1.16 vs 1.77).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coleraine FC
2.18
Larne
1.92
Glentoran
1.92
Carrick Rangers
1.67
Linfield
1.64
Cliftonville FC
1.44
Crusaders FC
1.30
Ballymena United
1.21
Dungannon Swifts
1.17
Portadown
1.16
Bangor
1.08
Limavady United
1.02
Portadown is 0.48 goals worse than Linfield in terms of goals scored per game (1.16 vs 1.64).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Larne
0.68
Linfield
0.87
Coleraine FC
0.97
Glentoran
1.00
Ballymena United
1.53
Cliftonville FC
1.56
Carrick Rangers
1.56
Bangor
1.71
Portadown
1.74
Dungannon Swifts
2.00
Crusaders FC
2.12
Limavady United
2.22
Portadown is 0.87 goals worse than Linfield in terms of goals conceded per game (1.74 vs 0.87).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Portadown or Draw
46.4%
Avg Implied -
18%
29%
54%
covers Portadown + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Portadown or Linfield
71.4%
Avg Implied -
18%
29%
54%
covers Portadown + Linfield
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Linfield
82.2%
Avg Implied -
18%
29%
54%
covers Draw + Linfield
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Portadown over/under 0.5
Over
53.1%
Under
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 1.5
Over
17.6%
Under
82.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 2.5
Over
4.2%
Under
95.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 3.5
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Linfield over/under 0.5
Over
77.6%
Under
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Linfield over/under 1.5
Over
44.0%
Under
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Linfield over/under 2.5
Over
19.0%
Under
81.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Linfield over/under 3.5
Over
6.5%
Under
93.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Portadown, so a minus line means Portadown give that many goals of a start and Linfield receive them. At -1, Portadown must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Portadown win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Portadown)
Portadown -2
1.2%
Draw -2
4.3%
Linfield +2
94.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Portadown)
Portadown -1
5.5%
Draw -1
12.2%
Linfield +1
82.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Portadown)
Portadown +1
46.4%
Draw +1
25.3%
Linfield -1
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Portadown)
Portadown +2
71.7%
Draw +2
16.9%
Linfield -2
11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PortadownPortadown

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W10W03L10W21W00D01L02L02LH·CRU21/03A·GLE04/04H·CAR07/04A·CRU11/04A·BAL18/04A·BAN25/04A·CAR08/08H·DUN15/08A·CRU22/08H·COL28/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.770.460.620.470.88
vs Stronger (5)0.800.802.001.000.500.75
vs Similar (25)0.400.760.330.580.460.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Linfield) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LinfieldLinfield

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D01L02L12L10W01L10W00D10WA·GLE28/03A·DUN07/04H·LAR11/04H·COL18/04H·CLI25/04H·DUN12/05H·BAL08/08H·GLE15/08H·CLI21/08A·LIM29/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.400.760.470.460.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.230.540.250.750.200.20
vs Weaker (17)0.940.291.220.220.620.38
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Portadown) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Portadown over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Linfield over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Linfield over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Linfield over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PortadownPortadown

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L01L01L11D21W01L00D21W01LH·CRU21/03A·GLE04/04H·CAR07/04A·CRU11/04A·BAL18/04A·BAN25/04A·CAR08/08H·DUN15/08A·CRU22/08H·COL28/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.930.230.690.821.12
vs Stronger (5)0.201.400.000.000.251.75
vs Similar (25)0.640.840.250.751.000.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Linfield) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LinfieldLinfield

