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Příbram vs Sparta Praha II Result & Analysis

Date: 15/09/2023
Time: 16:00
Final 2-1
Příbram
Příbram
Vs
45%
28%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sparta Praha II
Sparta Praha II
Czech-Republic: FNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Příbram win✓ Hit
45.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha II win✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PříbramPříbram

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D12L32W10W02L13L13L00D12LH·PAR01/06A·PAR04/06A·VYŠ22/07A·VIK30/07H·OPA02/08A·ART05/08H·HAN12/08A·VLA19/08H·DUK25/08A·SIG03/09← Czech LigaFNL →
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.301.081.081.351.47
vs Stronger (2)0.501.501.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (27)1.301.261.081.001.471.47
vs Weaker (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L02L14L01L33D20W22D12L13L00DA·PŘÍ24/05H·SIG28/05H·DUK23/07A·TÁB28/07A·PRO02/08H·CHR06/08A·VAR13/08H·ZBR18/08A·VYŠ26/08H·OPA03/09
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.331.001.001.211.71
vs Stronger (2)2.001.002.001.00--
vs Similar (26)1.041.350.921.001.151.69
vs Weaker (2)1.001.500.001.002.002.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Příbram) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.1%
Under 1.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.7%
Under 2.5
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.0%
Under 3.5
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.6%
No
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1 ✓
9.2%
0-0
8.8%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
5.0%
Příbram goals ↓
Sparta Praha II goals →
01234
08.8%7.0%4.5%1.6%0.4%
110%14%6.7%2.4%0.7%
28.5%9.2%5.0%1.8%0.5%
34.2%4.6%2.5%0.9%0.2%
41.6%1.7%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Příbram goals (down), columns = Sparta Praha II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dukla Praha
2.00
Sigma Olomouc II
1.90
Táborsko
1.63
Vyškov
1.57
Chrudim
1.40
Opava
1.33
Vlašim
1.33
Zbrojovka Brno
1.30
Artis
1.30
Viktoria Žižkov
1.30
Příbram
1.23
Prostějov
1.23
Sparta Praha II
1.23
Varnsdorf
1.20
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Hanácká
0.83
Příbram and Sparta Praha II are level in average points per game (both 1.23).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dukla Praha
1.83
Sparta Praha II
1.73
Varnsdorf
1.70
Chrudim
1.63
Sigma Olomouc II
1.63
Vyškov
1.50
Viktoria Žižkov
1.47
Vysočina Jihlava
1.40
Prostějov
1.40
Zbrojovka Brno
1.37
Vlašim
1.37
Táborsko
1.37
Opava
1.20
Artis
1.13
Hanácká
1.10
Příbram
1.07
Příbram is 0.67 goals worse than Sparta Praha II in terms of goals scored per game (1.07 vs 1.73).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Táborsko
0.87
Dukla Praha
0.97
Artis
1.13
Opava
1.20
Sigma Olomouc II
1.27
Vyškov
1.27
Zbrojovka Brno
1.40
Vlašim
1.43
Příbram
1.43
Vysočina Jihlava
1.53
Chrudim
1.60
Varnsdorf
1.67
Viktoria Žižkov
1.70
Prostějov
1.73
Hanácká
1.77
Sparta Praha II
1.93
Příbram is 0.50 goals better than Sparta Praha II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 1.93).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PříbramPříbram

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L22D00D01L01L11D00D01LH·PAR01/06A·PAR04/06A·VYŠ22/07A·VIK30/07H·OPA02/08A·ART05/08H·HAN12/08A·VLA19/08H·DUK25/08A·SIG03/09← Czech LigaFNL →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.770.310.460.591.00
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.520.740.330.420.671.00
vs Weaker (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L01L21W10W20W10W10W00DA·PŘÍ24/05H·SIG28/05H·DUK23/07A·TÁB28/07A·PRO02/08H·CHR06/08A·VAR13/08H·ZBR18/08A·VYŠ26/08H·OPA03/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.500.440.440.570.57
vs Stronger (2)1.000.501.000.50--
vs Similar (26)0.500.500.380.380.620.62
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Příbram) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Příbram over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Příbram over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Příbram over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PříbramPříbram

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D11D10W10W01L12L02L00D11DH·PAR01/06A·PAR04/06A·VYŠ22/07A·VIK30/07H·OPA02/08A·ART05/08H·HAN12/08A·VLA19/08H·DUK25/08A·SIG03/09← Czech LigaFNL →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.530.770.620.760.47
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.780.520.750.580.800.47
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L12L00D12L10W02L02L03L00DA·PŘÍ24/05H·SIG28/05H·DUK23/07A·TÁB28/07A·PRO02/08H·CHR06/08A·VAR13/08H·ZBR18/08A·VYŠ26/08H·OPA03/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.830.560.560.641.14
vs Stronger (2)1.000.501.000.50--
vs Similar (26)0.540.850.540.620.541.08
vs Weaker (2)1.001.000.000.002.002.00
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Příbram) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Příbram over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Příbram over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Příbram over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DP (13)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
VLA (8)
€2m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
DP (10)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
PŘÍ wins
0
Draws
0
SPI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Příbram vs Sparta Praha II · H/A from PŘÍ
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/23HPŘÍ Vs Sparta Praha II1-0
06/11/22ASparta Praha II Vs PŘÍ0-3

PříbramPříbram

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/23ASigma Olomouc II Vs PŘÍ2-1
25/08/23HPŘÍ Vs Dukla Praha0-0
19/08/23AVlašim Vs PŘÍ3-1
12/08/23HPŘÍ Vs Hanácká1-3
05/08/23AArtis Vs PŘÍ2-0
02/08/23HPŘÍ Vs Opava1-0
30/07/23AViktoria Žižkov Vs PŘÍ2-3
22/07/23AVyškov Vs PŘÍ2-1
04/06/23APardubice Vs PŘÍ0-0
01/06/23HPŘÍ Vs Pardubice0-2

Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/23HSPI Vs Opava0-0
26/08/23AVyškov Vs SPI3-1
18/08/23HSPI Vs Zbrojovka Brno1-2
13/08/23AVarnsdorf Vs SPI2-2
06/08/23HSPI Vs Chrudim2-0
02/08/23AProstějov Vs SPI3-3
28/07/23ATáborsko Vs SPI1-0
23/07/23HSPI Vs Dukla Praha1-4
28/05/23HSPI Vs Sigma Olomouc II0-2
24/05/23APříbram Vs SPI1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Příbram
Příbram
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL1.48
HomeWLWLD1.58
AwayLWLLL1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%42%38%
AVG goals2.602.422.76
Over 1.5 %80%79%81%
Over 2.5 %55%42%67%
Over 3.5 %25%21%29%
Scored1.401.421.38
Conceded1.201.001.38
BTTS52%47%57%
Clean Sheet35%42%29%
Corners7.509.006.00
Cards2.504.001.00
Sparta Praha II
Sparta Praha II
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLD1.18
HomeLLWLD1.42
AwayLLDDL0.95
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%37%26%
AVG goals2.532.212.84
Over 1.5 %74%74%74%
Over 2.5 %47%37%58%
Over 3.5 %26%21%32%
Scored1.111.111.11
Conceded1.421.111.74
BTTS47%42%53%
Clean Sheet26%42%11%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dukla PrahaDukla Praha3060
60%
2.0
5529+26
2.8
63%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3121.81.0
-
2Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II3057
60%
1.9
4938+11
2.9
70%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
3TáborskoTáborsko3049
43%
1.6
4126+15
2.2
60%
43%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.40.9
-
4VyškovVyškov3047
43%
1.6
4538+7
2.8
67%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
5ChrudimChrudim3042
37%
1.4
4948+1
3.2
77%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.6
-
6OpavaOpava3040
37%
1.3
3636+0
2.4
63%
47%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.2
-
7VlašimVlašim3040
30%
1.3
4143-2
2.8
70%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.41.4
-
8ArtisArtis3039
30%
1.3
3434+0
2.3
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2251.11.1
-
9Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno3039
37%
1.3
4142-1
2.8
70%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3251.41.4
-
10Viktoria ŽižkovViktoria Žižkov3039
37%
1.3
4451-7
3.2
80%
50%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.7
-
11Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II3037
33%
1.2
5258-6
3.7
90%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.9
-
12ProstějovProstějov3037
37%
1.2
4252-10
3.1
73%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.7
-
13PříbramPříbram3037
37%
1.2
3243-11
2.5
63%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.11.4
-
14VarnsdorfVarnsdorf3036
27%
1.2
5150+1
3.4
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
15Vysočina JihlavaVysočina Jihlava3035
30%
1.2
4246-4
2.9
77%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.5
-
16HanáckáHanácká3025
20%
0.8
3353-20
2.9
77%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.11.8
-
Czech-Republic: FNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →

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