This opponent (Ipswich) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ipswich
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.33
1.86
1.21
0.75
1.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (30)
1.27
1.33
1.86
1.21
0.75
1.44
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Portsmouth) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.3%
Under 1.5
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
39.3%
@ 2.20-3.5%
Under 2.5
60.7%
@ 1.65+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
19.2%
Under 3.5
80.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.7%
No
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
11.7%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.5%
Portsmouth goals ↓
Ipswich goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
8.4%
4.5%
1.4%
0.3%
1
13%
14%
5.9%
1.8%
0.4%
2
9.3%
8.6%
4.0%
1.2%
0.3%
3
4.1%
3.8%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.4%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Portsmouth goals (down), columns = Ipswich goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Wigan
2.00
Rotherham
1.96
Milton Keynes Dons
1.93
Sheffield Weds
1.85
Sunderland
1.83
Wycombe
1.80
Plymouth
1.74
Oxford
1.65
Portsmouth
1.59
Bolton
1.59
Ipswich
1.52
Accrington
1.33
Charlton
1.28
Cambridge
1.26
Cheltenham
1.22
Burton
1.15
Lincoln
1.13
Shrewsbury
1.09
Morecambe
0.91
Gillingham
0.87
Fleetwood Town
0.87
Doncaster
0.83
AFC Wimbledon
0.80
Crewe
0.63
Portsmouth is 0.07 points better than Ipswich in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 1.52).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Oxford
1.78
Wigan
1.78
Sunderland
1.72
Sheffield Weds
1.70
Milton Keynes Dons
1.70
Wycombe
1.63
Bolton
1.61
Rotherham
1.52
Portsmouth
1.48
Plymouth
1.48
Ipswich
1.46
Cheltenham
1.43
Fleetwood Town
1.35
Accrington
1.33
Morecambe
1.24
Cambridge
1.22
Lincoln
1.20
Charlton
1.20
Burton
1.11
AFC Wimbledon
1.07
Shrewsbury
1.02
Crewe
0.80
Doncaster
0.80
Gillingham
0.76
Portsmouth is 0.02 goals better than Ipswich in terms of goals scored per game (1.48 vs 1.46).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Rotherham
0.72
Wigan
0.96
Milton Keynes Dons
0.96
Ipswich
1.00
Plymouth
1.04
Sheffield Weds
1.09
Portsmouth
1.11
Shrewsbury
1.11
Wycombe
1.11
Sunderland
1.15
Bolton
1.24
Oxford
1.28
Charlton
1.28
Lincoln
1.37
Burton
1.46
Gillingham
1.50
Cambridge
1.61
AFC Wimbledon
1.63
Accrington
1.74
Cheltenham
1.74
Doncaster
1.78
Fleetwood Town
1.78
Crewe
1.80
Morecambe
1.91
Portsmouth is 0.11 goals worse than Ipswich in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ipswich
59%
Milton Keynes Dons
59%
Bolton
57%
Sunderland
56%
Oxford
55%
Wigan
55%
Sheffield Weds
54%
Lincoln
53%
Plymouth
52%
Portsmouth
52%
Crewe
52%
Rotherham
51%
Charlton
50%
Accrington
50%
Cheltenham
48%
AFC Wimbledon
47%
Fleetwood Town
47%
Burton
46%
Wycombe
45%
Doncaster
45%
Cambridge
44%
Morecambe
43%
Shrewsbury
43%
Gillingham
38%
Portsmouth is 6.8 percentage points worse than Ipswich in terms of average possession (52% vs 59%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Portsmouth
For 5.5 · Against 5.9 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 12.6 · Total 25.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ipswich
For 4.4 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 10.6 · Total 20.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Portsmouth
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.7
8.8
3.6
3.4
3.7
26.8
26.4
27.2
vs Stronger (4)
10.0
10.0
10.0
4.2
3.7
6.0
29.2
29.3
29.0
vs Similar (20)
10.2
11.4
9.4
3.9
4.5
3.5
28.3
27.8
28.7
vs Weaker (26)
9.3
10.5
8.2
3.2
2.6
3.8
25.3
24.9
25.8
% over line
44%
54%
35%
52%
42%
62%
88%
83%
92%
% under line
56%
46%
65%
48%
58%
38%
12%
17%
8%
This opponent (Ipswich) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ipswich
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.6
9.2
3.4
3.3
3.4
24.8
24.7
24.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
7.0
7.0
7.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
27.0
31.0
23.0
vs Weaker (48)
9.5
9.7
9.3
3.3
3.3
3.4
24.7
24.5
25.0
% over line
50%
52%
48%
44%
41%
48%
68%
67%
70%
% under line
50%
48%
52%
56%
59%
52%
32%
33%
30%
This opponent (Portsmouth) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Accrington
11.4
Morecambe
10.9
Oxford
10.8
Burton
10.6
Lincoln
10.6
Doncaster
10.5
Rotherham
10.5
Plymouth
10.5
Wigan
10.3
Gillingham
10.2
Wycombe
10.1
Fleetwood Town
10.1
Sunderland
10.1
Crewe
10.0
Charlton
9.8
Bolton
9.8
Portsmouth
9.7
Sheffield Weds
9.7
Cambridge
9.7
AFC Wimbledon
9.6
Ipswich
9.4
Milton Keynes Dons
9.3
Cheltenham
9.2
Shrewsbury
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Charlton
3.9
Lincoln
3.7
Accrington
3.6
Portsmouth
3.6
Fleetwood Town
3.5
Crewe
3.4
Sunderland
3.4
Ipswich
3.4
Plymouth
3.3
Milton Keynes Dons
3.3
Shrewsbury
3.3
Oxford
3.3
Wigan
3.2
Sheffield Weds
3.2
Gillingham
3.2
Wycombe
3.1
Burton
3.1
Bolton
3.0
Morecambe
3.0
Cambridge
3.0
Rotherham
2.9
Doncaster
2.9
AFC Wimbledon
2.7
Cheltenham
2.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Portsmouth
26.8
Charlton
26.2
Sunderland
26.2
Wigan
25.9
Gillingham
25.7
Oxford
25.7
Accrington
25.6
Wycombe
25.5
Shrewsbury
25.4
Rotherham
25.4
Ipswich
24.8
Lincoln
24.7
Bolton
24.5
Milton Keynes Dons
24.4
Cambridge
24.4
Doncaster
24.0
Fleetwood Town
23.9
Burton
23.7
Crewe
23.3
Sheffield Weds
23.2
AFC Wimbledon
22.8
Morecambe
22.8
Plymouth
22.5
Cheltenham
19.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.3%
Under 9.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.9%
Under 3.5
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
52.0%
Under 21.5
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Portsmouth
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.63
0.83
0.50
0.33
0.72
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
0.67
1.33
0.67
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.25
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.14
0.29
vs Weaker (19)
0.53
0.79
0.62
0.50
0.45
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ipswich) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ipswich
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.60
0.93
0.57
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (30)
0.77
0.60
0.93
0.57
0.62
0.62
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Portsmouth) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Portsmouth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portsmouth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portsmouth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ipswich over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ipswich over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ipswich over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Portsmouth
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.63
0.58
0.50
0.67
0.72
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.33
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.50
0.75
1.00
2.00
0.43
0.57
vs Weaker (19)
0.68
0.63
0.50
0.38
0.82
0.82
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Ipswich) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ipswich
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.73
0.93
0.64
0.12
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (30)
0.50
0.73
0.93
0.64
0.12
0.81
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Portsmouth) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Portsmouth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portsmouth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portsmouth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ipswich over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ipswich over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ipswich over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Portsmouth · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
A. Segecic40%
Ryan Kavuma-McQueen25%
Ebou Adams20%
Terry Devlin20%
M. Milovanović20%
N. Schmid0%
M. Pack0%
Conor Shaughnessy0%
R. Shein0%
Odin Bailey0%
Colby Bishop0%
Z. Swanson0%
A. Kamara0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
Luke Brooke-Smith0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ebou Adams20%
R. Shein20%
Terry Devlin20%
A. Segecic20%
N. Schmid0%
M. Pack0%
Conor Shaughnessy0%
Odin Bailey0%
Colby Bishop0%
Z. Swanson0%
A. Kamara0%
M. Milovanović0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
Luke Brooke-Smith0%
Ryan Kavuma-McQueen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
A. Kamara25%
Ebou Adams20%
N. Schmid0%
M. Pack0%
Conor Shaughnessy0%
R. Shein0%
Odin Bailey0%
Colby Bishop0%
Terry Devlin0%
Z. Swanson0%
A. Segecic0%
M. Milovanović0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
Luke Brooke-Smith0%
Ryan Kavuma-McQueen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
A. Segecic80%
A. Kamara25%
Colby Bishop20%
N. Schmid0%
Ebou Adams0%
M. Pack0%
Conor Shaughnessy0%
R. Shein0%
Odin Bailey0%
Terry Devlin0%
Z. Swanson0%
M. Milovanović0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
Luke Brooke-Smith0%
Ryan Kavuma-McQueen0%
Ipswich · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chuba Akpom33%
Leif Davis33%
Marcelino Núñez33%
Dara O'Shea0%
Daizen Maeda0%
Kasey McAteer0%
Abdoul Ouattara0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Chuba Akpom0%
Dara O'Shea0%
Leif Davis0%
Daizen Maeda0%
Marcelino Núñez0%
Kasey McAteer0%
Abdoul Ouattara0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Chuba Akpom33%
Dara O'Shea0%
Leif Davis0%
Daizen Maeda0%
Marcelino Núñez0%
Kasey McAteer0%
Abdoul Ouattara0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kasey McAteer33%
Chuba Akpom0%
Dara O'Shea0%
Leif Davis0%
Daizen Maeda0%
Marcelino Núñez0%
Abdoul Ouattara0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (30)
€392m
IPS (31)
€280m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
WYC (24)
€10m
WIG (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
AW (21)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
MOR (1)
€0m
Portsmouth's squad is €248m less valuable than Ipswich's (€32m vs €280m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
CHA (13)
€18m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
LIN (7)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
AW (8)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
SHR (3)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Portsmouth's attack is €117m less valuable than Ipswich's (€13m vs €130m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
IPS (7)
€66m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
BOL (4)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
MOR (1)
€0m
Portsmouth's midfield is €61m less valuable than Ipswich's (€5m vs €66m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (15)
€125m
IPS (13)
€85m
POR (13)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
DON (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
MOR (0)
€0m
Portsmouth's defence is €70m less valuable than Ipswich's (€14m vs €85m).
England: League One 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
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Wigan
Rotherham
Milton Keynes Dons
Sheffield Weds
Sunderland
Wycombe
Plymouth
Oxford
Bolton
Accrington
Charlton
Cambridge
Cheltenham
Burton
Lincoln
Shrewsbury
Morecambe
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Doncaster
AFC Wimbledon
Crewe