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Považská Bystrica vs Humenné Result & Analysis

Date: 28/03/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 1-3
Považská Bystrica
Považská Bystrica
Vs
48%
27%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Humenné
Humenné
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Považská Bystrica win✗ Miss
47.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Humenné win✓ Hit
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W00D31W40W32W00D00D21W21W11DH·ŽIL14/10A·POH20/10H·SLO28/10A·SPA05/11A·ŠAM12/11A·MAL18/11H·PÚC02/03A·SLA09/03H·PET16/03A·DOL24/03
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.072.071.131.671.00
vs Stronger (8)1.751.001.501.172.500.50
vs Similar (21)1.951.102.441.111.581.08
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HumennéHumenné

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W32W41W00D11D01L21W20W00D10WH·MAL14/10A·SPI21/10H·LIP28/10A·TAT04/11A·KOM11/11H·ŽIL25/11A·POH01/03H·SLO09/03A·SPA15/03H·ŠAM23/03
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.101.500.751.291.50
vs Stronger (30)1.401.101.500.751.291.50
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Považská Bystrica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.6%
Under 1.5
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.1%
Under 2.5
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.0%
Under 3.5
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.7%
No
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
5.2%
Považská Bystrica goals ↓
Humenné goals →
01234
07.8%6.1%4.0%1.5%0.4%
19.5%13%6.5%2.4%0.7%
28.6%9.5%5.2%1.9%0.5%
34.6%5.1%2.8%1.0%0.3%
41.9%2.0%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Považská Bystrica goals (down), columns = Humenné goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Komárno
2.23
Petržalka
2.13
Tatran Prešov
2.00
Humenné
1.67
Púchov
1.57
Považská Bystrica
1.57
Spartak Myjava
1.47
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.40
Žilina II
1.33
Pohronie
1.30
Šamorín
1.27
Slovan Bratislava II
1.20
Slavoj Trebišov
1.17
Malženice
0.93
Dolný Kubín
0.67
Spišská Nová Ves
0.43
Považská Bystrica is 0.10 points worse than Humenné in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Komárno
2.13
Petržalka
2.13
Žilina II
1.90
Púchov
1.80
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.77
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Šamorín
1.63
Považská Bystrica
1.60
Slovan Bratislava II
1.53
Pohronie
1.47
Humenné
1.43
Spartak Myjava
1.40
Malženice
1.20
Slavoj Trebišov
1.13
Dolný Kubín
0.90
Spišská Nová Ves
0.73
Považská Bystrica is 0.17 goals better than Humenné in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 1.43).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tatran Prešov
0.77
Komárno
0.93
Petržalka
0.97
Humenné
1.07
Považská Bystrica
1.27
Spartak Myjava
1.40
Malženice
1.60
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.60
Púchov
1.63
Pohronie
1.67
Slavoj Trebišov
1.67
Slovan Bratislava II
1.83
Spišská Nová Ves
1.83
Šamorín
1.87
Žilina II
2.07
Dolný Kubín
2.27
Považská Bystrica is 0.20 goals worse than Humenné in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.07).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D10W10W12L00D00D20W20W00DH·ŽIL14/10A·POH20/10H·SLO28/10A·SPA05/11A·ŠAM12/11A·MAL18/11H·PÚC02/03A·SLA09/03H·PET16/03A·DOL24/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.601.070.800.800.40
vs Stronger (8)0.750.750.830.830.500.50
vs Similar (21)1.050.571.220.780.920.42
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HumennéHumenné

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W10W00D01L00D11D00D00D00DH·MAL14/10A·SPI21/10H·LIP28/10A·TAT04/11A·KOM11/11H·ŽIL25/11A·POH01/03H·SLO09/03A·SPA15/03H·ŠAM23/03
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.300.560.060.500.57
vs Stronger (30)0.530.300.560.060.500.57
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Považská Bystrica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Považská Bystrica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D21W30W20W00D00D01L01L11DH·ŽIL14/10A·POH20/10H·SLO28/10A·SPA05/11A·ŠAM12/11A·MAL18/11H·PÚC02/03A·SLA09/03H·PET16/03A·DOL24/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.471.000.330.870.60
vs Stronger (8)1.000.250.670.332.000.00
vs Similar (21)0.900.521.220.330.670.67
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HumennéHumenné

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D12L31W00D10W01L10W20W00D10WH·MAL14/10A·SPI21/10H·LIP28/10A·TAT04/11A·KOM11/11H·ŽIL25/11A·POH01/03H·SLO09/03A·SPA15/03H·ŠAM23/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.800.940.690.790.93
vs Stronger (30)0.870.800.940.690.790.93
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Považská Bystrica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Považská Bystrica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (24)
€3m
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Považská Bystrica and Humenné have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (10)
€1m
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
Považská Bystrica and Humenné have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (5)
€1m
ŠAM (6)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Považská Bystrica and Humenné have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (9)
€1m
PET (8)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Považská Bystrica and Humenné have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
PB wins
1
Draws
1
HUM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Považská Bystrica vs Humenné · H/A from PB
DateH/AGameScore
09/09/23AHumenné Vs PB1-1
12/11/22HPB Vs Humenné2-0
23/07/22AHumenné Vs PB2-1

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/03/24ADolný Kubín Vs PB1-1
16/03/24HPB Vs Petržalka2-1
09/03/24ASlavoj Trebišov Vs PB1-2
02/03/24HPB Vs Púchov0-0
18/11/23AMalženice Vs PB0-0
12/11/23AŠamorín Vs PB2-3
05/11/23ASpartak Myjava Vs PB0-4
28/10/23HPB Vs Slovan Bratislava II3-1
20/10/23APohronie Vs PB0-0
14/10/23HPB Vs Žilina II2-1

HumennéHumenné

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/03/24HHUM Vs Šamorín1-0
15/03/24ASpartak Myjava Vs HUM0-0
09/03/24HHUM Vs Slovan Bratislava II2-0
01/03/24APohronie Vs HUM1-2
25/11/23HHUM Vs Žilina II0-1
11/11/23AKomárno Vs HUM1-1
04/11/23ATatran Prešov Vs HUM0-0
28/10/23HHUM Vs Liptovský Mikuláš4-1
21/10/23ASpišská Nová Ves Vs HUM2-3
14/10/23HHUM Vs Malženice2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Považská Bystrica
Považská Bystrica
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWD1.52
HomeDWWDW1.88
AwayWWDWD1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%52%24%
AVG goals3.063.402.72
Over 1.5 %78%80%76%
Over 2.5 %62%64%60%
Over 3.5 %42%48%36%
Scored1.722.041.40
Conceded1.341.361.32
BTTS66%72%60%
Clean Sheet26%24%28%
Corners---
Cards---
Humenné
Humenné
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDW1.34
HomeWWLWW1.50
AwayWDDWD1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%42%25%
AVG goals2.302.382.21
Over 1.5 %62%65%58%
Over 2.5 %42%50%33%
Over 3.5 %22%23%21%
Scored1.141.310.96
Conceded1.161.081.25
BTTS48%50%46%
Clean Sheet36%31%42%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KomárnoKomárno3067
70%
2.2
6428+36
3.1
80%
43%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.10.9
-
2PetržalkaPetržalka3064
63%
2.1
6429+35
3.1
80%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.11.0
-
3Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov3060
60%
2.0
5023+27
2.4
73%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.8
-
4HumennéHumenné3050
47%
1.7
4332+11
2.5
63%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
5Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica3047
40%
1.6
4838+10
2.9
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.3
-
6PúchovPúchov3047
47%
1.6
5449+5
3.4
77%
60%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
7Spartak MyjavaSpartak Myjava3044
40%
1.5
4242+0
2.8
87%
67%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
8Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš3042
43%
1.4
5348+5
3.4
87%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.81.6
-
9Žilina IIŽilina II3040
40%
1.3
5762-5
4.0
83%
73%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.92.1
-
10PohroniePohronie3039
37%
1.3
4450-6
3.1
87%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.7
-
11ŠamorínŠamorín3038
33%
1.3
4956-7
3.5
87%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.61.9
-
12Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II3036
33%
1.2
4655-9
3.4
77%
67%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.8
-
13Slavoj TrebišovSlavoj Trebišov3035
33%
1.2
3450-16
2.8
80%
60%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
14MalženiceMalženice3028
23%
0.9
3648-12
2.8
80%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.6
-
15Dolný KubínDolný Kubín3020
13%
0.7
2768-41
3.2
87%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.3
-
16Spišská Nová VesSpišská Nová Ves3013
10%
0.4
2255-33
2.6
77%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.8
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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