Příbram's defensive solidity has been on display, conceding just 0.8 goals per game at home against weaker opponents. However, their offense has been less potent, scoring an average of 1 goal per game in these situations. Prostějov, on the other hand, has struggled to find the back of the net when facing stronger opponents, scoring 1.33 goals per game away from home. They have also conceded 0.67 goals per game in these situations.
Příbram's recent form has been impressive, with a 2-game winning streak. Prostějov, however, has struggled, with 2 straight defeats. The model predicts a low-scoring match, with an expected total of 2 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 15.9% probability. The model's selection is the home win, with a 46% probability. The model also suggests taking the Under 3.5 goals, with an 86.4% probability. The home win percentage is 46%, the draw percentage is 33%, and the away win percentage is 21%.
Results analysis
The draw between Přibram and Prostějov extends their run of consecutive draws to six matches. In a surprise turn of events, the home team, Přibram, came from behind to secure a 2-2 draw, handing the away team, Prostějov, their third consecutive draw. The pre-match favourite, the Home win, was the model's selection, but unfortunately, it was wrong, as the actual result was a draw. The model's call was incorrect. The model's selection, Home win, had a 46% probability of occurring, while a draw had a 33% chance. The suggested picks included Under 3.5, which had an 86.5% probability but ultimately missed, and the most likely total goals was 2, with a 28% probability.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Příbram win✗ Miss
45.7%
Avg Implied 50.3% · @ 1.81
Edge
-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.87
Dafabet
1.86
10Bet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.83
Betfair
1.80
Draw✓ Hit
32.7%
Avg Implied 26.5% · @ 3.43
Edge
+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.60
Pinnacle
3.55
Dafabet
3.55
Betano
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Prostějov win✗ Miss
21.7%
Avg Implied 23.1% · @ 3.93
Edge
-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.12
Marathonbet
4.05
Dafabet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
888Sport
3.90
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Příbram
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.77
0.92
0.62
1.12
0.88
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
1.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.50
vs Similar (27)
0.96
0.74
0.92
0.67
1.00
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Prostějov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Prostějov
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.47
1.21
1.50
1.31
1.44
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
1.83
1.00
2.33
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (22)
1.32
1.36
1.30
1.30
1.33
1.42
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Příbram) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
59.5%
@ 1.25-14.3%
Under 1.5
40.5%
@ 3.51+14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Betfair
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.80
BetVictor
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
31.1%
@ 1.84-19.5%
Under 2.5
68.9%
@ 1.89+19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.90
888Sport
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
Under
Pinnacle
1.94
10Bet
1.93
Betfair
1.91
Betano
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
13.5%
@ 3.11-16.3%
Under 3.5
86.5%
@ 1.32+16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.25
888Sport
3.20
Betfair
3.10
1xBet
3.08
Under
Betfair
1.36
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
BetVictor
1.30
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
38.2%
@ 1.72-15.3%
No
61.8%
@ 1.98+15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.75
BetVictor
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
No
Betano
2.02
10Bet
2.00
888Sport
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.8%@ 6.98+9.6%
0-0
15.4%@ 9.88+11.0%
1-1
14.1%@ 6.24+7.1%
2-0
10.3%@ 8.27+5.0%
0-1
9.3%@ 10.57+5.2%
2-1
7.7%@ 7.61+2.0%
1-2
4.8%@ 11.66+1.0%
3-0
4.1%@ 14.06+1.0%
Příbram goals ↓
Prostějov goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
9.3%
4.0%
1.0%
0.2%
1
16%
14%
4.8%
1.2%
0.2%
2
10%
7.7%
2.9%
0.7%
0.1%
3
4.1%
3.1%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
4
1.3%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Příbram goals (down), columns = Prostějov goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ústí nad Labem
2.33
Karviná
2.00
Slavia Praha II
2.00
Příbram
2.00
Táborsko
1.83
Dukla Praha
1.67
Kladno
1.33
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.33
Baník Ostrava II
1.17
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Opava
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Prostějov
0.83
Hanácká
0.67
Třinec
0.67
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Příbram is 1.17 points better than Prostějov in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 0.83).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha II
2.67
Karviná
2.00
Dukla Praha
1.83
Baník Ostrava II
1.83
Ústí nad Labem
1.83
Příbram
1.83
Vlašim
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Táborsko
1.33
Opava
1.33
Prostějov
1.33
Kladno
1.33
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Třinec
1.00
Hanácká
0.50
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Příbram is 0.50 goals better than Prostějov in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Táborsko
0.67
Ústí nad Labem
0.83
Vysočina Jihlava
1.00
Karviná
1.17
Kladno
1.17
Baník Ostrava II
1.33
Příbram
1.33
Dukla Praha
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Vlašim
1.50
Opava
1.67
Slavia Praha II
1.67
Třinec
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.00
Hanácká
2.17
Viktoria Žižkov
2.50
Příbram is 0.17 goals better than Prostějov in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Příbram
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.47
0.46
0.38
0.65
0.53
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
0.67
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.44
0.44
0.42
0.42
0.47
0.47
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Prostějov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Prostějov
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.63
0.14
0.64
0.69
0.62
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (22)
0.45
0.68
0.20
0.60
0.67
0.75
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Příbram) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Příbram over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Příbram over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Příbram over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prostějov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prostějov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prostějov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Příbram
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.30
0.46
0.23
0.47
0.35
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (27)
0.52
0.30
0.50
0.25
0.53
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Prostějov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Prostějov
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.83
1.07
0.86
0.62
0.81
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.17
1.00
1.33
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.86
0.68
1.10
0.70
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Příbram) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Příbram over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Příbram over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Příbram over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prostějov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prostějov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prostějov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
86.5%
1.32
Betfair
1.36
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
BetVictor
1.30
+16.3%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
KAR (24)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
BOI (17)
€3m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
KLA (11)
€2m
AČL (9)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Příbram and Prostějov have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (11)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
VLA (8)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
BOI (6)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
AČL (3)
€0m
KLA (4)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Příbram and Prostějov have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (5)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
BOI (3)
€1m
KLA (2)
€1m
AČL (2)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Příbram and Prostějov have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
BOI (8)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
KLA (5)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
AČL (4)
€0m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Příbram and Prostějov have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →