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Prizreni vs Istogu Result & Analysis

Date: 23/05/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 3-3
Prizreni
Prizreni
Vs
35%
26%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Istogu
Istogu
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U
10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Prizreni a 35% win probability against Istogu in the Kosovo: Liga E Pare on 2026-05-23, with 26% for the draw and 39% for Istogu. The model estimates around 3.0 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (23%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (12.2%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (82%).

Results analysis

Prizreni finished 3-3 against Istogu (Draw). Pythia had modelled a 35% home win, 26% draw and 39% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (82%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Prizreni win✗ Miss
35.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Istogu win✗ Miss
38.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PrizreniPrizreni

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-524L02L00D14L22D11D51W14L03L03LH·SUH15/03A·DIN22/03H·RIL29/03A·LIR05/04H·TEF12/04A·VJO19/04H·KEK26/04A·VUS03/05H·FER09/05A·2 K16/05
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.871.071.790.561.94
vs Stronger (28)0.641.930.771.850.532.00
vs Similar (2)3.001.005.001.001.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Istogu) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IstoguIstogu

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-701L00D22D43W41W11D01L13L47L23LH·DIN14/03A·RIL22/03H·LIR28/03A·TEF04/04H·VJO11/04A·KEK18/04H·VUS26/04A·FER03/05H·2 K09/05H·TRE16/05
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.671.691.500.931.86
vs Stronger (10)1.201.901.401.801.002.00
vs Similar (19)1.421.631.901.500.891.78
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Prizreni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.6%
Under 1.5
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.3%
Under 2.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.9%
Under 3.5
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.9%
No
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
0-2
5.8%
Prizreni goals ↓
Istogu goals →
01234
05.9%6.4%5.8%3.0%1.2%
16.0%12%8.6%4.5%1.7%
25.3%8.2%6.4%3.3%1.3%
32.6%4.0%3.1%1.6%0.6%
41.0%1.5%1.2%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Prizreni goals (down), columns = Istogu goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vushtrria
2.21
Feronikeli
2.18
Liria Prizren
2.09
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Trepça'89
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Istogu
0.94
KEK-u
0.64
Prizreni
0.59
Prizreni is 0.35 points worse than Istogu in terms of average points per game (0.59 vs 0.94).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Vushtrria
1.82
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Liria Prizren
1.76
Suhareka
1.76
Feronikeli
1.74
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Prizreni
0.82
KEK-u
0.76
Kika
0.74
Prizreni is 0.56 goals worse than Istogu in terms of goals scored per game (0.82 vs 1.38).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Feronikeli
0.65
Vushtrria
0.76
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Liria Prizren
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
KEK-u
1.91
Prizreni
1.94
Prizreni is 0.18 goals worse than Istogu in terms of goals conceded per game (1.94 vs 1.76).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PrizreniPrizreni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L01L00D00D12L10W21W04L02L00DH·SUH15/03A·DIN22/03H·RIL29/03A·LIR05/04H·TEF12/04A·VJO19/04H·KEK26/04A·VUS03/05H·FER09/05A·2 K16/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.310.860.330.930.290.79
vs Stronger (28)0.250.860.210.930.290.79
vs Similar (1)2.001.002.001.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %41% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Istogu) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IstoguIstogu

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L10W00D00D00D10W01L02L14L12LA·FC 22/02H·KIK28/02H·DIN14/03A·RIL22/03H·VJO11/04A·KEK18/04H·VUS26/04A·FER03/05H·2 K09/05H·TRE16/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.360.890.530.730.151.08
vs Stronger (8)0.381.380.501.000.251.75
vs Similar (19)0.320.740.500.700.110.78
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Prizreni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Prizreni over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prizreni over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prizreni over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istogu over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istogu over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istogu over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (27)
€2m
VUS (19)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUS (0)
€0m
FER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUS (0)
€0m
FER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUS (0)
€0m
FER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
PRI wins
0
Draws
1
IST wins

Head-to-head

Prizreni vs Istogu · H/A from PRI
DateH/AGameScore
15/11/25AIstogu Vs PRI1-0

PrizreniPrizreni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26A2 Korriku Vs PRI3-0
09/05/26HPRI Vs Feronikeli0-3
03/05/26AVushtrria Vs PRI4-1
26/04/26HPRI Vs KEK-u5-1
19/04/26AVjosa Vs PRI1-1
12/04/26HPRI Vs Tefik Canga2-2
05/04/26ALiria Prizren Vs PRI4-1
29/03/26HPRI Vs Rilindja 19740-0
22/03/26ADinamo Ferizaj Vs PRI2-0
15/03/26HPRI Vs Suhareka2-4

IstoguIstogu

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26HIST Vs Trepça'892-3
09/05/26HIST Vs 2 Korriku4-7
03/05/26AFeronikeli Vs IST3-1
26/04/26HIST Vs Vushtrria0-1
18/04/26AKEK-u Vs IST1-1
11/04/26HIST Vs Vjosa4-1
04/04/26ATefik Canga Vs IST3-4
28/03/26HIST Vs Liria Prizren2-2
22/03/26ARilindja 1974 Vs IST0-0
14/03/26HIST Vs Dinamo Ferizaj0-1

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Prizreni
Prizreni
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLL0.58
HomeLDDWL0.75
AwayLLDLL0.41
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %9%12%6%
AVG goals2.672.812.53
Over 1.5 %79%75%82%
Over 2.5 %52%62%41%
Over 3.5 %27%31%24%
Scored0.761.000.53
Conceded1.911.812.00
BTTS45%50%41%
Clean Sheet12%12%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Istogu
Istogu
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLL0.94
HomeDWLLL1.18
AwayWDWDL0.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %21%29%12%
AVG goals3.063.242.88
Over 1.5 %73%59%88%
Over 2.5 %48%47%50%
Over 3.5 %39%47%31%
Scored1.331.710.94
Conceded1.731.531.94
BTTS58%53%62%
Clean Sheet18%29%6%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VushtrriaVushtrria3475
65%
2.2
6226+36
2.6
74%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.8
-
2FeronikeliFeronikeli3474
65%
2.2
5922+37
2.4
71%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.70.6
-
3Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren3471
62%
2.1
6029+31
2.6
65%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.9
-
4Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj3471
65%
2.1
6139+22
2.9
74%
53%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.1
-
5TrepçaTrepça'893470
59%
2.1
7233+39
3.1
82%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.0
-
6VëllaznimiVëllaznimi3470
62%
2.1
5832+26
2.6
71%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
7Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku3450
41%
1.5
3929+10
2.0
59%
32%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.9
-
8SuharekaSuhareka3444
38%
1.3
6061-1
3.6
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
9Tefik CangaTefik Canga3440
35%
1.2
4854-6
3.0
79%
56%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
102 Korriku2 Korriku3439
32%
1.1
5264-12
3.4
91%
68%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.9
-
11FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja3335
27%
1.1
3952-13
2.8
70%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
12VjosaVjosa3435
26%
1.0
3961-22
2.9
76%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
13Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë3434
26%
1.0
4962-13
3.3
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
14KikaKika3433
26%
1.0
2543-18
2.0
59%
29%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
15IstoguIstogu3432
21%
0.9
4760-13
3.1
74%
50%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
16Rilindja 1974Rilindja 19743432
24%
0.9
3461-27
2.8
82%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
17KEK-uKEK-u3321
12%
0.6
2563-38
2.7
79%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
18PrizreniPrizreni3420
9%
0.6
2866-38
2.8
79%
53%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →

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