PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Preston vs Watford Result & Analysis

Date: 02/10/2024
Time: 19:45
Final 3-0
Preston
Preston
Vs
29%
29%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Referee: A Kitchen

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Preston win✓ Hit
29.1%
Avg Implied 38.0% · @ 2.50
Edge
-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied 28.3% · @ 3.36
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Watford win✗ Miss
42.3%
Avg Implied 33.7% · @ 2.82
Edge
+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PrestonPreston

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L20W03L10W50W13L11D11D00D13LH·SHE09/08H·SUN13/08A·SWA17/08H·LUT24/08A·HAR27/08A·OXF31/08A·MID14/09H·FUL17/09H·BLA22/09A·MIL28/09
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.201.401.001.071.40
vs Stronger (5)2.001.002.001.002.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.831.351.091.090.581.58
vs Weaker (2)4.000.003.000.005.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-532W50W30W21W20W01L11D14L12L21WA·MIL10/08H·MIL13/08H·STO17/08H·DER24/08H·PLY27/08A·SHE01/09H·COV14/09A·NOR21/09A·MAN24/09H·SUN28/09
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.231.470.871.131.60
vs Stronger (5)1.201.001.671.000.501.00
vs Similar (24)1.331.331.420.831.251.83
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Preston) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.4%
Under 1.5
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.1%
@ 1.99+0.0%
Under 2.5
51.9%
@ 1.84-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.3%
Under 3.5
73.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.5%
No
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
2-2
5.2%
Preston goals ↓
Watford goals →
01234
08.7%9.5%7.7%3.7%1.3%
17.4%14%8.9%4.3%1.5%
25.0%7.2%5.2%2.5%0.9%
31.9%2.8%2.0%1.0%0.3%
40.6%0.8%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Preston goals (down), columns = Watford goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leeds
2.17
Burnley
2.17
Sheffield United
2.00
Sunderland
1.65
Coventry
1.50
Bristol City
1.48
Blackburn
1.43
Millwall
1.43
West Brom
1.39
Middlesbrough
1.39
Swansea
1.33
Sheffield Weds
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Watford
1.24
QPR
1.22
Portsmouth
1.17
Oxford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Preston
1.09
Derby
1.09
Luton
1.07
Hull
1.07
Plymouth
1.00
Cardiff
0.96
Preston is 0.15 points worse than Watford in terms of average points per game (1.09 vs 1.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Leeds
2.07
Norwich
1.54
Burnley
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.39
Coventry
1.39
Sheffield United
1.37
Sheffield Weds
1.30
Bristol City
1.28
Sunderland
1.26
Portsmouth
1.26
West Brom
1.24
Watford
1.15
QPR
1.15
Blackburn
1.15
Swansea
1.11
Plymouth
1.11
Oxford
1.07
Preston
1.04
Derby
1.04
Cardiff
1.04
Millwall
1.02
Luton
0.98
Stoke
0.98
Hull
0.96
Preston is 0.11 goals worse than Watford in terms of goals scored per game (1.04 vs 1.15).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.35
Leeds
0.65
Sheffield United
0.78
Sunderland
0.96
West Brom
1.02
Blackburn
1.04
Millwall
1.07
Hull
1.17
Bristol City
1.20
Swansea
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Derby
1.22
Coventry
1.26
Preston
1.28
Watford
1.33
Stoke
1.35
QPR
1.37
Oxford
1.41
Norwich
1.48
Luton
1.50
Sheffield Weds
1.50
Portsmouth
1.54
Cardiff
1.59
Plymouth
1.91
Preston is 0.04 goals better than Watford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Leeds
62%
Norwich
58%
Swansea
58%
Burnley
57%
Middlesbrough
56%
Coventry
55%
West Brom
54%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Bristol City
51%
Hull
50%
Blackburn
49%
Sunderland
49%
Preston
48%
Sheffield Weds
48%
Stoke
47%
Cardiff
47%
QPR
47%
Luton
45%
Portsmouth
45%
Derby
43%
Oxford
43%
Millwall
42%
Plymouth
42%
Preston is 4.5 percentage points worse than Watford in terms of average possession (48% vs 53%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

PrestonPreston

For 3.2 · Against 5.7 · Total 8.9

🚩 Corners

1508344295221335361515351181171589668A·MILH·BLAA·MIDA·OXFH·LUTA·SWAH·SHEA·WESH·LEIA·QPR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 1.4 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

100235553261311144251055741146A·MILH·BLAA·MIDA·OXFH·LUTA·SWAH·SHEA·WESH·LEIA·QPR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 10.5 · Total 25.5

⚠️ Fouls

320101610162162181610211111141589716926262729263225231625A·MILH·BLAA·MIDA·OXFH·LUTA·SWAH·SHEA·WESH·LEIA·QPR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

WatfordWatford

For 3.8 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.7

🚩 Corners

16046536105842245533331510816136610666H·SUNA·NORH·COVA·SHEH·DERH·STOA·MILA·MIDH·SUNH·HUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

80211222352322321121443348545238H·SUNA·NORH·COVA·SHEH·DERH·STOA·MILA·MIDH·SUNH·HUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 11.0 · Total 22.2

⚠️ Fouls

320111186910121510111215151159119191322141927212726142032H·SUNA·NORH·COVA·SHEH·DERH·STOA·MILA·MIDH·SUNH·HUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PrestonPreston

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.210.08.53.73.73.622.822.822.8
vs Stronger (9)10.011.39.03.22.24.525.928.024.2
vs Similar (38)9.210.18.23.84.13.522.421.822.9
vs Weaker (3)8.04.012.03.04.02.519.526.013.0
% over line45%48%42%54%60%48%57%57%58%
% under line55%52%58%46%40%52%43%43%42%
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.79.74.04.04.023.023.122.8
vs Stronger (8)8.99.87.73.23.03.525.022.528.3
vs Similar (40)9.89.79.84.24.24.222.623.221.9
vs Weaker (2)11.09.013.03.03.03.023.523.024.0
% over line51%48%54%54%56%52%60%61%58%
% under line49%52%46%46%44%48%40%39%42%
This opponent (Preston) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Plymouth
12.1
Coventry
11.6
Luton
11.3
QPR
11.2
Sheffield United
11.1
Derby
11.1
West Brom
11.0
Blackburn
11.0
Sheffield Weds
10.9
Middlesbrough
10.9
Stoke
10.9
Hull
10.8
Bristol City
10.7
Leeds
10.5
Norwich
10.4
Burnley
10.4
Swansea
10.3
Millwall
10.2
Portsmouth
10.1
Sunderland
10.1
Oxford
10.1
Watford
9.8
Preston
9.4
Cardiff
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Portsmouth
5.0
Sunderland
4.9
Burnley
4.4
QPR
4.4
Watford
4.3
Coventry
4.3
Blackburn
4.3
Stoke
4.2
Hull
4.2
Plymouth
4.2
Oxford
4.2
Sheffield Weds
4.2
Leeds
4.2
Millwall
4.1
Swansea
4.1
Norwich
4.1
Middlesbrough
4.0
Sheffield United
4.0
Preston
3.9
Luton
3.9
Derby
3.6
Cardiff
3.6
West Brom
3.5
Bristol City
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Portsmouth
25.0
Leeds
23.6
Sunderland
23.6
Luton
23.6
Coventry
23.1
Millwall
23.1
Watford
23.0
Swansea
23.0
Preston
22.9
Hull
22.7
QPR
22.7
Sheffield Weds
22.4
Middlesbrough
22.1
Stoke
22.1
Plymouth
22.0
Oxford
21.7
Burnley
21.6
Derby
21.4
Norwich
21.4
Bristol City
20.9
Blackburn
20.8
Cardiff
20.3
Sheffield United
20.1
West Brom
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
72.9%
Under 9.5
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
65.0%
Under 3.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
46.6%
Under 21.5
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PrestonPreston

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L10W01L10W40W11D11D10W00D02LH·SHE09/08H·SUN13/08A·SWA17/08H·LUT24/08A·HAR27/08A·OXF31/08A·MID14/09H·FUL17/09H·BLA22/09A·MIL28/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.570.800.330.930.80
vs Stronger (5)1.800.201.670.002.000.50
vs Similar (23)0.430.700.360.450.500.92
vs Weaker (2)3.500.003.000.004.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W00D11D10W01L01L12L02L10WA·MIL10/08H·MIL13/08H·STO17/08H·DER24/08H·PLY27/08A·SHE01/09H·COV14/09A·NOR21/09A·MAN24/09H·SUN28/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.630.530.470.400.80
vs Stronger (5)0.600.601.000.330.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.460.670.420.500.500.83
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Preston) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Preston over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Preston over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Preston over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PrestonPreston

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W02L00D10W02L00D01L00D11DH·SHE09/08H·SUN13/08A·SWA17/08H·LUT24/08A·HAR27/08A·OXF31/08A·MID14/09H·FUL17/09H·BLA22/09A·MIL28/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.630.600.670.130.60
vs Stronger (5)0.200.800.331.000.000.50
vs Similar (23)0.390.650.730.640.080.67
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D30W30W10W10W00D10W02L10W11DA·MIL10/08H·MIL13/08H·STO17/08H·DER24/08H·PLY27/08A·SHE01/09H·COV14/09A·NOR21/09A·MAN24/09H·SUN28/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.600.930.400.730.80
vs Stronger (5)0.600.400.670.670.500.00
vs Similar (24)0.880.671.000.330.751.00
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Preston) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Preston over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Preston over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Preston over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 8.5 corners82.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls82.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards82.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.574.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners72.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards71.1%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Preston
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Milutin Osmajić22%
Emil Riis Jacobsen22%
Sam Greenwood14%
Will Keane13%
Brad Potts12%
Ryan Ledson9%
Ryan Porteous9%
Mads Frøkjær-Jensen7%
Stefán Teitur Þórðarson7%
Lewis Gibson5%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden4%
Robbie Brady3%
Alistair McCann3%
Duane Holmes3%
Jordan Storey2%
Liam Lindsay2%
Jeppe Okkels0%
Andrew Hughes0%
David Cornell0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Jack Whatmough0%
Benjamin Whiteman0%
Ched Evans0%
Josh Bowler0%
Jayden Meghoma0%
Kian Best0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Benjamin Whiteman34%
Robbie Brady28%
Ryan Ledson28%
Alistair McCann27%
Jack Whatmough21%
Mads Frøkjær-Jensen20%
Andrew Hughes19%
Liam Lindsay19%
Ryan Porteous18%
Sam Greenwood18%
Stefán Teitur Þórðarson17%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden16%
Jordan Storey15%
Freddie Woodman14%
Milutin Osmajić12%
Duane Holmes12%
Brad Potts12%
Lewis Gibson9%
Jayden Meghoma7%
Emil Riis Jacobsen4%
Will Keane3%
Jeppe Okkels0%
David Cornell0%
Ched Evans0%
Josh Bowler0%
Kian Best0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ched Evans18%
Brad Potts15%
Robbie Brady12%
Mads Frøkjær-Jensen11%
Milutin Osmajić8%
Jayden Meghoma7%
Sam Greenwood7%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden6%
Duane Holmes6%
Jack Whatmough5%
Benjamin Whiteman5%
Stefán Teitur Þórðarson4%
Andrew Hughes4%
Emil Riis Jacobsen4%
Ryan Ledson3%
Alistair McCann3%
Jordan Storey2%
Liam Lindsay2%
Jeppe Okkels0%
David Cornell0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Will Keane0%
Ryan Porteous0%
Josh Bowler0%
Lewis Gibson0%
Kian Best0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Josh Bowler25%
Sam Greenwood20%
Milutin Osmajić15%
Emil Riis Jacobsen14%
Ryan Porteous9%
Will Keane3%
Robbie Brady3%
Alistair McCann3%
Jordan Storey2%
Liam Lindsay2%
Mads Frøkjær-Jensen0%
Jeppe Okkels0%
Andrew Hughes0%
David Cornell0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Duane Holmes0%
Ryan Ledson0%
Brad Potts0%
Jack Whatmough0%
Benjamin Whiteman0%
Ched Evans0%
Stefán Teitur Þórðarson0%
Lewis Gibson0%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden0%
Jayden Meghoma0%
Kian Best0%
Watford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mileta Rajović40%
Kwadwo Baah16%
Edo Kayembe15%
Moussa Sissoko15%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo14%
Tom Dele-Bashiru13%
Rocco Vata11%
Mamadou Doumbia9%
Thomas Ince8%
Ryan Porteous8%
Ryan Andrews7%
Matthew Pollock6%
Imrân Louza5%
Festy Ebosele5%
Giorgi Chakvetadze5%
Jeremy Ngakia3%
Ken Sema0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Jonathan Bond0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Egil Selvik0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Yasser Larouci0%
Pierre Dwomoh0%
James Morris0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Daniel Jebbison0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
James Abankwah0%
Antonio Tikvić0%
Zavier Massiah-Edwards0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mileta Rajović40%
Festy Ebosele37%
Antonio Tikvić33%
Imrân Louza30%
Francisco Sierralta29%
Ryan Porteous28%
Edo Kayembe24%
James Morris19%
Jeremy Ngakia17%
Matthew Pollock17%
Kwadwo Baah16%
James Abankwah16%
Daniel Jebbison15%
Giorgi Chakvetadze15%
Moussa Sissoko12%
Egil Selvik12%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo12%
Pierre Dwomoh9%
Mamadou Doumbia9%
Ryan Andrews7%
Yasser Larouci7%
Daniel Bachmann5%
Tom Dele-Bashiru3%
Thomas Ince3%
Ken Sema0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Jonathan Bond0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
Rocco Vata0%
Zavier Massiah-Edwards0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Antonio Tikvić33%
Giorgi Chakvetadze17%
Imrân Louza14%
Caleb Wiley10%
Kwadwo Baah10%
Yasser Larouci10%
Matthew Pollock9%
Rocco Vata8%
Ryan Andrews7%
Ken Sema6%
Thomas Ince6%
Festy Ebosele5%
Ryan Porteous4%
Moussa Sissoko2%
Edo Kayembe2%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo0%
Mileta Rajović0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Jonathan Bond0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Egil Selvik0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Tom Dele-Bashiru0%
Pierre Dwomoh0%
James Morris0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Daniel Jebbison0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
James Abankwah0%
Mamadou Doumbia0%
Zavier Massiah-Edwards0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mileta Rajović20%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo19%
Giorgi Chakvetadze17%
Edo Kayembe13%
Rocco Vata11%
Tom Dele-Bashiru3%
Kwadwo Baah3%
Thomas Ince3%
Imrân Louza3%
Moussa Sissoko2%
Ryan Andrews2%
Ken Sema0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Jonathan Bond0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Egil Selvik0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Ryan Porteous0%
Yasser Larouci0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Pierre Dwomoh0%
James Morris0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Daniel Jebbison0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
James Abankwah0%
Antonio Tikvić0%
Mamadou Doumbia0%
Zavier Massiah-Edwards0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
PLY (25)
€13m
Preston's squad is €46m less valuable than Watford's (€43m vs €88m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
PLY (8)
€4m
Preston's attack is €11m less valuable than Watford's (€17m vs €28m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
Preston's midfield is €36m less valuable than Watford's (€3m vs €38m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
Preston and Watford have a similar defence value (both €22m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
0
PRE wins
3
Draws
3
WAT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Preston vs Watford · H/A from PRE
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/24AWatford Vs PRE0-0
16/12/23HPRE Vs Watford1-5
04/03/23AWatford Vs PRE0-0
20/08/22HPRE Vs Watford0-0
16/02/21HPRE Vs Watford0-1
28/11/20AWatford Vs PRE4-1

PrestonPreston

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24AMillwall Vs PRE3-1
22/09/24HPRE Vs Blackburn0-0
17/09/24HPRE Vs Fulham1-1
14/09/24AMiddlesbrough Vs PRE1-1
31/08/24AOxford Vs PRE3-1
27/08/24AHarrogate Vs PRE0-5
24/08/24HPRE Vs Luton1-0
17/08/24ASwansea Vs PRE3-0
13/08/24HPRE Vs Sunderland2-0
09/08/24HPRE Vs Sheffield United0-2

WatfordWatford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24HWAT Vs Sunderland2-1
24/09/24AManchester City Vs WAT2-1
21/09/24ANorwich Vs WAT4-1
14/09/24HWAT Vs Coventry1-1
01/09/24ASheffield United Vs WAT1-0
27/08/24HWAT Vs Plymouth2-0
24/08/24HWAT Vs Derby2-1
17/08/24HWAT Vs Stoke3-0
13/08/24HWAT Vs Milton Keynes Dons5-0
10/08/24AMillwall Vs WAT2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Preston
Preston
England: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDDL1.18
HomeLWWDD1.44
AwayLWLDL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%40%24%
AVG goals2.682.762.60
Over 1.5 %78%80%76%
Over 2.5 %56%56%56%
Over 3.5 %26%28%24%
Scored1.161.321.00
Conceded1.521.441.60
BTTS46%52%40%
Clean Sheet24%24%24%
Corners9.2310.008.50
Cards3.894.043.75
Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLW1.34
HomeWWWDW1.44
AwayLWLLL1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%36%32%
AVG goals2.802.842.76
Over 1.5 %74%80%68%
Over 2.5 %56%60%52%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored1.441.641.24
Conceded1.361.201.52
BTTS60%64%56%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners9.689.659.71
Cards4.234.304.17

