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Považská Bystrica vs Pohronie Result & Analysis

Date: 09/05/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 3-1
Považská Bystrica
Považská Bystrica
Vs
55%
24%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Pohronie
Pohronie
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Považská Bystrica win✓ Hit
54.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pohronie win✗ Miss
21.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W40W10W11D11D01L01L21W21W22DA·MAL02/03H·PÚC08/03A·LOK18/03H·ZLA22/03A·PET30/03H·TAT05/04A·HUM12/04H·STA19/04H·LIP26/04A·ŽIL04/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.402.001.501.191.31
vs Stronger (9)1.671.671.251.752.001.60
vs Similar (19)1.531.322.221.440.901.20
vs Weaker (2)1.501.003.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Pohronie) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PohroniePohronie

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-532W31W12L20W02L03L01L25L12L11DA·STA01/03H·ŠAM07/03A·SLO14/03H·MAL21/03A·PÚC29/03H·LOK04/04A·ZLA11/04H·PET18/04A·TAT26/04H·HUM02/05
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.731.711.791.381.69
vs Stronger (5)1.402.803.003.500.332.33
vs Similar (23)1.651.571.551.551.751.58
vs Weaker (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Považská Bystrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.6%
Under 1.5
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.6%
Under 2.5
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.4%
Under 3.5
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.2%
No
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.2%
1-0
7.2%
3-1 ✓
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.4%
Považská Bystrica goals ↓
Pohronie goals →
01234
05.1%4.0%3.0%1.2%0.4%
17.2%11%5.9%2.4%0.7%
28.2%9.8%5.9%2.3%0.7%
35.4%6.5%3.9%1.6%0.5%
42.7%3.2%1.9%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Považská Bystrica goals (down), columns = Pohronie goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Tatran Prešov
2.42
Zlaté Moravce
2.00
Považská Bystrica
1.69
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.65
Púchov
1.50
Petržalka
1.42
Malženice
1.31
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.31
Žilina II
1.19
Šamorín
1.15
Pohronie
1.12
Slovan Bratislava II
1.08
Stará Ľubovňa
0.92
Humenné
0.88
Považská Bystrica is 0.58 points better than Pohronie in terms of average points per game (1.69 vs 1.12).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Tatran Prešov
1.96
Púchov
1.62
Považská Bystrica
1.62
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.62
Zlaté Moravce
1.58
Pohronie
1.42
Malženice
1.27
Slovan Bratislava II
1.27
Petržalka
1.23
Žilina II
1.23
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.15
Šamorín
1.12
Stará Ľubovňa
0.92
Humenné
0.77
Považská Bystrica is 0.19 goals better than Pohronie in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 1.42).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zlaté Moravce
0.69
Tatran Prešov
0.73
Petržalka
1.00
Stará Ľubovňa
1.15
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.19
Považská Bystrica
1.35
Púchov
1.38
Humenné
1.50
Žilina II
1.50
Šamorín
1.54
Malženice
1.54
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.58
Slovan Bratislava II
1.65
Pohronie
1.96
Považská Bystrica is 0.62 goals better than Pohronie in terms of goals conceded per game (1.35 vs 1.96).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W10W00D00D01L00D20W01L20WA·MAL02/03H·PÚC08/03A·LOK18/03H·ZLA22/03A·PET30/03H·TAT05/04A·HUM12/04H·STA19/04H·LIP26/04A·ŽIL04/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.400.860.430.620.38
vs Stronger (9)1.110.330.750.501.400.20
vs Similar (19)0.580.470.890.440.300.50
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Pohronie) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PohroniePohronie

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D21W12L20W02L00D00D12L01L00DA·STA01/03H·ŠAM07/03A·SLO14/03H·MAL21/03A·PÚC29/03H·LOK04/04A·ZLA11/04H·PET18/04A·TAT26/04H·HUM02/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.671.070.710.620.62
vs Stronger (5)1.000.802.501.500.000.33
vs Similar (23)0.870.700.910.640.830.75
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Považská Bystrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Považská Bystrica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W00D11D11D00D01L01L20W02LA·MAL02/03H·PÚC08/03A·LOK18/03H·ZLA22/03A·PET30/03H·TAT05/04A·HUM12/04H·STA19/04H·LIP26/04A·ŽIL04/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.001.141.070.560.94
vs Stronger (9)0.561.330.501.250.601.40
vs Similar (19)0.950.841.331.000.600.70
vs Weaker (2)1.001.002.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Pohronie) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PohroniePohronie

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W00D00D00D03L01L13L11D11DA·STA01/03H·ŠAM07/03A·SLO14/03H·MAL21/03A·PÚC29/03H·LOK04/04A·ZLA11/04H·PET18/04A·TAT26/04H·HUM02/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.070.641.070.751.06
vs Stronger (5)0.402.000.502.000.332.00
vs Similar (23)0.780.870.640.910.920.83
vs Weaker (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Považská Bystrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Považská Bystrica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Považská Bystrica and Pohronie have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
Považská Bystrica and Pohronie have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Považská Bystrica and Pohronie have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Považská Bystrica and Pohronie have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
PB wins
3
Draws
1
POH wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Považská Bystrica vs Pohronie · H/A from PB
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/24APohronie Vs PB1-2
04/05/24HPB Vs Pohronie1-1
20/10/23APohronie Vs PB0-0
12/05/23APohronie Vs PB3-2
22/10/22HPB Vs Pohronie2-2

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/25AŽilina II Vs PB2-2
26/04/25HPB Vs Liptovský Mikuláš2-1
19/04/25HPB Vs Stará Ľubovňa2-1
12/04/25AHumenné Vs PB1-0
05/04/25HPB Vs Tatran Prešov0-1
30/03/25APetržalka Vs PB1-1
22/03/25HPB Vs Zlaté Moravce1-1
18/03/25ALokomotíva Zvolen Vs PB0-1
08/03/25HPB Vs Púchov4-0
02/03/25AMalženice Vs PB0-2

PohroniePohronie

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/25HPOH Vs Humenné1-1
26/04/25ATatran Prešov Vs POH2-1
18/04/25HPOH Vs Petržalka2-5
11/04/25AZlaté Moravce Vs POH1-0
04/04/25HPOH Vs Lokomotíva Zvolen0-3
29/03/25APúchov Vs POH2-0
21/03/25HPOH Vs Malženice2-0
14/03/25ASlovan Bratislava II Vs POH2-1
07/03/25HPOH Vs Šamorín3-1
01/03/25AStará Ľubovňa Vs POH2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Považská Bystrica
Považská Bystrica
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWD1.50
HomeWDLWW1.70
AwayWWDLD1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%48%33%
AVG goals2.763.042.52
Over 1.5 %84%87%81%
Over 2.5 %50%65%37%
Over 3.5 %34%43%26%
Scored1.441.701.22
Conceded1.321.351.30
BTTS66%78%56%
Clean Sheet16%9%22%
Corners---
Cards---
Pohronie
Pohronie
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD1.30
HomeWWLLD1.57
AwayWLLLL1.07
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%48%30%
AVG goals3.303.173.41
Over 1.5 %88%87%89%
Over 2.5 %60%57%63%
Over 3.5 %36%30%41%
Scored1.561.521.59
Conceded1.741.651.81
BTTS48%52%44%
Clean Sheet26%30%22%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov2663
77%
2.4
5119+32
2.7
69%
58%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.00.7
-
2Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce2652
62%
2.0
4118+23
2.3
62%
35%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.60.7
-
3Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica2644
50%
1.7
4235+7
3.0
81%
58%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.3
-
4Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš2643
46%
1.7
4231+11
2.8
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.61.2
-
5PúchovPúchov2639
42%
1.5
4236+6
3.0
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.4
-
6PetržalkaPetržalka2637
38%
1.4
3226+6
2.2
65%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.0
-
7MalženiceMalženice2634
38%
1.3
3340-7
2.8
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.5
-
8Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen2634
38%
1.3
3041-11
2.7
73%
62%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.6
-
9Žilina IIŽilina II2631
35%
1.2
3239-7
2.7
69%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.5
-
10ŠamorínŠamorín2630
35%
1.2
2940-11
2.7
81%
54%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.5
-
11PohroniePohronie2629
31%
1.1
3751-14
3.4
88%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.42.0
-
12Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II2628
31%
1.1
3343-10
2.9
85%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.7
-
13Stará ĽubovňaStará Ľubovňa2624
23%
0.9
2430-6
2.1
62%
42%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
14HumennéHumenné2623
19%
0.9
2039-19
2.3
73%
42%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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