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Prykarpattia vs Probiy Horodenka Result & Analysis

Date: 09/11/2025
Time: 11:00
Final 1-0
Prykarpattia
Prykarpattia
Vs
28%
32%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Probiy Horodenka
Probiy Horodenka
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Prykarpattia win✓ Hit
28.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka win✗ Miss
39.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PrykarpattiaPrykarpattia

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L12L22D11D10W13L11D30W02L13LA·LIV29/08H·BUK05/09A·MET13/09H·NYV22/09H·VOR03/10A·UCS09/10H·CHO13/10A·MET19/10H·INH25/10A·AHR03/11
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.131.131.131.471.13
vs Stronger (4)0.501.250.501.500.501.00
vs Similar (26)1.421.121.231.081.621.15
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Probiy Horodenka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Probiy HorodenkaProbiy Horodenka

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L11D02L00D02L10W01L30W00D32WH·NYV05/09A·POD12/09H·VOR20/09A·UCS27/09H·CHO04/10A·MET08/10H·INH12/10A·AHR19/10H·YAR25/10H·VIK02/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.291.001.621.170.83
vs Stronger (7)1.141.860.752.251.671.33
vs Similar (7)1.000.711.251.000.670.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %36% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Prykarpattia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
64.7%
Under 1.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
36.5%
Under 2.5
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.2%
Under 3.5
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.4%
No
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.9%
0-1
12.4%
1-0 ✓
9.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.4%
Prykarpattia goals ↓
Probiy Horodenka goals →
01234
013%12%8.2%3.2%1.0%
19.9%15%7.9%3.1%0.9%
25.4%6.4%3.8%1.5%0.4%
31.8%2.1%1.2%0.5%0.1%
40.4%0.5%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Prykarpattia goals (down), columns = Probiy Horodenka goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bukovyna
2.70
Chornomorets
2.14
Livyi Bereh
2.10
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.77
Inhulets
1.53
Metal Kharkiv
1.23
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.20
UCSA
1.20
Yarud Mariupol'
1.20
Probiy Horodenka
1.20
Prykarpattia
1.17
Nyva Ternopil
1.17
Chernihiv
1.03
Vorskla Poltava
1.00
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0.72
Metalurh Zaporizhya
0.63
Prykarpattia is 0.03 points worse than Probiy Horodenka in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bukovyna
2.47
Livyi Bereh
1.67
Chornomorets
1.41
Inhulets
1.37
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.23
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.20
Prykarpattia
1.03
Yarud Mariupol'
1.03
Metal Kharkiv
1.03
UCSA
1.00
Chernihiv
1.00
Probiy Horodenka
0.97
Nyva Ternopil
0.83
Vorskla Poltava
0.77
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0.69
Metalurh Zaporizhya
0.53
Prykarpattia is 0.07 goals better than Probiy Horodenka in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Chornomorets
0.69
Livyi Bereh
0.70
Bukovyna
0.70
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0.93
Yarud Mariupol'
1.07
Inhulets
1.07
Nyva Ternopil
1.07
Prykarpattia
1.14
Metal Kharkiv
1.17
Vorskla Poltava
1.20
Chernihiv
1.20
Probiy Horodenka
1.23
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.27
UCSA
1.33
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1.45
Metalurh Zaporizhya
2.03
Prykarpattia is 0.10 goals better than Probiy Horodenka in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.23).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PrykarpattiaPrykarpattia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L01L11D00D01L01L30W01L11DA·LIV29/08H·BUK05/09A·MET13/09H·NYV22/09H·VOR03/10A·UCS09/10H·CHO13/10A·MET19/10H·INH25/10A·AHR03/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.570.470.600.800.53
vs Stronger (4)0.000.500.000.500.000.50
vs Similar (26)0.730.580.540.620.920.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Probiy Horodenka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Probiy HorodenkaProbiy Horodenka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W00D00D01L00D01L20W00D11DH·NYV05/09A·POD12/09H·VOR20/09A·UCS27/09H·CHO04/10A·MET08/10H·INH12/10A·AHR19/10H·YAR25/10H·VIK02/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.500.380.880.830.00
vs Stronger (7)0.710.570.251.001.330.00
vs Similar (7)0.430.430.500.750.330.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %64% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Prykarpattia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Prykarpattia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prykarpattia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prykarpattia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PrykarpattiaPrykarpattia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D21W00D10W12L10W00D01L02LA·LIV29/08H·BUK05/09A·MET13/09H·NYV22/09H·VOR03/10A·UCS09/10H·CHO13/10A·MET19/10H·INH25/10A·AHR03/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.570.670.530.670.60
vs Stronger (4)0.500.750.501.000.500.50
vs Similar (26)0.690.540.690.460.690.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Probiy Horodenka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Probiy HorodenkaProbiy Horodenka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L02L00D01L10W00D10W00D21WH·NYV05/09A·POD12/09H·VOR20/09A·UCS27/09H·CHO04/10A·MET08/10H·INH12/10A·AHR19/10H·YAR25/10H·VIK02/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.790.620.750.330.83
vs Stronger (7)0.431.290.501.250.331.33
vs Similar (7)0.570.290.750.250.330.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Prykarpattia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Prykarpattia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prykarpattia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prykarpattia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.582.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUK (25)
€9m
CHO (21)
€5m
LB (25)
€5m
YM (21)
€3m
NT (23)
€3m
MK (17)
€3m
UCS (23)
€2m
AV (18)
€2m
CHE (22)
€2m
VM (19)
€2m
PRY (18)
€2m
PH (20)
€1m
INH (15)
€1m
PI (5)
€1m
Prykarpattia and Probiy Horodenka have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUK (10)
€4m
CHO (7)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
YM (6)
€1m
UCS (8)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
VM (5)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
PH (11)
€1m
PI (2)
€0m
MK (4)
€0m
AV (3)
€0m
CHE (4)
€0m
INH (6)
€0m
Prykarpattia and Probiy Horodenka have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUK (5)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
YM (7)
€1m
LB (6)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
NT (5)
€1m
VM (8)
€1m
AV (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
MK (5)
€1m
UCS (5)
€1m
PI (1)
€0m
PH (3)
€0m
INH (5)
€0m
Prykarpattia and Probiy Horodenka have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUK (10)
€3m
LB (12)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
MK (8)
€2m
AV (11)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
UCS (10)
€1m
CHE (10)
€1m
INH (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
YM (8)
€1m
VM (6)
€1m
PH (6)
€0m
PI (2)
€0m
Prykarpattia and Probiy Horodenka have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
PRY wins
0
Draws
0
PH wins

