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Považská Bystrica vs Púchov Result & Analysis

Date: 08/03/2025
Time: 13:30
Final 4-0
Považská Bystrica
Považská Bystrica
Vs
45%
24%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Púchov
Púchov
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Považská Bystrica win✓ Hit
45.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Púchov win✗ Miss
31.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L31W11D11D01L04L21W43W02L20WA·TAT14/09H·HUM21/09A·DOL25/09A·STA28/09A·LIP05/10H·ŽIL19/10A·POH25/10H·ŠAM02/11A·SLO10/11A·MAL02/03
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.601.771.691.241.53
vs Stronger (8)1.252.000.332.001.802.00
vs Similar (20)1.501.402.251.501.001.33
vs Weaker (2)2.002.002.002.00--
Clean sheet %10% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Púchov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PúchovPúchov

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W13L10W31W02L11D01L21W03L50WA·SPA25/09H·MAL28/09H·STA05/10H·ŠAM12/10H·POD16/10A·LOK19/10H·ZLA26/10A·PET02/11A·TAT09/11H·HUM01/03
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.431.601.131.671.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.611.721.501.201.752.38
vs Weaker (12)1.671.001.801.001.571.00
Clean sheet %30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Považská Bystrica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%119%221%319%414%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.9%
Under 1.5
12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
69.0%
Under 2.5
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.7%
Under 3.5
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
69.5%
No
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
7.0%
3-1
5.7%
2-0
5.4%
1-0
4.7%
3-2
4.6%
Považská Bystrica goals ↓
Púchov goals →
01234
03.7%3.7%3.7%2.0%0.8%
14.7%9.8%7.2%3.8%1.5%
25.4%8.7%7.0%3.8%1.5%
33.5%5.7%4.6%2.4%1.0%
41.7%2.8%2.2%1.2%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Považská Bystrica goals (down), columns = Púchov goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Tatran Prešov
2.42
Zlaté Moravce
2.00
Považská Bystrica
1.69
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.65
Púchov
1.50
Petržalka
1.42
Malženice
1.31
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.31
Žilina II
1.19
Šamorín
1.15
Pohronie
1.12
Slovan Bratislava II
1.08
Stará Ľubovňa
0.92
Humenné
0.88
Považská Bystrica is 0.19 points better than Púchov in terms of average points per game (1.69 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Tatran Prešov
1.96
Púchov
1.62
Považská Bystrica
1.62
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.62
Zlaté Moravce
1.58
Pohronie
1.42
Malženice
1.27
Slovan Bratislava II
1.27
Petržalka
1.23
Žilina II
1.23
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.15
Šamorín
1.12
Stará Ľubovňa
0.92
Humenné
0.77
Považská Bystrica and Púchov are level in goals scored per game (both 1.62).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zlaté Moravce
0.69
Tatran Prešov
0.73
Petržalka
1.00
Stará Ľubovňa
1.15
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.19
Považská Bystrica
1.35
Púchov
1.38
Humenné
1.50
Žilina II
1.50
Šamorín
1.54
Malženice
1.54
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.58
Slovan Bratislava II
1.65
Pohronie
1.96
Považská Bystrica is 0.04 goals better than Púchov in terms of goals conceded per game (1.35 vs 1.38).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W11D00D01L01L01L22D01L00DA·TAT14/09H·HUM21/09A·DOL25/09A·STA28/09A·LIP05/10H·ŽIL19/10A·POH25/10H·ŠAM02/11A·SLO10/11A·MAL02/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.600.770.620.650.59
vs Stronger (8)0.750.620.000.331.200.80
vs Similar (20)0.700.501.120.500.420.50
vs Weaker (2)0.501.500.501.50--
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Púchov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PúchovPúchov

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D00D21W01L11D01L20W00D40WA·SPA25/09H·MAL28/09H·STA05/10H·ŠAM12/10H·POD16/10A·LOK19/10H·ZLA26/10A·PET02/11A·TAT09/11H·HUM01/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.631.000.531.000.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.000.720.900.601.120.88
vs Weaker (12)1.000.501.200.400.860.57
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Považská Bystrica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Považská Bystrica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L21W00D11D00D03L20W21W01L20WA·TAT14/09H·HUM21/09A·DOL25/09A·STA28/09A·LIP05/10H·ŽIL19/10A·POH25/10H·ŠAM02/11A·SLO10/11A·MAL02/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.001.001.080.590.94
vs Stronger (8)0.501.380.331.670.601.20
vs Similar (20)0.800.901.121.000.580.83
vs Weaker (2)1.500.501.500.50--
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Púchov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PúchovPúchov

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W13L10W10W01L00D00D01L03L10WA·SPA25/09H·MAL28/09H·STA05/10H·ŠAM12/10H·POD16/10A·LOK19/10H·ZLA26/10A·PET02/11A·TAT09/11H·HUM01/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.600.600.671.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.611.000.600.600.621.50
vs Weaker (12)0.670.500.600.600.710.43
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Považská Bystrica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Považská Bystrica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
PB wins
3
Draws
0
PÚC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Považská Bystrica vs Púchov · H/A from PB
DateH/AGameScore
06/09/24APúchov Vs PB1-1
02/03/24HPB Vs Púchov0-0
12/08/23APúchov Vs PB1-1
01/04/23HPB Vs Púchov3-1
03/09/22APúchov Vs PB1-2

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/25AMalženice Vs PB0-2
10/11/24ASlovan Bratislava II Vs PB2-0
02/11/24HPB Vs Šamorín4-3
25/10/24APohronie Vs PB1-2
19/10/24HPB Vs Žilina II0-4
05/10/24ALiptovský Mikuláš Vs PB1-0
28/09/24AStará Ľubovňa Vs PB1-1
25/09/24ADolný Kubín Vs PB1-1
21/09/24HPB Vs Humenné3-1
14/09/24ATatran Prešov Vs PB3-1

PúchovPúchov

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/25HPÚC Vs Humenné5-0
09/11/24ATatran Prešov Vs PÚC3-0
02/11/24APetržalka Vs PÚC1-2
26/10/24HPÚC Vs Zlaté Moravce0-1
19/10/24ALokomotíva Zvolen Vs PÚC1-1
16/10/24HPÚC Vs Podbrezová0-2
12/10/24HPÚC Vs Šamorín3-1
05/10/24HPÚC Vs Stará Ľubovňa1-0
28/09/24HPÚC Vs Malženice1-3
25/09/24ASpartak Kvašov Vs PÚC0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Považská Bystrica
Považská Bystrica
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW1.60
HomeWWWLW1.88
AwayDLWLW1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%54%35%
AVG goals2.963.332.62
Over 1.5 %84%83%85%
Over 2.5 %52%67%38%
Over 3.5 %40%54%27%
Scored1.601.961.27
Conceded1.361.381.35
BTTS66%75%58%
Clean Sheet20%17%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Púchov
Púchov
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLW1.46
HomeWWLLW1.44
AwayLWDWL1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%40%44%
AVG goals3.242.883.60
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %60%52%68%
Over 3.5 %44%40%48%
Scored1.721.561.88
Conceded1.521.321.72
BTTS46%44%48%
Clean Sheet32%32%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov2663
77%
2.4
5119+32
2.7
69%
58%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.00.7
-
2Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce2652
62%
2.0
4118+23
2.3
62%
35%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.60.7
-
3Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica2644
50%
1.7
4235+7
3.0
81%
58%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.3
-
4Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš2643
46%
1.7
4231+11
2.8
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.61.2
-
5PúchovPúchov2639
42%
1.5
4236+6
3.0
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.4
-
6PetržalkaPetržalka2637
38%
1.4
3226+6
2.2
65%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.0
-
7MalženiceMalženice2634
38%
1.3
3340-7
2.8
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.5
-
8Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen2634
38%
1.3
3041-11
2.7
73%
62%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.6
-
9Žilina IIŽilina II2631
35%
1.2
3239-7
2.7
69%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.5
-
10ŠamorínŠamorín2630
35%
1.2
2940-11
2.7
81%
54%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.5
-
11PohroniePohronie2629
31%
1.1
3751-14
3.4
88%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.42.0
-
12Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II2628
31%
1.1
3343-10
2.9
85%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.7
-
13Stará ĽubovňaStará Ľubovňa2624
23%
0.9
2430-6
2.1
62%
42%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
14HumennéHumenné2623
19%
0.9
2039-19
2.3
73%
42%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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