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Považská Bystrica vs Šamorín Result & Analysis

Date: 25/04/2026
Time: 14:30
Final 1-1
Považská Bystrica
Považská Bystrica
Vs
40%
26%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Šamorín
Šamorín
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Považská Bystrica win✗ Miss
40.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Šamorín win✗ Miss
33.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L02L13L12L24L40W11D24L02L22DA·BAN15/11H·INT28/02A·DUK06/03H·ZLA14/03A·LIP21/03H·SLÁ28/03H·SLO04/04A·MAL12/04H·LOK18/04A·ŽIL22/04
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.631.361.291.561.94
vs Stronger (5)1.801.200.501.002.671.33
vs Similar (25)1.401.721.501.331.312.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Šamorín) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠamorínŠamorín

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L11D01L00D03L01L20W02L21W11DA·SLÁ16/11H·STA28/02A·POH06/03H·PÚC14/03A·PET22/03H·BAN28/03A·INT03/04H·DUK11/04A·ZLA17/04H·LIP22/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.501.001.201.931.80
vs Stronger (5)2.802.201.502.003.672.33
vs Similar (25)1.201.360.921.081.501.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Považská Bystrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.2%
Under 1.5
18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.6%
Under 2.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.2%
Under 3.5
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.3%
No
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
0-1
6.0%
Považská Bystrica goals ↓
Šamorín goals →
01234
06.1%6.0%5.1%2.4%0.9%
16.7%12%8.0%3.8%1.3%
26.2%8.8%6.3%3.0%1.1%
33.2%4.6%3.3%1.6%0.6%
41.3%1.8%1.3%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Považská Bystrica goals (down), columns = Šamorín goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dukla Banská Bystrica
2.20
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.62
Petržalka
1.60
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.60
Malženice
1.57
Komárno
1.50
Zlaté Moravce
1.47
Pohronie
1.47
Inter Bratislava
1.40
Slovan Bratislava II
1.33
Šamorín
1.27
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.17
Považská Bystrica
1.10
Žilina II
1.10
Slávia TU Košice
1.07
Púchov
0.97
Stará Ľubovňa
0.87
Považská Bystrica is 0.17 points worse than Šamorín in terms of average points per game (1.10 vs 1.27).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dukla Banská Bystrica
2.03
Zlaté Moravce
1.90
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.83
Pohronie
1.57
Komárno
1.50
Petržalka
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.47
Šamorín
1.47
Malženice
1.47
Žilina II
1.43
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.37
Považská Bystrica
1.27
Slávia TU Košice
1.27
Stará Ľubovňa
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Púchov
1.10
Považská Bystrica is 0.20 goals worse than Šamorín in terms of goals scored per game (1.27 vs 1.47).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Komárno
0.50
Dukla Banská Bystrica
0.83
Petržalka
1.03
Pohronie
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.20
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.22
Malženice
1.27
Šamorín
1.53
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.57
Slovan Bratislava II
1.60
Považská Bystrica
1.63
Zlaté Moravce
1.63
Púchov
1.67
Stará Ľubovňa
1.73
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.73
Slávia TU Košice
1.80
Žilina II
1.97
Považská Bystrica is 0.10 goals worse than Šamorín in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 1.53).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D12L11D01L20W10W11D00D10WA·BAN15/11H·INT28/02A·DUK06/03H·ZLA14/03A·LIP21/03H·SLÁ28/03H·SLO04/04A·MAL12/04H·LOK18/04A·ŽIL22/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.670.710.430.880.88
vs Stronger (5)1.600.400.501.002.330.00
vs Similar (25)0.640.720.750.330.541.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Šamorín) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠamorínŠamorín

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D01L00D02L01L10W00D10W11DA·SLÁ16/11H·STA28/02A·POH06/03H·PÚC14/03A·PET22/03H·BAN28/03A·INT03/04H·DUK11/04A·ZLA17/04H·LIP22/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.330.600.931.00
vs Stronger (5)1.001.000.001.001.671.00
vs Similar (25)0.560.760.380.540.751.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Považská Bystrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Považská Bystrica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L01L01L23L20W01L13L02L12LA·BAN15/11H·INT28/02A·DUK06/03H·ZLA14/03A·LIP21/03H·SLÁ28/03H·SLO04/04A·MAL12/04H·LOK18/04A·ŽIL22/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.970.640.860.691.06
vs Stronger (5)0.200.800.000.000.331.33
vs Similar (25)0.761.000.751.000.771.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Šamorín) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠamorínŠamorín

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D00D00D01L00D10W02L11D00DA·SLÁ16/11H·STA28/02A·POH06/03H·PÚC14/03A·PET22/03H·BAN28/03A·INT03/04H·DUK11/04A·ZLA17/04H·LIP22/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.700.670.601.000.80
vs Stronger (5)1.801.201.501.002.001.33
vs Similar (25)0.640.600.540.540.750.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Považská Bystrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Považská Bystrica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (24)
€3m
DBB (24)
€3m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
BLP (20)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
IB (18)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
Považská Bystrica and Šamorín have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (10)
€1m
DBB (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
BLP (6)
€0m
IB (5)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
Považská Bystrica and Šamorín have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DBB (6)
€1m
KOM (5)
€1m
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
BLP (3)
€0m
IB (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
Považská Bystrica and Šamorín have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (9)
€1m
DBB (11)
€1m
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
BLP (11)
€0m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
IB (9)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
Považská Bystrica and Šamorín have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
4
PB wins
2
Draws
1
ŠAM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Považská Bystrica vs Šamorín · H/A from PB
DateH/AGameScore
11/10/25AŠamorín Vs PB0-2
16/05/25AŠamorín Vs PB0-1
02/11/24HPB Vs Šamorín4-3
12/11/23AŠamorín Vs PB2-3
29/07/23HPB Vs Šamorín2-2
26/02/23AŠamorín Vs PB0-0
30/07/22HPB Vs Šamorín2-3

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/04/26AŽilina II Vs PB2-2
18/04/26HPB Vs Lokomotíva Zvolen0-2
12/04/26AMalženice Vs PB4-2
04/04/26HPB Vs Slovan Bratislava II1-1
28/03/26HPB Vs Slávia TU Košice4-0
21/03/26ALiptovský Mikuláš Vs PB4-2
14/03/26HPB Vs Zlaté Moravce1-2
06/03/26ADukla Banská Bystrica Vs PB3-1
28/02/26HPB Vs Inter Bratislava0-2
15/11/25ABaník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom Vs PB2-1

ŠamorínŠamorín

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/04/26HŠAM Vs Liptovský Mikuláš1-1
17/04/26AZlaté Moravce Vs ŠAM1-2
11/04/26HŠAM Vs Dukla Banská Bystrica0-2
03/04/26AInter Bratislava Vs ŠAM0-2
28/03/26HŠAM Vs Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom0-1
22/03/26APetržalka Vs ŠAM3-0
14/03/26HŠAM Vs Púchov0-0
06/03/26APohronie Vs ŠAM1-0
28/02/26HŠAM Vs Stará Ľubovňa1-1
16/11/25ASlávia TU Košice Vs ŠAM2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Považská Bystrica
Považská Bystrica
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLD1.32
HomeLLWDL1.55
AwayLLLLD1.14
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%45%29%
AVG goals2.942.952.93
Over 1.5 %82%86%79%
Over 2.5 %52%59%46%
Over 3.5 %36%36%36%
Scored1.441.591.32
Conceded1.501.361.61
BTTS60%59%61%
Clean Sheet18%14%21%
Corners---
Cards---
Šamorín
Šamorín
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWD1.10
HomeDDLLD0.96
AwayLLLWW1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%21%38%
AVG goals2.902.293.46
Over 1.5 %84%79%88%
Over 2.5 %54%33%73%
Over 3.5 %26%8%42%
Scored1.300.961.62
Conceded1.601.331.85
BTTS66%58%73%
Clean Sheet12%17%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dukla Banská BystricaDukla Banská Bystrica3066
67%
2.2
6125+36
2.9
77%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.00.8
-
2Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen3252
44%
1.6
4739+8
2.7
72%
50%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.2
-
3PetržalkaPetržalka3048
47%
1.6
4531+14
2.5
67%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.0
-
4Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš3048
43%
1.6
5547+8
3.4
90%
70%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.81.6
-
5MalženiceMalženice3047
43%
1.6
4438+6
2.7
70%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.3
-
6PohroniePohronie3044
37%
1.5
4735+12
2.7
73%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.61.2
-
7Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce3044
40%
1.5
5749+8
3.5
83%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.91.6
-
8Inter BratislavaInter Bratislava3042
40%
1.4
3536-1
2.4
70%
47%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.2
-
9Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II3040
33%
1.3
4548-3
3.1
83%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.6
-
10ŠamorínŠamorín3038
33%
1.3
4446-2
3.0
87%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.51.5
-
11Baník Lehota p.VtáčnikomBaník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom3035
30%
1.2
4152-11
3.1
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.7
-
12Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica3033
27%
1.1
3849-11
2.9
83%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.6
-
13Žilina IIŽilina II3033
30%
1.1
4359-16
3.4
77%
57%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.0
-
14Slávia TU KošiceSlávia TU Košice3032
27%
1.1
3854-16
3.1
83%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
15PúchovPúchov3029
20%
1.0
3350-17
2.8
67%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
16Stará ĽubovňaStará Ľubovňa3026
20%
0.9
3552-17
2.9
83%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
17KomárnoKomárno23
50%
1.5
31+2
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.50.5
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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