Head-to-head

Prykarpattia vs Probiy Horodenka · H/A from PRY
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

PrykarpattiaPrykarpattia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/11/25AAhrobiznes Volochysk Vs PRY3-1
25/10/25HPRY Vs Inhulets0-2
19/10/25AMetalurh Zaporizhya Vs PRY0-3
13/10/25HPRY Vs Chornomorets1-1
09/10/25AUCSA Vs PRY3-1
03/10/25HPRY Vs Vorskla Poltava1-0
22/09/25HPRY Vs Nyva Ternopil1-1
13/09/25AMetal Kharkiv Vs PRY2-2
05/09/25HPRY Vs Bukovyna1-2
29/08/25ALivyi Bereh Vs PRY2-1

Probiy HorodenkaProbiy Horodenka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/11/25HPH Vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka3-2
25/10/25HPH Vs Yarud Mariupol'0-0
19/10/25AAhrobiznes Volochysk Vs PH0-3
12/10/25HPH Vs Inhulets0-1
08/10/25AMetalurh Zaporizhya Vs PH0-1
04/10/25HPH Vs Chornomorets0-2
27/09/25AUCSA Vs PH0-0
20/09/25HPH Vs Vorskla Poltava0-2
12/09/25APodillya Khmelnytskyi Vs PH1-1
05/09/25HPH Vs Nyva Ternopil1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Prykarpattia
Prykarpattia
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLL1.30
HomeLDWDL1.40
AwayLDLWL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%40%28%
AVG goals2.442.122.76
Over 1.5 %72%60%84%
Over 2.5 %46%36%56%
Over 3.5 %22%12%32%
Scored1.201.161.24
Conceded1.240.961.52
BTTS48%40%56%
Clean Sheet32%32%32%
Corners---
Cards---
Probiy Horodenka
Probiy Horodenka
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDW1.14
HomeLLLDW0.88
AwayDDDWW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%25%33%
AVG goals2.362.622.00
Over 1.5 %64%62%67%
Over 2.5 %36%38%33%
Over 3.5 %21%25%17%
Scored1.071.001.17
Conceded1.291.620.83
BTTS43%38%50%
Clean Sheet36%25%50%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BukovynaBukovyna3081
87%
2.7
7421+53
3.2
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
4232.50.7
-
2Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh3063
63%
2.1
5021+29
2.4
67%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.70.7
-
3ChornomoretsChornomorets2962
62%
2.1
4120+21
2.1
62%
34%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2221.40.7
-
4Ahrobiznes VolochyskAhrobiznes Volochysk3053
53%
1.8
3628+8
2.1
53%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.20.9
-
5InhuletsInhulets3046
40%
1.5
4132+9
2.4
70%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.1
-
6Metal KharkivMetal Kharkiv3037
33%
1.2
3135-4
2.2
73%
43%
7%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.01.2
-
7Viktoriya MykolaivkaViktoriya Mykolaivka3036
33%
1.2
3738-1
2.5
77%
53%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.3
-
8Yarud MariupolYarud Mariupol'3036
30%
1.2
3132-1
2.1
70%
33%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.1
-
9Probiy HorodenkaProbiy Horodenka3036
33%
1.2
2937-8
2.2
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.2
-
10UCSAUCSA3036
33%
1.2
3040-10
2.3
70%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.3
-
11PrykarpattiaPrykarpattia2934
28%
1.2
3033-3
2.2
72%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.1
-
12Nyva TernopilNyva Ternopil2934
28%
1.2
2431-7
1.9
59%
34%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.81.1
-
13ChernihivChernihiv3031
27%
1.0
3036-6
2.2
67%
40%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.2
-
14Vorskla PoltavaVorskla Poltava3030
23%
1.0
2336-13
2.0
73%
20%
3%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
15Podillya KhmelnytskyiPodillya Khmelnytskyi2921
14%
0.7
2042-22
2.1
72%
34%
7%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.4
-
16Metalurh ZaporizhyaMetalurh Zaporizhya3019
13%
0.6
1661-45
2.6
70%
57%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.0
-
17Polissya IIPolissya II00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.00.0
-
Ukraine: Persha Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Persha Liga stats & trends →

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