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W01L01L00D21W02L11D10W10WA·GLE28/03A·DUN07/04H·LAR11/04H·COL18/04H·CLI25/04H·DUN12/05H·BAL08/08H·GLE15/08H·CLI21/08A·LIM29/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.601.180.530.850.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.380.690.380.380.401.20
vs Weaker (17)1.530.531.890.671.120.38
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Portadown) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Portadown over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Linfield over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Linfield over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Linfield over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.8%-------
Home under 3.5 goals99.2%-------
Under 6.599.2%-------
Under 5.597.3%-------
Home under 2.5 goals95.8%-------
Away +2 handicap94.5%-------
Away under 3.5 goals93.5%-------
Under 4.592.2%-------
Home under 1.5 goals82.4%-------
Draw or Away82.2%-------
Away +1 handicap82.2%-------
Away under 2.5 goals81.0%-------
Under 3.580.9%-------
Away over 0.5 goals77.6%-------
Home +2 handicap71.7%-------
Home or Away71.4%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (23)
€4m
CF (23)
€3m
GLE (24)
€3m
DS (21)
€3m
LIN (17)
€2m
CF (23)
€2m
BU (20)
€2m
BAN (20)
€2m
CR (20)
€2m
POR (16)
€1m
CF (18)
€1m
LU (5)
€0m
Portadown and Linfield have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (6)
€1m
CF (8)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
GLE (10)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
POR (6)
€1m
BU (3)
€1m
DS (6)
€0m
LIN (4)
€0m
CR (6)
€0m
BAN (4)
€0m
LU (1)
€0m
Portadown and Linfield have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (7)
€1m
DS (7)
€1m
BU (8)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
GLE (5)
€1m
LIN (6)
€1m
CR (6)
€1m
CF (4)
€1m
BAN (5)
€1m
CF (6)
€0m
POR (3)
€0m
LU (2)
€0m
Portadown and Linfield have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (10)
€2m
DS (8)
€1m
GLE (9)
€1m
LIN (7)
€1m
BAN (11)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
BU (9)
€1m
CF (9)
€1m
POR (7)
€1m
CR (8)
€1m
CF (7)
€1m
LU (2)
€0m
Portadown and Linfield have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
POR wins
1
Draws
6
LIN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Portadown vs Linfield · H/A from POR
DateH/AGameScore
10/03/26ALinfield Vs POR3-1
17/10/25HPOR Vs Linfield2-0
06/09/25ALinfield Vs POR3-0
18/01/25HPOR Vs Linfield1-3
30/11/24ALinfield Vs POR2-1
30/08/24HPOR Vs Linfield2-2
28/01/23HPOR Vs Linfield1-6
05/11/22HPOR Vs Linfield0-3

PortadownPortadown

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26HPOR Vs Coleraine FC0-3
22/08/26ACrusaders FC Vs POR3-2
15/08/26HPOR Vs Dungannon Swifts0-1
08/08/26ACarrick Rangers Vs POR1-0
25/04/26ABangor Vs POR2-4
18/04/26ABallymena United Vs POR1-2
11/04/26ACrusaders FC Vs POR4-0
07/04/26HPOR Vs Carrick Rangers1-1
04/04/26AGlenavon FC Vs POR1-1
21/03/26HPOR Vs Crusaders FC0-0

LinfieldLinfield

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26ALimavady United Vs LIN0-2
21/08/26HLIN Vs Cliftonville FC1-0
15/08/26HLIN Vs Glentoran2-1
08/08/26HLIN Vs Ballymena United0-3
12/05/26HLIN Vs Dungannon Swifts3-1
25/04/26HLIN Vs Cliftonville FC1-2
18/04/26HLIN Vs Coleraine FC0-3
11/04/26HLIN Vs Larne0-2
07/04/26ADungannon Swifts Vs LIN1-3
28/03/26AGlentoran Vs LIN1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Portadown
Portadown
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL1.16
HomeLDDLL1.46
AwayLWWLL0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%42%25%
AVG goals2.802.383.25
Over 1.5 %78%73%83%
Over 2.5 %56%38%75%
Over 3.5 %28%19%38%
Scored1.141.081.21
Conceded1.661.312.04
BTTS52%46%58%
Clean Sheet16%27%4%
Corners---
Cards---
Linfield
Linfield
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.72
HomeLWLWW2.11
AwayLLDWW1.26
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%67%30%
AVG goals2.442.672.17
Over 1.5 %74%78%70%
Over 2.5 %46%52%39%
Over 3.5 %22%22%22%
Scored1.521.851.13
Conceded0.920.811.04
BTTS40%37%43%
Clean Sheet42%44%39%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Coleraine FCColeraine FC410
75%
2.5
81+7
2.2
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.00.2
-
2Carrick RangersCarrick Rangers49
75%
2.2
73+4
2.5
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.80.8
-
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts49
75%
2.2
63+3
2.2
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0111.50.8
-
4Crusaders FCCrusaders FC49
75%
2.2
86+2
3.5
100%
100%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1012.01.5
-
5LinfieldLinfield49
75%
2.2
54+1
2.2
75%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.0
-
6GlentoranGlentoran46
50%
1.5
64+2
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.0
-
7Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC46
50%
1.5
54+1
2.2
75%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.0
-
8Ballymena UnitedBallymena United33
33%
1.0
44+0
2.7
100%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.31.3
-
9LarneLarne11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.00.0
-
10Limavady UnitedLimavady United30
0%
0.0
16-5
2.3
100%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.32.0
-
11PortadownPortadown40
0%
0.0
28-6
2.5
50%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.52.0
-
12BangorBangor30
0%
0.0
09-9
3.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.03.0
-
Northern-Ireland: Premiership 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Premiership stats & trends →

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