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Primorje vs Aluminij Result & Analysis

Date: 30/10/2022
Time: 13:00
Final 0-1
Primorje
Primorje
Vs
19%
23%
58%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Aluminij
Aluminij
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Primorje win✗ Miss
18.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aluminij win✓ Hit
58.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PrimorjePrimorje

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L10W11D11D22D22D22D01L11DA·BIS20/08H·BEL27/08A·DEK03/09H·DOB11/09A·BIL18/09H·RUD24/09H·KRK01/10A·KRŠ08/10H·ILI15/10A·ROG22/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.081.541.002.141.170.83
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.001.501.002.141.000.60
vs Weaker (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
Clean sheet %15% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Aluminij) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AluminijAluminij

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W31W01L31W10W22D41W23L40WA·RUD21/08H·BRI26/08A·NAF04/09H·TRI09/09H·BIS23/09A·FUŽ28/09A·BEL02/10H·DEK07/10A·DOB14/10H·BIL21/10
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.920.772.000.501.861.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.570.711.330.671.750.75
vs Weaker (6)2.330.832.670.332.001.33
Clean sheet %46% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Primorje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.2%
Under 1.5
17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.5%
Under 2.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.1%
Under 3.5
62.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.9%
No
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.3%
0-1 ✓
8.2%
1-3
6.7%
0-3
6.2%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
Primorje goals ↓
Aluminij goals →
01234
05.6%8.2%9.3%6.2%3.1%
13.9%11%9.9%6.7%3.3%
22.6%5.3%5.3%3.6%1.8%
30.9%1.9%1.9%1.3%0.6%
40.3%0.5%0.5%0.3%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Primorje goals (down), columns = Aluminij goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rogaška
2.27
Aluminij
2.13
Ilirija
1.80
Krka
1.77
Beltinci
1.47
Primorje
1.37
Nafta
1.37
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.27
Bilje
1.23
Bistrica
1.23
Dekani
1.17
Triglav
1.17
Rudar
1.07
Fužinar
1.03
Krško
0.80
Dob
0.70
Primorje is 0.77 points worse than Aluminij in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 2.13).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Aluminij
1.93
Ilirija
1.83
Rogaška
1.73
Nafta
1.67
Beltinci
1.57
Krka
1.53
Primorje
1.40
Rudar
1.37
Bilje
1.33
Fužinar
1.30
Bistrica
1.30
Dob
1.23
Krško
1.20
Triglav
1.10
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.00
Dekani
0.90
Primorje is 0.53 goals worse than Aluminij in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.93).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Rogaška
0.77
Aluminij
0.77
Krka
0.93
Dekani
0.97
Ilirija
1.00
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.23
Primorje
1.33
Bistrica
1.33
Nafta
1.43
Beltinci
1.50
Rudar
1.70
Triglav
1.73
Bilje
1.77
Fužinar
1.87
Krško
1.97
Dob
2.10
Primorje is 0.57 goals worse than Aluminij in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 0.77).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PrimorjePrimorje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L10W01L10W00D11D11D00D10WA·BIS20/08H·BEL27/08A·DEK03/09H·DOB11/09A·BIL18/09H·RUD24/09H·KRK01/10A·KRŠ08/10H·ILI15/10A·ROG22/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.460.620.141.000.830.17
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.420.580.141.000.800.00
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %54% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Aluminij) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AluminijAluminij

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W00D00D10W00D01L21W21W10WA·RUD21/08H·BRI26/08A·NAF04/09H·TRI09/09H·BIS23/09A·FUŽ28/09A·BEL02/10H·DEK07/10A·DOB14/10H·BIL21/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.690.230.830.170.570.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.290.140.670.000.000.25
vs Weaker (6)1.170.331.000.331.330.33
Clean sheet %77% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Primorje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Primorje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Primorje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Primorje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aluminij over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aluminij over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aluminij over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PrimorjePrimorje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D00D10W01L22D11D11D01L01LA·BIS20/08H·BEL27/08A·DEK03/09H·DOB11/09A·BIL18/09H·RUD24/09H·KRK01/10A·KRŠ08/10H·ILI15/10A·ROG22/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.920.861.140.330.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.580.920.861.140.200.60
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Aluminij) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AluminijAluminij

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D31W01L21W10W21W20W02L30WA·RUD21/08H·BRI26/08A·NAF04/09H·TRI09/09H·BIS23/09A·FUŽ28/09A·BEL02/10H·DEK07/10A·DOB14/10H·BIL21/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.541.170.331.290.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.290.570.670.671.750.50
vs Weaker (6)1.170.501.670.000.671.00
Clean sheet %54% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Primorje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Primorje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Primorje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Primorje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aluminij over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aluminij over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aluminij over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (24)
€4m
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
PRI (10)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Primorje's squad is €3m less valuable than Aluminij's (€1m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (9)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
PRI (3)
€0m
Primorje's attack is €1m less valuable than Aluminij's (€0m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
PRI (2)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Primorje and Aluminij have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (10)
€2m
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
PRI (5)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
Primorje's defence is €1m less valuable than Aluminij's (€0m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
PRI wins
0
Draws
0
ALU wins

Head-to-head

Primorje vs Aluminij · H/A from PRI
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

PrimorjePrimorje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/10/22ARogaška Vs PRI1-1
15/10/22HPRI Vs Ilirija0-1
08/10/22AKrško Vs PRI2-2
01/10/22HPRI Vs Krka2-2
24/09/22HPRI Vs Rudar2-2
18/09/22ABilje Vs PRI1-1
11/09/22HPRI Vs Dob1-1
03/09/22ADekani Vs PRI0-1
27/08/22HPRI Vs Beltinci1-2
20/08/22ABistrica Vs PRI0-0

AluminijAluminij

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/10/22HALU Vs Bilje4-0
14/10/22ADob Vs ALU3-2
07/10/22HALU Vs Dekani4-1
02/10/22ABeltinci Vs ALU2-2
28/09/22AFužinar Vs ALU0-1
23/09/22HALU Vs Bistrica3-1
09/09/22HALU Vs Triglav0-1
04/09/22ANafta Vs ALU1-3
26/08/22HALU Vs Brinje-Grosuplje1-0
21/08/22ARudar Vs ALU0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Primorje
Primorje
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 1 Wins / 7 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDLD1.00
HomeLDDDL0.43
AwayDWDDD1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %15%0%33%
AVG goals2.623.142.00
Over 1.5 %77%86%67%
Over 2.5 %54%71%33%
Over 3.5 %31%43%17%
Scored1.081.001.17
Conceded1.542.140.83
BTTS69%71%67%
Clean Sheet15%0%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Aluminij
Aluminij
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLW2.23
HomeWLWWW2.17
AwayWWWDL2.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %69%67%71%
AVG goals2.692.502.86
Over 1.5 %54%50%57%
Over 2.5 %54%50%57%
Over 3.5 %54%50%57%
Scored1.922.001.86
Conceded0.770.501.00
BTTS46%33%57%
Clean Sheet46%50%43%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RogaškaRogaška3068
70%
2.3
5223+29
2.5
67%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.8
-
2AluminijAluminij3064
63%
2.1
5823+35
2.7
70%
50%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.90.8
-
3IlirijaIlirija3054
53%
1.8
5530+25
2.8
77%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.81.0
-
4KrkaKrka3053
47%
1.8
4628+18
2.5
70%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.50.9
-
5BeltinciBeltinci3044
40%
1.5
4745+2
3.1
90%
60%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.5
-
6NaftaNafta3041
37%
1.4
5043+7
3.1
83%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.4
-
7PrimorjePrimorje3041
33%
1.4
4240+2
2.7
70%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.3
-
8Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3038
37%
1.3
3037-7
2.2
73%
23%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.2
-
9BistricaBistrica3037
30%
1.2
3940-1
2.6
80%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.3
-
10BiljeBilje3037
33%
1.2
4053-13
3.1
77%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.31.8
-
11DekaniDekani3035
23%
1.2
2729-2
1.9
53%
27%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.0
-
12TriglavTriglav3035
33%
1.2
3352-19
2.8
80%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.7
-
13RudarRudar3032
23%
1.1
4151-10
3.1
83%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.41.7
-
14FužinarFužinar3031
27%
1.0
3956-17
3.2
80%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.9
-
15KrškoKrško3024
20%
0.8
3659-23
3.2
80%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.0
-
16DobDob3021
13%
0.7
3763-26
3.3
87%
70%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.1
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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