Příbram's recent form has been impressive, with a 2-game winning streak, most recently defeating Vysočina Jihlava 2-1. In contrast, Opava comes into this match off a draw against Kladno. The model predicts a home win, with a probability of 41% for Příbram to secure all three points. The away win percentage stands at 24%, while the draw percentage is 36%.
The expected total number of goals is 1.7, indicating a low-scoring match. The most likely scoreline is 0-0, with a probability of 18.9%. The model also suggests two selections: Under 3.5 goals, with a probability of 90.2% and an edge of 18%, and Under 2.5 goals, with a probability of 74.8% and an edge of 23%.
Příbram has been averaging 1.11 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded at home, while Opava has been averaging 0.55 goals scored and 0.91 goals conceded away from home, both against similar opponents.
The model's most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 14.1%.
Results analysis
The win extends their run for Přibram, who have now won two games in a row. The final score was 1-0, resulting in a home win. The model's selection, a home win, was correct, as it had a pre-match probability of 41%. The suggested picks largely came in, with the model's selection of Under 3.5 goals hitting, having a probability of 90.2%, and Under 2.5 goals also hitting, with a probability of 74.8%.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Příbram win✓ Hit
40.8%
Avg Implied 39.9% · @ 2.27
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.35
Unibet
2.33
Superbet
2.32
Betano
2.32
BetVictor
2.30
Draw✗ Miss
35.6%
Avg Implied 28.6% · @ 3.17
Edge
+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.25
Dafabet
3.25
Betfair
3.25
Opava win✗ Miss
23.6%
Avg Implied 31.5% · @ 2.87
Edge
-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.04
BetVictor
3.00
1xBet
2.99
Dafabet
2.95
Betano
2.92
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Příbram
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.07
1.07
1.14
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
1.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.50
vs Similar (27)
0.96
1.07
1.08
1.23
0.86
0.93
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Opava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Opava
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.03
2.13
1.20
0.53
0.87
vs Stronger (5)
1.60
0.60
2.33
0.67
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (25)
1.28
1.12
2.08
1.33
0.54
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Příbram) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
53.0%
@ 1.29-18.3%
Under 1.5
47.0%
@ 3.22+18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.30
Betfair
3.30
Pinnacle
3.24
10Bet
3.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
25.2%
@ 1.95-22.5%
Under 2.5
74.8%
@ 1.78+22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.03
SBO
1.98
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Bet365
1.95
Under
Bet365
1.85
Pinnacle
1.79
Unibet
1.78
SBO
1.78
Betano
1.78
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
9.8%
@ 3.33-17.7%
Under 3.5
90.2%
@ 1.27+17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.60
BetVictor
3.50
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
Under
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Unibet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
33.9%
@ 1.73-19.3%
No
66.1%
@ 1.97+19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Betfair
1.75
BetVictor
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
No
Bet365
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
Unibet
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Betano
1.98
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
18.9%@ 8.78+13.9%
1-0 ✓
16.8%@ 7.14+10.6%
1-1
14.1%@ 5.71+6.4%
0-1
11.3%@ 8.37+6.0%
2-0
9.2%@ 10.48+5.1%
2-1
6.6%@ 8.31+1.3%
1-2
4.6%@ 9.56-0.0%
0-2
4.5%@ 13.86+1.3%
Příbram goals ↓
Opava goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
19%
11%
4.5%
1.1%
0.2%
1
17%
14%
4.6%
1.1%
0.2%
2
9.2%
6.6%
2.3%
0.6%
0.1%
3
3.2%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
4
0.8%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Příbram goals (down), columns = Opava goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Karviná
2.40
Táborsko
2.20
Ústí nad Labem
2.20
Slavia Praha II
2.20
Příbram
1.80
Dukla Praha
1.40
Vysočina Jihlava
1.40
Vlašim
1.20
Opava
1.00
Prostějov
1.00
Kladno
1.00
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.00
Baník Ostrava II
0.80
Třinec
0.80
Viktoria Žižkov
0.60
Hanácká
0.20
Příbram is 0.80 points better than Opava in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha II
2.60
Karviná
2.20
Ústí nad Labem
2.00
Vlašim
1.80
Příbram
1.80
Táborsko
1.60
Dukla Praha
1.60
Baník Ostrava II
1.40
Prostějov
1.40
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.40
Vysočina Jihlava
1.20
Opava
1.00
Třinec
1.00
Kladno
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
0.60
Hanácká
0.20
Příbram is 0.80 goals better than Opava in terms of goals scored per game (1.80 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Táborsko
0.60
Vysočina Jihlava
0.60
Karviná
1.00
Ústí nad Labem
1.00
Třinec
1.20
Opava
1.40
Baník Ostrava II
1.40
Prostějov
1.40
Slavia Praha II
1.40
Kladno
1.40
Vlašim
1.40
Příbram
1.40
Dukla Praha
1.60
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.20
Hanácká
2.40
Viktoria Žižkov
2.40
Příbram and Opava are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.40).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Příbram
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.50
0.57
0.69
0.62
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
0.67
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.48
0.59
0.46
0.62
0.50
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Opava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Opava
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.53
1.40
0.73
0.20
0.33
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.40
1.33
0.33
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (25)
0.80
0.56
1.42
0.83
0.23
0.31
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Příbram) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Příbram over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Příbram over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Příbram over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Příbram
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.47
0.57
0.57
0.31
0.38
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (27)
0.48
0.48
0.62
0.62
0.36
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Opava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Opava
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.50
0.73
0.47
0.33
0.53
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.20
1.00
0.33
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.48
0.56
0.67
0.50
0.31
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Příbram) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Příbram over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Příbram over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Příbram over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
90.2%
1.27
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Unibet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
+17.7%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 13. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (57)
€40m
KAR (38)
€22m
DP (44)
€13m
BOI (53)
€13m
VLA (44)
€5m
VJ (33)
€4m
PRO (40)
€4m
TÁB (34)
€4m
PŘÍ (41)
€3m
OPA (34)
€3m
HAN (40)
€3m
VŽ (35)
€3m
ÚNL (33)
€2m
TŘI (25)
€0m
AČL (30)
€0m
KLA (32)
€0m
Příbram and Opava have a similar squad value (both €3m).
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Karviná
Slavia Praha II
Ústí nad Labem
Táborsko
Vysočina Jihlava
Dukla Praha
Vlašim
Prostějov
Kladno
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Baník Ostrava II
Třinec
Viktoria Žižkov
Hanácká