Považská Bystrica are the clear favourites, with a 51% chance of victory, a 25% chance of a draw and a 25% chance of a MFK Bytča win. The model predicts an average of 3.1 goals, but the most likely total is two, with a 23% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 11.4% chance. Home side Považská Bystrica, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while MFK Bytča, on the road against a weaker side, averages 3.0 scored and 1.5 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.1%), Under 6.5 (96.0%), Under 5.5 (90.4%), Home +2 handicap (89.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (88.1%), Away under 2.5 goals (86.7%) and Home over 0.5 goals (84.5%). The recent form shows Považská Bystrica coming off a defeat to Šamorín, while Bytča are on a two-game winning run after beating Zlaté Moravce.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Považská Bystrica win
53.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
23.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča win
23.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Považská Bystrica
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.57
1.36
1.29
1.62
1.81
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
1.20
0.50
1.00
2.00
1.33
vs Similar (25)
1.52
1.64
1.50
1.33
1.54
1.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (MFK Bytča) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
MFK Bytča
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.46
2.08
1.00
2.33
1.86
1.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.83
1.83
1.00
2.00
2.25
1.75
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
2.29
1.00
2.50
1.33
2.00
Clean sheet %
31% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Považská Bystrica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.9%
Under 1.5
16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62.0%
Under 2.5
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
39.7%
Under 3.5
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
62.1%
No
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.8%
1-0
7.0%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
3-0
5.1%
Považská Bystrica goals ↓
MFK Bytča goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.1%
4.1%
3.2%
1.3%
0.4%
1
7.0%
11%
6.2%
2.6%
0.8%
2
7.8%
9.7%
6.0%
2.5%
0.8%
3
5.1%
6.3%
3.9%
1.6%
0.5%
4
2.5%
3.1%
1.9%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Považská Bystrica goals (down), columns = MFK Bytča goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Petržalka
3.00
Šamorín
2.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Žilina II
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.33
Malženice
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Galanta
1.17
Humenné
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
Slovan Bratislava II
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.50
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.50
Považská Bystrica is 1.17 points better than MFK Bytča in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 0.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Petržalka
2.67
Šamorín
2.17
Pohronie
2.00
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.83
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.67
Inter Bratislava
1.50
Tatran Prešov
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Žilina II
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.67
Humenné
0.67
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.67
Galanta
0.67
Považská Bystrica is 1.00 goals better than MFK Bytča in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 0.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Petržalka
0.33
Šamorín
1.00
Žilina II
1.00
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
1.17
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.33
Humenné
1.50
Galanta
1.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Slovan Bratislava II
1.67
MFK Bytča
3.17
Považská Bystrica is 1.50 goals better than MFK Bytča in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 3.17).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Považská Bystrica or Draw
76.9%
Avg Implied -
53%
24%
23%
covers Považská Bystrica + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica or MFK Bytča
76.1%
Avg Implied -
53%
24%
23%
covers Považská Bystrica + MFK Bytča
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or MFK Bytča
47.0%
Avg Implied -
53%
24%
23%
covers Draw + MFK Bytča
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Považská Bystrica over/under 0.5
Over
85.9%
Under
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 1.5
Over
58.2%
Under
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 2.5
Over
31.1%
Under
68.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 3.5
Over
13.5%
Under
86.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 0.5
Over
71.2%
Under
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 1.5
Over
35.3%
Under
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 2.5
Over
13.0%
Under
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 3.5
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Považská Bystrica, so a minus line means Považská Bystrica give that many goals of a start and MFK Bytča receive them. At -1, Považská Bystrica must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Považská Bystrica win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Považská Bystrica)
Považská Bystrica -2
15.1%
Draw -2
16.4%
MFK Bytča +2
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Považská Bystrica)
Považská Bystrica -1
31.5%
Draw -1
21.5%
MFK Bytča +1
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Považská Bystrica)
Považská Bystrica +1
76.9%
Draw +1
13.3%
MFK Bytča -1
9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Považská Bystrica)
Považská Bystrica +2
90.2%
Draw +2
6.6%
MFK Bytča -2
3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Považská Bystrica
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.53
0.64
0.29
0.62
0.75
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.40
0.50
1.00
0.67
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.56
0.67
0.17
0.62
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (MFK Bytča) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
MFK Bytča
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.69
1.23
0.83
1.33
0.57
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.50
0.83
1.00
1.00
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (7)
0.86
1.57
0.75
1.50
1.00
1.67
Clean sheet %
38% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Považská Bystrica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Považská Bystrica over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Považská Bystrica
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.03
0.71
1.00
1.00
1.06
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.80
0.00
0.00
1.33
1.33
vs Similar (25)
0.88
1.08
0.83
1.17
0.92
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (MFK Bytča) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
MFK Bytča
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.85
0.17
1.00
1.29
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (7)
0.29
0.71
0.25
1.00
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
54% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Považská Bystrica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Považská Bystrica over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Slovakia: 2. liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →