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Příbram vs Karviná Result & Analysis

Date: 29/08/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Příbram
Příbram
Vs
20%
24%
57%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Karviná
Karviná
Czech-Republic: FNL
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Přibram’s recent unbeaten run at home, though against a stronger side, shows a solid defensive record with an average of 0.0 goals conceded, but only 1.0 goal scored. Karviná, on a five-game winning streak away, has been prolific, averaging 2.83 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against weaker opponents. The model projects a high-scoring affair with an expected total of 3.2 goals, most likely a 3-goal match. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.6% chance. The favoured result is an away win, with probabilities of 19% for a home win, 23% for a draw, and 58% for an away win. The model’s selections highlight a strong likelihood of a low-scoring game overall: Under 7.5 goals at 98.4%, Under 6.5 at 95.7%, and Under 5.5 at 89.8%. Additional picks include Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.1%, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.3%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.9%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 95.3%, and an Away +2 handicap at 92.5%.

Results analysis

The upset came as Příbram edged Karviná 2-1, overturning the model’s prediction that the away side would win. The pre-match favourite, Away win, carried a 57% probability, yet the home side prevailed, proving the model’s call wrong. The final score matched the most likely 1-2 outcome, but the match finished 2-1 in favour of the hosts. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 98.6%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.5%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 98.0%, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.3%, Under 6.5 at 96.1%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 95.8%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 92.5%, and Away +2 handicap at 92.2%. Příbram’s unbeaten run of five games continued, while Karviná returned from a defeat.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Příbram win✓ Hit
19.8%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.23
Edge
-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.40
Betano
3.40
10Bet
3.30
Superbet
3.30
Bet365
3.30
Draw✗ Miss
23.5%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.46
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.60
Pinnacle
3.59
Dafabet
3.55
Superbet
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Karviná win✗ Miss
56.7%
Avg Implied 45.8% · @ 1.98
Edge
+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.02
Pinnacle
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Unibet
2.00
Betano
2.00

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PříbramPříbram

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D22D10W21W20W22D22D11DA·CHR12/05H·PRO16/05A·OPA23/05A·SLA26/07H·OPA31/07A·VYS07/08A·STR12/08H·PRO15/08A·VLA21/08A·BAN26/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.800.920.771.180.82
vs Stronger (3)1.331.001.000.001.501.50
vs Similar (27)1.040.780.920.831.130.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Karviná) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KarvináKarviná

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L31W04L02L10W21W40W52W30W11DH·SIG16/05A·FK 20/05A·SIG23/05A·OPA27/07H·VLA31/07A·PRO07/08A·BRU12/08A·ARS15/08H·VIK21/08A·KOZ26/08← Czech LigaFNL →
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.631.431.571.691.69
vs Stronger (4)1.001.751.331.670.002.00
vs Similar (20)1.401.851.331.891.451.82
vs Weaker (6)2.500.832.000.002.751.25
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Příbram) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.5%
@ 1.19+5.5%
Under 1.5
17.5%
@ 4.00-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Under
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
BetVictor
4.10
10Bet
3.95
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.9%
@ 1.67+4.5%
Under 2.5
40.1%
@ 2.08-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
BetVictor
1.68
10Bet
1.67
Under
Pinnacle
2.12
Bet365
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.08
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.5%
@ 2.64+2.7%
Under 3.5
62.5%
@ 1.41-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.77
BetVictor
2.75
10Bet
2.70
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.60
Under
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Unibet
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.9%
@ 1.57+0.4%
No
41.1%
@ 2.22-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.60
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Bet365
1.57
BetVictor
1.57
No
Bet365
2.25
BetVictor
2.25
1xBet
2.24
Unibet
2.23
Superbet
2.22

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%@ 6.40+4.1%
1-2
9.9%@ 7.71+4.2%
0-2
8.9%@ 9.81+4.4%
0-1
8.0%@ 8.26+2.6%
1-3
6.6%@ 13.24+3.2%
0-3
5.9%@ 17.03+3.3%
2-1 ✓
5.5%@ 10.22+1.2%
2-2
5.5%@ 11.06+1.5%
Příbram goals ↓
Karviná goals →
01234
05.5%8.0%8.9%5.9%2.9%
14.0%11%9.9%6.6%3.3%
22.8%5.5%5.5%3.6%1.8%
31.0%2.1%2.0%1.4%0.7%
40.3%0.6%0.6%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Příbram goals (down), columns = Karviná goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ústí nad Labem
2.33
Karviná
2.00
Slavia Praha II
2.00
Příbram
2.00
Táborsko
1.83
Dukla Praha
1.67
Kladno
1.33
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.33
Baník Ostrava II
1.17
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Opava
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Prostějov
0.83
Hanácká
0.67
Třinec
0.67
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Příbram and Karviná are level in average points per game (both 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha II
2.67
Karviná
2.00
Dukla Praha
1.83
Baník Ostrava II
1.83
Ústí nad Labem
1.83
Příbram
1.83
Vlašim
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Táborsko
1.33
Opava
1.33
Prostějov
1.33
Kladno
1.33
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Třinec
1.00
Hanácká
0.50
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Příbram is 0.17 goals worse than Karviná in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Táborsko
0.67
Ústí nad Labem
0.83
Vysočina Jihlava
1.00
Karviná
1.17
Kladno
1.17
Baník Ostrava II
1.33
Příbram
1.33
Dukla Praha
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Vlašim
1.50
Opava
1.67
Slavia Praha II
1.67
Třinec
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.00
Hanácká
2.17
Viktoria Žižkov
2.50
Příbram is 0.17 goals worse than Karviná in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Příbram or Draw✓ Hit
43.3%
Avg Implied 54.0% · @ 1.70
Edge
-10.7%
20%
24%
57%
covers Příbram + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Bet365
1.73
William Hil
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Příbram or Karviná✓ Hit
76.5%
Avg Implied 74.2% · @ 1.24
Edge
+2.3%
20%
24%
57%
covers Příbram + Karviná
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Draw or Karviná✗ Miss
80.2%
Avg Implied 71.8% · @ 1.28
Edge
+8.4%
20%
24%
57%
covers Draw + Karviná
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
10Bet
1.30
BetVictor
1.30

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Příbram over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.1%
@ 1.31-3.2%
Under
32.9%
@ 3.09+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.28
Under
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.14
1xBet
3.14
Betano
3.05
10Bet
3.00
Příbram over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
30.5%
@ 2.53-5.8%
Under
69.5%
@ 1.45+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.59
Betano
2.57
10Bet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.50
Under
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Unibet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Příbram over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.2%
@ 5.98-5.2%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.09+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.15
Marathonbet
6.15
Betano
5.70
Superbet
5.40
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Příbram over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 14.75-3.8%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.02+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Karviná over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
86.3%
@ 1.16+6.7%
Under
13.7%
@ 4.52-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.65
Betano
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Superbet
4.20
Karviná over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
59.1%
@ 1.84+9.2%
Under
40.9%
@ 1.83-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Under
Betano
1.88
Superbet
1.85
10Bet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Karviná over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
32.0%
@ 3.65+6.8%
Under
68.0%
@ 1.23-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
1xBet
3.74
Betano
3.55
Superbet
3.45
Under
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Karviná over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
14.1%
@ 7.70+1.8%
Under
85.9%
@ 1.07-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Betano
7.10
1xBet
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.07

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Příbram, so a minus line means Příbram give that many goals of a start and Karviná receive them. At -1, Příbram must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Příbram win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Příbram)Actual: Karviná
Příbram -2
2.3%
@ 17.00-3.2%
Draw -2
5.5%
@ 11.00-3.0%
Karviná +2
92.2%
@ 1.08+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
17.00
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Away
Bet365
1.08
Handicap -1 (Příbram)Actual: Draw
Příbram -1
7.8%
@ 7.17-4.8%
Draw -1
12.0%
@ 5.12-5.6%
Karviná +1
80.2%
@ 1.29+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Marathonbet
7.00
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.10
10Bet
4.75
Away
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
Handicap +1 (Příbram)Actual: Příbram
Příbram +1
43.3%
@ 1.69-8.1%
Draw +1
22.3%
@ 3.71-1.1%
Karviná -1
34.4%
@ 3.44+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Marathonbet
1.67
Unibet
1.61
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.88
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.20
Away
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.58
Bet365
3.50
Unibet
3.10
Handicap +2 (Příbram)Actual: Příbram
Příbram +2
65.6%
@ 1.25-7.4%
Draw +2
17.6%
@ 6.03+2.5%
Karviná -2
16.9%
@ 7.60+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.21
Draw
Marathonbet
6.05
Bet365
6.00
Away
Marathonbet
7.70
Bet365
7.50

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PříbramPříbram

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D21W10W01L10W01L21W00DA·CHR12/05H·PRO16/05A·OPA23/05A·SLA26/07H·OPA31/07A·VYS07/08A·STR12/08H·PRO15/08A·VLA21/08A·BAN26/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.430.380.460.650.41
vs Stronger (3)1.000.331.000.001.000.50
vs Similar (27)0.480.440.330.500.600.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Karviná) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KarvináKarviná

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D02L01L00D20W10W32W00D10WH·SIG16/05A·FK 20/05A·SIG23/05A·OPA27/07H·VLA31/07A·PRO07/08A·BRU12/08A·ARS15/08H·VIK21/08A·KOZ26/08← Czech LigaFNL →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.770.570.710.810.81
vs Stronger (4)0.750.751.000.670.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.600.850.560.890.640.82
vs Weaker (6)1.000.500.000.001.500.75
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Příbram) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.3%
@ 1.30+2.4%
Under 0.5
26.7%
@ 3.16-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Under
William Hil
3.30
Betfair
3.25
BetVictor
3.25
Bet365
3.25
1xBet
3.14
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
35.8%
@ 2.42-2.4%
Under 1.5
64.2%
@ 1.49+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Betfair
2.50
Betano
2.50
Pinnacle
2.49
1xBet
2.41
Under
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
William Hil
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.6%
@ 5.81-0.2%
Under 2.5
84.4%
@ 1.10+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
6.50
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.90
Marathonbet
5.90
Under
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.09

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Příbram over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
42.9%
@ 2.15+0.1%
Under
57.1%
@ 1.61-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.20
Pinnacle
2.19
Superbet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.11
Under
Pinnacle
1.63
Superbet
1.61
1xBet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
Příbram over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 7.20-2.2%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.05+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.60
1xBet
7.60
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
Příbram over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 11.25-6.7%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
Karviná over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
53.8%
@ 1.77+1.7%
Under
46.2%
@ 1.92-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Superbet
1.75
Under
Pinnacle
1.96
Superbet
1.95
Betano
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Karviná over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
21.0%
@ 4.97+2.6%
Under
79.0%
@ 1.12-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.15
Marathonbet
5.15
Betano
4.60
Under
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Karviná over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.2%
@ 9.50-5.6%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.03+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PříbramPříbram

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D01L00D20W10W21W01L11DA·CHR12/05H·PRO16/05A·OPA23/05A·SLA26/07H·OPA31/07A·VYS07/08A·STR12/08H·PRO15/08A·VLA21/08A·BAN26/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.370.540.310.530.41
vs Stronger (3)0.330.670.000.000.501.00
vs Similar (27)0.560.330.580.330.530.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Karviná) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KarvináKarviná

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L20W02L01L10W01L30W20W30W01LH·SIG16/05A·FK 20/05A·SIG23/05A·OPA27/07H·VLA31/07A·PRO07/08A·BRU12/08A·ARS15/08H·VIK21/08A·KOZ26/08← Czech LigaFNL →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.870.860.860.880.88
vs Stronger (4)0.251.000.331.000.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.801.000.781.000.821.00
vs Weaker (6)1.500.332.000.001.250.50
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Příbram) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
81.4%
@ 1.17+3.0%
Under 0.5
18.6%
@ 4.26-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
Under
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.45
Marathonbet
4.45
Betano
4.15
Superbet
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
46.8%
@ 1.87-2.5%
Under 1.5
53.2%
@ 1.82+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.91
Superbet
1.90
10Bet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Under
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
William Hil
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
21.4%
@ 3.70-3.4%
Under 2.5
78.6%
@ 1.22+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.90
Marathonbet
3.76
1xBet
3.76
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.60
Under
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Příbram over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
46.7%
@ 1.80-4.3%
Under
53.3%
@ 1.88+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.83
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.79
Under
Betano
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Superbet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
Příbram over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.3%
@ 4.98-3.1%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.13+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.30
1xBet
5.00
Betano
4.65
Under
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Příbram over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 9.75-7.5%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.03+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Karviná over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
66.6%
@ 1.53+6.1%
Under
33.4%
@ 2.34-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Under
Betano
2.37
1xBet
2.35
Superbet
2.30
Karviná over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
30.5%
@ 3.46+3.9%
Under
69.5%
@ 1.25-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.58
1xBet
3.50
Betano
3.30
Under
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Karviná over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.5%
@ 8.50-3.4%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.03+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.70
Betano
7.30
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.01

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.598.6%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.5%1.01
Betano
1.01
----+6.7%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals98.0%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+7.5%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals97.3%1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
---+3.8%✓ Hit
Under 6.596.1%1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
--+1.6%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals95.8%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+5.6%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals92.5%1.03
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.01
---+3.4%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap92.2%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+6.1%✓ Hit
Under 5.590.6%1.04
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
BetVictor
1.02
-+0.4%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals89.8%1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
+5.2%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals89.5%1.05
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
--+2.2%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals86.3%1.16
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
+6.7%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals85.9%1.07
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.07
---1.8%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals84.7%1.13
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
--+3.1%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals84.4%1.10
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.09
+0.2%✓ Hit
Over 1.582.5%1.19
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Unibet
1.19
+5.5%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals81.4%1.17
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
+3.0%✓ Hit
Draw or Away80.2%1.28
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
10Bet
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
+8.4%✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap80.2%1.29
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
--+10.3%✗ Miss
Under 4.579.8%1.14
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.13
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
-1.1%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals79.0%1.12
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
---2.6%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals78.6%1.22
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
+3.4%✓ Hit
Home or Away76.5%1.24
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
Superbet
1.25
+2.3%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals73.3%1.30
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
10Bet
1.30
+2.4%✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Karviná · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dávid Krčík33%
Abdallah Gning26%
Rok Štorman19%
Kahuan18%
Ebrima Singhateh14%
Denny Samko12%
Emmanuel Ayaosi12%
Pavel Kačor12%
Aboubacar Traore12%
Samuel Šigut11%
Lucky Ezeh11%
Albert Labík8%
Alexandr Bužek8%
Jan Fiala7%
Sebastian Boháč5%
Ousmane Conde4%
Kristián Vallo0%
Jiři Fleišman0%
Filip Vecheta0%
Vladimir Neuman0%
Jakub Křišťan0%
Filip Prebsl0%
Sahmkou Camara0%
Nino Milić0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Jakub Lapes0%
Yahaya Danjuma Lawali0%
Jan Chytrý0%
Faycal Konate0%
Vít Valosek0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yevgeniy Skyba33%
Filip Prebsl27%
Vladimir Neuman25%
Pavel Kačor25%
Yahaya Danjuma Lawali17%
Aboubacar Traore16%
Emmanuel Ayaosi16%
Ebrima Singhateh14%
Jan Fiala13%
Denny Samko12%
Rok Štorman11%
Sebastian Boháč11%
Jiři Fleišman10%
Nino Milić10%
Albert Labík8%
Jakub Lapes8%
Dávid Krčík6%
Abdallah Gning5%
Jakub Křišťan5%
Ousmane Conde4%
Lucky Ezeh4%
Kristián Vallo0%
Filip Vecheta0%
Samuel Šigut0%
Sahmkou Camara0%
David Planka0%
Alexandr Bužek0%
Jan Chytrý0%
Kahuan0%
Faycal Konate0%
Vít Valosek0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Albert Labík17%
Emmanuel Ayaosi16%
Ebrima Singhateh14%
Dávid Krčík11%
Samuel Šigut11%
Abdallah Gning11%
Alexandr Bužek8%
Lucky Ezeh7%
Jan Fiala7%
Denny Samko6%
Pavel Kačor6%
Jan Chytrý5%
Rok Štorman4%
Sahmkou Camara3%
Kristián Vallo0%
Jiři Fleišman0%
Filip Vecheta0%
Vladimir Neuman0%
Jakub Křišťan0%
Filip Prebsl0%
Nino Milić0%
Sebastian Boháč0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Jakub Lapes0%
Yahaya Danjuma Lawali0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Ousmane Conde0%
Kahuan0%
Faycal Konate0%
Vít Valosek0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ebrima Singhateh50%
Abdallah Gning21%
Denny Samko16%
Emmanuel Ayaosi9%
Jan Fiala7%
Pavel Kačor6%
Ousmane Conde4%
Rok Štorman4%
Lucky Ezeh4%
Jiři Fleišman3%
Kristián Vallo0%
Filip Vecheta0%
Vladimir Neuman0%
Jakub Křišťan0%
Filip Prebsl0%
Dávid Krčík0%
Samuel Šigut0%
Sahmkou Camara0%
Nino Milić0%
Sebastian Boháč0%
Albert Labík0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Jakub Lapes0%
Yahaya Danjuma Lawali0%
Alexandr Bužek0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Jan Chytrý0%
Kahuan0%
Faycal Konate0%
Vít Valosek0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
KAR (24)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
BOI (17)
€3m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
KLA (11)
€2m
AČL (9)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Příbram's squad is €5m less valuable than Karviná's (€2m vs €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (11)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
VLA (8)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
BOI (6)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
AČL (3)
€0m
KLA (4)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Příbram's attack is €3m less valuable than Karviná's (€1m vs €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (5)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
BOI (3)
€1m
KLA (2)
€1m
AČL (2)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Příbram and Karviná have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
BOI (8)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
KLA (5)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
AČL (4)
€0m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Příbram's defence is €1m less valuable than Karviná's (€1m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
PŘÍ wins
1
Draws
1
KAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Příbram vs Karviná · H/A from PŘÍ
DateH/AGameScore
05/03/23AKarviná Vs PŘÍ1-0
12/08/22HPŘÍ Vs Karviná1-1

PříbramPříbram

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/08/26ABaník Souš Vs PŘÍ1-1
21/08/26AVlašim Vs PŘÍ2-2
15/08/26HPŘÍ Vs Prostějov2-2
12/08/26AStrakonice Vs PŘÍ0-2
07/08/26AVysočina Jihlava Vs PŘÍ1-2
31/07/26HPŘÍ Vs Opava1-0
26/07/26ASlavia Praha II Vs PŘÍ2-2
23/05/26AOpava Vs PŘÍ0-0
16/05/26HPŘÍ Vs Prostějov0-0
12/05/26AChrudim Vs PŘÍ2-0

KarvináKarviná

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/08/26AKozlovice Vs KAR1-1
21/08/26HKAR Vs Viktoria Žižkov3-0
15/08/26AArsenal Česká Lípa Vs KAR2-5
12/08/26ABrumov Vs KAR0-4
07/08/26AProstějov Vs KAR1-2
31/07/26HKAR Vs Vlašim1-0
27/07/26AOpava Vs KAR2-0
23/05/26ASigma Olomouc Vs KAR4-0
20/05/26AFK Jablonec Vs KAR1-3
16/05/26HKAR Vs Sigma Olomouc1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Příbram
Příbram
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 6 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDD1.42
HomeWWDWD1.52
AwayDWWDD1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%39%37%
AVG goals2.482.172.74
Over 1.5 %72%65%78%
Over 2.5 %40%26%52%
Over 3.5 %16%13%19%
Scored1.201.041.33
Conceded1.281.131.41
BTTS44%39%48%
Clean Sheet34%39%30%
Corners---
Cards---
Karviná
Karviná
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD1.58
HomeLLLWW1.39
AwayLWWWD1.74
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%43%56%
AVG goals3.302.873.67
Over 1.5 %88%83%93%
Over 2.5 %72%65%78%
Over 3.5 %36%26%44%
Scored1.741.392.04
Conceded1.561.481.63
BTTS60%52%67%
Clean Sheet16%26%7%
Corners10.229.5610.84
Cards3.863.674.06

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Ústí nad LabemÚstí nad Labem614
67%
2.3
115+6
2.7
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.80.8
-
2Slavia Praha IISlavia Praha II612
50%
2.0
1610+6
4.3
100%
83%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
3262.71.7
-
3KarvináKarviná612
67%
2.0
127+5
3.2
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
4122.01.2
-
4PříbramPříbram612
50%
2.0
118+3
3.2
83%
83%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.81.3
-
5TáborskoTáborsko611
50%
1.8
84+4
2.0
50%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.30.7
-
6Dukla PrahaDukla Praha610
50%
1.7
119+2
3.3
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3121.81.5
-
7KladnoKladno68
33%
1.3
87+1
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.31.2
-
8Arsenal Česká LípaArsenal Česká Lípa68
33%
1.3
912-3
3.5
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.52.0
-
9Baník Ostrava IIBaník Ostrava II67
33%
1.2
118+3
3.2
67%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.81.3
-
10Vysočina JihlavaVysočina Jihlava67
33%
1.2
76+1
2.2
50%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.0
-
11VlašimVlašim66
17%
1.0
109+1
3.2
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.71.5
-
12OpavaOpava66
17%
1.0
810-2
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.7
-
13ProstějovProstějov65
17%
0.8
89-1
2.8
83%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.5
-
14TřinecTřinec64
0%
0.7
610-4
2.7
67%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
15HanáckáHanácká64
17%
0.7
313-10
2.7
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.52.2
-
16Viktoria ŽižkovViktoria Žižkov63
17%
0.5
315-12
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.52.5
-
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →

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