This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
U
Ulm
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.25
1.00
1.25
1.00
1.25
vs Stronger (15)
1.07
1.27
1.00
1.25
1.14
1.29
vs Similar (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
19% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Preußen Münster) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.1%
Under 1.5
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.4%
@ 2.08-4.0%
Under 2.5
58.6%
@ 1.73+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.8%
Under 3.5
79.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.8%
No
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
1-0
11.7%
0-0 ✓
10.9%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
4.7%
Preußen Münster goals ↓
Ulm goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
8.3%
4.7%
1.6%
0.4%
1
12%
14%
6.4%
2.1%
0.5%
2
8.8%
8.7%
4.3%
1.4%
0.4%
3
3.9%
3.9%
1.9%
0.6%
0.2%
4
1.3%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Preußen Münster goals (down), columns = Ulm goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
1. FC Köln
1.87
Hamburger SV
1.76
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.71
Hannover 96
1.66
SC Paderborn 07
1.66
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.66
SV Elversberg
1.63
1. FC Magdeburg
1.58
Karlsruher SC
1.58
FC Saarbrücken
1.50
1. FC Nürnberg
1.50
Hertha BSC
1.34
SV Darmstadt 98
1.21
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.21
FC Schalke 04
1.18
Preußen Münster
1.16
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.02
Ulm
0.88
SSV Ulm 1846
0.88
Jahn Regensburg
0.74
Regensburg
0.74
Preußen Münster is 0.28 points better than Ulm in terms of average points per game (1.16 vs 0.88).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hamburger SV
2.39
1. FC Nürnberg
1.92
SV Elversberg
1.87
1. FC Magdeburg
1.79
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.74
Karlsruher SC
1.68
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.66
SV Darmstadt 98
1.63
SC Paderborn 07
1.61
1. FC Köln
1.53
Hertha BSC
1.47
FC Schalke 04
1.47
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.37
Hannover 96
1.29
Preußen Münster
1.24
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.07
Ulm
1.06
SSV Ulm 1846
1.06
FC Saarbrücken
1.00
Jahn Regensburg
0.68
Regensburg
0.68
Preußen Münster is 0.18 goals better than Ulm in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Saarbrücken
1.00
Hannover 96
1.03
1. FC Köln
1.03
SV Elversberg
1.08
Preußen Münster
1.18
SC Paderborn 07
1.21
Hamburger SV
1.24
1. FC Magdeburg
1.39
Ulm
1.41
SSV Ulm 1846
1.41
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.45
Hertha BSC
1.50
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.50
Karlsruher SC
1.55
SV Darmstadt 98
1.61
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.63
1. FC Nürnberg
1.66
FC Schalke 04
1.71
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.77
Jahn Regensburg
2.09
Regensburg
2.09
Preußen Münster is 0.23 goals better than Ulm in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 1.41).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
1. FC Magdeburg
58%
Hamburger SV
55%
FC Schalke 04
54%
Hertha BSC
53%
FC Saarbrücken
53%
1. FC Köln
53%
SV Elversberg
52%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
52%
SC Paderborn 07
52%
SV Darmstadt 98
52%
1. FC Nürnberg
51%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
50%
Hannover 96
49%
Karlsruher SC
49%
SSV Ulm 1846
46%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
46%
Eintracht Braunschweig
45%
Preußen Münster
43%
Jahn Regensburg
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Preußen Münster
For 3.6 · Against 6.5 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 10.7 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
U
Ulm
For 3.3 · Against 6.1 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 3.4 · Total 6.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 12.6 · Total 22.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Preußen Münster
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (17)
10.8
10.5
11.0
4.5
5.1
4.0
24.8
21.6
27.6
vs Stronger (10)
12.3
11.7
13.2
4.1
4.5
3.5
21.9
18.8
26.5
vs Similar (7)
8.6
7.0
9.2
5.1
7.0
4.4
28.9
30.0
28.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
71%
62%
78%
82%
88%
78%
59%
38%
78%
% under line
29%
38%
22%
18%
12%
22%
41%
62%
22%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
U
Ulm
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (16)
10.0
9.5
10.5
6.3
7.8
4.9
24.2
23.5
25.0
vs Stronger (15)
10.1
9.5
10.7
6.4
7.8
4.9
23.3
23.5
23.1
vs Similar (1)
9.0
-
9.0
5.0
-
5.0
38.0
-
38.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
38%
38%
94%
100%
88%
81%
75%
88%
% under line
62%
62%
62%
6%
0%
12%
19%
25%
12%
This opponent (Preußen Münster) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
1. FC Köln
11.3
Hamburger SV
11.3
1. FC Nürnberg
11.1
Hertha BSC
10.9
SV Elversberg
10.9
1. FC Magdeburg
10.8
SC Paderborn 07
10.8
Preußen Münster
10.8
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10.7
Karlsruher SC
10.7
1. FC Kaiserslautern
10.6
Hannover 96
10.3
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.1
Eintracht Braunschweig
10.0
Ulm
10.0
SSV Ulm 1846
10.0
Jahn Regensburg
9.8
Regensburg
9.4
FC Schalke 04
9.4
SV Darmstadt 98
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SSV Ulm 1846
6.9
Ulm
6.3
1. FC Magdeburg
5.5
1. FC Nürnberg
5.4
Jahn Regensburg
5.3
Hamburger SV
5.3
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
5.3
FC Schalke 04
5.0
Regensburg
4.9
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.8
Preußen Münster
4.8
SV Darmstadt 98
4.8
1. FC Köln
4.8
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4.7
Hertha BSC
4.7
Eintracht Braunschweig
4.6
SC Paderborn 07
4.5
SV Elversberg
4.4
Hannover 96
4.2
Karlsruher SC
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Regensburg
25.3
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
25.2
1. FC Kaiserslautern
25.0
Preußen Münster
24.8
Hannover 96
24.6
Jahn Regensburg
24.6
SSV Ulm 1846
24.4
Ulm
24.2
1. FC Nürnberg
23.8
1. FC Magdeburg
23.8
SV Darmstadt 98
23.2
Hamburger SV
23.1
1. FC Köln
23.0
Hertha BSC
23.0
Eintracht Braunschweig
22.8
FC Schalke 04
22.5
SV Elversberg
21.9
SC Paderborn 07
21.6
Karlsruher SC
21.1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.9%
Under 9.5
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
75.8%
Under 3.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
61.9%
Under 21.5
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Preußen Münster
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.59
0.59
0.50
0.25
0.67
0.89
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.70
0.50
0.17
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.43
0.50
0.50
0.80
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
U
Ulm
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.56
0.31
0.62
0.12
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (15)
0.60
0.27
0.62
0.12
0.57
0.43
vs Similar (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
69% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Preußen Münster) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Preußen Münster over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Preußen Münster over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Preußen Münster over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulm over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulm over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulm over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Preußen Münster
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.65
0.76
0.38
1.00
0.89
0.56
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
0.90
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.75
vs Similar (7)
0.57
0.57
0.00
1.00
0.80
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
U
Ulm
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.44
0.94
0.38
1.12
0.50
0.75
vs Stronger (15)
0.47
1.00
0.38
1.12
0.57
0.86
vs Similar (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
38% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Preußen Münster) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Preußen Münster over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Preußen Münster over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Preußen Münster over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulm over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulm over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulm over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Preußen Münster
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joshua Mees24%
Torge Paetow23%
Daniel Kyerewaa14%
Hólmbert Aron Friðjónsson13%
Lukas Frenkert12%
Simon Scherder11%
Marc Lorenz10%
Jorrit Hendrix9%
Malik Batmaz8%
Yassine Bouchama7%
David Kinsombi7%
Florian Pick7%
Joel Grodowski6%
Charalambos Makridis6%
Jano ter Horst4%
Rico Preißinger0%
Sebastian Mrowca0%
Dominik Schad0%
Etienne Amenyido0%
Mikkel Kirkeskov0%
Thorben Deters0%
András Németh0%
Niko Koulis0%
Luca Bazzoli0%
Johannes Schenk0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Torge Paetow38%
Jano ter Horst37%
Niko Koulis36%
Lukas Frenkert31%
Mikkel Kirkeskov27%
Rico Preißinger26%
Hólmbert Aron Friðjónsson26%
Marc Lorenz26%
Jorrit Hendrix24%
Joshua Mees24%
Luca Bazzoli23%
Yassine Bouchama21%
Dominik Schad17%
Etienne Amenyido17%
Simon Scherder11%
Daniel Kyerewaa10%
Charalambos Makridis9%
Malik Batmaz8%
David Kinsombi7%
Florian Pick7%
Joel Grodowski6%
András Németh5%
Sebastian Mrowca0%
Thorben Deters0%
Johannes Schenk0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Thorben Deters29%
Marc Lorenz19%
András Németh14%
Joel Grodowski12%
Charalambos Makridis9%
Etienne Amenyido8%
Lukas Frenkert8%
Jano ter Horst7%
David Kinsombi7%
Hólmbert Aron Friðjónsson4%
Niko Koulis4%
Mikkel Kirkeskov3%
Jorrit Hendrix3%
Joshua Mees0%
Rico Preißinger0%
Sebastian Mrowca0%
Torge Paetow0%
Dominik Schad0%
Florian Pick0%
Malik Batmaz0%
Simon Scherder0%
Luca Bazzoli0%
Daniel Kyerewaa0%
Johannes Schenk0%
Yassine Bouchama0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joshua Mees21%
Hólmbert Aron Friðjónsson13%
Marc Lorenz13%
Joel Grodowski12%
Lukas Frenkert12%
Malik Batmaz8%
David Kinsombi7%
Florian Pick7%
Jorrit Hendrix6%
Charalambos Makridis6%
Etienne Amenyido4%
Niko Koulis4%
Rico Preißinger0%
Sebastian Mrowca0%
Torge Paetow0%
Dominik Schad0%
Simon Scherder0%
Mikkel Kirkeskov0%
Thorben Deters0%
András Németh0%
Luca Bazzoli0%
Daniel Kyerewaa0%
Jano ter Horst0%
Johannes Schenk0%
Yassine Bouchama0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →