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Progres Niederkorn vs UNA Strassen Result & Analysis

Date: 08/04/2023
Time: 16:00
Final 2-1
Progres Niederkorn
Progres Niederkorn
Vs
62%
23%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
UNA Strassen
UNA Strassen
Luxembourg: National Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Progres Niederkorn win✓ Hit
62.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen win✗ Miss
15.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-632W42W41W10W32W30W10W33D60W21WA·FC 04/12H·US 11/12A·F9112/02H·UN 19/02A·VIC26/02H·WIL05/03A·AS 12/03A·MON19/03H·US 29/03A·RAC02/04
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
3.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.221.172.551.001.921.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)2.221.782.002.002.401.60
vs Weaker (14)2.210.792.860.431.571.14
Clean sheet %39% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (UNA Strassen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W41W10W01L03L12L21W22D12L21WA·UNI04/12H·ETZ11/12A·FC 12/02H·US 19/02A·SWI26/02H·F9105/03A·UN 12/03H·VIC19/03A·WIL29/03H·AS 02/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.221.651.581.920.821.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.001.731.121.880.861.57
vs Weaker (8)1.621.502.502.000.751.00
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Progres Niederkorn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.0%
Under 1.5
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.1%
Under 2.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.7%
Under 3.5
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.7%
No
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-1 ✓
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
Progres Niederkorn goals ↓
UNA Strassen goals →
01234
06.3%3.9%2.2%0.7%0.1%
19.8%11%4.4%1.3%0.3%
211%9.9%4.5%1.4%0.3%
37.4%6.7%3.0%0.9%0.2%
43.7%3.4%1.5%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Progres Niederkorn goals (down), columns = UNA Strassen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Swift Hesperange
2.57
Progres Niederkorn
2.33
F91 Dudelange
2.23
Union Titus Petange
1.97
FC Differdange 03
1.50
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.50
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.43
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.43
UNA Strassen
1.30
Wiltz
1.20
Victoria Rosport
1.07
Jeunesse Canach
1.00
Mondercange
0.97
UN Kaerjeng 97
0.90
Fola Esch
0.87
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.77
US Hostert
0.60
Bettembourg
0.00
Progres Niederkorn is 1.03 points better than UNA Strassen in terms of average points per game (2.33 vs 1.30).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Swift Hesperange
3.33
Jeunesse Canach
3.00
F91 Dudelange
2.87
Progres Niederkorn
2.23
Union Titus Petange
2.07
FC Differdange 03
2.00
Bettembourg
2.00
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.73
Victoria Rosport
1.60
Wiltz
1.60
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.47
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.43
Mondercange
1.37
Fola Esch
1.26
UNA Strassen
1.10
Etzella Ettelbruck
1.07
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.06
US Hostert
0.67
Progres Niederkorn is 1.13 goals better than UNA Strassen in terms of goals scored per game (2.23 vs 1.10).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Swift Hesperange
0.93
Progres Niederkorn
1.03
F91 Dudelange
1.27
Union Titus Petange
1.27
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.30
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.30
FC Differdange 03
1.43
UNA Strassen
1.53
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.73
Mondercange
1.83
Victoria Rosport
1.93
Wiltz
1.97
US Hostert
2.17
UN Kaerjeng 97
2.29
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.37
Fola Esch
2.39
Jeunesse Canach
3.00
Bettembourg
3.00
Progres Niederkorn is 0.50 goals better than UNA Strassen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.53).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (23)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (9)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (14)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (UNA Strassen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (23)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (15)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (8)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Progres Niederkorn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
FC Differdange 03
12.5
F91 Dudelange
9.6
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.5
Fola Esch
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
9.0
Fola Esch
7.0
F91 Dudelange
5.4
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
F91 Dudelange
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L20W20W00D02L30W00D11D30W00DA·FC 04/12H·US 11/12A·F9112/02H·UN 19/02A·VIC26/02H·WIL05/03A·AS 12/03A·MON19/03H·US 29/03A·RAC02/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.431.550.270.500.58
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.890.671.000.750.800.60
vs Weaker (14)1.070.291.860.000.290.57
Clean sheet %70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (UNA Strassen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W10W00D03L11D11D11D01L10WA·UNI04/12H·ETZ11/12A·FC 12/02H·US 19/02A·SWI26/02H·F9105/03A·UN 12/03H·VIC19/03A·WIL29/03H·AS 02/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.610.740.830.580.360.91
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.470.800.500.500.431.14
vs Weaker (8)0.880.621.500.750.250.50
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Progres Niederkorn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W22D21W10W30W00D10W22D30W21WA·FC 04/12H·US 11/12A·F9112/02H·UN 19/02A·VIC26/02H·WIL05/03A·AS 12/03A·MON19/03H·US 29/03A·RAC02/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.220.741.000.731.420.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.331.111.001.251.601.00
vs Weaker (14)1.140.501.000.431.290.57
Clean sheet %52% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (UNA Strassen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W00D01L00D01L10W11D11D11DA·UNI04/12H·ETZ11/12A·FC 12/02H·US 19/02A·SWI26/02H·F9105/03A·UN 12/03H·VIC19/03A·WIL29/03H·AS 02/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.610.910.751.330.450.45
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.530.930.621.380.430.43
vs Weaker (8)0.750.881.001.250.500.50
Clean sheet %35% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Progres Niederkorn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
UK9 (18)
€2m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
EE (6)
€0m
WIL (2)
€0m
Progres Niederkorn and UNA Strassen have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UK9 (5)
€1m
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (3)
€0m
Progres Niederkorn and UNA Strassen have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
UK9 (5)
€0m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
EE (2)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
Progres Niederkorn and UNA Strassen have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
UK9 (8)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (1)
€0m
Progres Niederkorn and UNA Strassen have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
PN wins
0
Draws
0
US wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Progres Niederkorn vs UNA Strassen · H/A from PN
DateH/AGameScore
23/10/22AUNA Strassen Vs PN0-1

Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/04/23ARacing FC Union Luxembourg Vs PN1-2
29/03/23HPN Vs US Hostert6-0
19/03/23AMondercange Vs PN3-3
12/03/23AAS Jeunesse Esch Vs PN0-1
05/03/23HPN Vs Wiltz3-0
26/02/23AVictoria Rosport Vs PN2-3
19/02/23HPN Vs UN Kaerjeng 971-0
12/02/23AF91 Dudelange Vs PN1-4
11/12/22HPN Vs US Mondorf-les-bains4-2
04/12/22AFC Differdange 03 Vs PN2-3

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/04/23HUS Vs AS Jeunesse Esch2-1
29/03/23AWiltz Vs US2-1
19/03/23HUS Vs Victoria Rosport2-2
12/03/23AUN Kaerjeng 97 Vs US1-2
05/03/23HUS Vs F91 Dudelange1-2
26/02/23ASwift Hesperange Vs US3-0
19/02/23HUS Vs US Mondorf-les-bains0-1
12/02/23AFC Differdange 03 Vs US0-1
11/12/22HUS Vs Etzella Ettelbruck4-1
04/12/22AUnion Titus Petange Vs US0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Progres Niederkorn
Progres Niederkorn
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW2.22
HomeWWWWW2.27
AwayWWWDW2.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%73%67%
AVG goals3.393.553.25
Over 1.5 %70%73%67%
Over 2.5 %65%73%58%
Over 3.5 %48%55%42%
Scored2.222.551.92
Conceded1.171.001.33
BTTS57%45%67%
Clean Sheet39%55%25%
Corners---
Cards---
UNA Strassen
UNA Strassen
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLW1.26
HomeWLLDW1.33
AwayWWLWL1.18
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%42%36%
AVG goals2.873.502.18
Over 1.5 %74%83%64%
Over 2.5 %61%67%55%
Over 3.5 %30%50%9%
Scored1.221.580.82
Conceded1.651.921.36
BTTS52%58%45%
Clean Sheet17%8%27%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange3077
80%
2.6
10028+72
4.3
93%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0003.30.9
-
2Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn3070
73%
2.3
6731+36
3.3
73%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.21.0
-
3F91 DudelangeF91 Dudelange3067
73%
2.2
8638+48
4.1
93%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.91.3
-
4Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange3059
60%
2.0
6238+24
3.3
87%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.3
-
5FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 033045
47%
1.5
6043+17
3.4
80%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.01.4
-
6US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains3045
47%
1.5
5252+0
3.5
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.71.7
-
7AS Jeunesse EschAS Jeunesse Esch3043
40%
1.4
4439+5
2.8
80%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.3
-
8Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg3043
37%
1.4
4339+4
2.7
70%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.41.3
-
9UNA StrassenUNA Strassen3039
40%
1.3
3346-13
2.6
70%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.5
-
10WiltzWiltz3036
33%
1.2
4859-11
3.6
90%
77%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.0
-
11Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport3032
27%
1.1
4858-10
3.5
87%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.9
-
12MondercangeMondercange3029
23%
1.0
4155-14
3.2
83%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
13UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 973128
19%
0.9
3371-38
3.4
84%
58%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.12.3
-
14Fola EschFola Esch3127
26%
0.9
3974-35
3.6
81%
71%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.4
-
15Etzella EttelbruckEtzella Ettelbruck3023
20%
0.8
3271-39
3.4
90%
77%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.4
-
16US HostertUS Hostert3018
13%
0.6
2065-45
2.8
67%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.72.2
-
17Jeunesse CanachJeunesse Canach11
0%
1.0
33+0
6.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.03.0
-
18BettembourgBettembourg10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
-
Luxembourg: National Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →

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