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Progres Niederkorn vs UNA Strassen Result & Analysis

Date: 22/08/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 0-1
Progres Niederkorn
Progres Niederkorn
Vs
29%
28%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
UNA Strassen
UNA Strassen
Luxembourg: National Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

UNA Strassen are the favourites to win this match, having recently been on a 2-game winning run, and Progres Niederkorn's recent form has been inconsistent. The model predicts an away win for UNA Strassen, with a 43% probability. This match is expected to be moderately high-scoring, with an average of 2.7 goals. The most likely total number of goals is 2, but the most likely score is 1-1, with a 13.4% probability.

Progres Niederkorn have struggled at home, scoring an average of 1.8 goals and conceding 2.0, while UNA Strassen have been solid away, scoring 1.67 goals and conceding just 0.33. The home side's home form is a concern, having recently been on a 2-game losing run.

The model's selections include Over 3.5 cards (87.7%), Over 21.5 fouls (86.8%), Over 1.5 (75.8%), and Under 3.5 (72.0%). Progres Niederkorn have a 29% chance of winning, a 28% chance of drawing, and a 43% chance of losing.

Results analysis

The away side’s four-game winning streak carried through as UNA Strassen clinched a 0-1 victory over Progres Niederkorn, confirming the model’s prediction that the away team would win. The model had given the away win a 43 % probability, and it proved correct. The final score of 0-1 matched the actual result, with UNA Strassen emerging victorious. Every suggested selection from the model hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.4 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.8 %, Under 6.5 at 98.0 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.4 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 96.7 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 95.6 %, and Under 5.5 at 94.6 %. The model’s lineup of picks performed flawlessly, with no misses.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Progres Niederkorn win✗ Miss
29.1%
Avg Implied 31.0% · @ 2.92
Edge
-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.05
Unibet
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Superbet
2.95
Betano
2.92
Draw✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied 28.1% · @ 3.22
Edge
+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.37
Dafabet
3.35
Betfair
3.25
1xBet
3.22
UNA Strassen win✓ Hit
42.8%
Avg Implied 40.9% · @ 2.21
Edge
+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.26
Dafabet
2.25
1xBet
2.24
Unibet
2.23
Marathonbet
2.23

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W10W01L23L22D12L24L21W10W40WA·ATE22/04H·ROD26/04A·JEU03/05H·FC 08/05H·VIC13/05A·AS 17/05H·F9123/05H·AS 01/08A·RÉS09/08A·ATE16/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.331.531.601.331.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.321.421.561.781.101.10
vs Weaker (11)1.641.181.501.331.801.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (UNA Strassen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L20W00D30W11D00D01L40W20W10WA·ROD19/04H·JEU26/04A·FC 03/05H·AS 10/05A·F9117/05H·US 23/05H·FK 30/07H·VIC04/08A·F9109/08H·AS 16/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.870.802.120.561.571.07
vs Stronger (2)2.001.500.001.004.002.00
vs Similar (23)1.910.832.170.671.641.00
vs Weaker (5)1.600.402.670.000.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Progres Niederkorn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.8%
@ 1.26+4.2%
Under 1.5
24.2%
@ 3.17-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.26
Unibet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Under
Marathonbet
3.20
Superbet
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Unibet
3.10
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.9%
@ 1.91+1.4%
Under 2.5
50.1%
@ 1.80-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
Unibet
1.94
Pinnacle
1.94
1xBet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.89
Under
Bet365
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
Superbet
1.82
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.0%
@ 3.16-0.6%
Under 3.5
72.0%
@ 1.26+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.14
1xBet
3.14
Superbet
3.05
Under
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Unibet
1.23
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.9%
@ 1.69+1.1%
No
45.1%
@ 1.98-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.70
William Hil
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Unibet
1.67
No
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Marathonbet
1.96
Unibet
1.91

