Prishtina e Re are poised to dominate a high-scoring encounter, with the model projecting a 61 % chance of a home win and a 21 % draw versus an 18 % away win. The expected total of 3.5 goals suggests a lively match, and the most probable scoreline is 2-1 for the hosts, a 9.7 % probability. Home side Prishtina e Re have scored an average of one goal and conceded 1.45 against stronger opposition at home, while 2 Korriku, playing away against weaker teams, also average one goal scored but only 0.5 conceded. Recent form tells a story: Prishtina e Re come off five consecutive losses, last falling 1-4 to Vjosa, whereas 2 Korriku arrive on a five-game winning streak, having edged Tefik Canga 1-0. The model’s selections reinforce a safe home advantage: Under 7.5 (97.5 %), Away under 3.5 goals (96.8 %), Under 6.5 (93.8 %), Home +2 handicap (92.9 %), Home over 0.5 goals (89.7 %), Away under 2.5 goals (88.4 %), Over 1.5 (86.7 %) and Under 5.5 (86.4 %). Each pick carries its own probability, and the overall likelihood of a home win remains the clear favourite.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Prishtina e Re win
63.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
21.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku win
15.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis
Prishtina e Re
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.87
1.06
1.38
1.00
2.43
vs Stronger (13)
1.00
2.00
1.12
1.50
0.80
2.80
vs Similar (17)
1.06
1.76
1.00
1.25
1.11
2.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (2 Korriku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
2 Korriku
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.57
1.87
1.00
1.33
2.13
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
4.00
-
-
0.50
4.00
vs Similar (21)
1.76
1.52
1.83
0.83
1.67
2.44
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
1.00
2.00
1.67
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Prishtina e Re) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.7%
Under 1.5
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61.8%
Under 2.5
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
39.5%
Under 3.5
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
57.3%
No
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
1-0
8.1%
3-1
7.2%
3-0
7.1%
0-0
5.0%
2-2
5.0%
Prishtina e Re goals ↓
2 Korriku goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.0%
3.2%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
1
8.1%
10.0%
4.6%
1.5%
0.4%
2
9.8%
9.9%
5.0%
1.7%
0.4%
3
7.1%
7.2%
3.6%
1.2%
0.3%
4
3.9%
3.9%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Prishtina e Re goals (down), columns = 2 Korriku goals (across).
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đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Mitrovica
1.39
Prishtina e Re
1.39
Ferizaj
1.39
KF Lepenci
1.39
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Istogu
0.94
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Prishtina e Re is 0.24 points better than 2 Korriku in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.15).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Suhareka
1.76
Liria Prizren
1.76
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Mitrovica
1.40
Prishtina e Re
1.40
Ferizaj
1.40
KF Lepenci
1.40
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Kika
0.74
Prishtina e Re is 0.13 goals worse than 2 Korriku in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.85
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
Mitrovica
1.41
Prishtina e Re
1.41
Ferizaj
1.41
KF Lepenci
1.41
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
Prishtina e Re is 0.48 goals better than 2 Korriku in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.88).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Prishtina e Re or Draw
84.5%
Avg Implied -
63%
21%
15%
covers Prishtina e Re + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re or 2 Korriku
78.6%
Avg Implied -
63%
21%
15%
covers Prishtina e Re + 2 Korriku
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or 2 Korriku
36.8%
Avg Implied -
63%
21%
15%
covers Draw + 2 Korriku
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Prishtina e Re over/under 0.5
Over
88.7%
Under
11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 1.5
Over
64.1%
Under
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 2.5
Over
37.2%
Under
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 3.5
Over
17.7%
Under
82.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 0.5
Over
63.5%
Under
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 1.5
Over
26.7%
Under
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 2.5
Over
8.2%
Under
91.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 3.5
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Prishtina e Re, so a minus line means Prishtina e Re give that many goals of a start and 2 Korriku receive them. At -1, Prishtina e Re must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Prishtina e Re win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Prishtina e Re)
Prishtina e Re -2
21.6%
Draw -2
19.3%
2 Korriku +2
59.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Prishtina e Re)
Prishtina e Re -1
40.8%
Draw -1
22.3%
2 Korriku +1
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Prishtina e Re)
Prishtina e Re +1
84.5%
Draw +1
9.8%
2 Korriku -1
5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Prishtina e Re)
Prishtina e Re +2
94.4%
Draw +2
4.1%
2 Korriku -2
1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Prishtina e Re
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.77
0.44
0.56
0.36
1.00
vs Stronger (13)
0.31
1.00
0.38
0.75
0.20
1.40
vs Similar (17)
0.47
0.59
0.50
0.38
0.44
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (2 Korriku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
2 Korriku
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.40
0.93
0.20
0.73
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.95
0.41
1.00
0.08
0.90
0.80
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
0.43
0.67
0.67
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Prishtina e Re) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.2%
Under 0.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
32.3%
Under 1.5
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.6%
Under 2.5
87.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Prishtina e Re over/under 0.5 HT
Over
47.8%
Under
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.7%
Under
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 0.5 HT
Over
38.1%
Under
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.3%
Under
90.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Prishtina e Re
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.10
0.62
0.81
0.64
1.43
vs Stronger (13)
0.69
1.00
0.75
0.75
0.60
1.40
vs Similar (17)
0.59
1.18
0.50
0.88
0.67
1.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (2 Korriku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
2 Korriku
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.10
0.93
0.80
0.60
1.40
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
4.00
-
-
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (22)
0.77
1.14
0.83
0.75
0.70
1.60
vs Weaker (7)
0.86
0.57
1.33
1.00
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Prishtina e Re) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
73.8%
Under 0.5
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
46.2%
Under 1.5
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.3%
Under 2.5
82.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Prishtina e Re over/under 0.5 2H
Over
49.1%
Under
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.7%
Under
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 2.5 2H
Over
7.7%
Under
92.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 0.5 2H
Over
46.3%
Under
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.4%
Under
80.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →