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Primorje vs Mura Result & Analysis

Date: 17/05/2025
Time: 15:30
Final 2-0
Primorje
Primorje
Vs
40%
29%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mura
Mura
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Primorje win✓ Hit
40.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mura win✗ Miss
30.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

PrimorjePrimorje

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W13L11D02L30W11D22D11D05L13LH·MAR12/03A·MUR15/03H·RAD30/03H·OLI06/04H·BRA10/04A·KOP13/04H·NAF19/04A·NK 26/04H·CEL04/05A·MAR11/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.771.061.311.292.29
vs Stronger (14)1.292.290.862.001.712.57
vs Similar (16)1.061.311.220.780.862.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MuraMura

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L31W01L24L02L12L12L11D02L11DA·OLI12/03H·PRI15/03A·KOP29/03A·NAF05/04H·NK 10/04A·CEL13/04H·MAR21/04A·BRA28/04A·RAD03/05H·OLI10/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.431.131.070.931.80
vs Stronger (13)0.691.770.671.330.712.14
vs Similar (17)1.291.181.440.891.121.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Primorje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.1%
Under 1.5
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.4%
Under 2.5
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.9%
Under 3.5
75.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.5%
No
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.6%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.0%
2-0 ✓
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
0-2
5.4%
Primorje goals ↓
Mura goals →
01234
09.2%8.0%5.4%2.1%0.6%
19.6%14%7.4%2.9%0.8%
27.4%8.6%5.0%2.0%0.6%
33.4%3.9%2.3%0.9%0.3%
41.1%1.3%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Primorje goals (down), columns = Mura goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Olimpija Ljubljana
2.06
Maribor
1.86
Koper
1.83
Celje
1.69
Bravo
1.53
Triglav
1.50
Primorje
1.19
Radomlje
0.97
Mura
0.97
NK Domzale
0.84
Nafta
0.78
Primorje is 0.22 points better than Mura in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 0.97).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celje
2.11
Triglav
2.00
Maribor
1.78
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.75
Koper
1.67
Bravo
1.44
Primorje
1.14
NK Domzale
1.05
Radomlje
1.03
Mura
1.03
Nafta
0.92
Primorje is 0.11 goals better than Mura in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.03).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Olimpija Ljubljana
0.56
Maribor
0.89
Koper
0.97
Bravo
1.22
Celje
1.42
Mura
1.42
Primorje
1.69
NK Domzale
1.84
Nafta
1.92
Radomlje
1.92
Triglav
2.50
Primorje is 0.28 goals worse than Mura in terms of goals conceded per game (1.69 vs 1.42).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

PrimorjePrimorje

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

MuraMura

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

PrimorjePrimorje

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (16)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (34)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MuraMura

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.08.014.00.20.20.216.713.523.0
vs Stronger (22)8.08.0-0.20.40.013.513.5-
vs Similar (28)14.0-14.00.20.00.423.0-23.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line67%50%100%2%0%4%33%0%100%
% under line33%50%0%98%100%96%67%100%0%
This opponent (Primorje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
11.1
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.7
Bravo
9.6
NK Domzale
9.6
Celje
9.6
Koper
9.2
Maribor
9.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Maribor
4.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.7
NK Domzale
4.7
Celje
4.4
Mura
4.2
Koper
4.0
Bravo
3.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
NK Domzale
26.4
Maribor
25.2
Olimpija Ljubljana
25.2
Koper
24.9
Bravo
24.7
Mura
24.2
Celje
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
59.0%
Under 9.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
58.2%
Under 3.5
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
68.2%
Under 21.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PrimorjePrimorje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L01L01L10W01L01L11D04L02LH·MAR12/03A·MUR15/03H·RAD30/03H·OLI06/04H·BRA10/04A·KOP13/04H·NAF19/04A·NK 26/04H·CEL04/05A·MAR11/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.970.440.620.791.36
vs Stronger (14)0.791.210.571.001.001.43
vs Similar (16)0.440.750.330.330.571.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MuraMura

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L10W01L11D01L10W00D10W00D11DA·OLI12/03H·PRI15/03A·KOP29/03A·NAF05/04H·NK 10/04A·CEL13/04H·MAR21/04A·BRA28/04A·RAD03/05H·OLI10/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.500.670.530.470.47
vs Stronger (13)0.380.540.500.500.290.57
vs Similar (17)0.710.470.780.560.620.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Primorje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Primorje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Primorje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Primorje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PrimorjePrimorje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D12L10W01L20W10W21W00D01L11DH·MAR12/03A·MUR15/03H·RAD30/03H·OLI06/04H·BRA10/04A·KOP13/04H·NAF19/04A·NK 26/04H·CEL04/05A·MAR11/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.800.620.690.500.93
vs Stronger (14)0.501.070.291.000.711.14
vs Similar (16)0.620.560.890.440.290.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MuraMura

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D21W00D13L01L02L12L01L02L00DA·OLI12/03H·PRI15/03A·KOP29/03A·NAF05/04H·NK 10/04A·CEL13/04H·MAR21/04A·BRA28/04A·RAD03/05H·OLI10/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.930.470.530.471.33
vs Stronger (13)0.311.230.170.830.431.57
vs Similar (17)0.590.710.670.330.501.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Primorje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Primorje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Primorje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Primorje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls81.7%--------
Over 2.5 cards77.3%--------
Under 5.5 cards77.3%--------
Under 3.575.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners70.9%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
PRI (10)
€1m
Primorje's squad is €4m less valuable than Mura's (€1m vs €5m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
PRI (3)
€0m
Primorje's attack is €1m less valuable than Mura's (€0m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
PRI (2)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
Primorje and Mura have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
PRI (5)
€0m
Primorje's defence is €2m less valuable than Mura's (€0m vs €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
PRI wins
0
Draws
2
MUR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Primorje vs Mura · H/A from PRI
DateH/AGameScore
15/03/25AMura Vs PRI3-1
30/11/24HPRI Vs Mura1-0
14/09/24AMura Vs PRI4-0

PrimorjePrimorje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/05/25AMaribor Vs PRI3-1
04/05/25HPRI Vs Celje0-5
26/04/25ANK Domzale Vs PRI1-1
19/04/25HPRI Vs Nafta2-2
13/04/25AKoper Vs PRI1-1
10/04/25HPRI Vs Bravo3-0
06/04/25HPRI Vs Olimpija Ljubljana0-2
30/03/25HPRI Vs Radomlje1-1
15/03/25AMura Vs PRI3-1
12/03/25HPRI Vs Maribor2-1

MuraMura

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/25HMUR Vs Olimpija Ljubljana1-1
03/05/25ARadomlje Vs MUR2-0
28/04/25ABravo Vs MUR1-1
21/04/25HMUR Vs Maribor1-2
13/04/25ACelje Vs MUR2-1
10/04/25HMUR Vs NK Domzale0-2
05/04/25ANafta Vs MUR4-2
29/03/25AKoper Vs MUR1-0
15/03/25HMUR Vs Primorje3-1
12/03/25AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs MUR2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Primorje
Primorje
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDLL1.44
HomeDLWDL1.81
AwayDLDDL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%54%21%
AVG goals2.822.653.00
Over 1.5 %82%81%83%
Over 2.5 %54%50%58%
Over 3.5 %38%27%50%
Scored1.361.541.17
Conceded1.461.121.83
BTTS52%50%54%
Clean Sheet26%27%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Mura
Mura
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLD1.00
HomeWWLLD1.16
AwayLLLDL0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%28%20%
AVG goals2.502.202.80
Over 1.5 %70%68%72%
Over 2.5 %44%36%52%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored1.061.081.04
Conceded1.441.121.76
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet26%32%20%
Corners10.008.0014.00
Cards3.332.006.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3674
58%
2.1
6320+43
2.3
75%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
6151.80.6
-
2MariborMaribor3667
53%
1.9
6432+32
2.7
83%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.80.9
-
3KoperKoper3666
53%
1.8
6035+25
2.6
69%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.71.0
-
4CeljeCelje3661
47%
1.7
7651+25
3.5
81%
69%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
7162.11.4
-
5BravoBravo3655
39%
1.5
5244+8
2.7
75%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.2
-
6PrimorjePrimorje3643
31%
1.2
4161-20
2.8
83%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.7
-
7MuraMura3635
25%
1.0
3751-14
2.4
67%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.4
-
8RadomljeRadomlje3635
28%
1.0
3769-32
2.9
75%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.9
-
9NK DomzaleNK Domzale3832
21%
0.8
4070-30
2.9
74%
61%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
10NaftaNafta3628
17%
0.8
3369-36
2.8
75%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.9
-
11TriglavTriglav23
50%
1.5
45-1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.02.5
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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