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%@ 6.09+7.2%
0-1 ✓
9.1%@ 7.28+3.8%
1-2
9.0%@ 8.40+4.5%
0-0
8.1%@ 9.28+4.0%
0-2
7.6%@ 9.52+3.6%
2-1
7.2%@ 10.14+3.5%
1-0
7.0%@ 8.80+2.7%
2-2
5.4%@ 12.60+2.4%
Progres Niederkorn goals ↓
UNA Strassen goals →
01234
08.1%9.1%7.6%3.8%1.4%
17.0%13%9.0%4.5%1.7%
24.9%7.2%5.4%2.7%1.0%
31.9%2.9%2.1%1.0%0.4%
40.6%0.8%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Progres Niederkorn goals (down), columns = UNA Strassen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
UNA Strassen
3.00
US Mondorf-les-bains
3.00
FC Differdange 03
2.40
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.00
Résidence Walferdange
1.80
Atert Bissen
1.80
Progres Niederkorn
1.80
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.80
US Rumelange
1.20
F91 Dudelange
1.20
US Hostert
1.20
Victoria Rosport
0.80
Wiltz
0.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
0.60
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.20
Swift Hesperange
0.00
Progres Niederkorn is 1.20 points worse than UNA Strassen in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 3.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.60
UN Kaerjeng 97
2.60
US Mondorf-les-bains
2.40
Résidence Walferdange
2.20
US Hostert
2.20
FC Differdange 03
2.20
Victoria Rosport
2.00
Wiltz
2.00
UNA Strassen
2.00
US Rumelange
1.60
Progres Niederkorn
1.60
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.40
Atert Bissen
1.40
F91 Dudelange
1.00
Swift Hesperange
0.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.40
Progres Niederkorn is 0.40 goals worse than UNA Strassen in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
UNA Strassen
0.20
Progres Niederkorn
0.80
FC Differdange 03
0.80
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.20
Résidence Walferdange
1.20
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.20
Atert Bissen
1.40
F91 Dudelange
1.60
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
2.00
US Hostert
2.00
Wiltz
2.20
Victoria Rosport
2.40
US Rumelange
2.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.60
Swift Hesperange
4.20
Progres Niederkorn is 0.60 goals worse than UNA Strassen in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 0.20).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)7.59.06.00.50.30.622.222.522.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (31)7.711.06.00.70.41.022.022.022.0
vs Weaker (19)7.07.0-0.10.20.023.023.0-
% over line25%50%0%8%4%11%75%100%50%
% under line75%50%100%92%96%89%25%0%50%
This opponent (UNA Strassen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)7.87.58.00.60.40.728.229.027.5
vs Stronger (2)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (39)6.56.07.00.30.10.529.026.032.0
vs Weaker (9)9.09.09.01.81.81.827.532.023.0
% over line0%0%0%6%4%8%100%100%100%
% under line100%100%100%94%96%92%0%0%0%
This opponent (Progres Niederkorn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
US Mondorf-les-bains
11.0
Victoria Rosport
9.8
UN Kaerjeng 97
9.2
Progres Niederkorn
9.1
F91 Dudelange
8.9
AS Jeunesse Esch
8.8
FC Differdange 03
8.7
Atert Bissen
8.6
US Hostert
8.4
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.0
Swift Hesperange
7.9
UNA Strassen
7.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
7.7
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
7.0
Atert Bissen
6.6
UN Kaerjeng 97
6.6
US Mondorf-les-bains
6.2
Victoria Rosport
6.2
AS Jeunesse Esch
6.2
US Hostert
6.2
Swift Hesperange
6.2
Progres Niederkorn
6.1
F91 Dudelange
6.0
UNA Strassen
5.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FC Differdange 03
35.0
Swift Hesperange
30.4
AS Jeunesse Esch
29.0
US Hostert
29.0
UNA Strassen
28.2
UN Kaerjeng 97
27.0
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
26.5
Atert Bissen
26.0
US Mondorf-les-bains
25.3
Victoria Rosport
25.0
Progres Niederkorn
23.6
F91 Dudelange
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
34.1%
Under 9.5
65.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
88.7%
Under 3.5
11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
86.8%
Under 21.5
13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Progres Niederkorn or Draw✗ Miss
57.2%
Avg Implied 59.1% · @ 1.55
Edge
-1.9%
29%
28%
43%
covers Progres Niederkorn + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.62
Bet365
1.60
William Hil
1.57
Superbet
1.53
Betano
1.53
Progres Niederkorn or UNA Strassen✓ Hit
71.9%
Avg Implied 71.8% · @ 1.27
Edge
+0.2%
29%
28%
43%
covers Progres Niederkorn + UNA Strassen
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Unibet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Draw or UNA Strassen✓ Hit
70.9%
Avg Implied 69.2% · @ 1.32
Edge
+1.7%
29%
28%
43%
covers Draw + UNA Strassen
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.36
Betfair
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.32

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
69.5%
@ 1.37+2.2%
Under
30.5%
@ 2.81-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.42
1xBet
1.35
Unibet
1.33
Under
1xBet
2.92
Pinnacle
2.77
Unibet
2.75
Progres Niederkorn over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
33.2%
@ 2.60-2.3%
Under
66.8%
@ 1.44+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.69
Marathonbet
2.57
1xBet
2.55
Under
1xBet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
Progres Niederkorn over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.8%
@ 5.50-4.9%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.10+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Under
1xBet
1.10
Progres Niederkorn over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.3%
@ 1.23+3.3%
Under
22.7%
@ 3.50-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.23
Under
1xBet
3.50
UNA Strassen over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
43.7%
@ 2.20+1.9%
Under
56.3%
@ 1.58-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.26
Marathonbet
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Unibet
2.15
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.58
Unibet
1.54
UNA Strassen over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.7%
@ 4.70-0.8%
Under
81.3%
@ 1.14+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.70
Under
1xBet
1.14
UNA Strassen over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.4%
Under
93.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Progres Niederkorn, so a minus line means Progres Niederkorn give that many goals of a start and UNA Strassen receive them. At -1, Progres Niederkorn must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Progres Niederkorn win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Progres Niederkorn)Actual: UNA Strassen
Progres Niederkorn -2
4.0%
Draw -2
8.4%
UNA Strassen +2
87.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Progres Niederkorn)Actual: UNA Strassen
Progres Niederkorn -1
12.4%
@ 5.50-2.7%
Draw -1
16.7%
@ 4.04-3.9%
UNA Strassen +1
70.9%
@ 1.29+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.80
Unibet
5.20
Draw
Marathonbet
4.33
Unibet
3.75
Away
Marathonbet
1.32
Unibet
1.27
Handicap +1 (Progres Niederkorn)Actual: Draw
Progres Niederkorn +1
57.2%
@ 1.54+1.9%
Draw +1
21.2%
@ 3.59-2.5%
UNA Strassen -1
21.7%
@ 4.03+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.62
Marathonbet
1.51
Unibet
1.49
Draw
Marathonbet
3.78
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.25
Away
Marathonbet
4.30
Betfair
4.20
Unibet
3.60
Handicap +2 (Progres Niederkorn)Actual: Progres Niederkorn
Progres Niederkorn +2
78.3%
Draw +2
13.2%
UNA Strassen -2
8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L20W10W11D10W01L10W10WA·ATE22/04H·ROD26/04A·JEU03/05H·FC 08/05H·VIC13/05A·AS 17/05H·F9123/05H·AS 01/08A·RÉS09/08A·ATE16/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.430.530.530.600.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.530.370.670.560.400.20
vs Weaker (11)0.640.550.330.501.000.60
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (UNA Strassen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L00D00D20W10W00D00D40W10W00DA·ROD19/04H·JEU26/04A·FC 03/05H·AS 10/05A·F9117/05H·US 23/05H·FK 30/07H·VIC04/08A·F9109/08H·AS 16/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.370.690.190.570.57
vs Stronger (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.520.390.420.250.640.55
vs Weaker (5)1.200.202.000.000.000.50
Clean sheet %73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Progres Niederkorn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
69.0%
@ 1.36+2.1%
Under 0.5
31.0%
@ 2.75-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
William Hil
1.35
Under
Betfair
3.00
William Hil
2.90
Pinnacle
2.84
1xBet
2.71
Marathonbet
2.71
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
33.6%
@ 2.75+0.3%
Under 1.5
66.4%
@ 1.37-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.77
1xBet
2.73
Marathonbet
2.73
William Hil
2.62
Under
William Hil
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
Betfair
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.8%
@ 6.90-1.6%
Under 2.5
88.2%
@ 1.07+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
6.70
William Hil
6.50
Under
William Hil
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Betfair
1.06

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
35.4%
@ 2.19-6.9%
Under
64.6%
@ 1.61+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.23
1xBet
2.16
Under
1xBet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
Progres Niederkorn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.8%
@ 7.20-5.0%
Under
92.2%
@ 1.05+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.20
Under
1xBet
1.05
Progres Niederkorn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
50.4%
@ 1.98+3.4%
Under
49.6%
@ 1.75-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.99
1xBet
1.96
Under
Pinnacle
1.76
1xBet
1.75
UNA Strassen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
16.2%
@ 6.00+0.9%
Under
83.8%
@ 1.08-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.00
Under
1xBet
1.08
UNA Strassen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W10W00D03L12L01L14L20W00D30WA·ATE22/04H·ROD26/04A·JEU03/05H·FC 08/05H·VIC13/05A·AS 17/05H·F9123/05H·AS 01/08A·RÉS09/08A·ATE16/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.901.001.070.730.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.791.050.891.220.700.90
vs Weaker (11)1.000.641.170.830.800.40
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (UNA Strassen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W00D10W01L00D01L00D10W10WA·ROD19/04H·JEU26/04A·FC 03/05H·AS 10/05A·F9117/05H·US 23/05H·FK 30/07H·VIC04/08A·F9109/08H·AS 16/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.431.440.381.000.50
vs Stronger (2)1.501.000.001.003.001.00
vs Similar (23)1.390.431.750.421.000.45
vs Weaker (5)0.400.200.670.000.000.50
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Progres Niederkorn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.5%
Under 0.5
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
43.9%
Under 1.5
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.6%
Under 2.5
80.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
41.7%
Under
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.3%
Under
86.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
61.0%
Under
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
22.9%
Under
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.0%
Under
93.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.4%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.0%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals97.4%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals96.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards95.6%--------
Away under 2.5 HT goals95.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.594.6%1.03
1xBet
1.03
----+1.9%✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls93.8%--------
Away under 3.5 goals93.6%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals93.0%-------✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals92.2%1.05
1xBet
1.05
----+5.0%✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards88.7%--------
Home under 2.5 goals88.2%1.10
1xBet
1.10
----+4.9%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals88.2%1.07
William Hil
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
--+1.6%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap87.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls86.8%--------
Home under 1.5 2H goals86.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.586.7%1.08
1xBet
1.08
----+1.6%✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners85.2%--------
Away under 1.5 HT goals83.8%1.08
1xBet
1.08
-----0.9%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals81.3%1.14
1xBet
1.14
----+0.8%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals80.4%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap78.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards77.4%--------
Away over 0.5 goals77.3%1.23
1xBet
1.23
----+3.3%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals77.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners76.8%--------
Over 23.5 fouls76.0%--------
Over 1.575.8%1.26
Superbet
1.26
Unibet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
-+4.2%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals75.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.0%1.26
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Unibet
1.23
-+0.6%✓ Hit
Home or Away71.9%1.27
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Unibet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
+0.2%✓ Hit
Draw or Away70.9%1.32
William Hil
1.36
Betfair
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.32
+1.7%✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap70.9%1.29
Marathonbet
1.32
Unibet
1.27
---+6.7%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
AB (19)
€3m
UK9 (18)
€2m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
RW (3)
€0m
EE (6)
€0m
WIL (2)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
Progres Niederkorn and UNA Strassen have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UK9 (5)
€1m
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
AB (4)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
RW (1)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (3)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
Progres Niederkorn and UNA Strassen have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
AB (5)
€1m
UK9 (5)
€0m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
EE (2)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
RW (0)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
Progres Niederkorn and UNA Strassen have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AB (10)
€1m
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
UK9 (8)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
RW (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (1)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
Progres Niederkorn and UNA Strassen have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
PN wins
1
Draws
2
US wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Progres Niederkorn vs UNA Strassen · H/A from PN
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/26AUNA Strassen Vs PN2-0
13/09/25HPN Vs UNA Strassen0-1
05/04/25HPN Vs UNA Strassen1-0
29/09/24AUNA Strassen Vs PN1-1
17/03/24AUNA Strassen Vs PN0-1
23/09/23HPN Vs UNA Strassen2-0
08/04/23HPN Vs UNA Strassen2-1
23/10/22AUNA Strassen Vs PN0-1

Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/26AAtert Bissen Vs PN0-4
09/08/26ARésidence Walferdange Vs PN0-1
01/08/26HPN Vs AS Jeunesse Esch2-1
23/05/26HPN Vs F91 Dudelange2-4
17/05/26AAS Jeunesse Esch Vs PN2-1
13/05/26HPN Vs Victoria Rosport2-2
08/05/26HPN Vs FC Differdange 032-3
03/05/26AJeunesse Canach Vs PN1-0
26/04/26HPN Vs Rodange 911-0
22/04/26AAtert Bissen Vs PN1-2

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/26HUS Vs AS Jeunesse Esch1-0
09/08/26AF91 Dudelange Vs US0-2
04/08/26HUS Vs Victoria Rosport4-0
30/07/26HUS Vs FK Partizan0-1
23/05/26HUS Vs US Mondorf-les-bains0-0
17/05/26AF91 Dudelange Vs US1-1
10/05/26HUS Vs AS Jeunesse Esch3-0
03/05/26AFC Differdange 03 Vs US0-0
26/04/26HUS Vs Jeunesse Canach2-0
19/04/26ARodange 91 Vs US2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Progres Niederkorn
Progres Niederkorn
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWW1.60
HomeWLDLW1.52
AwayWLLWW1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%43%52%
AVG goals3.022.963.07
Over 1.5 %74%70%78%
Over 2.5 %58%52%63%
Over 3.5 %34%35%33%
Scored1.741.611.85
Conceded1.281.351.22
BTTS60%65%56%
Clean Sheet22%17%26%
Corners7.509.006.00
Cards5.004.005.67
UNA Strassen
UNA Strassen
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW1.90
HomeWDLWW2.25
AwayWLDDW1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%71%46%
AVG goals2.862.832.88
Over 1.5 %70%71%69%
Over 2.5 %56%58%54%
Over 3.5 %38%42%35%
Scored1.962.291.65
Conceded0.900.541.23
BTTS34%17%50%
Clean Sheet54%75%35%
Corners7.757.508.00
Cards5.604.506.33

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1UNA StrassenUNA Strassen515
100%
3.0
101+9
2.2
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.00.2
-
2US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains515
100%
3.0
126+6
3.6
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.41.2
-
3FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 03512
80%
2.4
114+7
3.0
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.8
-
4Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg510
60%
2.0
136+7
3.8
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1012.61.2
-
5Résidence WalferdangeRésidence Walferdange59
60%
1.8
116+5
3.4
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
6UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 9759
60%
1.8
139+4
4.4
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.61.8
-
7Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn59
60%
1.8
84+4
2.4
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.60.8
-
8Atert BissenAtert Bissen59
60%
1.8
77+0
2.8
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.4
-
9US HostertUS Hostert56
40%
1.2
1110+1
4.2
100%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.22.0
-
10F91 DudelangeF91 Dudelange56
40%
1.2
58-3
2.6
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.6
-
11US RumelangeUS Rumelange56
40%
1.2
812-4
4.0
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.4
-
12WiltzWiltz54
20%
0.8
1011-1
4.2
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.2
-
13Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport54
20%
0.8
1012-2
4.4
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.02.4
-
14AS Jeunesse EschAS Jeunesse Esch53
20%
0.6
710-3
3.4
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.42.0
-
15Etzella EttelbruckEtzella Ettelbruck51
0%
0.2
213-11
3.0
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.42.6
-
16Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange50
0%
0.0
221-19
4.6
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.44.2
-
Luxembourg: National Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →

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