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Primorje vs Bistrica Result & Analysis

Date: 04/03/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 2-0
Primorje
Primorje
Vs
33%
27%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bistrica
Bistrica
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Primorje win✓ Hit
33.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bistrica win✗ Miss
39.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PrimorjePrimorje

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D22D22D01L11D01L20W42W52W01LH·RUD24/09H·KRK01/10A·KRŠ08/10H·ILI15/10A·ROG22/10H·ALU30/10A·BRI05/11A·NAF13/11H·TRI20/11A·FUŽ26/11
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.391.441.332.001.440.89
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.351.411.332.001.380.75
vs Weaker (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Bistrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BistricaBistrica

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L21W20W11D11D12L12L11D11D12LA·ALU23/09H·BRI02/10A·NAF07/10H·TRI15/10A·FUŽ23/10A·RUD29/10H·BEL05/11H·DEK12/11A·DOB19/11H·BIL27/11
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.061.221.001.221.111.22
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.001.240.881.251.111.22
vs Weaker (1)2.001.002.001.00--
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Primorje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.7%
Under 1.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.0%
Under 2.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.7%
Under 3.5
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.5%
No
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.6%
0-0
7.0%
1-0
6.7%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
Primorje goals ↓
Bistrica goals →
01234
07.0%7.6%6.5%3.2%1.2%
16.7%13%8.8%4.4%1.6%
25.3%7.9%5.9%2.9%1.1%
32.4%3.5%2.6%1.3%0.5%
40.8%1.2%0.9%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Primorje goals (down), columns = Bistrica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rogaška
2.27
Aluminij
2.13
Ilirija
1.80
Krka
1.77
Beltinci
1.47
Primorje
1.37
Nafta
1.37
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.27
Bilje
1.23
Bistrica
1.23
Dekani
1.17
Triglav
1.17
Rudar
1.07
Fužinar
1.03
Krško
0.80
Dob
0.70
Primorje is 0.13 points better than Bistrica in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.23).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Aluminij
1.93
Ilirija
1.83
Rogaška
1.73
Nafta
1.67
Beltinci
1.57
Krka
1.53
Primorje
1.40
Rudar
1.37
Bilje
1.33
Fužinar
1.30
Bistrica
1.30
Dob
1.23
Krško
1.20
Triglav
1.10
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.00
Dekani
0.90
Primorje is 0.10 goals better than Bistrica in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.30).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Rogaška
0.77
Aluminij
0.77
Krka
0.93
Dekani
0.97
Ilirija
1.00
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.23
Primorje
1.33
Bistrica
1.33
Nafta
1.43
Beltinci
1.50
Rudar
1.70
Triglav
1.73
Bilje
1.77
Fužinar
1.87
Krško
1.97
Dob
2.10
Primorje and Bistrica are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PrimorjePrimorje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D11D00D10W00D10W20W20W01LH·RUD24/09H·KRK01/10A·KRŠ08/10H·ILI15/10A·ROG22/10H·ALU30/10A·BRI05/11A·NAF13/11H·TRI20/11A·FUŽ26/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.610.500.330.780.890.22
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.590.470.330.780.880.12
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %61% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Bistrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BistricaBistrica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W20W00D00D11D01L01L10W10WA·ALU23/09H·BRI02/10A·NAF07/10H·TRI15/10A·FUŽ23/10A·RUD29/10H·BEL05/11H·DEK12/11A·DOB19/11H·BIL27/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.500.440.440.560.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.470.530.380.500.560.56
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %56% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Primorje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Primorje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Primorje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Primorje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PrimorjePrimorje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D11D11D01L01L01L10W22D32W00DH·RUD24/09H·KRK01/10A·KRŠ08/10H·ILI15/10A·ROG22/10H·ALU30/10A·BRI05/11A·NAF13/11H·TRI20/11A·FUŽ26/11
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.780.941.001.220.560.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.760.941.001.220.500.62
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %28% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Bistrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BistricaBistrica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L11D00D11D11D01L11D10W01L02LA·ALU23/09H·BRI02/10A·NAF07/10H·TRI15/10A·FUŽ23/10A·RUD29/10H·BEL05/11H·DEK12/11A·DOB19/11H·BIL27/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.560.720.560.780.560.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.530.710.500.750.560.67
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %39% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Primorje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Primorje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Primorje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Primorje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (24)
€4m
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
PRI (10)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Primorje and Bistrica have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (9)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
PRI (3)
€0m
Primorje and Bistrica have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
PRI (2)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Primorje and Bistrica have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (10)
€2m
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
PRI (5)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
Primorje and Bistrica have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
PRI wins
1
Draws
0
BIS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Primorje vs Bistrica · H/A from PRI
DateH/AGameScore
20/08/22ABistrica Vs PRI0-0

PrimorjePrimorje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/11/22AFužinar Vs PRI1-0
20/11/22HPRI Vs Triglav5-2
13/11/22ANafta Vs PRI2-4
05/11/22ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs PRI0-2
30/10/22HPRI Vs Aluminij0-1
22/10/22ARogaška Vs PRI1-1
15/10/22HPRI Vs Ilirija0-1
08/10/22AKrško Vs PRI2-2
01/10/22HPRI Vs Krka2-2
24/09/22HPRI Vs Rudar2-2

BistricaBistrica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/11/22HBIS Vs Bilje1-2
19/11/22ADob Vs BIS1-1
12/11/22HBIS Vs Dekani1-1
05/11/22HBIS Vs Beltinci1-2
29/10/22ARudar Vs BIS2-1
23/10/22AFužinar Vs BIS1-1
15/10/22HBIS Vs Triglav1-1
07/10/22ANafta Vs BIS0-2
02/10/22HBIS Vs Brinje-Grosuplje2-1
23/09/22AAluminij Vs BIS3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Primorje
Primorje
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWL1.22
HomeDDLLW0.67
AwayDDWWL1.78
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%11%44%
AVG goals2.833.332.33
Over 1.5 %72%78%67%
Over 2.5 %50%67%33%
Over 3.5 %33%44%22%
Scored1.391.331.44
Conceded1.442.000.89
BTTS61%67%56%
Clean Sheet17%0%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Bistrica
Bistrica
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDL1.17
HomeWDLDL1.11
AwayLWDLD1.22
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%22%33%
AVG goals2.282.222.33
Over 1.5 %83%89%78%
Over 2.5 %44%44%44%
Over 3.5 %6%0%11%
Scored1.061.001.11
Conceded1.221.221.22
BTTS72%78%67%
Clean Sheet17%11%22%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RogaškaRogaška3068
70%
2.3
5223+29
2.5
67%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.8
-
2AluminijAluminij3064
63%
2.1
5823+35
2.7
70%
50%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.90.8
-
3IlirijaIlirija3054
53%
1.8
5530+25
2.8
77%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.81.0
-
4KrkaKrka3053
47%
1.8
4628+18
2.5
70%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.50.9
-
5BeltinciBeltinci3044
40%
1.5
4745+2
3.1
90%
60%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.5
-
6NaftaNafta3041
37%
1.4
5043+7
3.1
83%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.4
-
7PrimorjePrimorje3041
33%
1.4
4240+2
2.7
70%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.3
-
8Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3038
37%
1.3
3037-7
2.2
73%
23%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.2
-
9BistricaBistrica3037
30%
1.2
3940-1
2.6
80%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.3
-
10BiljeBilje3037
33%
1.2
4053-13
3.1
77%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.31.8
-
11DekaniDekani3035
23%
1.2
2729-2
1.9
53%
27%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.0
-
12TriglavTriglav3035
33%
1.2
3352-19
2.8
80%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.7
-
13RudarRudar3032
23%
1.1
4151-10
3.1
83%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.41.7
-
14FužinarFužinar3031
27%
1.0
3956-17
3.2
80%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.9
-
15KrškoKrško3024
20%
0.8
3659-23
3.2
80%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.0
-
16DobDob3021
13%
0.7
3763-26
3.3
87%
70%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.1
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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