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LeedsLeeds46100
63%
2.2
9530+65
2.7
78%
46%
28%
10.1
59%
3.4
39%
22.5
61%
427
166981632.10.7
62%
2BurnleyBurnley46100
61%
2.2
6916+53
1.8
54%
33%
15%
9.1
43%
3.9
59%
23.4
63%
115
708371.50.3
57%
3Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4692
61%
2.0
6336+27
2.2
70%
35%
13%
10.6
63%
4.1
59%
22.4
57%
110
2932491.40.8
51%
4SunderlandSunderland4676
46%
1.7
5844+14
2.2
61%
43%
22%
9.7
46%
4.5
67%
23.5
65%
392
1571101251.31.0
49%
5CoventryCoventry4669
43%
1.5
6458+6
2.7
80%
52%
24%
11.6
70%
3.7
48%
21.3
43%
237
8552991.41.3
55%
6Bristol CityBristol City4668
37%
1.5
5955+4
2.5
80%
46%
20%
9.6
46%
3.7
54%
21.3
52%
66
2919181.31.2
51%
7BlackburnBlackburn4666
41%
1.4
5348+5
2.2
65%
39%
13%
9.9
61%
4.0
52%
24.1
72%
36
157141.21.0
49%
8MillwallMillwall4666
39%
1.4
4749-2
2.1
50%
30%
20%
10.3
63%
3.0
41%
24.6
72%
85
3029251.01.1
42%
9West BromWest Brom4664
33%
1.4
5747+10
2.3
72%
37%
17%
10.3
52%
3.8
52%
21.7
57%
52
1522151.21.0
54%
10MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4664
39%
1.4
6456+8
2.6
65%
46%
26%
10.1
59%
3.7
52%
21.5
57%
142
7427411.41.2
56%
11SwanseaSwansea4661
37%
1.3
5156-5
2.3
59%
46%
17%
9.5
43%
3.6
59%
23.6
65%
91
569261.11.2
58%
12Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4658
33%
1.3
6069-9
2.8
83%
52%
28%
11.1
67%
3.8
43%
23.8
67%
21
7681.31.5
48%
13NorwichNorwich4657
30%
1.2
7168+3
3.0
80%
52%
33%
10.0
54%
4.0
59%
22.7
57%
107
4631291.51.5
58%
14WatfordWatford4657
35%
1.2
5361-8
2.5
70%
57%
15%
10.2
57%
4.6
67%
23.1
63%
88
2838221.21.3
53%
15QPRQPR4656
30%
1.2
5363-10
2.5
83%
52%
22%
10.7
54%
3.8
54%
23.1
63%
71
2915271.21.4
47%
16PortsmouthPortsmouth4654
30%
1.2
5871-13
2.8
74%
61%
28%
11.1
63%
4.2
67%
24.0
63%
32
135141.31.5
45%
17OxfordOxford4653
28%
1.2
4965-16
2.5
72%
37%
24%
10.3
52%
3.7
54%
21.1
43%
20
6681.11.4
43%
18StokeStoke4651
26%
1.1
4562-17
2.3
70%
37%
24%
10.2
52%
4.0
65%
21.3
50%
79
3511321.01.3
47%
19DerbyDerby4650
28%
1.1
4856-8
2.3
65%
39%
17%
10.2
54%
3.4
46%
21.3
50%
57
2514181.01.2
43%
20PrestonPreston4650
22%
1.1
4859-11
2.3
74%
48%
22%
9.5
50%
4.0
59%
24.3
76%
43
173221.01.3
48%
21HullHull4649
26%
1.1
4454-10
2.1
65%
30%
13%
10.4
63%
3.5
46%
22.3
52%
105
2231521.01.2
50%
22LutonLuton4649
28%
1.1
4569-24
2.5
65%
43%
22%
10.8
65%
4.1
59%
24.3
72%
29
134121.01.5
45%
23PlymouthPlymouth4646
24%
1.0
5188-37
3.0
83%
61%
35%
9.5
41%
3.5
48%
23.0
67%
13
4361.11.9
42%
24CardiffCardiff4644
20%
1.0
4873-25
2.6
83%
43%
24%
9.7
48%
3.7
50%
22.9
65%
29
154101.01.6
47%
England: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches