Prishtina e Re enter the match as clear favourites, the model assigning a 63% chance of a home win, 24% for a draw and 13% for Mitrovica to triumph. The 63% figure reflects the home side’s stronger scoring record of 1.0 goal per game against similar opposition, compared with Mitrovica’s 0.5 away goals, while both sides concede roughly 1.25 and 1.5 respectively. The expected total of 2.5 goals and the most probable scoreline of 1-0, with a 13.4% probability, underline the expectation of a tight, low-scoring affair. The model’s selection list highlights a 99.5% chance of Under 7.5, 99.4% for Away under 3.5 goals, 98.5% for Under 6.5, 96.5% for Away under 2.5 goals, 96.2% for Home +2 handicap, 95.5% for Under 5.5, 88.6% for Home under 3.5 goals and 88.5% for Under 4.5. Prishtina e Re’s recent win after a string of losses and Mitrovica’s draw-heavy run add context to the predicted outcome.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Prishtina e Re win
63.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mitrovica win
12.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Prishtina e Re
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.87
1.06
1.38
1.00
2.43
vs Stronger (13)
1.00
2.00
1.12
1.50
0.80
2.80
vs Similar (17)
1.06
1.76
1.00
1.25
1.11
2.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Mitrovica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mitrovica
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Prishtina e Re) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
73.2%
Under 1.5
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
46.7%
Under 2.5
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
25.2%
Under 3.5
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
43.7%
No
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.4%
2-0
13.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.9%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
4.6%
Prishtina e Re goals ↓
Mitrovica goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.9%
4.6%
2.0%
0.5%
0.1%
1
13%
11%
3.6%
0.9%
0.2%
2
13%
9.4%
3.3%
0.8%
0.1%
3
8.1%
5.7%
2.0%
0.5%
0.1%
4
3.7%
2.6%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Prishtina e Re goals (down), columns = Mitrovica goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Mitrovica
1.39
Prishtina e Re
1.39
Ferizaj
1.39
KF Lepenci
1.39
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Istogu
0.94
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Prishtina e Re and Mitrovica are level in average points per game (both 1.39).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Suhareka
1.76
Liria Prizren
1.76
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Mitrovica
1.40
Prishtina e Re
1.40
Ferizaj
1.40
KF Lepenci
1.40
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Kika
0.74
Prishtina e Re and Mitrovica are level in goals scored per game (both 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.85
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
Mitrovica
1.41
Prishtina e Re
1.41
Ferizaj
1.41
KF Lepenci
1.41
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
Prishtina e Re and Mitrovica are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.41).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Prishtina e Re or Draw
87.2%
Avg Implied -
63%
24%
13%
covers Prishtina e Re + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re or Mitrovica
76.0%
Avg Implied -
63%
24%
13%
covers Prishtina e Re + Mitrovica
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Mitrovica
36.8%
Avg Implied -
63%
24%
13%
covers Draw + Mitrovica
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Prishtina e Re over/under 0.5
Over
84.0%
Under
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 1.5
Over
54.7%
Under
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 2.5
Over
27.8%
Under
72.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 3.5
Over
11.4%
Under
88.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mitrovica over/under 0.5
Over
50.8%
Under
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mitrovica over/under 1.5
Over
15.9%
Under
84.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mitrovica over/under 2.5
Over
3.5%
Under
96.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mitrovica over/under 3.5
Over
0.6%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Prishtina e Re, so a minus line means Prishtina e Re give that many goals of a start and Mitrovica receive them. At -1, Prishtina e Re must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Prishtina e Re win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Prishtina e Re)
Prishtina e Re -2
18.2%
Draw -2
20.0%
Mitrovica +2
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Prishtina e Re)
Prishtina e Re -1
38.1%
Draw -1
25.0%
Mitrovica +1
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Prishtina e Re)
Prishtina e Re +1
87.2%
Draw +1
9.1%
Mitrovica -1
3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Prishtina e Re)
Prishtina e Re +2
96.2%
Draw +2
3.0%
Mitrovica -2
0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Prishtina e Re
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.77
0.44
0.56
0.36
1.00
vs Stronger (13)
0.31
1.00
0.38
0.75
0.20
1.40
vs Similar (17)
0.47
0.59
0.50
0.38
0.44
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Mitrovica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mitrovica
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Prishtina e Re) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Prishtina e Re over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mitrovica over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mitrovica over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mitrovica over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Prishtina e Re
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.10
0.62
0.81
0.64
1.43
vs Stronger (13)
0.69
1.00
0.75
0.75
0.60
1.40
vs Similar (17)
0.59
1.18
0.50
0.88
0.67
1.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Mitrovica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mitrovica
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.0
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
100% (+71pp vs league)
This opponent (Prishtina e Re) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Prishtina e Re over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mitrovica over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mitrovica over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mitrovica over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →